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    AVGO
    Earnings call· May 2026(Q2 FY26)

    Broadcom Q2 FY26 earnings call AVGO

    Jun 3, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Broadcom Q2 FY26 — Record $22.2B revenue on insatiable AI semiconductor demand

    Broadcom is now an AI-infrastructure franchise: a small set of frontier-model customers is booking multi-gigawatt, multi-year compute far ahead of delivery, extending visibility into 2028 and prompting a co-created funding platform to underwrite the buildout. The offsetting tension is structural mix — rich-margin networking cushions but cannot fully offset TPU dilution — so management pushes investors to model semis and software margins separately as the AI mix swells.

    Highlights

    5
    • Record consolidated revenue of $22.2B, up 48% YoY, above guidance on AI semiconductor strength

    • Record AI semiconductor revenue of $10.8B, up 143% YoY, above outlook, with AI bookings of over $30B against $10.8B shipped

    • Record operating income of $14.9B (up 52% YoY) with record 67.3% operating margin (up 200 bps YoY) and record 69% adjusted EBITDA margin, above the 68% guide

    • Record free cash flow of $10.3B, 46% of revenue

    • Infrastructure software revenue of $7.2B, up 9% YoY, with ARR sustaining 17% YoY growth

    Concerns

    4
    • Consolidated gross margin fell 230 bps YoY to 77.1% on AI/semiconductor mix shift, and is guided down further to ~74% in Q3 as lower-margin TPUs/ASICs scale

    • Non-AI semiconductor revenue grew just 6% YoY to $4.2B — a cyclical recovery still in early innings

    • Days of inventory rose to 86 days from 68 days in Q1 as the company builds ahead of H2 AI demand

    • Google signaled likely diversification of sources on its TPU program despite a very substantial dollar commitment — a customer-concentration/share question the company acknowledged

    Guidance & targets

    20
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Q3 consolidated revenue
    $29.4 billion, up 84% year-on-year
    high materiality
    High
    Q3 semiconductor revenue
    approximately $20.5 billion, up 124% year-on-year
    high materiality
    High
    Q3 AI semiconductor revenue
    $16 billion, up over 200% year-on-year
    high materiality
    High
    Q3 non-AI semiconductor revenue
    approximately $4.5 billion, up 12% from a year ago
    medium materiality
    High
    Q3 infrastructure software revenue
    approximately $8.9 billion, up 31% year-on-year
    medium materiality
    High
    Q3 consolidated gross margin
    approximately 74%
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Q3 operating margin
    approximately 67% of revenue (flat quarter-on-quarter)
    high materiality
    High
    Q3 adjusted EBITDA margin
    approximately 68% of revenue
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Non-GAAP tax rate (Q3 and full-year FY26)
    approximately 16%
    low materiality
    High
    Q3 non-GAAP diluted share count
    approximately 4.94 billion shares
    low materiality
    High
    Second-half FY26 AI semiconductor revenue
    to double from the first half
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year FY26 AI semiconductor revenue
    $56 billion, up approximately 180% from fiscal 2025
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year FY27 AI semiconductor revenue
    in excess of $100 billion
    high materiality
    High
    FY27 AI compute shipment (gigawatts)
    approximately 10 gigawatts, back-half loaded
    high materiality
    High
    FY28 AI semiconductor revenue / gigawatts
    substantial growth from FY27 (a lot more gigawatts)
    high materiality
    Medium
    Networking share of total AI revenue (normalized)
    closer to around 30%
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Anthropic TPU-based compute access
    over 1 gigawatt in 2026, plus another 5 gigawatts of next-generation TPU-based compute beginning in 2027
    high materiality
    High
    OpenAI XPU deployment
    1.3 gigawatts in 2027, as part of a larger 10 gigawatts by 2029
    high materiality
    High
    Meta MTIA XPU deployment
    3 gigawatts through the end of 2028; initial 1 GW order (XPUs + networking) to start delivery in H2 2027
    high materiality
    High
    AI XPV compute platform capacity
    more than 20 gigawatts of compute capacity through 2028
    high materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    4
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Semiconductor Solutions (total)
    Record semiconductor revenue with growth accelerating to 79% YoY, driven by AI. Strong operating leverage lifted operating margin 460 bps YoY despite an AI-mix-driven gross-margin dilution.
    Share of total revenue: 68%Operating expenses: $1.2B (8% of revenue), reflecting increased leading-edge AI R&DAI semiconductor revenue as share of total: 49%
    $15 billion79%~70% gross margin; 62% operating margin (up 460 bps YoY)
    AI semiconductors
    Record AI revenue above outlook; networking ~40% (expected to normalize to ~30%), XPU/compute the balance. Bookings dramatically outran shipments, extending visibility to 2028.
    Share of total revenue: 49%Networking share of AI revenue: almost 40%AI bookings in quarter: over $30B vs $10.8B shipped
    $10.8 billion143%Blended lower than segment (TPUs/ASICs dilutive; networking rich-margin)
    Non-AI semiconductors
    Broadband, server storage and enterprise networking up, partially offset by seasonal wireless decline; bookings >$6B cited as evidence of a full cyclical recovery.
    Bookings in quarter: exceeded $6BQ3 guide: ~$4.5B, up 12% YoY
    $4.2 billion6%
    Infrastructure Software
    In-line revenue with strong bookings and 17% ARR growth; VMware Cloud Foundation 9.1 deployment driving accelerated Q3 growth to ~$8.9B (+31% YoY).
    Share of total revenue: 32%ARR growth: 17% YoYOperating expenses: $1B in the quarter
    $7.2 billion9%93% gross margin; ~79% operating margin (up 310 bps YoY)

    Operational metrics

    9
    Gross margin (consolidated, non-GAAP)
    77.1%down 230 bps YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Company urges investors to model semiconductor (~70% GM) and software (93% GM) margins separately.

    Operating margin (consolidated, non-GAAP)
    67.3%up 200 bps YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Demonstrates operating leverage offsetting gross-margin dilution; guided flat ~67% in Q3.

    Adjusted EBITDA margin (non-GAAP)
    69%above 68% guidance
    Q2 FY26

    Margins described as strong and stable even as revenue scales on AI.

    Free cash flow margin
    46%
    Q2 FY26

    Record free cash flow; capex was only $231M in the quarter.

    Capital expenditure
    $231M
    Q2 FY26

    Low own-capex; large-scale AI compute buildout financed via the third-party XPV platform rather than Broadcom's balance sheet.

    Cash and investments balance
    $19.6Bvs $14.2B in prior quarter
    end of Q2 FY26

    Balance grew sequentially on record free cash flow.

    Dividend per share (quarterly common)
    $0.65
    Q2 FY26

    Capital returned to shareholders; no buyback executed amount disclosed this quarter.

    ARR growth (Infrastructure Software)
    17%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Recurring-revenue momentum supporting the software segment's growth durability.

    R&D expense (consolidated, non-GAAP)
    $1.6B
    Q2 FY26

    Opex held relatively flat, driving operating-margin expansion.

    Industry KPIs

    10
    MetricValueDetails
    Lead timesExtended lead times driving early bookings
    Backlog order bookVisibility runs into 2028
    Ai data center revenue$10.8 billion$B
    Market share commentaryAt least one generation of networking technology and product leadership
    Bookings net order intakeAI semiconductor bookings over $30 billion$B
    Design wins socket pipelineSix core AI/XPU customerscustomers
    Inventory channel inventory$4.3B inventory; 86 days on handdays
    Node platform ramp scheduleTomahawk 6 (100T Ethernet switch) shipping >1 year; next-gen 200T switch taping out this quarter
    End market segment revenue mixSemiconductor $15B (68% of total); Infrastructure Software $7.2B (32%); within semis: AI $10.8B (49% of total), non-AI $4.2B$B / % of total
    Strategic supply agreements customer prepaymentsMultiple multi-generation long-term agreements plus a $35B first-tranche funding platform

    Orderbook & backlog

    3
    AI semiconductor bookings (in-quarter)over $30 billionQ2 FY26

    against $10.8B AI shipped in the quarter (~2.8x coverage)

    Bookings, not backlog; large orders placed ahead of delivery to secure wafers, HBM/DRAM and power. Underpins visibility now running into 2028 (vs ~2027 three months ago).

    Non-AI semiconductor bookings (in-quarter)exceeded $6 billionQ2 FY26

    Cited as a clear indication of a path toward a full cyclical recovery.

    Purchase orders from two newer XPU customers$6 billion to dateas of Q2 FY26

    For two of the six core customers whose shipments begin late 2026 and accelerate into 2027; distinct from the $30B in-quarter AI bookings.

    Product announcements

    5
    ProductTypeDetails
    Tomahawk 6 (100 terabit Ethernet switch)milestone
    Next-generation 200 terabit Ethernet switchroadmap
    Co-packaged optics (1.6 terabit DSPs, CW and EML lasers)milestone
    VMware Cloud Foundation 9.1launch
    Jericho3 and Jericho4 fabric solutionsmilestone

    Deals & partnerships

    6
    GoogleLong-term supply agreement (multi-generation TPUs and AI networking)undisclosed; described as a very substantial dollar commitmentmultiple generations / foreseeable future

    Reflects strength of the partnership and Broadcom's differentiated IP/execution vs alternatives; disclosed via an intra-quarter 8-K.

    AnthropicTPU-based compute supply agreementover 1 GW of TPU compute in 2026; another 5 GW of next-gen TPU compute from 2027beginning 2026, next-gen from 2027

    Hock corrected an analyst's 'backstopped by Broadcom chips' framing — Broadcom is the direct provider of the TPU chips/compute capacity, disclosed in a recent 8-K.

    OpenAICustom AI accelerator (XPU) supply agreement1.3 GW in 2027, part of a larger 10 GW by 2029through 2029

    10 GW-by-2029 agreement announced last year; late-2026 production start with 1.3 GW deploying in 2027.

    MetaPartnership for multiple generations of MTIA XPUs3 GW through end of 2028; initial 1 GW order (XPUs + networking) receivedthrough end 2028

    Multi-generation MTIA XPU program.

    Apollo and Blackstone (and other leading investors)Joint funding platform (AI XPV) for AI compute capacityFirst tranche valued at $35Bthrough 2028

    Strategic vehicle pairing Broadcom technology with strong-balance-sheet investors to deliver compute at lowest cost and power.

    Two additional unnamed core customersXPU supply relationships$6B of purchase orders received to date

    Named as the 'other 2 customers' beyond Google, Anthropic, OpenAI and Meta.

    Capital programs

    1
    AI XPV compute platform (with Apollo, Blackstone and other investors)announced / first tranche launchingFirst tranche valued at $35B; platform sized for more than 20 GW of compute
    Funding: External — Apollo, Blackstone and other leading investors with strong balance sheets (not Broadcom capex)
    Start: currently being launched by Apollo

    Benefit: More than 20 gigawatts of compute capacity deployed through 2028

    Vehicle to fund Broadcom chips for frontier labs (incl. Anthropic and OpenAI) that might otherwise struggle to finance capacity, delivering compute at lowest cost and power. Keeps Broadcom in a pure chip-supplier model; own capex remained just $231M in the quarter. 'XPV' transcribed as stated.

    Risks & headwinds

    6
    Gross-margin dilution from AI/TPU mix shiftQ2 FY26 and ongoing as AI mix grows

    Consolidated gross margin down 230 bps YoY to 77.1%; guided down to ~74% in Q3; TPUs/ASICs and some wireless carry structurally lower margins

    Mitigation: Rich-margin AI networking partially offsets; strong operating leverage keeps operating margin flat at ~67%; management stresses no structural semi-margin change and urges modeling segments separately

    Customer concentration in a small set of frontier-model / hyperscaler customersFY26-FY28

    AI semiconductor revenue is 49% of total; growth rests on six core customers, with Google signaling likely source diversification

    Mitigation: Broadening customer base (two new customers with $6B POs); differentiated multi-generation IP; Google's dollar commitment described as very substantial despite diversification

    Supply constraints — wafers, HBM/DRAM, and power2026-2029

    Not quantified; customers order well ahead because lead times require securing chips, memory and power/'power shell'

    Mitigation: Supply secured for 2026-2027, working on 2028-2029; management comfortable meeting incremental customer demand and considering foundry optionality

    Inventory build ahead of demandQ2 FY26, positioning for H2

    Inventory $4.3B; days on hand rose to 86 from 68 in Q1

    Mitigation: Framed as a deliberate strategic build to secure supply for accelerating H2 AI semiconductor growth, not a passive/air-pocket build

    Non-AI semiconductor cyclicalityQ2 FY26; recovery early

    Non-AI revenue up only 6% YoY to $4.2B; wireless in seasonal decline

    Mitigation: Bookings exceeded $6B, cited as evidence of a path toward full cyclical recovery; Q3 guided +12% YoY

    Power and physical-infrastructure gating of AI deployments2026-2028

    Not quantified; power/interconnect availability cited as a key constraint customers must align before delivery

    Mitigation: XPV platform and multi-year planning coordinate power and infrastructure alongside chip supply; extended lead times give Broadcom more visibility

    Q&A highlights

    8

    How to square the ~$56B FY26 AI figure with 2x-H2 math (implying a Q4 sequential dip), and whether the 18-month AI backlog now sits at $200B+.

    Hock confirmed H1 AI revenue was ~$19B, so 2x in H2 ties to ~$56B for FY26. He reiterated FY27 AI revenue in excess of $100B (~2x FY26) on the same trajectory as the back half of 2026, but declined to endorse the analyst's $200B backlog figure or guide '27 quarterly.

    you will easily see that 2027 will exceed very easily $100 billion in 2027... we're not trying to guide you every quarter what '27 would be like

    asked by Harlan Sur · answered by Hock Tan

    3 min read8 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    AI semiconductor ramp and the multi-year revenue trajectory

    AI semiconductor revenue hit a record $10.8B in Q2, up 143% YoY and above outlook, and is guided to accelerate to $16B in Q3 (>200% YoY). Management expects H2 FY26 AI revenue to double H1 (~$19B), supporting a full-year FY26 figure of ~$56B (+~180% vs FY25). Beyond that, FY27 AI revenue is reiterated at 'in excess of $100 billion' (~2x FY26) with FY28 expected to grow substantially further, underpinned by initiatives across six core customers. Hock characterized demand for XPUs and networking as 'simply insatiable.'

    02

    Six core customers and multi-gigawatt commitments

    Broadcom detailed a widening AI customer roster: a long-term Google agreement for multiple TPU and AI-networking generations (April); Anthropic access to >1 GW of TPU compute in 2026 plus another 5 GW of next-gen TPU compute from 2027; OpenAI's contractual 1.3 GW in 2027 within a 10 GW-by-2029 agreement (silicon delivered, production late 2026); and a Meta MTIA partnership to deploy 3 GW through end-2028, with an initial 1 GW order (XPUs + networking) delivering H2 2027. Two additional customers are set to ship late 2026 and have placed $6B of purchase orders to date. Management plans ~10 GW of shipments in 2027, back-half loaded⚖️.

    03

    The XPV funding platform with Apollo and Blackstone

    To fund chips for frontier labs that may struggle to finance capacity themselves, Broadcom is creating an 'AI XPV platform' with Apollo, Blackstone and other large-balance-sheet investors to deploy more than 20 GW of compute through 2028. The first tranche, valued at $35B, is currently being launched by Apollo. The vehicle is designed to deliver compute at the lowest cost and power to labs including Anthropic and OpenAI while keeping Broadcom in its pure chip-supplier model.

    04

    Networking leadership within the AI franchise

    Networking represented almost 40% of Q2 AI revenue — a level Hock expects to normalize closer to 30% as XPU compute scales. Broadcom claims at least a one-generation lead: the 100-terabit Tomahawk 6 Ethernet switch has shipped for over a year, a next-gen 200-terabit switch tapes out this quarter, and the company is the de facto CPO standard (1.6T DSPs, CW and EML lasers). Jericho3 and Jericho4 fabric solutions enable the largest multi-hyperscaler cross-data-center deployments. Networking carries richer margins than XPUs/ASICs, partly offsetting mix dilution.

    05

    Gross-margin mix dynamics

    Consolidated gross margin fell 230 bps YoY to 77.1% and is guided to ~74% in Q3 as fast-growing, lower-margin AI/TPU revenue and semiconductors become a larger share of mix. Management stressed this is not a structural semiconductor-margin change: semiconductor gross margin held around 70% and operating leverage kept operating margin flat at ~67%. Investors were explicitly urged to model semiconductor and software margins separately given shifting revenue mix.

    06

    Non-AI semiconductor cyclical recovery

    Non-AI semiconductor revenue was $4.2B, up 6% YoY, with bookings exceeding $6B — which management cited as a clear indication of a path toward full cyclical recovery. Broadband, server storage and enterprise networking rose, partially offset by a seasonal decline in wireless. Q3 non-AI revenue is guided to ~$4.5B, up 12% YoY.

    07

    Infrastructure software and VMware momentum

    Software revenue was $7.2B, up 9% YoY, with ARR sustaining 17% YoY growth and a 93% gross margin. The newly released VMware Cloud Foundation 9.1 adds heterogeneous compute support across AMD, Intel and NVIDIA platforms plus enterprise AI-inferencing support, and strong global server demand is driving robust on-prem private-cloud adoption. Q3 software revenue is guided to ~$8.9B, up 31% YoY; management sees no negative agentic-AI impact given the hypervisor-level positioning.

    08

    Bookings, supply and visibility into 2028

    AI bookings exceeded $30B in the quarter against $10.8B shipped, as customers order far ahead to secure not just wafers, HBM and DRAM but also power. Management says visibility now runs to 2028 (versus roughly 2027 three months ago). On supply, Hock said Broadcom has secured needs for 2026-2027 and is working on 2028-2029, and can generally meet incremental customer demand for wafers and HBM. Inventory rose to 86 days (from 68 in Q1) as a deliberate build ahead of H2 AI acceleration.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.