Detailed Narrative
AI Semiconductor Growth and Customer Adoption
Broadcom's Q3 AI semiconductor revenue surged 221% year-on-year to $16.7 billion, driven by custom accelerators (XPUs) for six key customers. The company shipped Ironwood TPU v7 to Anthropic and Google, and began production of the next-gen TPU version AI for Google. Jalapeno, OpenAI's first-gen custom accelerator, also shipped, outperforming Grace Blackwell GPU for inference workloads. XPU shipments were up over 3.5x year-on-year, representing 73% of AI revenue.
Long-Term AI Revenue Outlook and XPU Deployments
Broadcom significantly raised its AI revenue guidance, projecting $115 billion for FY27 and $230 billion for FY28, doubling year-over-year. This growth is supported by long-term agreements, including a multi-tens of billions of dollars annual TPU commitment with Google. Anthropic is expected to deploy 1GW of Ironwood in 2026, 5GW of TPU V8i in 2027, and an incremental 10GW in 2028. OpenAI plans 1.3GW of Jalapeno in 2027 and over 5GW in 2028, with Meta deploying 3GW of MTIA accelerators through 2028.
AI Networking Leadership and Innovation
The company maintains its leadership in AI networking, with AI networking revenue expected to grow as fast as XPUs. Broadcom was first to market with its 100 terabit Tomahawk 6 Ethernet switch and has taped out Tomahawk 7, the industry's first 200 terabit per second switch. It also leads in PCI Express switching and is expanding capacity in optical DSPs, EMLs, VCSELs, and CW lasers for optical interconnects, providing a broad and leading-edge AI portfolio.
Infrastructure Software and Private AI Cloud
Infrastructure Software revenue grew 29% year-on-year to $8.8 billion in Q3, with 15% ARR growth. Broadcom announced VMware Private AI Cloud, offering enterprises a secure and cost-effective platform for AI alongside existing applications. This initiative aims to repatriate workloads from public to private clouds, leveraging VCF (VMware Cloud Foundation) to improve infrastructure economics and open new opportunities for the software business.
Capital Allocation and XPV Platform
Broadcom ended Q3 with $24 billion in cash and paid down $5.6 billion of long-term debt. The company established the AI XPV platform in partnership with Apollo and Blackstone to enable over 20 gigawatts of compute infrastructure for OpenAI and Anthropic by the end of 2028. The first $35 billion tranche for Anthropic's 1GW deployment is underway, with future tranches tailored to specific lab and investor needs, leveraging third-party financing with modest residual value guarantees.
Gross Margin Dynamics and Operating Leverage
Consolidated gross margin was 75% in Q3, down 210 basis points sequentially, and is guided to 73% for Q4. This decline is attributed to the increasing proportion of AI semiconductor revenue, particularly XPUs with higher memory content. Despite this, operating margin reached a record 67.9% in Q3, up 240 basis points year-on-year, demonstrating strong operating leverage as revenue growth significantly outpaces operating expenses.