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    AXP
    Earnings call· Mar 2026(Q1 FY26)

    AMERICAN EXPRESS Q1 FY26 earnings call AXP

    Apr 23, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    American Express Q1 FY26 — Record 3-year spend growth and 18% EPS gain fuel reinvestment

    AmEx opened FY26 with its strongest spend quarter in three years and, rather than drop the upside to the bottom line, is reinvesting it into marketing, technology and a record one-year commercial-product slate to compound growth. The premium, fee-centric model — skewing younger with best-in-class credit — underpins a reaffirmed full-year guide despite macro and geopolitical noise.

    Highlights

    5
    • Revenue grew 11% (10% FX-adjusted) with broad-based, double-digit growth across net card fees, NII, and service fees/other revenue

    • EPS of $4.28, up 18% year-over-year, on an ROE of 35%

    • Card member spending up 10% reported (9% FX-adjusted) — the highest quarterly spend growth in 3 years, led by T&E (+9% FX-adj) and G&S (+8% FX-adj)

    • International (ICS) spend up 13% FX-adjusted — 20th consecutive quarter of double-digit FX-adjusted billings growth; net card fees up 16% FX-adjusted

    • 3.1 million new cards acquired with 70%+ on fee-paying products; U.S. Platinum spend accelerated 6 points post-refresh with retention intact

    Concerns

    4
    • Airline spend growth softened in the last weeks of March and into April on Middle East travel disruptions, with a spike in refund volumes

    • Amazon/Lowe's co-brand held-for-sale book roll-off will drag reported revenue as the year progresses (zero pretax-income impact) and create a low-single-digit SME spend-growth headwind starting Q2

    • VCE-to-revenue ratio elevated at 44.7% reflecting stepped-up Platinum-refresh and marketing/technology investment

    • Provision expense of $1.3B included only a $24M reserve release, with reserves reflecting continued macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty

    Guidance & targets

    9
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year 2026 total revenue growth
    9% to 10%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 earnings per share
    $17.30 to $17.90
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year VCE (variable customer engagement)-to-revenue ratio
    around 44%
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 marketing expense growth
    mid-single digits
    medium materiality
    High
    Net card fee growth (exit rate)
    high teens exiting the year
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Net interest income growth vs balance growth
    NII to continue outpacing balance growth
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Credit metrics (delinquency and write-off rates)
    generally stable throughout 2026
    medium materiality
    High
    SME spend-growth impact from small-business co-brand held-for-sale portfolio exits
    low single-digit drag to SME spend growth starting Q2 (negligible pretax-income impact)
    medium materiality
    High
    Basel capital-requirement impact (as proposed)
    neutral to modestly positive
    medium materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    2
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    International Card Services (ICS)
    AmEx's fastest-growing segment; billings up double digits FX-adjusted for the 20th consecutive quarter, benefiting from the global footprint and a weaker dollar tailwind.
    Consecutive double-digit FX-adjusted billings quarters: 20th
    13% FX-adjusted spend growth (20% reported with weaker dollar)
    U.S. Consumer Platinum (portfolio)
    Refresh driving accelerated spend (majority from tenured card members), high engagement with membership assets, high retention after the fee increase, and continued strong new-customer acquisition.
    FHR / Hotel Collection lodging spend: up 50% YoYU.S. Resy restaurant dining spend: up 20% YoYShare of higher fee billed: ~1/4 of U.S. consumer Platinum portfolio
    Spend accelerated ~6 percentage points post-refresh

    Operational metrics

    4
    Return on equity (ROE)
    35%
    Q1 FY26

    Strong ROE enables high capital return to shareholders.

    Net interest income growth
    12%FX-adjusted; outpacing 7% balance growth; write-off dollars up only 4% YoY
    Q1 FY26

    NII grew faster than balances while maintaining best-in-class credit; expected to continue outpacing balance growth for the year.

    Service fees and other revenue growth
    double-digitYoY, again this quarter
    Q1 FY26

    One of three revenue lines (with net card fees and NII) all growing double digits, contributing to the 11% total revenue growth.

    AI developer productivity benefit
    ~30%
    Q1 FY26

    AI coding/testing tools delivering ~30% productivity benefit; part of broader technology investment across countries, merchant, network, consumer, corporate and small-business lines.

    Industry KPIs

    11
    MetricValueDetails
    Fee revenuenet card fees up 16%%
    Funding mixhigh-yield savings and direct CD balances up 9%%
    Delinquenciesdelinquency rates flat
    Capital returns$2.3 billion returned to shareholders$B
    Credit quality mixyounger-cohort credit best-in-class
    Net charge off ratewrite-off rates slightly down
    Loans card receivablestotal balances up 7%%
    Provision reserve rate$1.3 billion provision expense$B
    Rewards engagement costs44.7% VCE (variable customer engagement)-to-revenue ratio%
    New accounts card acquisitions3.1 million new cardscards
    Billed business purchase volumeup 10% reported (9% FX-adjusted)%

    Product announcements

    7
    ProductTypeDetails
    Graphite Business Cash Unlimited cardlaunch
    U.S. commercial products & solutions roadmap (8 products)roadmap
    Amex Agentic Commerce Experiences (ACE) Developer Kitlaunch
    Amex Agent purchase protectionlaunch
    Center (expense-management software) relaunchexpansion
    Airport lounge openings and expansionsexpansion
    Fine Hotels & Resorts / Hotel Collection expansionexpansion

    Deals & partnerships

    8
    National Football League (NFL)partnership (sponsorship)multiyear, beginning with the 2026 season

    Multiyear global partnership making American Express the League's official payments partner; includes exclusive card member experiences, ticket access, on-site activations and perks at events including the NFL Draft and Super Bowl; positions AmEx to support the NFL's international expansion.

    National Basketball Association (NBA)partnership (sponsorship renewal)multiyear

    Renewed NBA sponsorship along with several agreements with NBA teams across the country.

    MetLife Stadium and Mercedes-Benz Stadium (and teams)partnership (sports & entertainment)multiyear

    New multiyear sports and entertainment agreements with MetLife Stadium, Mercedes-Benz Stadium and teams that play there; part of relationships with over 50 top-tier leagues, teams, venues and events globally.

    HyperCardacquisition

    AmEx acquired HyperCard, bringing in a team it had worked with for years with expertise in expense management, to strengthen its commercial/expense-management offering.

    Switzerland joint venture (partner unnamed)acquisition (JV buyout)

    AmEx completed the acquisition of the half of the joint venture it had in Switzerland, registering a gain on completion.

    Centeracquisition

    Referenced acquisition completed over a year ago, part of significant investment in commercial/expense-management capabilities.

    Amazon and Lowe's (small-business co-brand portfolios)divestiture (held-for-sale portfolio exit)

    Small-business co-brand held-for-sale portfolios being exited over the year; impacts flow through consolidated and Commercial Services metrics and are incorporated in FY26 guidance.

    OpenAI / leading AI companies (ChatGPT)partnership (product benefit / distribution)

    AmEx referenced an OpenAI/ChatGPT benefit on new commercial cards and upcoming announcements with leading AI companies to make membership assets discoverable and actionable on their platforms.

    Risks & headwinds

    7
    Airline spend softening from Middle East travel disruptionslate Q1 into early Q2 FY26

    Spike in refund volumes late March/into April; ~18,000 AmEx customers with Middle East tickets rebooked; impact characterized as 'not that large'

    Mitigation: AmEx travel services and airport benefits (e.g., CLEAR partner engagement) used to rebook affected customers; management sees no impact to overall billing trends.

    Amazon/Lowe's small-business co-brand portfolio roll-offover the course of FY26 until lapped

    ~1pp drag to balance growth this quarter; slight reported-revenue drag through the year; low single-digit SME spend-growth impact starting Q2; negligible pretax-income impact

    Mitigation: Impacts fully incorporated in FY26 guidance; zero PTI impact.

    Macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertaintyongoing FY26

    Not quantified; reflected in reserves; $24M reserve release this quarter

    Mitigation: Focus on premium customers, spend-centric/fee-based model, and very strong portfolio quality; reserves reflect macro uncertainty.

    Higher fuel prices / rising average ticket pricesQ1 FY26

    Fuel is less than 2% of overall billed business; increase barely visible on billed business

    Mitigation: No discontinuity seen across products, cohorts, or geographies; diversified premium spend base.

    Fraud/security risk in agentic (AI) commerceemerging / long-term

    Not quantified; described as a riskier environment 'fraught with fraud'

    Mitigation: Closed-loop network and end-to-end data; ACE developer kit with declared-intent-to-purchase matching; Amex Agent purchase protection; historically off-road/fraud significantly lower than competition.

    AI-driven job displacement affecting customer basenext few years

    Not quantified; management sees 'no impact at all' currently

    Mitigation: Premium base skewed to adaptable younger cohorts; historically technology creates new jobs and fuels GDP; base spans entrepreneurs/creators, not only white-collar workers.

    Regulatory capital (Basel) uncertaintyuntil rule finalized

    Impact expected neutral to modestly positive under rules as proposed

    Mitigation: Views proposals as improvement over prior version; strong balance sheet and capital position; no material change to capital-management approach expected near term.

    Q&A highlights

    8

    Is the aspirational 10% revenue growth on the table this year, and where was performance tracking better such that you can afford incremental marketing/tech investment?

    Squeri said the strongest spend quarter in 3 years drives higher revenue and expressed confidence in the 9-10% aspiration, framing reinvestment as lowering ROI thresholds when overperformance allows. Le Caillec cited unexpected favorable items — a French court decision on European VAT and a gain from completing the buyout of the Switzerland JV — creating capacity to fund marketing and technology.

    when you have an [indiscernible] delivery like we just had in the first quarter, it gives us that confidence that we can move those ROI thresholds down and continue to hit within our guidance range.

    asked by Ryan Nash · answered by Stephen Squeri

    4 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Record 3-year spend quarter driven by premium and international

    Overall billed business rose 10% reported (9% FX-adjusted), the highest quarterly spend growth in three years and about one percentage point above Q4, led by T&E up 9% FX-adjusted while goods & services held stable at 8% FX-adjusted. Retail spending was up 11% FX-adjusted with luxury-retail merchants up 18% and front-cabin (premium airline) up 12%, underscoring premium-customer strength. International Card Services grew 13% FX-adjusted (20% reported with the weaker dollar), its 20th consecutive double-digit FX-adjusted quarter. Management attributes the momentum to its premium, spend-centric, fee-based model and diversified global footprint.

    02

    U.S. Platinum refresh driving accelerated spend and engagement

    The U.S. Platinum refresh continued to lift results, with U.S. consumer Platinum spend accelerating by roughly 6 percentage points, the majority of the lift coming from tenured ('back book') card members rather than new acquisitions. Engagement with membership assets surged: lodging spend on Fine Hotels & Resorts and Hotel Collection rose 50% YoY, and dining spend at U.S. Resy restaurants rose 20%. About one-quarter of the U.S. consumer Platinum portfolio has now been billed the higher annual fee with no change to very high retention rates. Management expects the step-up to persist into 2027 but not accelerate further, with the refresh lapping at some point in '27.

    03

    Younger-cohort acquisition and quality

    Over 70% of new accounts globally were acquired on fee-paying products, with 3.1 million new cards in the quarter and continued momentum in younger customers. Consumer spend growth skewed young: Gen Z up 38%, millennials up 13%, Gen X up 8%, and boomers up ~4%. Management stressed the quality of these cohorts — millennial and Gen Z credit performance is better than the industry's Gen X and boomer performance — describing them as the 'cream of the crop.' Half of high-yield-savings customers are Gen Z/millennials (about one-third of balances), signaling savings behavior among younger members.

    04

    Revenue mix, NII, and deposit funding

    Revenue rose 11% with net card fees, NII, and service fees & other revenue all growing double digits. Net card fees, the fastest-growing line, were up 16% FX-adjusted (in line with Q4). Net interest income grew 12% FX-adjusted, faster than the 7% balance growth, while write-off dollars rose only 4% YoY — evidence of growing NII without compromising credit. AmEx is increasingly funding balances with cheaper high-yield savings and direct CD deposits, which were up 9% YoY, supporting NII growth. Total balances (a newly relabeled line combining card member loans and receivables into 'card balances') grew 7% FX-adjusted, roughly in line with spend.

    05

    Capital return and Basel outlook

    AmEx returned $2.3 billion to shareholders in the quarter — $0.7 billion of dividends and $1.7 billion of share repurchases — at an ROE of 35%, and raised the dividend by 16%. Management noted a ~75% payout of earnings over the past three years. On regulation, management views the recent Basel proposals as an improvement over the prior version, expecting a neutral-to-modestly-positive capital impact, and welcomed early discussion of modernizing the tailoring framework and bank-category designations. It does not expect a material change to its capital-management approach near term.

    06

    Agentic commerce and AI strategy

    Management framed agentic commerce as a new era where AI agents transact autonomously, bringing added complexity and fraud risk that plays to AmEx's closed-loop network and end-to-end transaction data. Earlier in April, AmEx introduced the Amex Agentic Commerce Experiences (ACE) Developer Kit — enabling card integration into AI-powered transactions with declared intent matched to actual purchase — alongside Amex Agent purchase protection, an industry-first commitment to back registered agent purchases. More AI-powered products are slated for this year, including making membership assets discoverable/actionable on leading AI platforms. Internally, AI coding/testing tools are delivering about a 30% productivity benefit for programmers, freeing capacity for a large technology backlog.

    07

    Commercial product expansion

    AmEx announced a roadmap for its most significant one-year commercial product expansion in company history — 8 new/enhanced products, benefits and capabilities for U.S. businesses in 2026 — starting with the Graphite Business Cash Unlimited card and including a corporate cash-back card and expense-management software. The push targets the middle market and small-businesses transitioning to middle market, supported by the earlier Center acquisition and the recent HyperCard acquisition (expense-management expertise). Management expects the new products to be a tailwind mainly into 2027, as they take time to flow through the P&L, with no expected impact to the VCE ratio.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.