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    AZO
    Earnings call· May 2026(Q3 FY26)

    AUTOZONE Q3 FY26 earnings call AZO

    May 26, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    AutoZone Q3 FY26 — 8.4% sales growth on commercial acceleration and record store openings

    AutoZone's fastest sales acceleration in three years is a deliberate, capital-heavy share grab: a structurally underpenetrated commercial book compounding on Mega-Hub density and the highest store-opening pace in years, outrunning soft DIY traffic and a late-quarter cool-weather air pocket. Management frames moderating inflation as a headwind its initiatives can offset, while elevated LIFO drag and a soft international macro temper reported profitability.

    Highlights

    5
    • Total sales grew +8.4% to $4.8B, the largest increase in over 3 years, an acceleration from H1

    • Domestic commercial (DIFM) sales up +10.4% to $1.4B, with both national accounts and up-and-down-the-street customers growing double digits

    • Domestic same-store sales +4.1% and DIY comp +2.2% (accelerating from +1.5% in Q2), with continued market-share gains

    • Opened 82 stores globally in Q3 (14 Mega-Hubs, now 156); on track for ~365 openings in FY26 vs 305 in FY25, with new stores exceeding pro forma

    • Ex-LIFO EPS would have grown +12.5% and EBIT +11%; generated $455M free cash flow ($1.1B YTD) and repurchased $586M of stock

    Concerns

    6
    • Gross margin fell 57 bps to 52.2%, pressured by a $20M non-cash LIFO charge (77 bps) and commercial mix drag (~22 bps)

    • LIFO charges sharply elevated: $177M YTD and ~$207M expected for FY26 versus $64M last year

    • DIY same-store traffic declined -3.6%, a mid-3% decline for a second straight quarter amid consumer discretionary deferral

    • Final two weeks of the quarter softened to +1.3% comps as unseasonably cool, wet weather hit heat-related categories (AC, starting/charging)

    • International same-store sales grew only +1.6% constant currency on a soft Mexico macro; Q4 expected to stay in a similar range

    • Same-SKU inflation (>7%) and ticket growth set to moderate toward mid-4% in Q4 as prior-year tariff inflation laps

    Guidance & targets

    16
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year store openings
    ~365 stores globally
    high materiality
    High
    Q4 store openings
    ~160 stores globally
    medium materiality
    High
    Q4 domestic average ticket
    mid-4% range
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Q4 same-SKU inflation
    continues, ~4% range (more muted than Q3)
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Q4 LIFO charge
    ~$30M charge; -45 bps to gross margin; -$1.40 to EPS
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year LIFO charge
    ~$207M for FY26
    medium materiality
    High
    Q4 interest expense
    $152M
    low materiality
    High
    Q4 effective tax rate
    ~22% all in
    low materiality
    Medium
    Q4 foreign-exchange benefit
    ~$62M to revenue, $19M to EBIT, $0.78 to EPS
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Q4 SG&A growth (total and per store)
    similar range to Q3 (~3% per store)
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Q4 international same-store sales
    similar range to Q3 (~+1.6% constant currency)
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Q4 Mega-Hub openings
    ~15 Mega-Hubs; brings FY26 total to 38
    medium materiality
    High
    Capital expenditure
    ~$1.6B in FY26; similar amount in FY27
    high materiality
    High
    Mega-Hub full build-out target
    ~300 Mega-Hubs (possibly higher); at least 40 opened in FY27
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Q4 gross margin dynamics
    solid, similar dynamics; more commercial mix drag to offset
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Sustainable comparable-sales level
    ~4%+ or better over time
    medium materiality
    Low

    Segment performance

    3
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Domestic Commercial (DIFM)
    Double-digit growth driven by improved satellite-store inventory availability, Hub/Mega-Hub coverage, Duralast brand strength and faster delivery; both national accounts and up-and-down-the-street customers grew double digits. Management's #1 growth priority given under-penetration.
    Share of domestic auto parts sales: just under 34%Share of total company sales: 29%Average weekly sales per program: $18,500 (+4.5% YoY)Total programs: 6,356 (46 net new opened)Commercial program penetration: 94% of domestic storesAverage transaction growth: +2%Same-SKU inflation: north of +7%Average ticket growth: ~+6%4-week cadence: +12.7% / +9.1% / +9.6%Estimated commercial market share: ~5%
    $1.4B+10.4%
    Domestic DIY (Retail)
    Comp accelerated on share gains and solid execution, with a marginal benefit from a stronger income-tax-refund season; the weakest final four-week segment reflected cool, wet weather in normally warmer markets hitting AC, starting and charging categories. Aging car park and weak new/used car market cited as durable tailwinds.
    DIY comp: +2.2% (accelerating from +1.5% in Q2)Average ticket: +5.6%Traffic/transaction count: -3.6%Same-SKU inflation: north of +7%4-week comp cadence: +2.4% / +3.4% / +0.8%
    +2.2%
    International (Mexico & Brazil)
    Growth slowed on a soft Mexican macro; management continued to gain share and manage the P&L, expects a similar Q4, and anticipates reacceleration when economies improve. Returns on capital described as strong even at slower sales growth.
    FX benefit to comp: 1,490 bps (peso strengthened ~13%)Total international stores: 1,090Mexico stores: 933 (20 opened in Q3)Brazil stores: 157 (5 opened in Q3)International share of total store base: ~14%
    +1.6% constant currency (+16.6% unadjusted)

    Operational metrics

    11
    Total sales growth
    +8.4%acceleration from H1; largest increase in over 3 years
    Q3 FY26

    Reflects accelerating commercial growth and record store openings.

    Adjusted EPS growth (ex-LIFO)
    +12.5%vs reported diluted EPS growth of +7.7%
    Q3 FY26

    Non-GAAP; LIFO comparison swing depressed reported EPS growth.

    Adjusted EBIT growth (ex-LIFO)
    +11%vs reported EBIT growth of +6.6%
    Q3 FY26

    Underlying operating leverage stronger than reported once LIFO swing is removed.

    LIFO charge
    $20Mvs $16M LIFO credit in Q3 FY25 (77 bps unfavorable GM comparison)
    Q3 FY26

    Elevated by higher costs impacting LIFO layers; full-year ~$207M expected vs $64M last year.

    Foreign-exchange impact
    $74M revenue / $20M EBIT / $0.83 EPS tailwindpeso strengthened ~13% vs USD YoY
    Q3 FY26

    Mexico peso strength lifted reported (unadjusted) international comps and consolidated results.

    Average weekly sales per commercial program
    $18,500+4.5% YoY
    Q3 FY26

    Commercial program productivity metric; Mega-Hubs outpace the blended average.

    Mega-Hub store count
    15614 opened in Q3
    Q3 FY26

    Central to commercial growth; newer cohort opens hotter on a stronger commercial base and more direct-to-customer utilization.

    Leverage ratio
    2.5x
    Q3 FY26

    Balance sheet supports continued buybacks and reinvestment.

    Share repurchase authorization remaining
    $800M$586M of stock repurchased in the quarter
    Q3 FY26

    Disciplined capital-return program alongside reinvestment; per spec, executed dollar noted as comparison.

    Diluted share count reduction
    -2.1%diluted share count 16.9M
    Q3 FY26

    Lower share count combined with higher net income drove EPS growth.

    Effective tax rate
    21.1%vs 19.4% in Q3 FY25
    Q3 FY26

    Higher all-in rate mainly due to smaller stock-option exercise benefit; Q4 modeled at ~22%.

    Industry KPIs

    8
    MetricValueDetails
    Sg a OPEX ratioSG&A +7.6%; leveraged 25 bps%
    Comparable sales+3.9% total company (constant currency); +4.1% domestic%
    Store count growth7,856 total storesstores
    Gross margin driversGross margin 52.2%, -57 bps YoYbps
    Pro vs diy performanceCommercial (DIFM) +10.4% vs DIY +2.2%%
    Inventory position markdown riskInventory per store +6% YoY; total inventory +10.8% YoY%
    Same sku like for like inflationjust north of +7%%
    Distribution supply chain cost economicsSupply-chain productivity improving (qualitative)

    Risks & headwinds

    6
    Weather-driven demand softness in heat-related categoriesLate Q3 / early Q4 FY26

    Last two weeks of Q3 decelerated to +1.3% comps (vs +2.9% final four-week segment); cool, wet May

    Mitigation: Management expects a normal-to-hotter summer to restore AC, starting and charging demand; says they are well prepared with inventory.

    DIY consumer deferral and traffic weaknessQ3 FY26, ongoing

    Domestic DIY traffic -3.6% (second consecutive quarter down in the mid-3% range, a 'three handle')

    Mitigation: Share gains, comp waterfall from new stores, aging car park tailwind; expects transaction improvement as the initial inflation-deferral cycle laps in Q4.

    Elevated LIFO charges compressing marginsFY26

    $20M charge in Q3 (77 bps GM), $177M YTD, ~$207M expected for FY26 vs $64M in FY25; ~$30M planned in Q4

    Mitigation: Non-cash; underlying ex-LIFO gross margin up 20 bps; managed via pricing and merchandise-margin gains.

    Soft international macro (Mexico)Q3-Q4 FY26

    International SSS +1.6% constant currency; Q4 expected in a similar range

    Mitigation: Managing P&L to the environment, continuing to gain share and invest in stores/DCs; expects reacceleration when economies improve.

    Inflation moderation and input-cost/tariff pressureQ4 FY26 and into FY27

    Same-SKU inflation >7% moderating to ~4% ticket in Q4; steel/auto-parts tariffs and resin/energy cost pressure cited

    Mitigation: Lapping prior-year tariff ramp; managing supplier costs and pricing; describes situation as fluid but manageable.

    Commercial mix drag on gross marginQ3-Q4 FY26

    ~22 bps gross-margin drag from faster-growing commercial mix in Q3; expected to increase modestly in Q4

    Mitigation: Offset by merchandise margin gains, improving shrink and supply-chain productivity (~42 bps of improvement in Q3).

    Q&A highlights

    8

    How does second-half FY26 same-SKU inflation look, and could supply concerns around lubricants push it higher than expected?

    Phil said inflation and ticket rates should be more muted than Q3, in roughly the 4% range, with same-SKU inflation continuing into Q4. On lubricants he deferred to oil specialists, expecting some constraints but nothing material.

    We think there's probably going to be some constraints, but we don't think that it's going to be that material.

    asked by Bret Jordan · answered by Philip Daniele

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Sales acceleration led by commercial

    Total sales grew +8.4% to $4.8B, the strongest increase in over three years and an acceleration from the first half. Domestic same-store sales were +4.1%, with domestic commercial (DIFM) up +10.4% to $1.4B and DIY up +2.2%. Commercial now represents just under 34% of domestic auto parts sales and 29% of total company sales. Both national accounts and up-and-down-the-street customers grew double digits, and management stressed AutoZone is still under-penetrated at roughly 5% commercial market share.

    02

    Intra-quarter cadence and weather softness

    Domestic comps ran +5.0% in the first four weeks, +4.5% in the second, and +2.9% in the final four-week segment, with the last two weeks decelerating to +1.3%. Management attributed the slowdown to unseasonably cool, wet weather that suppressed heat-related categories such as air conditioning, starting and charging, affecting both DIY and commercial. They expressed confidence that a normal-to-hotter summer would restore category demand and pointed to a strong prior winter as a positive setup.

    03

    Mega-Hub and store-growth strategy

    AutoZone opened 82 stores globally (ending at 7,856), including 14 Mega-Hubs to reach 156, and is on track for ~365 openings in FY26 versus 305 last year. Mega-Hubs carry over 100,000 SKUs and are driving outsized sales lift; the pipeline holds 100+ locations toward a ~300 target (possibly higher), with at least 40 planned in FY27. Management said newer Mega-Hubs come 'out of the gate much hotter' thanks to a stronger commercial base and more direct-to-customer utilization, and that new stores are exceeding pro forma on both DIY and commercial.

    04

    Margins, LIFO and cost discipline

    Gross margin was 52.2%, down 57 bps, hurt by a $20M non-cash LIFO charge (77 bps); excluding LIFO, gross margin rose 20 bps as ~42 bps of underlying improvement offset ~22 bps of commercial mix drag, aided by positive merchandise margins, improving shrink and supply-chain productivity. SG&A leveraged 25 bps on +7.6% growth (+3% per store). LIFO charges are running far above prior year — $177M YTD, ~$207M expected for FY26 versus $64M — as higher costs pressure LIFO layers.

    05

    Inflation, tariffs and DIY deferral

    Like-for-like same-SKU inflation ran just north of +7% for both DIY and commercial, with DIY ticket +5.6% (the gap versus inflation reflecting product mix) and commercial ticket ~+6%. Management expects ticket to moderate to the mid-4% range in Q4 as the prior-year tariff-inflation ramp laps. DIY traffic fell -3.6% (a second straight mid-3% decline), which management tied to consumer deferral; they see room for transaction improvement as the initial deferral cycle laps and share gains continue.

    06

    International and capital allocation

    International same-store sales grew +1.6% constant currency (+16.6% unadjusted, with a 1,490 bps FX tailwind) across 1,090 stores (933 Mexico, 157 Brazil), pressured by a soft Mexican macro; management expects a similar Q4 and a reacceleration when economies improve, citing strong returns on capital. The company invested nearly $1.6B in CapEx (similar planned for FY27), repurchased $586M of stock with $800M remaining on authorization, generated $455M of free cash flow ($1.1B YTD), and finished at 2.5x EBITDAR leverage.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.