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    BKNG
    Earnings call· Mar 2026(Q1 FY26)

    Booking Holdings Q1 FY26 earnings call BKNG

    Apr 28, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Booking Holdings Q1 FY26 — Solid execution absorbs ~2pt Middle East conflict drag

    A resilient quarter absorbed the late-February Middle East conflict drag, yet underlying execution held: U.S. room-night growth accelerated a fourth straight quarter and Connected Trip cross-vertical adoption deepened. Management framed the disruption as transient — pointing to prior crises that reversed — leaned into GenAI and Genius as structural levers, and trimmed full-year guidance at the midpoint while preserving the high end and its record pace of capital return.

    Highlights

    5
    • Room nights of 338 million, +6% YoY (would have been ~8% excluding the Middle East conflict), in line with prior expectations

    • Gross bookings $53.8B (+15% YoY, +8% constant currency); revenue $5.5B (+16%, +10% CC); adjusted EBITDA ~$1.3B (+19%, exceeded high end of guidance); adjusted EPS $1.14 (+14%)

    • U.S. room-night growth accelerated a fourth consecutive quarter to low teens (driven by domestic demand), with U.S. Booking.com direct channel up double digits — taking share versus a far-lower market

    • Connected Trip transactions grew high teens (~3x Booking.com's total transaction growth); airline tickets +28% and attractions +25% YoY

    • Record $3.6B of quarterly share repurchases (company's highest ever), part of ~$4B total capital return; share count reduced >40% since 2014 at an average $93/share

    Concerns

    5
    • Middle East conflict (started late February) cut ~2 percentage points from Q1 room-night and gross-bookings growth; March room-night growth slowed to just 1% (~6pt conflict drag, split evenly between reduced bookings and elevated cancellations)

    • Rest of World (incl. Middle East) room nights down low single digits; ME bookers ~4% of 2025 room nights, ~7% including inbound travel

    • Full-year 2026 guidance lowered at the midpoint; Q2 room-night growth guided to just 2%-4% with an estimated ~3pt ME headwind and ADRs assumed slightly down

    • Marketing expense deleveraged ~4 bps to 3.8% of gross bookings as paid-channel bookings were subsequently cancelled (ex-conflict would have leveraged)

    • Adjusted EPS growth (14%) trailed EBITDA growth (19%) on a higher tax rate from discrete items

    Guidance & targets

    17
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Q2 2026 room night growth
    2% to 4%
    high materiality
    Medium
    Q2 2026 gross bookings growth
    4% to 6%
    high materiality
    Medium
    Q2 2026 revenue growth
    4% to 6%
    high materiality
    Medium
    Q2 2026 adjusted EBITDA growth
    4% to 6%
    high materiality
    Medium
    Q2 2026 FX impact on reported growth
    ~+2 percentage points
    low materiality
    Medium
    Full-year 2026 gross bookings growth (reported)
    High single digits to low double digits
    high materiality
    Medium
    Full-year 2026 revenue growth (reported)
    High single digits
    high materiality
    Medium
    Full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA growth (reported)
    Slightly faster than revenue
    high materiality
    Medium
    Full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA margin expansion
    0 to 25 basis points
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Full-year 2026 adjusted EPS growth
    Low to mid-teens
    high materiality
    Medium
    Full-year 2026 FX impact on reported growth
    ~+2pt gross bookings, ~+1.5pt revenue, ~+1pt adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS
    low materiality
    Medium
    Full-year 2026 sales and other expenses as % of gross bookings
    Flat year-over-year
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Q2 2026 accommodation ADRs
    Slightly down
    medium materiality
    Low
    2026 transformation program in-year savings
    $500M to $550M
    medium materiality
    High
    Long-term constant-currency gross bookings growth ambition
    At least 8%
    high materiality
    Medium
    Long-term constant-currency revenue growth ambition
    8%
    high materiality
    Medium
    Long-term adjusted EPS growth ambition
    15%
    high materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    4
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    United States (booker region)
    Driven primarily by domestic travel; growth well above the overall U.S. accommodations market, implying share gains. Strength across accommodations, flights, cars and packages.
    U.S. Booking.com direct channel growth: double digitsAcceleration streak: 4th consecutive quarterHigh-end demand: strong; lower-end: improvingLower-end booking window: stable; ADRs: flat (vs. prior declines); trips slightly shorter
    Low teens (room nights)
    Europe (booker region)
    Includes the conflict's drag on European bookers traveling to the Middle East and Asia. Europe cited as the world's largest travel market.
    Intra-European demand (European bookers within region): high single digits (consistent with Q4 2025)
    Mid-single digits (room nights)
    Asia (booker region)
    Includes the conflict's drag on Asian bookers traveling to the Middle East and Europe. Framed as the world's fastest-growing travel market; localized via Booking.com + Agoda.
    Intra-Asia demand (Asian bookers within region): low double digits (similar to Q4 2025)
    High single digits (room nights)
    Rest of World incl. Middle East (booker region)
    Most directly impacted by the conflict, with elevated cancellations and moderated new bookings, especially in March.
    Middle East bookers (incl. Turkey, Egypt): ~4% of 2025 global room nightsMiddle East incl. inbound travel: ~7% of 2025 global room nights
    Down low single digits (room nights)

    Operational metrics

    15
    Adjusted EBITDA
    ~$1.3B+19% YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Non-GAAP; exceeded the high end of guidance.

    Adjusted EPS
    $1.14+14% YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Higher tax rate driven by discrete items.

    Merchant gross bookings
    +24% YoY+24% YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Merchant payments platform adds incremental revenue and contribution-margin dollars and enables the Connected Trip.

    Airline tickets
    +28% YoY+28% YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Driven by continued growth at Booking.com and Agoda; part of the other-travel-verticals strength despite the conflict.

    Attractions tickets
    ~+25% YoY~+25% YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Driven by continued growth at Booking.com and Agoda.

    Connected Trip transactions
    High teens % growth~3x Booking.com's total transaction growth
    Q1 FY26

    Trips spanning more than one vertical; multi-vertical bookers return more frequently.

    Alternative accommodation room-night mix
    ~38% of Booking.com room nightsup ~1 ppt YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Also impacted by the Middle East situation.

    Marketing expense ratio
    3.8% of gross bookings+4 bps YoY (spend +16% YoY)
    Q1 FY26

    Highly variable expense line.

    Adjusted sales and other expenses ratio
    1.5% of gross bookingsSimilar to last year
    Q1 FY26

    Despite an increase in merchant mix.

    Adjusted fixed operating expenses
    +14% YoYLow single digits growth on constant-currency basis normalized
    Q1 FY26

    A source of leverage as a percentage of revenue.

    Transformation program cost
    $25M
    Q1 FY26

    In-year savings goal of $500M-$550M for 2026 remains on track.

    Share repurchases
    $3.6B executedHighest quarterly repurchase in company history
    Q1 FY26

    Part of ~$4B of total capital return in the quarter; remaining authorization not stated.

    Cash dividend
    $343M
    Q1 FY26

    Quarterly cash dividend, part of ~$4B total capital return.

    Cash and investments balance
    $16.5BDown from $17.8B at Q4 2025-end
    End of Q1 FY26

    Ample liquidity and strong FCF profile; targeted cost actions begun given macro uncertainty.

    Customer service cost per booking (Agoda)
    Double-digit % reduction YoYDouble-digit YoY reduction
    Q1 FY26

    Example of AI-driven internal efficiency; cited as an area of notable opportunity.

    Industry KPIs

    3
    MetricValueDetails
    Take rate monetization10.3% (revenue as % of gross bookings)% of gross bookings
    Gross bookings value room nightsGross bookings $53.8B; room nights 338 million$B / million room nights
    Loyalty program members tier mixGenius Level 2 & 3 members >30% of active base; high-50% share of room nights%

    Product announcements

    5
    ProductTypeDetails
    Penny (Priceline AI agent)update
    Booking.com Smart filters and natural-language searchexpansion
    Booking.com agentic service flowsupdate
    OpenTable AI conciergeexpansion
    Genius loyalty program enhancementroadmap

    Deals & partnerships

    1
    OpenAI, Google, Anthropic, AmazonAI partnership (frontier LLM / demand-source relationships)

    Relationships with leading AI organizations to remain at the forefront as GenAI reshapes travel discovery and planning; includes a recent 'Claude Live' advertisement placement (Anthropic).

    Risks & headwinds

    8
    Middle East conflict impact on travel demand and cancellationsAssumed to continue through end of June (~4 months / one-third of 2026), then recovery in H2

    ~2pt drag on Q1 room-night and gross-bookings growth (room nights would have been ~8% vs. 6%); March room-night growth 1% with ~6pt conflict drag; ~3pt assumed Q2 headwind; ME bookers ~4% (≈7% incl. inbound) of 2025 global room nights; Rest of World down low single digits

    Mitigation: Assumed in Q2/FY guidance; targeted cost management (discretionary spend, recalibrated BAU hiring) while protecting strategic investment; management cites prior crises that reversed

    Transit-corridor disruption (Europe-Asia)Through end of June (guidance assumption)

    Not separately quantified; contributed to impact felt outside the ME region

    Mitigation: Included in guidance assumptions

    ADR pressure from the conflictQ2 FY26

    ADRs assumed slightly down in Q2 (vs. +~1% CC in Q1)

    Mitigation: Reflected in Q2 guidance

    Marketing deleverage from cancelled paid-channel bookingsQ1 FY26 (concentrated in March)

    Marketing +4 bps to 3.8% of gross bookings; would have leveraged excluding the conflict

    Mitigation: March expected to be the peak of cancellations; improved marketing efficiencies underlying

    Broader macro/inflationary spillover (jet fuel, airline capacity cuts, traveler sentiment)Potential if disruption is sustained

    Not quantified; explicitly NOT included in guidance assumptions

    Mitigation: Monitoring closely; excluded from guidance because harder to estimate

    Higher effective tax rateQ1 FY26

    Not quantified (discrete items); caused adjusted EPS growth (14%) to trail EBITDA growth (19%)

    Mitigation: Partly offset by 4% lower average share count

    Continued SEO traffic declinesOngoing

    Not quantified; described as a small contributor to the overall direct channel

    Mitigation: Offset by continued growth in direct bookers; investing in brand, product and app/loyalty direct-booking rates

    AI/privacy/payments regulatory constraints on scaling agentic productsOngoing (notably Europe)

    Not quantified

    Mitigation: Disciplined test-and-verify rollout ensuring compliance with AI, privacy and payments rules

    Q&A highlights

    5

    How large is the Q2 impact on a like-for-like basis versus the ~200bps in Q1, and are consumers outside the region showing caution or is it mainly disruptive effects (flight corridors, cancellations)?

    Ewout quantified a ~3-point Q2 headwind (add 3 points to the 2%-4% room-night range for a normalized view), assuming the situation persists the full quarter; assumptions include ME inbound/outbound/intra-regional travel, Europe-Asia corridors, and slightly lower ADRs. He stressed full-year guidance remains solid with gross bookings and EPS high ends still at original 2026 levels. Glenn added that the crisis will end and travel will normalize, citing prior crises (9/11, financial crisis, Iceland volcano, pandemic, Russia-Ukraine, Israel-Hamas), and that sentiment varies sharply by geography.

    in terms of the headwind from a numbers perspective, approximately 3 points of headwind in the second quarter.

    asked by Kevin Kopelman · answered by Ewout Steenbergen

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Middle East conflict — quantified drag and recovery assumption

    The conflict, which began at the end of February, cut room-night and gross-bookings growth by ~2 percentage points in Q1 (room nights would have grown ~8% versus reported 6%), with a slightly lower impact on revenue and a higher impact on adjusted EBITDA. March was the epicenter: room-night growth slowed to 1% against a ~6pt conflict drag, roughly half from reduced bookings and half from elevated cancellations (historically highest in the first month of a conflict). Impact spread beyond the region into transit corridors such as Europe-Asia. Management assumes the direct and indirect impact persists through end of June (~4 months, one-third of the year), followed by a second-half recovery, and quantified the Q2 headwind at ~3 points.

    02

    U.S. acceleration and direct-channel momentum

    U.S. room-night growth accelerated for a fourth consecutive quarter to low teens, driven primarily by strong domestic demand and well above the far-lower overall U.S. accommodations market — indicating share gains. The Booking.com U.S. direct channel grew double digits, the product of a multiyear investment in product, brand and supply. Strength extended beyond accommodations into flights, cars and packages, evidencing Connected Trip traction. Company-wide B2C direct mix held steady in the mid-60% range (consistent YoY), sustained by direct-booker growth but offset by the ME (which historically skews high-direct) and continued, small SEO-traffic declines.

    03

    Asia growth and localization strategy

    Asia posted high-single-digit room-night growth, with intra-Asia demand up low double digits (similar to Q4 2025). Management stressed Asia is a collection of distinct markets, addressed via a global Booking.com playbook combined with Agoda's localized expertise — adapting product, payments and go-to-market to each market and building relationships with independent and traditional supply (ryokans in Japan; independents across Indonesia, India, Vietnam). Distribution increasingly runs through social/messaging platforms: KakaoTalk (Korea), LINE (Thailand, Taiwan) and WhatsApp (India).

    04

    Connected Trip and Genius loyalty

    Connected transactions (trips spanning more than one vertical) grew high teens — about 3x Booking.com's total transaction growth — and reached a low-double-digit percentage of Booking.com's transactions; such multi-vertical bookers return more frequently. Genius delivers point-of-booking benefits (tiered discounts, free breakfast, room upgrades). Over the trailing four quarters, Level 2 and 3 members were over 30% of the active base and a high-50% share of room nights (up YoY), with mobile-app mix of total room nights also in the high-50% range (up from mid-50%). Management flagged an initiative to further strengthen Genius this year, tying it more tightly to the Connected Trip.

    05

    GenAI across brands and internal efficiency

    AI is being deployed for traveler-facing experiences, partner tools and internal efficiency. Priceline's Penny is evolving into an end-to-end conversational agent with a dynamic travel map, personalization and direct in-agent booking; early small-sample tests show a conversion uplift and better secondary metrics (faster search, shorter path to booking, lower cancellations, higher satisfaction). Booking.com is rolling out natural-language search and globally launched Smart filters in accommodations (now testing in cars). OpenTable is extending its AI concierge into discovery plus voice-enabled reservations and table-turnover tools. Agoda cut customer-service cost per booking by a double-digit percentage via AI automation. Management partners with OpenAI, Google, Anthropic and Amazon and views AI as expanding travel TAM, not a threat.

    06

    Capital allocation and balance sheet

    Q1 saw a record $3.6B of share repurchases (highest quarterly total ever) plus a $343M cash dividend and an additional $355M repurchased to satisfy employee withholding taxes — ~$4B of total capital return. Since 2014 the share count is down over 40% (even after SBC dilution) at an average $93/share. Ending cash and investments were $16.5B, down from $17.8B at Q4-end, as capital return was partly offset by ~$3.1B of free cash flow (aided by ~$1.9B of seasonal working-capital benefit from the deferred merchant bookings balance). Given macro uncertainty🌐, management has begun targeted cost actions — tighter discretionary spend and recalibrated BAU hiring — while protecting strategic investment.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.