Skip to content
    BKNG
    Earnings call· Dec 2025(Q4 FY25)

    Booking Holdings Q4 FY25 earnings call BKNG

    Feb 18, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Booking Holdings Q4 FY25 — Strong Growth and Strategic Reinvestments

    Booking Holdings delivered a strong Q4 FY25, exceeding expectations with robust room night and gross bookings growth, driven by resilient travel demand and strategic investments. The company continues to prioritize AI innovation, its Connected Trip vision, and growth in Asia and the US, while leveraging its Transformation Program for significant cost savings. Looking ahead, Booking Holdings aims for accelerated top-line growth and continued margin expansion in 2026, supported by strategic reinvestments and a commitment to shareholder returns.

    Highlights

    5
    • Q4 room nights reached $285 million, a 9% year-over-year increase, exceeding expectations.

    • Full year 2025 adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by 193 basis points to 36.9%.

    • Transformation Program achieved $550 million in annual run rate savings by year-end 2025, meeting the high end of prior guidance.

    • Full year 2025 adjusted EPS grew 22% year-over-year, aided by a 4% reduction in average share count.

    • Board approved a 9.4% increase to the quarterly cash dividend to $10.50 per share and a 25-for-1 stock split.

    Concerns

    3
    • Q4 U.S. accommodation ADRs and length of stay were slightly lower year-over-year, indicating thoughtful discretionary spending by some consumer segments.

    • Marketing expense as a percentage of gross bookings was 24 basis points higher year-over-year in Q4 2025.

    • Q1 2026 adjusted EBITDA growth guidance of 10-14% is lower than reported revenue/gross bookings growth due to a $53 million one-time benefit in Q1 2025.

    Guidance & targets

    19
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year 2026 constant currency gross bookings growth
    ~9%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 constant currency revenue growth
    ~9%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 constant currency adjusted EPS growth
    ~15%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA margin expansion
    ~50 basis points
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 reported gross bookings growth
    low double digits
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 reported revenue growth
    low double digits
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 reported adjusted EBITDA growth
    faster than revenue
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 reported adjusted EPS growth
    mid-teens
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 sales and other expenses as a percentage of gross bookings
    flat year-over-year
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Transformation Program in-year savings
    $500 million to $550 million
    high materiality
    High
    Strategic reinvestments
    $700 million
    high materiality
    High
    Incremental revenue from strategic reinvestments
    $400 million
    high materiality
    High
    Net impact of reinvestments on adjusted EBITDA
    $300 million
    high materiality
    High
    Q1 2026 room night growth
    5% and 7%
    high materiality
    High
    Q1 2026 gross bookings growth
    14% and 16%
    high materiality
    High
    Q1 2026 constant currency accommodation ADRs
    about in line with last year
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Q1 2026 revenue growth
    14% and 16%
    high materiality
    High
    Q1 2026 adjusted EBITDA growth
    10% and 14%
    high materiality
    High
    Q1 2026 normalized adjusted EBITDA growth
    about 20%
    high materiality
    High

    Operational metrics

    57
    Room nights
    $285 million9% YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Exceeded the high end of expectations.

    Gross bookings growth
    16%YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Exceeded the high end of guidance by ~3 percentage points.

    Revenue growth
    16%YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Exceeded the high end of guidance by ~4 percentage points, slightly higher than gross bookings due to higher payments revenue.

    Adjusted EBITDA
    $2.2 billion19% YoY
    Q4 FY25

    About 5 percentage points faster than the high end of guidance due to stronger-than-expected revenue growth.

    Adjusted EPS
    $48.8017% YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Lower than adjusted EBITDA growth due to a higher tax rate, partially offset by a 3% lower average share count.

    FX benefit to Q4 growth rates
    ~500
    Q4 FY25

    Benefited gross bookings, revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and EPS growth rates.

    Marketing expense as % of gross bookings
    24higher YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Due to opportunities for incremental demand at attractive ROIs in traditional performance marketing and higher brand marketing expenses.

    Adjusted fixed operating expenses growth
    10%YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Source of year-over-year leverage.

    Transformation Program in-quarter savings
    $130 million
    Q4 FY25

    Primarily in sales and other expenses and personnel expenses.

    Transformation costs
    $30 million
    Q4 FY25

    Excluded from adjusted results.

    Cash and investments balance
    $17.8 billionup vs Q3 FY25 ($17.2B)
    End of Q4 FY25

    Due to $1.7 billion debt raised and $1.4 billion FCF, partially offset by $2.4 billion capital return.

    Debt raised
    $1.7 billion
    Q4 FY25

    Raised in November.

    Capital returned
    $2.4 billion
    Q4 FY25

    Highest amount of capital return in a quarter since 2023.

    Room nights
    >$1.2 billion8% YoY
    Full Year 2025

    Strong top line growth.

    Gross bookings growth
    12%YoY
    Full Year 2025

    Exceeded long-term ambition of 8%.

    Revenue growth
    13%YoY
    Full Year 2025

    Exceeded long-term ambition of 8%.

    Adjusted EBITDA
    >$9.9 billion20% YoY
    Full Year 2025

    Grew faster than top line metrics.

    Adjusted EBITDA margin
    36.9%193 bps YoY
    Full Year 2025

    Underscores ability to deliver profitable growth and margin expansion.

    Adjusted EPS
    >$228 per share22% YoY
    Full Year 2025

    Aided by 4% lower average share count.

    FX benefit to FY growth rates
    ~200
    Full Year 2025

    Benefited full year growth rates.

    Average share count reduction
    4%YoY
    Full Year 2025

    Helped adjusted EPS growth.

    Connected Trip transactions growth
    high 20%
    Full Year 2025

    Meaningful progress on Connected Trip vision.

    Connected Trip transactions as % of Booking.com total
    low double-digit percentage
    Full Year 2025

    Represents transactions where customers book more than one vertical.

    Airline tickets booked
    68 million37% YoY
    Full Year 2025

    Across platforms, an important component of Connected Trips.

    Airline tickets gross bookings
    $16.8 billion
    Full Year 2025

    Generated from airline tickets booked.

    Genius Level 2 & 3 travelers as % of active base
    >30%
    2025

    Genius members book more frequently and return more consistently.

    Genius Level 2 & 3 travelers share of room nights
    high 50%up from previous year
    2025

    These travelers have a meaningfully higher direct booking rate.

    Asia room night growth
    low double digits
    Full Year 2025

    Achieved through disciplined execution and balancing growth with profitability.

    U.S. room night growth (H1)
    low single digits
    H1 2025

    Accelerated in the second half of the year.

    U.S. room night growth (Q4)
    low double digits
    Q4 2025

    Strong acceleration from H1.

    Bookers from Europe as % of room nights
    ~50%similar to 2024
    Full Year 2025

    Regional mix of bookers.

    Bookers from Asia as % of room nights
    ~25%
    Full Year 2025

    Regional mix of bookers.

    Bookers from U.S. as % of room nights
    low double-digit percentage
    Full Year 2025

    Regional mix of bookers.

    B2C direct mix
    mid-60%similar to 2024
    Full Year 2025

    Reflects efforts to strengthen direct relationship with travelers.

    Mobile app mix of room nights
    mid-50%up from low 50% in 2024
    Full Year 2025

    Significant majority of mobile app bookings come through the direct channel.

    Alternative accommodation room night growth
    ~10%
    Full Year 2025

    Progress across key growth areas.

    Global mix of alternative accommodation room nights
    ~36%up 1% from 2024
    Full Year 2025

    Travelers value the optionality to choose between accommodation types.

    Merchant gross bookings
    $130 billion25% YoY
    Full Year 2025

    Merchant payments platform is a core enabler of the connected trip vision.

    Merchant gross bookings as % of total gross bookings
    ~70%up from ~63% in 2024
    Full Year 2025

    Reflects increasing merchant mix.

    Attraction tickets booked growth
    nearly 80%YoY
    Full Year 2025

    From a relatively smaller base, reflecting progress on connected trip vision.

    Revenue as % of gross bookings
    14.5%up slightly vs 14.3% in 2024
    Full Year 2025

    Underlying accommodation take rates continue to be stable.

    Marketing as % of gross bookings
    4.4%similar to 2024
    Full Year 2025

    Growth in direct channel offset by investments in performance marketing and social media.

    Marketing and merchandising as % of gross bookings
    5.5%similar to 2024
    Full Year 2025

    Combined metric.

    Customer service costs
    decreaseYoY
    Full Year 2025

    Due to accelerated integration of generative AI, despite double-digit growth in gross bookings and revenue.

    Adjusted fixed operating expenses growth
    7%YoY
    Full Year 2025

    Substantial source of operating leverage due to disciplined actions.

    Transformation Program in-year savings
    $250 million
    Full Year 2025

    Well ahead of commitment of $150 million at start of year.

    Reinvestments above baseline
    $170 million
    Full Year 2025

    Into key strategic priorities like GenAI, Connected Trip, fintech, advertising, OpenTable, Asia, and U.S. growth.

    Total capital returned to shareholders
    $8.2 billion
    Full Year 2025

    Includes share repurchases and dividends.

    Share repurchases
    $5.9 billion
    Full Year 2025

    Part of capital return program.

    Dividends paid
    $1.2 billion
    Full Year 2025

    Through quarterly cash dividend program.

    Utilized to settle convertible notes
    $1.1 billion
    Full Year 2025

    To avoid dilution from settlement in stock.

    Stock repurchased since early 2022
    $29 billion
    Since early 2022

    Following pandemic-related pause.

    Share count reduction
    22%
    Since early 2022

    Net of dilutive effect of stock-based compensation.

    Quarterly cash dividend per share
    $10.509.4% increase
    Ongoing

    Approved by Board of Directors.

    Alternative accommodation listings
    8.6 million~8% YoY
    FY25

    Healthy growth in supply.

    FY26 FX positive impact on reported growth
    ~2.5%
    Full Year 2026

    Assumes recent FX rates for the remainder of the year.

    Q1 2026 FX positive impact on reported growth
    ~7%
    Q1 2026

    Estimated impact on reported growth rates.

    Industry KPIs

    6
    MetricValueDetails
    Comparable sales comps9%%
    Take rate monetization14.5%%
    Gross bookings value room nights16%%
    Loyalty program members tier mix>30%%
    Group booking pace booking windowexpanded
    Net unit growth development pipeline8.6 millionlistings

    Product announcements

    2
    ProductTypeDetails
    Stock Splitlaunch
    Quarterly Cash Dividendupdate

    Risks & headwinds

    2
    Consumer discretionary spending sensitivityQ4 FY25

    Q4 U.S. accommodation ADRs and length of stay slightly lower year-over-year

    Prior year one-time benefits impacting Q1 2026 EBITDA growth comparisonQ1 2026

    $53 million in one-time benefits in Q1 2025

    Mitigation: Management provided normalized Q1 2026 adjusted EBITDA growth guidance of ~20% at the high end.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    Why the marketing spend deleverage in Q4 2025 and will it continue in 2026?

    Glenn Fogel explained the tactical approach of investing when attractive opportunities arise for long-term value, enabled by savings elsewhere. Ewout Steenbergen added that Q4 marketing spend was driven by attractive ROIs in traditional performance marketing, a 13% increase in social media investments, and higher brand marketing spend. Despite deleverage, Q4 saw 19% EBITDA growth and 80 bps margin expansion. For 2026, the aim is marketing leverage unless opportunistic moments arise.

    You know I always talk about look for the long term, and that's what we're doing here. It's especially nice -- you can do it if you're saving money in other places.

    asked by Mark Stephen Mahaney · answered by Glenn Fogel

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    AI and Innovation Driving Experience Enhancements

    Booking Holdings has been an early adopter of AI for over a decade, now leveraging generative AI to enhance both traveler and partner experiences. In 2025, the company focused on rolling out agentic capabilities across its brands to improve discovery, planning, booking, and support, extending these to other verticals and incorporating voice functionality. For 2026, the strategy is to further connect these capabilities for a unified, personalized experience, collaborating with leading AI companies like OpenAI, Google, Microsoft, and Amazon. Early metrics show encouraging results, including increased engagement, faster search, better conversion, and improved customer satisfaction, alongside significant efficiency gains in customer service, leading to a 10% decline in cost per booking.

    02

    Advancing the Connected Trip Vision and Loyalty Programs

    The company continues to make measurable progress on its Connected Trip strategy, aiming to make the travel experience more personalized, seamless, and enjoyable. In 2025, Connected Trip transactions grew in the high 20% range and represented a low double-digit percentage of Booking.com's total transactions. Flights remain a critical component, with 68 million airline tickets booked across platforms, up 37% year-over-year, representing $16.8 billion in gross bookings. The Genius loyalty program is a cornerstone of this vision, with Level 2 and 3 members representing over 30% of the active base and accounting for a high 50% share of room nights in 2025, driving higher direct booking rates and frequency.

    03

    Strategic Growth in Asia and the U.S.

    Asia continues to be a key growth opportunity, with Booking Holdings achieving low double-digit room night growth in the region in 2025, leveraging the complementary strengths of Agoda's local presence and Booking.com's global reach. The U.S. market also demonstrated strong acceleration in room night growth, improving from low single digits in the first half of 2025 to low double digits in the fourth quarter, supported by targeted investments in brands and performance marketing, as well as momentum in the B2B business. The company aims to grow faster than the market in Asia over time.

    04

    Robust Supplier Value Proposition and Operational Complexity

    Booking Holdings emphasizes its two-sided marketplace, where independent partners drive almost 90% of Booking.com's room nights. The company provides comprehensive technological capabilities, global marketing expertise, data-driven insights, and integrated payment solutions supporting over 100 payment methods and 50 currencies. Dedicated partner services teams work globally to ensure effective partnerships. Management highlighted the immense complexity of connecting with 4 million+ independent properties, managing dynamic inventory, and navigating extensive global regulations across 200+ countries, suggesting that large language models are unlikely to enter this operational domain and become merchants of record.

    05

    Transformation Program and Strategic Reinvestments

    The Transformation Program, launched in November 2024, successfully achieved $550 million in annual run rate savings by year-end 2025, meeting the high end of previous guidance. These savings, along with broader operational efficiencies, created capacity to reinvest $170 million above baseline in 2025 into strategic priorities such as GenAI, Connected Trip, fintech, and advertising. For 2026, the program is expected to deliver $500-$550 million in in-year savings, enabling $700 million in reinvestments for initiatives projected to contribute $400 million in incremental revenue, resulting in a net $300 million impact to adjusted EBITDA.

    06

    Strong Free Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns

    Booking Holdings generated $9.1 billion in free cash flow in 2025, marking a 15% increase from 2024. The company returned a total of $8.2 billion to shareholders in 2025, including $5.9 billion in share repurchases and $1.2 billion through its quarterly cash dividend program. Since restarting its repurchase program in early 2022, the company has repurchased $29 billion in stock, leading to a 22% reduction in share count. The Board approved a 9.4% increase to the quarterly cash dividend, raising it to $10.50 per share, and authorized a 25-for-1 stock split effective April 2, 2026.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.