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    BKR
    Earnings call· Dec 2025(Q4 FY25)

    Baker Hughes Co BKR

    Jan 26, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Baker Hughes Q4 FY25 — Record IET Orders and Strong FCF Conversion

    Baker Hughes delivered a strong Q4 FY25, driven by record Industrial & Energy Technology (IET) orders and robust free cash flow generation, which offset macro-driven softness in Oilfield Services & Equipment (OFSE). The company is strategically positioned for a multi-year growth cycle in global power demand, particularly in data center applications, and is progressing with its comprehensive strategic evaluation and the integration planning for the Chart acquisition.

    Highlights

    5
    • Adjusted EBITDA totaled $1.34 billion in Q4, contributing to a record full year adjusted EBITDA of $4.83 billion.

    • Industrial & Energy Technology (IET) delivered strong Q4 order bookings of $4 billion, contributing to a record full year total of $14.9 billion, exceeding the high end of guidance.

    • Record annual free cash flow of $2.7 billion, representing a 57% conversion rate in 2025, above the 45%-50% target range.

    • IET achieved a record backlog of $32.4 billion at year-end, while book-to-bill exceeded 1x.

    • Company adjusted EBITDA margins for Q4 rose 30 basis points year-over-year to a record 18.1%.

    Concerns

    4
    • Oilfield Services & Equipment (OFSE) margins declined due to prevailing market conditions, with full year revenue falling 8%.

    • Continued macro-driven softness in Oilfield Services & Equipment.

    • Global upstream spending is expected to decline low single-digits in 2026, with North America spending declining at a mid-single-digit rate.

    • Regulatory reviews for the Chart acquisition are still underway in certain jurisdictions, with closing expected in Q2 2026, but timing may evolve.

    Guidance & targets

    23
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year 2026 Company Revenue
    $27.25 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 Company Adjusted EBITDA
    $4.85 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 Organic Adjusted EBITDA Growth Rate
    mid-single digit range
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 Free Cash Flow Conversion
    approach 50%
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 Effective Tax Rate
    22% to 26%
    low materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 IET Orders
    $13.5 billion to $15.5 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 New Energy Orders
    $2.4 billion to $2.6 billion
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 IET Revenue
    $13.5 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 IET EBITDA
    $2.7 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 IET Margin Target
    20%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 OFSE Revenue
    $13.75 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 OFSE EBITDA
    $2.475 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Q1 2026 Total Company Revenue
    $6.4 billion
    medium materiality
    High
    Q1 2026 Total Company Adjusted EBITDA
    $1.06 billion
    medium materiality
    High
    Q1 2026 IET EBITDA
    $600 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Q1 2026 OFSE EBITDA
    $540 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Chart Acquisition Closing
    Q2 2026
    high materiality
    Medium
    Net Debt-to-Adjusted EBITDA Ratio Target
    1x to 1.5x
    high materiality
    High
    Chart Integration Cost Synergy Target
    $325 million
    high materiality
    High
    Company Adjusted EBITDA Margin Target
    20%
    high materiality
    High
    Data Center-Related Orders
    $3 billion
    high materiality
    High
    LNG Awards
    similar levels
    medium materiality
    High
    Horizon Two IET Orders Target
    more than $40 billion
    high materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    2
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Industrial & Energy Technology (IET)
    Strong Q4 performance driven by continued power systems and LNG order momentum. Full year revenue and EBITDA reached historical highs with significant margin expansion due to strong backlog pricing, productivity gains, and Business System execution.
    Orders: $4 billion (Q4)Orders: $14.9 billion (FY)Book-to-bill: 1.1x (FY)Backlog: $32.4 billion (year-end)EBITDA: $761 million (Q4)EBITDA: $2.5 billion (FY)Revenue: $13.4 billion (FY)Revenue growth YoY: 10% (FY)EBITDA margin: 18.5% (FY)
    $3.81 billion20%
    Oilfield Services & Equipment (OFSE)
    Q4 performance reflected ongoing macro-related headwinds, with results impacted by seasonal declines, softness in Mexico, and weaker year-end product sales. Partially offset by improving activity in Sub-Saharan Africa, Brazil, and Saudi Arabia. Full year margins remained resilient despite top-line decline due to cost discipline and structural actions.
    Orders (SSPS): $1.1 billion (Q4)Orders (SSPS): $3.5 billion (FY)Book-to-bill (SSPS): 1.4x (Q4)Subsea tree market share: approximately 25% (2025)Revenue: $14.3 billion (FY)Revenue growth YoY: -8% (FY)EBITDA: $647 million (Q4)EBITDA: $2.62 billion (FY)EBITDA margin: 18.3% (FY)
    $3.57 billion18.1%

    Operational metrics

    44
    Adjusted EBITDA
    $1.34 billion2% YoY increase
    Q4 FY25

    Company-wide adjusted EBITDA.

    Adjusted EBITDA
    $4.83 billion
    FY25

    Record full year adjusted EBITDA.

    Adjusted EBITDA Margin
    18.1%30 bps YoY increase
    Q4 FY25

    Record company-wide adjusted EBITDA margin.

    Adjusted EBITDA Margin
    17.4%90 bps YoY increase
    FY25

    Record full year company-wide adjusted EBITDA margin.

    Adjusted Earnings Per Share
    $0.7812% YoY increase
    Q4 FY25

    Excluding $0.10 of adjusting items.

    Adjusted Earnings Per Share
    $2.6010% increase from 2024
    FY25

    Full year adjusted EPS.

    Adjusting Items Per Share
    $0.10
    Q4 FY25

    Items excluded from GAAP diluted EPS to arrive at adjusted EPS.

    Free Cash Flow Conversion Rate
    57%above 45% to 50% target range
    FY25

    Driven by enhanced working capital efficiency and higher customer down payments.

    Net Debt-to-Adjusted EBITDA Ratio
    0.5xdecreasing
    year-end 2025

    Balance sheet remains strong.

    Cash Balance
    $3.7 billionincreasing
    year-end 2025

    Part of strong balance sheet.

    Total Liquidity
    $6.7 billionincreasing
    year-end 2025

    Part of strong balance sheet.

    Shareholder Returns
    $1.3 billion
    2025

    Total amount returned to shareholders.

    Gross Cash Proceeds from Strategic Transactions
    $1.5 billion
    early 2026

    Subject to customary closing adjustments.

    LNG Equipment Orders
    $2.3 billion
    2025

    Booked in 2025.

    Power Systems Orders
    $2.5 billionsignificantly increased
    2025

    Includes $1 billion tied to data center applications.

    Data Center Applications Orders
    $1 billion
    2025

    Included within power systems orders.

    NovaLT Industrial Gas Turbines Orders
    2 gigawatts
    2025

    Across oil and gas, industrial, and data center markets.

    BRUSH Generators Capacity Supplied
    7 gigawatts
    Q4 FY25

    Will deliver reliable power and enhance grid resilience.

    New Energy Orders
    $434 million
    Q4 FY25

    Notable awards included turbomachinery for a blue ammonia project and geothermal orders.

    New Energy Orders
    $2 billionwell above $1.4 billion to $1.6 billion target
    FY25

    Record full year orders.

    Cordant Software Orders Growth
    20%
    2025

    Double-digit order growth for the third consecutive year for Cordant solutions.

    Production Solutions Awards
    $3 billion
    2025

    Secured in the Middle East.

    Production Solutions Awards
    $1 billion
    Q4 FY25

    From Kuwait Oil Company, Petroleum Development Oman, and ADNOC.

    LNG Demand Growth
    7%
    2025

    Continued strong growth trajectory.

    LNG Demand Growth Outlook
    at least 75%
    by 2040

    Driven primarily by growth across Asia.

    LNG FID Outlook (2024-2026)
    exceed 100 MTPA83 MTPA reached in last 2 years
    2024-2026

    Reinforces long-held view of 800 MTPA installed base by 2030.

    LNG Installed Base Outlook
    800 MTPA
    by 2030

    Advances progress toward 950 MTPA outlook for 2035.

    LNG Installed Base Outlook
    950 MTPA
    by 2035

    Outlook for 2035.

    Global Natural Gas Demand Growth
    approximately 20%
    by 2040

    Underpins accelerating investment in gas and power infrastructure.

    AI Infrastructure Spending
    >$500 billion
    2025

    Expected to approach $1 trillion annually in the late 2020s.

    Data Center Power Demand Growth
    12% CAGR
    through 2040

    As AI workloads increase in scale.

    Global EV Fleet Growth
    triple
    by 2030

    Projected to increase nearly ninefold by 2040.

    Global EV Fleet Growth
    ninefold
    by 2040

    Projected increase.

    Global Power Demand Growth
    double
    by 2040

    Expected to reach approximately 60,000 terawatt hours.

    Power Systems Annual Market Opportunity
    >$100 billion
    by 2030

    With solutions either currently available or under development.

    Aeroderivative Gas Turbines Orders
    1.3 gigawatts
    2025

    Supporting distributed power across LNG facilities, FPSOs, refineries, petrochemical plants, and oilfields.

    Steam Turbines and Turboexpanders Installed Base
    >700
    current

    Proven experience in delivering reliable, efficient power across renewable and industrial markets.

    Geothermal Power Plants (Fervo's Cape Station)
    5 plants
    current project

    Baker Hughes providing subsurface expertise and surface power generation.

    PSI Business Contribution
    $374 million
    2025

    Recently divested business.

    PSI Business Contribution
    $48 million
    2025

    Recently divested business.

    SPC Business Contribution
    $627 million
    2025

    Will be deconsolidated in 2026, with 35% minority ownership accounted for as an equity investment.

    SPC Business Contribution
    $137 million
    2025

    Will be deconsolidated in 2026.

    NovaLT Capacity
    doubled
    H1 2027

    Nova slots are effectively full through 2028.

    NovaLT Slot Reservation
    1 gigawatt
    Q4 FY25

    Secured a large slot reservation agreement.

    Industry KPIs

    9
    MetricValueDetails
    Rpo backlog$32.4 billionUSD
    Book to bill ratio1.1x
    FCF CAPEX leverage$2.7 billionUSD
    M a integration progress$325 millionUSD
    Digital recurring revenue20%%
    Aftermarket installed base
    Orders bookings by segment$14.9 billionUSD
    Segment adjusted EBITDA margin20%%
    Data center new energy revenue capacity$3 billionUSD

    Orderbook & backlog

    3
    IET Backlog$32.4 billionyear-end 2025

    Record backlog, marks the sixth consecutive year of IET RPO growth.

    IET Book-to-bill1.1xFY25
    SSPS Book-to-bill1.4xQ4 FY25

    Driving increased visibility and reflecting broadening customer penetration.

    Deals & partnerships

    13
    NextDecadeSupply of critical liquefaction technology for Train 5 at Rio Grande LNG facility.

    Part of LNG equipment orders booked in 2025.

    Commonwealth LNGSupply of critical liquefaction technology for export terminal.

    Part of LNG equipment orders booked in 2025.

    CheniereLong-term service agreements for Corpus Christi Trains 8 and 9.long-term

    Strengthening durability of life cycle model.

    NextDecadeiCenter remote monitoring and diagnostics for Rio Grande Trains 1, 2 and 3.

    Strengthening durability of life cycle model.

    Tengiz Gas Separation ComplexSupply of an integrated solution for the gas separation complex.

    Underscores the value of integrated portfolio in delivering complex, large-scale infrastructure solutions.

    Kuwait Oil CompanyMultiyear contract for Production Solutions, including deployment of advanced ESP systems and Leucipa in over 1,000 wells.multiyear

    Part of $1 billion multiyear contracts in Q4 from Middle East.

    Petroleum Development OmanMultiyear contract for Production Solutions, including deployment of advanced ESP systems and Leucipa in over 1,000 wells.multiyear

    Part of $1 billion multiyear contracts in Q4 from Middle East.

    ADNOCMultiyear contract for Production Solutions, including deployment of AccessESP system in Umm Shaif Field and continuous digital monitoring services.multiyear

    Supports recurring revenue over the life of these assets. Part of $1 billion multiyear contracts in Q4 from Middle East.

    Coral North LNG projectMultiyear frame agreement for subsea production systems and services.multiyear

    Located offshore Mozambique.

    Chart IndustriesAcquisition of Chart Industries.

    Regulatory reviews still underway in certain jurisdictions. Integration planning is making substantial progress.

    Precision Sensors & Instrumentation (PSI) businessSale of the Precision Sensors & Instrumentation business.

    Completion of sale announced earlier this month, effective January 1.

    CactusFormation of the Surface Pressure Control joint venture.

    Completion of formation announced earlier this month, effective January 1. Baker Hughes holds 35% minority ownership.

    Continental Disc CorporationAcquisition of Continental Disc Corporation business.

    Recently acquired, excluded from organic metrics for clarity.

    Risks & headwinds

    10
    Macro-driven softness in Oilfield Services & Equipment (OFSE)Q4 FY25 and FY25

    OFSE revenue declined 8% for the full year.

    Mitigation: Resilient margins maintained through continued cost discipline and structural actions to remove duplication.

    Geopolitical and trade-related uncertainty2026 and beyond

    Expected to persist.

    Mitigation: Company anticipates modestly stronger year-over-year GDP growth in 2026, supported by other factors.

    Oil price volatilityrecent months

    Oil prices have remained somewhat volatile.

    Mitigation: Believes further reduction in idled OPEC+ supply and more constructive oil supply/demand balances are needed for broad inflection in oilfield services activity.

    Global upstream spending decline2026

    Expected low single-digit declines in 2026; North America spending expected to decline at a mid-single-digit rate.

    Mitigation: Production-weighted exposure positions the company to outperform the market. Continued growth in OpEx-driven upstream investment leveraging differentiated portfolio.

    Regulatory reviews for Chart acquisitionQ2 2026 expected closing, but timing may evolve.

    Still underway in certain jurisdictions.

    Mitigation: Focused on closing the transaction and ensuring a seamless integration process.

    Increased tariff costsannualized impact carrying from 2025 into 2026

    Impacted OFSE margins.

    Mitigation: Offset by ongoing productivity enhancements and efforts to rightsize cost structure with quick cash paybacks.

    Unfavorable product mix and pricing variability2026

    Slight change in revenue mix with SSPS growing organically while higher-margin OFS business declines slightly; overall market pricing variability.

    Mitigation: Offset by ongoing productivity enhancements and cost optimization.

    Seasonal declines in activityQ4 FY25

    Impacted Q4 OFSE results.

    Mitigation: Partially offset by improving activity in Sub-Saharan Africa, Brazil, and Saudi Arabia.

    Supply chain tightnessQ1 2026 and beyond

    Potential impact on IET guidance.

    Mitigation: Considered as a factor driving guidance ranges.

    Foreign exchange ratesQ1 2026 and beyond

    Potential impact on IET and OFSE guidance.

    Mitigation: Considered as a factor driving guidance ranges.

    What to watch in Q1 FY26

    5

    Chart Acquisition Closure

    Q2 2026
    CurrentPending regulatory approval
    TargetClosed

    Why it matters

    The Chart acquisition is a key strategic move to strengthen the power portfolio and deliver integrated solutions, with significant cost synergy targets.

    With regulatory reviews still underway in certain jurisdictions, we currently expect closing in the second quarter, understanding that the timing may evolve as those processes progress.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    Can you elaborate on your strategy for enhancing power systems capabilities and sustaining growth, given $2.5 billion orders in 2025 and strategic focus on NovaLT and BRUSH acquisition?

    Lorenzo Simonelli highlighted the multi-year growth cycle in global power demand, driven by data centers, AI, EVs, and industrial electrification. He noted a $100 billion annual market opportunity for power systems by 2030, with data center orders expected to reach $3 billion between 2025-2027. He detailed the broad portfolio including NovaLT, aeroderivative gas turbines, geothermal, BRUSH generators, and the future integration of Chart's thermal management capabilities.

    We believe that we're in a global power demand multiyear growth cycle. In fact, a demand decade, as we said last week, and we're very much in the early stages of that trend worldwide and in the United States.

    asked by Arun Jayaram · answered by Lorenzo Simonelli

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Strong Q4 and FY25 Performance

    Baker Hughes delivered a strong Q4 and record full year 2025 results, with adjusted EBITDA of $1.34 billion in Q4 and $4.83 billion for the full year. Adjusted EPS rose to $0.78 in Q4, with full year adjusted EPS at $2.60, a 10% increase from 2024. Company adjusted EBITDA margins reached a record 18.1% in Q4 and 17.4% for the full year, driven by IET's 160 bps Q4 margin increase to 20%.

    02

    IET Order Momentum and Backlog

    The Industrial & Energy Technology (IET) segment achieved record Q4 order bookings of $4 billion, leading to a record full year total of $14.9 billion, exceeding the high end of guidance. Non-LNG equipment orders represented approximately 85% of total IET orders for both 2024 and 2025, demonstrating portfolio diversity. IET's backlog reached a record $32.4 billion at year-end, with a book-to-bill ratio exceeding 1x, marking the sixth consecutive year of RPO growth.

    03

    Power Systems and Data Center Opportunity

    Power systems orders increased significantly to $2.5 billion in 2025, including $1 billion tied to data center applications. The company secured a slot reservation for approximately 1 gigawatt of NovaLT capacity for data centers in Q4, expected to convert to a firm order in 2026. Baker Hughes now expects to book $3 billion in data center-related orders between 2025 and 2027, capitalizing on the growing demand for reliable, scalable power, which is projected to increase by a 12% CAGR through 2040.

    04

    New Energy and OFSE Highlights

    New Energy orders reached a record $2 billion for the full year, well above the $1.4 billion to $1.6 billion target, with notable awards including turbomachinery for a blue ammonia project in the U.S. and continued strength in geothermal orders. In OFSE, the company saw strong customer demand in deepwater and Middle East markets, securing $3 billion in Production Solutions awards in the Middle East, including $1 billion of multiyear contracts in Q4. Subsea & Surface Pressure Systems (SSPS) had a near-record order quarter with $1.1 billion in bookings and a 1.4x book-to-bill.

    05

    Macro Environment and Energy Demand Outlook

    Despite geopolitical uncertainty🌐, the global macro environment remained resilient in 2025, with expectations for modestly stronger GDP growth in 2026. Long-term energy demand is rising, driven by population growth, living standards, and accelerating electrification. AI and data centers are adding a new and durable layer of energy demand, reinforcing the need for reliable power. Global natural gas demand is expected to grow approximately 20% by 2040, underpinning accelerating investment in gas and power infrastructure. LNG demand is projected to increase by at least 75% by 2040.

    06

    Strategic Evaluation and Chart Integration

    Baker Hughes is undergoing a comprehensive strategic evaluation, a disciplined, ongoing process designed to ensure sustainable long-term value creation. The immediate focus is on closing the Chart acquisition, expected in Q2 2026, and achieving the $325 million cost synergy target. The company aims for a net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio of 1x to 1.5x within 24 months post-Chart close, supported by ongoing free cash flow generation and $1 billion from portfolio management initiatives.

    07

    Portfolio Management and Capital Allocation

    In 2025, the company returned $1.3 billion to shareholders in dividends and share repurchases. Recent strategic transactions, including the sale of the Precision Sensors & Instrumentation (PSI) business and the formation of the Surface Pressure Control (SPC) joint venture with Cactus, generated approximately $1.5 billion in gross cash proceeds. These actions reflect a disciplined approach to portfolio management and commitment to maximizing long-term value creation.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.