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Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) Q1 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Mar 2026 (Q1 FY26)· Health Care· Apr 30, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Bristol-Myers Squibb Q1 FY26 — Growth portfolio +9%, tracking to upper end of guidance

A steady, execution-led quarter: the still-early growth portfolio is doing the heavy lifting while legacy erosion is largely offset by Eliquis, keeping BMS on its post-LOE bridge. The thesis now hinges on a dense late-2026/2027 catalyst calendar (Milvexian, Cobenfy ADEPT, admilparant, CELMoDs) to derisk growth into the 2030s, funded by productivity savings and preserved BD firepower.

Highlights

5
  • Growth portfolio sales grew 9% YoY to $6.2B, led by Reblozyl, Breyanzi, Opdualag, Qvantig and Cobenfy; total revenue ~$11.5B, +1% YoY

  • Eliquis grew 13% to ~$4.1B on strong demand plus a Q1 wholesale inventory build

  • Breyanzi +53%, Camzyos nearly doubled to $314M, Reblozyl +15%, Sotyktu +20%, Opdualag double-digit growth

  • Pipeline catalysts: iberdomide r/r multiple-myeloma filing accepted with breakthrough designation and priority review (PDUFA Aug 17); mezigdomide positive Phase III interim PFS (SUCCESSOR-II)

  • Management sees full-year revenue and EPS tracking toward the upper end of guidance ranges

Concerns

4
  • Opdivo revenue fell 8% to ~$2.1B, mostly US, on a wholesaler inventory drawdown now at the low end of the typical range

  • Gross margin declined 280 bps to 70.3% on product mix

  • Operating cash flow of ~$1.1B reflected ~$1.2B lower net cash collections tied to the Eliquis US list-price reduction

  • Legacy portfolio pressured by continued increased generic entry across several brands

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Full-year 2026 total revenue
Reaffirmed; tracking toward the upper end of the established range
high materiality
High
Full-year 2026 EPS (non-GAAP)
Reaffirmed; tracking toward the upper end of the established range
high materiality
High
Strategic productivity initiative cost savings
$2 billion total; remaining savings to be delivered by the end of 2027
high materiality
High
New medicines launched by end of decade
More than 10 new medicines
high materiality
Medium
Life cycle management opportunities by end of decade
30 meaningful life cycle management opportunities
medium materiality
Medium
R&D lead molecule identification speed (research/early development)
Approximately 50% faster lead molecule identification
medium materiality
Medium
R&D late-development cycle-time reduction
30% reduction in cycle times versus a few years ago
medium materiality
Medium
Qvantig (subcutaneous Opdivo) conversion from IV business
Approximately 30% to 40% of IV business converted
medium materiality
Medium
Eliquis wholesale inventory build reversal
Q1 inventory build expected to reverse in the second quarter
medium materiality
High
Eliquis net cash collection recovery
~$1.2B lower collections expected to be more than offset later in the year through lower rebate payments
medium materiality
Medium

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
Growth Portfolio
Broad-based growth from differentiated assets still early in their life cycles; performed in line with expectations.
Growth portfolio share of total revenue: ~$6.2B of ~$11.5BKey contributors: Reblozyl, Breyanzi, Opdualag, Qvantig, Cobenfy
$6.2B+9% (underlying/ex-FX)——
Oncology
Opdivo decline driven mostly by US wholesaler inventory drawdown (low end of typical range) plus continued conversion to Qvantig. Qvantig $163M figure is transcribed as 'Cobenfy' in prepared remarks — context (IV-to-SC conversion) confirms it is Qvantig.
Opdivo net sales: ~$2.1B (-8%)Qvantig (subcutaneous nivolumab) net sales: $163MOpdualag: strong double-digit growth (standard of care first-line melanoma)
————
Hematology
Reblozyl uptake solid across MDS-associated anemia; Breyanzi momentum reflects best-in-class profile and strong demand across approved indications.
Reblozyl: +15% (first- and second-line MDS-associated anemia)Breyanzi: +53% (cell therapy, US and international)
————
Cardiovascular
Eliquis growth on strong demand plus a Q1 wholesale inventory build (from the US price cut) expected to reverse in Q2. Camzyos benefited from continued global demand growth; ~25,000 US patients prescribed.
Eliquis net sales: ~$4.1B (+13%)Camzyos net sales: $314M (nearly doubled)
————
Immunology
Recent psoriatic arthritis approval extends rheumatology presence while awaiting Phase III lupus and Sjogren's readouts.
Sotyktu: +20% global revenue
————
Neuroscience
Cobenfy launch progressing steadily; broad Alzheimer's/psychosis life-cycle program under development (ADEPT trials).
Cobenfy net sales: $56M (continued steady growth)
————
Legacy Portfolio
Within legacy, solid Eliquis growth was offset by continued impact of increased generic entry across several other brands.
Eliquis growth offsetting generic erosion across several brands
————

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
Qvantig (subcutaneous nivolumab / Opdivo)update
Cobenfyupdate

Deals & partnerships

BioNTech (transcribed 'biotech') partnership / collaboration (co-development of pumitamig, PD-1 x VEGF bispecific)

Collaboration progressing rapidly; BMS combining pumitamig with its own oncology assets (Iza-bren ADC, an internal inhibitor) to build IO-backbone regimens.

Ferro partnership (AI-enabled trial design)

Enables more efficient trial design as part of R&D-productivity push; a cost-optimizer tool is also referenced.

Karuna Therapeutics (Cobenfy) acquisition (closed)

Referenced as already-owned ('the moment we acquired Cobenfy'); ADEPT-2 was already ongoing at acquisition.

In vivo mRNA cell-therapy platform (counterparty not named) acquisition (platform)

Acquired mRNA in vivo platform where patients manufacture the cells themselves; positioned as potentially transformative for scalable immune-disease cell therapy.

Risks & headwinds

Opdivo US wholesaler inventory drawdown Q1 2026; normalization uncertain over balance of year

Opdivo revenue -8% to ~$2.1B; wholesaler inventories at low end of typical range

Mitigation:Monitoring whether levels normalize; continued conversion to Qvantig

Generic erosion across legacy portfolio ongoing

not quantified (offsetting new-launch/Eliquis growth not sized per brand)

Mitigation:Growth portfolio (+9%) and Eliquis growth offsetting legacy declines

Gross margin compression Q1 2026 (as expected)

-280 bps YoY to 70.3%

Mitigation:Product mix driven; productivity savings support reinvestment

Eliquis price-reduction cash-collection timing Q1 2026

~$1.2B lower net cash collections in Q1

Mitigation:Expected to be more than offset later in the year via lower rebate payments; Q1 inventory build to reverse in Q2

Camzyos competition (aficamten, transcribed 'apacamten') current / near-term

not quantified; some physicians have started 1–2 patients on competition

Mitigation:Established 4-year REMS, simple 5→10mg titration, ~90% on 5mg start, high persistency; competitor requires multiple titration steps

Binary late-2026 pivotal readout risk (Milvexian, Cobenfy ADEPT, admilparant, CELMoDs) H2 2026 into early 2027

not quantified; multiple event-driven trials still blinded

Mitigation:DMC recommending continuation across programs; disclosed non-inferiority margins and dose-response data cited as confidence

Post-LOE growth cliff (Eliquis exclusivity loss ahead) into the 2030s

not quantified

Mitigation:Building early/mid-stage portfolio, BD firepower (~$11B cash), and target of >10 new medicines / 30 LCM opportunities by end of decade

Q&A highlights

How confident is management in the key end-of-year programs (notably Milvexian), and how do these readouts shape BD strategy and deal size?

Massacesi walked through a data-rich 2026/2027 (iberdomide PDUFA Aug 17, mezigdomide SUCCESSOR-II, Milvexian AFib/SSP by year-end with unchanged confidence, Cobenfy ADEPT, admilparant IPF/PPF). Boerner said BD is a top priority unaffected by readouts; BMS has a strong late-stage pipeline, doesn't need to chase deals, is 'size agnostic' and has financial horsepower for multiple-sized deals across early, mid and late stage.

“We're size agnostic as we've been, and we certainly have the financial horsepower to go after multiple sized deals.”

asked by Asad Haider · answered by Christopher Boerner

3 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

Q1 financial results and portfolio dynamics

Total revenue was ~$11.5B, up 1% YoY, with the growth portfolio up 9% to $6.2B and now spanning a broad set of early-life-cycle assets (Reblozyl, Breyanzi, Opdualag, Qvantig, Cobenfy). Within legacy, Eliquis grew 13% to ~$4.1B on strong demand plus a price-cut-driven Q1 wholesale inventory build, offsetting continued generic erosion across several other brands.

Non-GAAP gross margin fell 280 bps to 70.3% on product mix, operating expenses ex-IPR&D were $3.9B, the effective tax rate was 18.3%, and diluted EPS was $1.58 (including a $0.03 net IPR&D/licensing charge).

Late-2026 pivotal readout calendar

Management framed the back half of 2026 as an increasing cadence of pivotal readouts that should derisk the long-term growth profile: Milvexian in AFib and secondary stroke prevention, Cobenfy in Alzheimer's disease psychosis (ADEPT program), admilparant in IPF, and iberdomide PFS data.

Milvexian's AFib trial (20,500 patients) tests non-inferiority vs apixaban with a disclosed margin of 0.8%–1.3% and a superiority test for major and clinically-relevant non-major bleeding. Admilparant IPF is guided to the end of the year with PPF a few months later (early 2027).

CELMoD protein-degradation platform momentum

The iberdomide r/r multiple myeloma filing was accepted with breakthrough therapy designation and priority review (PDUFA Aug 17). Mezigdomide delivered a positive Phase III interim PFS readout (SUCCESSOR-II, add-on to Kd) that came earlier than expected, the second positive pivotal CELMoD readout, with full data at ASCO and regulatory submissions being planned.

Management flagged golcadomide as a 'sleeper' with more data at ASCO, plus a deep pipeline of additional degraders (BCL-6 LDD, AR LDD). Commercial goal: make iberdomide and mezigdomide foundational, replacing REVLIMID and POMALYST in second-line community myeloma (70–80% of patients).

R&D productivity and AI investment

BMS is investing in core R&D infrastructure — AI tools, laboratory automation and workforce training — targeting ~50% faster lead-molecule identification in research/early development and a 30% reduction in late-development cycle times versus a few years ago. Named enablers include a partnership with Ferro for more efficient trial design and a cost-optimizer tool.

These are top 2026 priorities, funded by the remaining $2B of strategic-productivity savings (through end-2027).

Camzyos competitive positioning

Camzyos revenue nearly doubled to $314M with ~25,000 US patients prescribed and strong persistency. Ahead of competitor aficamten's launch, management argued for limited differentiation: ~90% of Camzyos patients start at 5mg with a single titration step to 10mg (5/10mg = ~90% of business), a clear 4-year-established REMS and echo-at-4-weeks regimen, versus a competitor requiring multiple titration steps.

A new, more focused Phase III study in non-obstructive HCM is planned.

Business development posture

BD remains a top capital-allocation priority and is described as unaffected by the end-of-year readouts. With ~$11B in cash and marketable securities and a strong late-stage pipeline, management says it doesn't need to chase deals but has the flexibility to enhance near-term growth and to expand the early/mid-stage portfolio for growth into the 2030s.

BMS positions itself as 'size agnostic,' focused on therapeutic areas it knows scientifically where it can add clinical and commercial value.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.