Skip to content
    BMY
    Earnings call· Mar 2026(Q1 FY26)

    BRISTOL MYERS SQUIBB Q1 FY26 earnings call BMY

    Apr 30, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Bristol-Myers Squibb Q1 FY26 — Growth portfolio +9%, tracking to upper end of guidance

    A steady, execution-led quarter: the still-early growth portfolio is doing the heavy lifting while legacy erosion is largely offset by Eliquis, keeping BMS on its post-LOE bridge. The thesis now hinges on a dense late-2026/2027 catalyst calendar (Milvexian, Cobenfy ADEPT, admilparant, CELMoDs) to derisk growth into the 2030s, funded by productivity savings and preserved BD firepower.

    Highlights

    5
    • Growth portfolio sales grew 9% YoY to $6.2B, led by Reblozyl, Breyanzi, Opdualag, Qvantig and Cobenfy; total revenue ~$11.5B, +1% YoY

    • Eliquis grew 13% to ~$4.1B on strong demand plus a Q1 wholesale inventory build

    • Breyanzi +53%, Camzyos nearly doubled to $314M, Reblozyl +15%, Sotyktu +20%, Opdualag double-digit growth

    • Pipeline catalysts: iberdomide r/r multiple-myeloma filing accepted with breakthrough designation and priority review (PDUFA Aug 17); mezigdomide positive Phase III interim PFS (SUCCESSOR-II)

    • Management sees full-year revenue and EPS tracking toward the upper end of guidance ranges

    Concerns

    4
    • Opdivo revenue fell 8% to ~$2.1B, mostly US, on a wholesaler inventory drawdown now at the low end of the typical range

    • Gross margin declined 280 bps to 70.3% on product mix

    • Operating cash flow of ~$1.1B reflected ~$1.2B lower net cash collections tied to the Eliquis US list-price reduction

    • Legacy portfolio pressured by continued increased generic entry across several brands

    Guidance & targets

    10
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year 2026 total revenue
    Reaffirmed; tracking toward the upper end of the established range
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 EPS (non-GAAP)
    Reaffirmed; tracking toward the upper end of the established range
    high materiality
    High
    Strategic productivity initiative cost savings
    $2 billion total; remaining savings to be delivered by the end of 2027
    high materiality
    High
    New medicines launched by end of decade
    More than 10 new medicines
    high materiality
    Medium
    Life cycle management opportunities by end of decade
    30 meaningful life cycle management opportunities
    medium materiality
    Medium
    R&D lead molecule identification speed (research/early development)
    Approximately 50% faster lead molecule identification
    medium materiality
    Medium
    R&D late-development cycle-time reduction
    30% reduction in cycle times versus a few years ago
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Qvantig (subcutaneous Opdivo) conversion from IV business
    Approximately 30% to 40% of IV business converted
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Eliquis wholesale inventory build reversal
    Q1 inventory build expected to reverse in the second quarter
    medium materiality
    High
    Eliquis net cash collection recovery
    ~$1.2B lower collections expected to be more than offset later in the year through lower rebate payments
    medium materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    7
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Growth Portfolio
    Broad-based growth from differentiated assets still early in their life cycles; performed in line with expectations.
    Growth portfolio share of total revenue: ~$6.2B of ~$11.5BKey contributors: Reblozyl, Breyanzi, Opdualag, Qvantig, Cobenfy
    $6.2B+9% (underlying/ex-FX)
    Oncology
    Opdivo decline driven mostly by US wholesaler inventory drawdown (low end of typical range) plus continued conversion to Qvantig. Qvantig $163M figure is transcribed as 'Cobenfy' in prepared remarks — context (IV-to-SC conversion) confirms it is Qvantig.
    Opdivo net sales: ~$2.1B (-8%)Qvantig (subcutaneous nivolumab) net sales: $163MOpdualag: strong double-digit growth (standard of care first-line melanoma)
    Hematology
    Reblozyl uptake solid across MDS-associated anemia; Breyanzi momentum reflects best-in-class profile and strong demand across approved indications.
    Reblozyl: +15% (first- and second-line MDS-associated anemia)Breyanzi: +53% (cell therapy, US and international)
    Cardiovascular
    Eliquis growth on strong demand plus a Q1 wholesale inventory build (from the US price cut) expected to reverse in Q2. Camzyos benefited from continued global demand growth; ~25,000 US patients prescribed.
    Eliquis net sales: ~$4.1B (+13%)Camzyos net sales: $314M (nearly doubled)
    Immunology
    Recent psoriatic arthritis approval extends rheumatology presence while awaiting Phase III lupus and Sjogren's readouts.
    Sotyktu: +20% global revenue
    Neuroscience
    Cobenfy launch progressing steadily; broad Alzheimer's/psychosis life-cycle program under development (ADEPT trials).
    Cobenfy net sales: $56M (continued steady growth)
    Legacy Portfolio
    Within legacy, solid Eliquis growth was offset by continued impact of increased generic entry across several other brands.
    Eliquis growth offsetting generic erosion across several brands

    Operational metrics

    9
    Adjusted diluted EPS
    $1.58not stated
    Q1 2026

    All P&L references stated on a non-GAAP basis.

    Adjusted gross margin
    70.3%-280 bps YoY
    Q1 2026

    Decline was as expected per management; enrichment is the mix bridge.

    Effective tax rate
    18.3%not stated
    Q1 2026

    Non-GAAP effective tax rate.

    Operating expenses excluding in-process R&D
    $3.9Bslightly above same period last year
    Q1 2026

    Non-GAAP; productivity savings preserve flexibility to invest behind growth opportunities.

    Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities
    ~$11Bnot stated
    as of March 31, 2026

    Underpins BD firepower described as 'size agnostic.'

    Camzyos patients prescribed (US)
    ~25,000approaching 25,000; thousands more internationally
    as of Q1 2026

    Cited as competitive moat ahead of aficamten (transcribed 'apacamten') launch.

    Qvantig IV-to-subcutaneous conversion rate
    >10%toward 30–40% target over next 2 years
    just over one year in market

    Transcript labels the drug 'Cobenfy'/'gigantic'; context confirms it is Qvantig (subcutaneous nivolumab).

    Anticoagulation treatment gap (AFib target population)
    ~40%
    current market

    Framing for Milvexian's low-bleeding-risk commercial opportunity.

    Standard-of-care antifibrotic discontinuation rate (IPF/PPF)
    ~50–60%newest approved products still ~40% diarrhea rate
    by 12 months

    Framing for admilparant's differentiated-tolerability opportunity.

    Industry KPIs

    12
    MetricValueDetails
    Peak sales guidanceMilvexian described as having 'true blockbuster potential'
    EPS revenue guidanceFY2026 revenue and EPS guidance reaffirmed; tracking toward upper end of ranges
    Pricing policy impactEliquis US list-price reduction driving ~$1.2B lower Q1 net cash collectionsUSD
    Product franchise net salesEliquis ~$4.1B; Opdivo ~$2.1B; Camzyos $314M; Qvantig $163M; Reblozyl, Breyanzi, Opdualag, Sotyktu, Cobenfy $56MUSD
    Pipeline clinical milestonesiberdomide (PDUFA Aug 17), mezigdomide SUCCESSOR-II positive interim PFS, Milvexian AFib/SSP (20,500 patients), Cobenfy ADEPT, admilparant IPF/PPF
    Regulatory approvals filingsiberdomide filing accepted (breakthrough + priority review, PDUFA Aug 17); Sotyktu PsA approved; Opdivo 2 cHL indications approved; Iza-bren Phase III China (TNBC, esophageal SCC)
    Therapeutic drug market share
    Price volume mix decompositionEliquis US price reduction effective start of year; Q1 wholesale inventory build; Opdivo US wholesaler inventory drawdown
    Geographic regional revenue growthOpdivo decline mostly US; Iza-bren studies conducted in China
    Clinical trial efficacy safety dataadmilparant >60% improvement vs placebo in lung-function decline (60mg BID, Phase II)%
    Patent expiry loe biosimilar erosionIncreased generic entry across several legacy brands; Eliquis LOE ahead ('post-LOE growth profile')
    Business development capacity deal size appetite'Size agnostic'; ~$11B cash and marketable securities; capacity for multiple-sized dealsUSD

    Product announcements

    2
    ProductTypeDetails
    Qvantig (subcutaneous nivolumab / Opdivo)update
    Cobenfyupdate

    Deals & partnerships

    4
    BioNTech (transcribed 'biotech')partnership / collaboration (co-development of pumitamig, PD-1 x VEGF bispecific)

    Collaboration progressing rapidly; BMS combining pumitamig with its own oncology assets (Iza-bren ADC, an internal inhibitor) to build IO-backbone regimens.

    Ferropartnership (AI-enabled trial design)

    Enables more efficient trial design as part of R&D-productivity push; a cost-optimizer tool is also referenced.

    Karuna Therapeutics (Cobenfy)acquisition (closed)

    Referenced as already-owned ('the moment we acquired Cobenfy'); ADEPT-2 was already ongoing at acquisition.

    In vivo mRNA cell-therapy platform (counterparty not named)acquisition (platform)

    Acquired mRNA in vivo platform where patients manufacture the cells themselves; positioned as potentially transformative for scalable immune-disease cell therapy.

    Risks & headwinds

    7
    Opdivo US wholesaler inventory drawdownQ1 2026; normalization uncertain over balance of year

    Opdivo revenue -8% to ~$2.1B; wholesaler inventories at low end of typical range

    Mitigation: Monitoring whether levels normalize; continued conversion to Qvantig

    Generic erosion across legacy portfolioongoing

    not quantified (offsetting new-launch/Eliquis growth not sized per brand)

    Mitigation: Growth portfolio (+9%) and Eliquis growth offsetting legacy declines

    Gross margin compressionQ1 2026 (as expected)

    -280 bps YoY to 70.3%

    Mitigation: Product mix driven; productivity savings support reinvestment

    Eliquis price-reduction cash-collection timingQ1 2026

    ~$1.2B lower net cash collections in Q1

    Mitigation: Expected to be more than offset later in the year via lower rebate payments; Q1 inventory build to reverse in Q2

    Camzyos competition (aficamten, transcribed 'apacamten')current / near-term

    not quantified; some physicians have started 1–2 patients on competition

    Mitigation: Established 4-year REMS, simple 5→10mg titration, ~90% on 5mg start, high persistency; competitor requires multiple titration steps

    Binary late-2026 pivotal readout risk (Milvexian, Cobenfy ADEPT, admilparant, CELMoDs)H2 2026 into early 2027

    not quantified; multiple event-driven trials still blinded

    Mitigation: DMC recommending continuation across programs; disclosed non-inferiority margins and dose-response data cited as confidence

    Post-LOE growth cliff (Eliquis exclusivity loss ahead)into the 2030s

    not quantified

    Mitigation: Building early/mid-stage portfolio, BD firepower (~$11B cash), and target of >10 new medicines / 30 LCM opportunities by end of decade

    Q&A highlights

    8

    How confident is management in the key end-of-year programs (notably Milvexian), and how do these readouts shape BD strategy and deal size?

    Massacesi walked through a data-rich 2026/2027 (iberdomide PDUFA Aug 17, mezigdomide SUCCESSOR-II, Milvexian AFib/SSP by year-end with unchanged confidence, Cobenfy ADEPT, admilparant IPF/PPF). Boerner said BD is a top priority unaffected by readouts; BMS has a strong late-stage pipeline, doesn't need to chase deals, is 'size agnostic' and has financial horsepower for multiple-sized deals across early, mid and late stage.

    We're size agnostic as we've been, and we certainly have the financial horsepower to go after multiple sized deals.

    asked by Asad Haider · answered by Christopher Boerner

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q1 financial results and portfolio dynamics

    Total revenue was ~$11.5B, up 1% YoY, with the growth portfolio up 9% to $6.2B and now spanning a broad set of early-life-cycle assets (Reblozyl, Breyanzi, Opdualag, Qvantig, Cobenfy). Within legacy, Eliquis grew 13% to ~$4.1B on strong demand plus a price-cut-driven Q1 wholesale inventory build, offsetting continued generic erosion across several other brands. Non-GAAP gross margin fell 280 bps to 70.3% on product mix, operating expenses ex-IPR&D were $3.9B, the effective tax rate was 18.3%, and diluted EPS was $1.58 (including a $0.03 net IPR&D/licensing charge).

    02

    Late-2026 pivotal readout calendar

    Management framed the back half of 2026 as an increasing cadence of pivotal readouts that should derisk the long-term growth profile: Milvexian in AFib and secondary stroke prevention, Cobenfy in Alzheimer's disease psychosis (ADEPT program), admilparant in IPF, and iberdomide PFS data. Milvexian's AFib trial (20,500 patients) tests non-inferiority vs apixaban with a disclosed margin of 0.8%–1.3% and a superiority test for major and clinically-relevant non-major bleeding. Admilparant IPF is guided to the end of the year with PPF a few months later (early 2027).

    03

    CELMoD protein-degradation platform momentum

    The iberdomide r/r multiple myeloma filing was accepted with breakthrough therapy designation and priority review (PDUFA Aug 17). Mezigdomide delivered a positive Phase III interim PFS readout (SUCCESSOR-II, add-on to Kd) that came earlier than expected, the second positive pivotal CELMoD readout, with full data at ASCO and regulatory submissions being planned. Management flagged golcadomide as a 'sleeper' with more data at ASCO, plus a deep pipeline of additional degraders (BCL-6 LDD, AR LDD). Commercial goal: make iberdomide and mezigdomide foundational, replacing REVLIMID and POMALYST in second-line community myeloma (70–80% of patients).

    04

    R&D productivity and AI investment

    BMS is investing in core R&D infrastructure — AI tools, laboratory automation and workforce training — targeting ~50% faster lead-molecule identification in research/early development and a 30% reduction in late-development cycle times versus a few years ago. Named enablers include a partnership with Ferro for more efficient trial design and a cost-optimizer tool. These are top 2026 priorities, funded by the remaining $2B of strategic-productivity savings (through end-2027).

    05

    Camzyos competitive positioning

    Camzyos revenue nearly doubled to $314M with ~25,000 US patients prescribed and strong persistency. Ahead of competitor aficamten's launch, management argued for limited differentiation: ~90% of Camzyos patients start at 5mg with a single titration step to 10mg (5/10mg = ~90% of business), a clear 4-year-established REMS and echo-at-4-weeks regimen, versus a competitor requiring multiple titration steps. A new, more focused Phase III study in non-obstructive HCM is planned.

    06

    Business development posture

    BD remains a top capital-allocation priority and is described as unaffected by the end-of-year readouts. With ~$11B in cash and marketable securities and a strong late-stage pipeline, management says it doesn't need to chase deals but has the flexibility to enhance near-term growth and to expand the early/mid-stage portfolio for growth into the 2030s. BMS positions itself as 'size agnostic,' focused on therapeutic areas it knows scientifically where it can add clinical and commercial value.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.