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    CASY
    Earnings call· Apr 2025(Q4 FY25)

    CASEYS GENERAL STORES Q4 FY25 earnings call CASY

    Jun 10, 2025 Source

    Executive summary

    Casey's Q4 FY25 — Record EPS and EBITDA Driven by Strategic Growth and Operational Efficiency

    Casey's delivered record full-year EPS and EBITDA, driven by its largest-ever unit growth, including the Fikes acquisition, and strong operational execution. The company successfully integrated new stores while expanding inside margins and fuel gross profit, demonstrating the resilience of its business model. Management remains focused on its strategic plan, balancing growth investments with increased capital returns, including a dividend hike and planned share repurchases, while navigating integration costs and a dynamic consumer environment.

    Highlights

    5
    • Diluted EPS for FY25 finished at $14.64, a 9% increase from the prior year.

    • The company generated a record $1.2 billion in EBITDA for FY25, an increase of 13% from the prior year.

    • FY25 was the largest store growth year in company history with 35 new builds and 235 units acquired, including 198 CEFCO convenience stores.

    • Inside margin expanded 50 basis points year-over-year to 41.5% for FY25.

    • The Board of Directors voted to increase the dividend by 14% to $0.57 per share, marking the 26th consecutive year of increase.

    Concerns

    5
    • Q4 diluted EPS of $2.63, while up 12%, was unfavorably impacted by approximately 100 basis points due to one less operating day from the leap year.

    • Prepared food margin in Q4 was unfavorably impacted by approximately 160 basis points due to lower margin CEFCO stores.

    • Fuel margin in Q4 included a nearly $0.02 per gallon headwind due to the CEFCO stores.

    • Net interest expense in Q4 was up $13.4 million to $27.9 million, primarily due to financing associated with the Fikes transaction.

    • Return on invested capital for FY25 finished at 11.5%, down 60 basis points from the prior year due to capital required for the Fikes acquisition.

    Guidance & targets

    11
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    EBITDA growth
    10% to 12%
    high materiality
    High
    Inside same-store sales growth
    2% to 5%
    high materiality
    High
    Inside margin
    approximately 41%
    high materiality
    High
    Same-store fuel gallons sold growth
    negative 1% to positive 1%
    medium materiality
    High
    Total operating expenses increase
    approximately 8% to 10%
    medium materiality
    High
    New store openings
    at least 80 stores
    high materiality
    High
    Net interest expense
    approximately $110 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Depreciation and amortization
    approximately $450 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Purchase of property and equipment (Capex)
    approximately $600 million
    high materiality
    High
    Effective tax rate
    24% to 26%
    medium materiality
    High
    Share repurchases
    approximately $125 million
    high materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    4
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Total Inside Sales
    Total inside sales rose 12.4% from the prior year to over $1.4 billion with an average margin of 41.2% which resulted in total inside gross profit dollars of $64.8 million or 12.5% from the prior year.
    Average margin: 41.2% (Q4)Total inside gross profit dollars: $64.8 million (Q4, up 12.5%)
    $1.4 billion12.4%
    Prepared Food and Dispensed Beverage
    Total prepared food and dispensed beverage sales rose by $34.8 million to $392 million, an increase of 9.7%. Same-store prepared food and dispensed beverage sales were up 1.5% for the quarter. The average margin for the quarter was 57.8%, and that's down 30 basis points from a year ago. Our margin was unfavorably impacted by the lower margin CEFCO stores by approximately 160 basis points, which was partially offset by improvements in waste and cheese costs, which were also down $0.06 per pound from the prior year to $2.06. Cheese, therefore, had an approximate 15 basis point benefit to margin.
    Same-store sales growth: 1.5% (Q4)Average margin: 57.8% (Q4, down 30 bps YoY)Cheese costs down $0.06 per pound to $2.06 (Q4)Cheese benefit to margin: 15 bps (Q4)CEFCO impact on margin: -160 bps (Q4)
    $392 million9.7%57.8%
    Grocery and General Merchandise
    Total grocery and general merchandise sales increased by $121 million to $1.02 billion, an increase of 13.5%. Same-store grocery and general merchandise sales were up 1.8% and the average margin was 34.8%. That's an increase of 40 basis points from the same period a year ago. Margin expansion was primarily driven by product mix.
    Same-store sales growth: 1.8% (Q4)Average margin: 34.8% (Q4, up 40 bps YoY)
    $1.02 billion13.5%34.8%
    Fuel
    During the fourth quarter, same-store fuel gallons sold were up 0.1% with a fuel margin of $0.376 per gallon, that's up approximately $0.011 per gallon compared to the same period last year. This is inclusive of a nearly $0.02 per gallon headwind due to the CEFCO stores. Retail fuel sales were up $162 million in the fourth quarter due primarily to a 17.8% increase and the total gallons sold to $819 million, which was partially offset by a 9% decline in average retail price from $3.28 per gallon last year to $2.98 this year.
    Same-store gallons sold growth: 0.1% (Q4)Fuel margin: $0.376 per gallon (Q4, up $0.011 YoY)CEFCO headwind on fuel margin: ~$0.02 per gallon (Q4)Total gallons sold: 819 million (Q4, up 17.8%)Average retail price: $2.98 per gallon (Q4, down 9% YoY from $3.28)
    Up $162 million

    Operational metrics

    29
    Diluted EPS growth
    9%YoY
    FY25

    Fiscal 2025 was another record year for diluted earnings per share, finishing at $14.64, a 9% increase from the prior year.

    Net income
    $547 million
    FY25

    The company also generated a record $547 million in net income.

    EBITDA growth
    13%YoY
    FY25

    and $1.2 billion in EBITDA, an increase of 13% from the prior year.

    Total inside sales growth
    10.9%YoY
    FY25

    Total inside sales grew 10.9% during the year.

    Inside margin
    41.5%Up 50 bps YoY
    FY25

    Inside margin expanded 50 basis points year-over-year to 41.5%.

    Fuel gross profit growth
    11%YoY
    FY25

    Fuel gross profit was up 11%.

    Total fuel gallons sold growth
    13%YoY
    FY25

    with total fuel gallons sold up 13%.

    Fuel margin
    $0.387
    FY25

    fuel margin averaging $0.387 per gallon over the course of the year.

    Same-store operating expenses growth (ex-credit card fees)
    1.7%YoY
    FY25

    Same-store operating expenses, excluding credit card fees, were up only 1.7% for the year.

    Same-store labor hours reduction
    2.4%YoY
    FY25

    impacted favorably by a reduction of same-store labor hours of 2.4%.

    Return on invested capital
    11.5%Down 60 bps YoY
    FY25

    Return on invested capital for the fiscal year finished at 11.5%, down 60 basis points from the prior year, and that's due to the capital required for the Fikes acquisition.

    Dividend per share increase
    14%YoY
    Q4 FY25

    the Board of Directors voted to increase the dividend of $0.57 per share, a 14% increase marking the 26th consecutive year that the dividend has been increased.

    Debt-to-EBITDA ratio
    1.9x
    Q4 FY25

    Our debt-to-EBITDA ratio was 1.9x, calculated under the company's credit facilities.

    Available liquidity
    $1.2 billion
    Q4 FY25

    On April 30, we had total available liquidity of $1.2 billion.

    Diluted EPS growth
    12%YoY
    Q4 FY25

    diluted EPS was $2.63, a 12% increase from the prior year.

    Net income growth
    13%YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Net income was up versus the prior year to $98.3 million, an increase of 13%.

    EBITDA growth
    20.1%YoY
    Q4 FY25

    EBITDA for the quarter was $263 million, an increase of 20.1%.

    Total operating expenses growth
    14.5%YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Total operating expenses were up 14.5% or $84 million in the fourth quarter.

    Operating expense increase from unit growth
    12%
    Q4 FY25

    Approximately 12% of the total operating expense increase is due to unit growth as we operated 246 more stores than the prior year.

    One-time deal and integration costs
    $4 million
    Q4 FY25

    Included in this increase was approximately $4 million in onetime deal and integration costs associated with the Fikes transaction.

    Insurance expense contribution to OpEx increase
    3%
    Q4 FY25

    Insurance expense contributed approximately 3% to the increase.

    Depreciation increase
    $15.1 millionYoY
    Q4 FY25

    Depreciation in the quarter was $107.4 million, up $15.1 million versus prior year, primarily due to operating more stores.

    Effective tax rate
    23%vs 22.4% YoY
    Q4 FY25

    The effective tax rate for the quarter was 23%, that compares to 22.4% in the prior year due to a slight decrease in favorable permanent differences.

    Net cash generated by operating activities
    $334 million
    Q4 FY25

    For the quarter, net cash generated by operating activities of $334 million.

    Purchases of PP&E
    $181 million
    Q4 FY25

    less purchases of PP&E of $181 million.

    Nicotine alternatives (pouches) sales growth
    54%YoY
    Q4 FY25

    for us in the quarter, we were up about 54% in that business.

    Fuel 3.0 supply contribution
    3%
    Q4 FY25

    But we have about 3% of our fuel supply was through that in the quarter.

    Casey's Rewards members
    Over 9 million
    Q4 FY25

    Casey's Rewards now has over 9 million members.

    Fikes integration costs (FY26 estimate)
    $5 million to $7 million
    FY26

    There'll be a little bit of impact, Bobby. I mean we'll probably be somewhere in the neighborhood of $5 million to $7 million over the course of the year on integration related costs, and that's probably ratable and there's a lot of that is kind of ongoing integration work.

    Industry KPIs

    7
    MetricValueDetails
    Sg a rate
    Gross margin drivers41.5%%
    Fuel gas station economics$0.387per gallon
    Warehouse store club count270units
    Comparable same store sales2.6%%
    Private label own brand penetration
    Category level comps and inflation deflation

    Product announcements

    2
    ProductTypeDetails
    Barbecue brisket pizzaexpansion
    Chicken wing and fries platformlaunch

    Deals & partnerships

    1
    Fikes WholesaleAcquisition of 198 CEFCO convenience stores

    Acquisition of Fikes Wholesale and its 198 CEFCO convenience stores, representing the largest transaction in Casey's history. Contributed to record unit growth in FY25.

    Capital programs

    2
    Fikes acquisition integration (kitchen installations)underway
    Start: FY25

    Benefit: Enable pizza and prepared food offerings in CEFCO stores

    No kitchen conversions built into FY26 assumptions due to permitting timelines. Assessing existing food programs to develop full scope of work. Bulk of remodeling activity for kitchens expected in FY27 and FY28.

    Fuel 3.0 (upstream fuel procurement)underway

    Benefit: Improved fuel procurement capabilities, 3% of fuel supply in Q4 FY25

    Everything has been going according to plan on the Fuel 3.0. Fikes fuel supply team integrated into Casey's team. 3% of fuel supply was through this in Q4 FY25, with plans to continue to grow.

    Risks & headwinds

    8
    Leap year impact on Q4 FY25 resultsQ4 FY25 and FY25

    Unfavorably impacted same-store and total results by approximately 100 basis points in Q4. Full year impact was approximately 25 basis points.

    Mitigation: Not applicable, a calendar effect.

    Lower margin CEFCO storesQ4 FY25 and FY26

    Unfavorably impacted prepared food margin by approximately 160 basis points in Q4. Nearly $0.02 per gallon headwind on fuel margin in Q4, expected to continue through FY26.

    Mitigation: Working on synergies, including fuel pricing, overhead rationalization, and future kitchen installations for pizza.

    Increased net interest expenseQ4 FY25

    Up $13.4 million to $27.9 million in Q4 FY25.

    Mitigation: Primarily due to financing for Fikes acquisition; company has delevered faster than anticipated to 1.9x debt-to-EBITDA.

    Dilutive impact of Fikes acquisition on EPSFY26

    Fikes acquisition will be dilutive to earnings per share in FY26.

    Mitigation: Expected as part of the acquisition, with long-term EBITDA accretion.

    Adverse weather conditionsFebruary Q4 FY25

    February Q4 FY25 comps unfavorably impacted by ~300 basis points due to adverse weather.

    Mitigation: Not applicable, external factor. Business showed strong recovery in March and April.

    Illicit vape marketOngoing

    Impacting the vape category, causing decline.

    Mitigation: Working with tobacco manufacturers for increased enforcement; offset by strong growth in nicotine alternatives (pouches up 54% in Q4).

    Higher construction costsPast couple of years, ongoing

    Construction costs have been higher in the last couple of years.

    Mitigation: Leaning into M&A to acquire and remodel stores at below replacement cost; developed land bank provides optionality for organic growth if costs change.

    Existing supply chain agreement for CEFCO storesUntil end of CY26

    Makes it more complicated to immediately run traditional Casey's play inside stores; delays inside-store procurement/mix synergies and kitchen installations.

    Mitigation: Working with incumbent supplier; planning for full integration post-contract expiration.

    What to watch in Q1 FY26

    5

    Inside same-store sales growth

    Q1 FY26
    CurrentMay within annual guidance expectations
    TargetWithin 2% to 5% range

    Why it matters

    Key indicator of consumer demand and effectiveness of inside store initiatives, especially after Q4's weather impact🌐.

    Our May experience was as follows: inside same-store sales and same-store gallons sold were within the range of our annual guidance expectations.

    Q&A highlights

    8

    How did fuel margins outperform expectations despite the CEFCO headwind, and what is the outlook for this headwind in FY26?

    Management attributed strong Q4 fuel margins to effective pricing management during volatile wholesale cost periods and progress in upstream fuel procurement. The $0.02 per gallon CEFCO headwind is expected to persist through FY26.

    our team really managed the fuel pricing environment really well during the quarter. And we had a nice run-up in wholesale costs in March and then a subsequent drop off in April. And I think that, that environment typically allows for us to capture a little bit more margin.

    asked by Anthony Bonadio · answered by Darren Rebelez

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Strategic Pillars & Unit Growth

    Fiscal 2025 marked the largest store growth year in Casey's history, adding 35 new builds and 235 acquired units, notably the Fikes Wholesale acquisition of 198 CEFCO convenience stores. This aggressive unit expansion aligns with the company's strategic pillar of growth, ensuring predictable expansion while capitalizing on significant market opportunities. The company is two years into its three-year strategic plan, which also focuses on accelerating the food business and enhancing operational efficiency.

    02

    Inside Sales Performance & Margin Expansion

    Casey's demonstrated robust inside sales performance, with total inside sales growing 10.9% for FY25 and same-store sales increasing 2.6% (7.1% on a two-year stack basis). This growth was broad-based, with prepared food and dispensed beverage sales up 10.3% (same-store up 3.5%) and grocery and general merchandise sales up 11.2% (same-store up 2.3%). The company successfully expanded its inside margin by 50 basis points year-over-year to 41.5% for FY25, attributed to effective merchandising and vendor partnerships.

    03

    Fuel Business Strength & Market Share Gains

    The fuel segment also delivered strong results, with gross profit up 11% and total fuel gallons sold increasing 13% for FY25. The average fuel margin for the year was $0.387 per gallon. Management emphasized its focus on growing market share and maximizing gross profit dollars while balancing volume and margin. New stores, including those from the Fikes acquisition, are typically higher volume, contributing significantly to total gallon growth and outpacing OPIS data in Casey's operating geographies.

    04

    Operational Efficiency & Cost Management

    Casey's continued to prioritize operational excellence, achieving a 2.4% reduction in same-store labor hours for FY25, marking the 12th consecutive quarter of such reductions. This efficiency contributed to same-store operating expenses (excluding credit card fees) increasing by only 1.7% for the year. These improvements were realized while simultaneously enhancing guest satisfaction and team member engagement, demonstrating that efficiency gains do not compromise service quality.

    05

    Consumer Behavior & Private Label Strategy

    Management observed that consumers are generally 'hanging in there,' with consistent traffic across income levels, though some lower-income consumers are modifying purchasing behavior. The company is evolving its private label strategy from a national brand equivalent approach to a tiered offering, including premium, national brand equivalent, and value-oriented products. This aims to refresh the assortment, drive incremental business, and enhance margins by catering to diverse consumer needs.

    06

    Fikes Acquisition Integration & Synergies

    The Fikes acquisition was EBITDA accretive in Q4 FY25 and is expected to be so in FY26, though dilutive to EPS. Initial synergies are being realized in fuel pricing and overhead rationalization. However, inside-store procurement, mix synergies, and the integration of Casey's pizza kitchens into CEFCO stores will be a longer-term process, primarily due to existing supply chain agreements and the extensive remodeling timelines, with the bulk of kitchen conversions expected in FY27 and FY28.

    07

    Capital Allocation & Shareholder Returns

    Casey's maintains a strong financial position with $1.2 billion in available liquidity and a debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 1.9x, having delevered faster than anticipated post-Fikes acquisition. The company increased its dividend by 14% to $0.57 per share, marking 26 consecutive years of increases. For FY26, Casey's anticipates approximately $125 million in share repurchases, funded by operating cash flow, reflecting a balanced approach to capital allocation focused on growth and shareholder returns.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.