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    CB
    Earnings call· Dec 2025(Q4 FY25)

    Chubb Q4 FY25 earnings call CB

    Feb 4, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Chubb Q4 FY25 — Record Underwriting and Investment Income Drive Strong Earnings

    Chubb delivered a record Q4 FY25, marked by outstanding P&C underwriting, robust life income, and record investment income, driving core operating income and EPS significantly higher. Despite a competitive market and increased full-year catastrophe losses, the company's diversified global operations and strategic investments in digital transformation position it for continued strong growth in operating earnings and double-digit EPS and tangible book value growth in FY26.

    Highlights

    5
    • Core operating income reached nearly $3 billion or $7.52 per share in Q4, up about 22% and 25% respectively.

    • Total company net premiums grew almost 9% in Q4, with P&C up 7.7% and Life up 17%.

    • P&C underwriting income was $2.2 billion in Q4, up 40%, with a record low combined ratio of 81.2%.

    • The underlying current accident year combined ratio (ex-agriculture) was 80.9% in Q4, almost a full point better than prior year.

    • Record adjusted net investment income of $1.8 billion in Q4, up 7.3%, contributing to $7 billion for the full year.

    Concerns

    5
    • The commercial P&C market is growing incrementally more competitive, particularly in large account property and upper middle market.

    • International retail commercial P&C rates were down 3.6% and financial lines rates were down almost 9% in Q4.

    • London wholesale business premiums were down about 1% in Q4 due to competitive conditions.

    • Property pricing was down 1.5% overall in North America, with large account and E&S property pricing down over 13.5%.

    • Full year catastrophe losses were higher than prior year, totaling $2.9 billion versus $2.4 billion.

    Guidance & targets

    5
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Adjusted net investment income
    $1.81 billion to $1.84 billion
    medium materiality
    High
    Annual core operating effective tax rate
    19.5% to 20%
    medium materiality
    High
    Operating earnings growth
    strong growth
    high materiality
    High
    EPS growth
    double-digit growth
    high materiality
    High
    Tangible book value growth
    double-digit growth
    high materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    18
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Total Company
    Total company net premiums grew in the quarter.
    almost 9%
    P&C
    Strong underwriting performance with a record low combined ratio in the quarter. Underwriting income was up 40%.
    Combined ratio: 81.2%Underlying current accident year combined ratio (ex-agriculture): 80.9%
    7.7%$2.2 billion underwriting income
    Life
    Pretax income was up just shy of 20% in the quarter.
    17%$322 million pretax income
    International P&C (Overseas General)
    Very good growth result, with rates declining in P&C and financial lines.
    Constant dollar growth: over 8%P&C rates: down 3.6%Financial lines rates: down almost 9%
    10.8%
    Global Retail (90% of Overseas General)
    Strong growth driven by consumer lines.
    Consumer premiums (A&H and personal lines): up 18.7%Commercial lines: up almost 7.5%
    12.5%
    Latin America (within Global Retail)
    Significant growth across both consumer and commercial lines.
    Consumer: up almost 18%Commercial: up 10.5%
    14.7%
    Asia (within Global Retail)
    Growth primarily driven by consumer lines, with commercial lines flat.
    Consumer: up 25%Commercial: flat
    13%
    Europe (within Global Retail)
    Solid growth in the region.
    over 7%
    London wholesale
    Impacted by more competitive market conditions across property, marine, aviation, and professional lines.
    down about 1%
    North America P&C
    Total P&C premiums grew. Excluding agriculture, premiums were up 4.7%.
    over 6.5%
    Agriculture (within North America P&C)
    Predominantly due to the profit sharing formula with the government.
    over 45%
    North America Personal Lines (ex-Agriculture)
    Strong growth in personal lines.
    more than 6%
    North America Commercial (ex-Agriculture)
    Comprised of middle market, small E&S, and large account divisions.
    4.3%
    North America Middle Market and Small Commercial
    Strong growth and new business generation.
    P&C: up 7.5%Financial lines: up 1.5%New business: up more than 17%
    over 6%
    North America Major Accounts and Specialty
    Growth impacted by property and fewer one-off LPT transactions in major accounts.
    Major/large account business: up 0.5%Westchester (E&S): up over 7.5%
    3%
    North America High Net Worth Personal Lines
    Premiums grew solidly.
    over 6%
    International Life Insurance (Asia)
    Strong growth in Asia life business.
    Constant dollar growth: almost 18%
    almost 18%
    North America Chubb Worksite Benefits
    Significant growth in this business.
    over 16.5%

    Operational metrics

    36
    Core operating income
    $3 billionup about 22%
    Q4 FY25

    Record earnings for the quarter.

    Core operating income per share
    $7.52up about 25%
    Q4 FY25

    Record earnings per share for the quarter.

    Core operating income
    just shy of $10 billionup about 9%
    FY25

    Record earnings for the full year.

    Core operating income per share
    $24.79up about 11%
    FY25

    Record earnings per share for the full year.

    Adjusted net investment income
    $1.8 billionup 7.3%
    Q4 FY25

    Record investment income for the quarter.

    Fixed income portfolio yield
    5.1%
    Q4 FY25

    Current yield on the fixed income portfolio.

    New money rate
    slightly above 5.1%
    Q4 FY25

    Average rate for new investments.

    Invested assets
    $169 billionup from $151 billion a year ago
    Q4 FY25

    Total invested assets at quarter-end.

    Capital returned to shareholders
    $1.5 billion
    Q4 FY25

    Total capital returned in the quarter.

    Capital returned to shareholders
    $4.9 billion
    FY25

    Total capital returned for the full year, representing about half of core operating income.

    Share repurchases
    $3.4 billion
    FY25

    Amount spent on share repurchases for the full year.

    Dividends
    $1.5 billion
    FY25

    Total dividends paid for the full year.

    Core operating return on tangible equity (ROTCE)
    23.5%
    Q4 FY25

    Return on tangible equity for the quarter.

    Core operating ROE
    15.9%
    Q4 FY25

    Return on equity for the quarter.

    Pretax prior period development (favorable)
    $430 million
    Q4 FY25

    Favorable development in active companies.

    Corporate runoff portfolio adverse development
    $162 million
    Q4 FY25

    Primarily related to the annual asbestos review.

    Paid-to-incurred ratio
    105%
    Q4 FY25

    Ratio for the quarter.

    Paid-to-incurred ratio
    91%
    FY25

    Ratio for the full year.

    Paid-to-incurred ratio (Excluding cats, PPD and agriculture)
    94%
    Q4 FY25

    Adjusted ratio for the quarter.

    Paid-to-incurred ratio (Excluding cats, PPD and agriculture)
    88%
    FY25

    Adjusted ratio for the full year.

    A-rated portfolio increase
    $2.7 billionfrom the prior quarter
    Q4 FY25

    Increase in the A-rated investment portfolio.

    A-rated portfolio increase
    $18.1 billionfrom the prior year
    FY25

    Increase in the A-rated investment portfolio for the full year.

    Public fixed income portfolio growth
    $6 billion9%
    FY25

    Growth in the public fixed income portfolio.

    Private investments growth
    $940 million8.5%
    FY25

    Growth in private investments.

    Core operating effective tax rate
    18.7%
    Q4 FY25

    Effective tax rate for the quarter.

    Core operating effective tax rate
    19.4%
    FY25

    Effective tax rate for the full year, slightly below guidance.

    Commercial P&C pricing (ex-fin lines and comp) North America
    up 4.3%
    Q4 FY25

    Overall pricing change in North America commercial P&C.

    Property pricing North America
    down 1.5%
    Q4 FY25

    Overall property pricing change in North America.

    Property pricing (large account and E&S) North America
    down over 13.5%
    Q4 FY25

    Significant decline in property pricing for large accounts and E&S.

    Property pricing (middle market and small commercial) North America
    up 3.7%
    Q4 FY25

    Increase in property pricing for middle market and small commercial.

    Casualty pricing North America
    up 8.5%
    Q4 FY25

    Strong increase in casualty pricing in North America.

    Financial lines pricing North America
    down 1.5%
    Q4 FY25

    Decline in financial lines pricing in North America.

    Comp middle market pricing North America
    down just under 1%
    Q4 FY25

    Slight decline in workers' compensation pricing for middle market.

    Large account risk management pricing North America
    up 6.5%
    Q4 FY25

    Increase in pricing for large account risk management.

    Homeowners pricing North America
    up over 8.5%
    Q4 FY25

    Significant increase in homeowners pricing.

    Digital transformation combined ratio improvement target
    150 basis points
    next 3 to 4 years

    Expected improvement in combined ratio from digital transformation, primarily from OpEx and claims cost efficiencies.

    Industry KPIs

    9
    MetricValueDetails
    Combined ratio81.2%%
    Capital returns$1.5 billionUSD
    ROE operating ROE15.9%%
    Catastrophe losses$365 millionUSD
    Net investment income$1.8 billionUSD
    Life specific when present$322 millionUSD
    Net premiums written earnedalmost 9%%
    Renewal rate change pricingdown 3.6%%
    Prior year reserve development$430 millionUSD

    Risks & headwinds

    6
    Market CompetitivenessQ4 FY25

    International retail commercial P&C rates down 3.6%; financial lines rates down almost 9%; London wholesale premiums down about 1%.

    Property Pricing PressureQ4 FY25

    Property pricing down 1.5% overall in North America; large account and E&S property pricing down over 13.5%.

    Financial Lines SoftnessQ4 FY25

    Financial lines remained soft.

    Mitigation: Some signs of firming in discrete classes.

    Catastrophe LossesFY25

    Full year cat losses higher than prior year ($2.9 billion vs $2.4 billion); annual industry cat losses approached $129 billion.

    Affordability and Regulatory Scrutiny in Personal Lines

    Rising loss costs in homeowners (7.5-8%) and liability (7-9%) are driving pricing.

    Mitigation: Caution against politicizing affordability to avoid availability problems; pricing is based on technical actuarial filings.

    Headwinds in AI Infrastructure Build-out

    Availability and affordability of energy to power data centers; pushback on data center locations; labor availability for construction; supply chain and cost of supply issues.

    Mitigation: Chubb is structured to provide broad global coverage and services for data centers, but acknowledges market uncertainties.

    Q&A highlights

    7

    Can Chubb sustain its excellent underlying margins in U.S. commercial lines in 2026 given the current pricing environment?

    Evan Greenberg stated that while some lines face pricing pressure, the company's broad business mix helps mitigate this. He expressed confidence in the growth of underwriting income, which contributes to EPS, but declined to give specific forward guidance on margins.

    I'm very comfortable with the combined ratios we are publishing, and I do not prognosticate the future, but I do have confidence and underwriting income for this company, growth in underwriting income contributing to that growth in EPS.

    asked by Brian Meredith · answered by Evan G. Greenberg

    2 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Record Performance Across Key Metrics

    Chubb delivered record earnings for both the fourth quarter and the full year 2025. Core operating income reached nearly $3 billion or $7.52 per share in Q4, representing increases of 22% and 25% respectively. For the full year, core operating income was just shy of $10 billion or $24.79 per share, up 9% and 11% respectively, driven by strong contributions from P&C underwriting, life income, and record investment income.

    02

    Underwriting Excellence and Combined Ratio

    The company achieved an outstanding P&C underwriting income of $2.2 billion in Q4, a 40% increase, with a record low combined ratio of 81.2%. The underlying current accident year combined ratio, excluding agriculture, was 80.9%, almost a full point better than the prior year, demonstrating strong performance across global P&C businesses. This was achieved despite full-year catastrophe losses being higher than the prior year.

    03

    Investment Income Growth

    Adjusted net investment income reached a record $1.8 billion in Q4, up 7.3%, and totaled almost $7 billion for the full year, a 9% increase. The fixed income portfolio yield stands at 5.1%, with current new money rates averaging slightly above that. Invested assets grew significantly to $169 billion from $151 billion a year ago, reflecting strong operating cash flow and positive marks to market.

    04

    Global Growth Dynamics and Regional Performance

    Total company net premiums grew almost 9% in Q4, with P&C up 7.7% and life up 17%. International P&C and U.S. agriculture businesses showed particularly strong growth, with premiums up nearly 11% and over 45% respectively. Consumer premiums in global retail, especially in Latin America and Asia, were key drivers, growing 18.7% overall, with Asia consumer up 25% and Latin America consumer up almost 18%.

    05

    Market Competitiveness and Pricing Trends

    The commercial P&C market is transitioning and becoming incrementally more competitive, particularly in large account property and upper middle market. While casualty pricing continues to firm in necessary areas, property pricing was down 1.5% overall, with large account and E&S property pricing down over 13.5%. Financial lines remained soft but showed some signs of firming in discrete classes, while international retail commercial P&C rates were down 3.6%.

    06

    Digital Transformation and Efficiency Initiatives

    Chubb is actively investing in digital transformation, focusing on 9-10 discrete projects across various geographies including North America, UK, Europe, Asia, and Latin America. The company anticipates a 150 basis points combined ratio improvement over the next 3-4 years, primarily driven by efficiencies in operating expenses and claims costs, reflecting a cultural willingness to adapt and leverage technology.

    07

    Capital Management and Shareholder Returns

    The company returned $1.5 billion of capital to shareholders in Q4, contributing to a total of $4.9 billion for the full year, which represents about half of its core operating income. This included $3.4 billion in share repurchases at an average price of $282.57 per share and $1.5 billion in dividends, underscoring strong operating cash flows and a healthy balance sheet.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.