Detailed Narrative
Strategic Investments and Growth Drivers
CBRE is strategically investing in areas with secular tailwinds, such as digital infrastructure and data center solutions. The Pearce Services acquisition in November expanded technical services capabilities in the digital infrastructure market. The integrated Data Center Solutions business is projected to reach $2 billion in revenue in 2026, growing at 20% annually, and contributed approximately 14% of core EBITDA in 2025.
AI Strategy and Impact
The company is leveraging AI for efficiency, aiming to save 25% of research costs over the next year, and to develop a knowledge advantage by better utilizing its vast real estate data. Management believes its transactional businesses (brokerage, investment) are protected from AI disruption due to the need for creativity, strategic thinking, and relationships. Physical asset creation and operation businesses are also seen as largely protected due to complexity and labor-intensive nature, with AI offering net benefits long-term.
Capital Markets Recovery
While not expecting a rapid return to peak levels, CBRE anticipates another good year for sales and financing activity in Capital Markets. The balance between asking and offering prices has narrowed, and capital is available, leading to expected double-digit growth. The recovery is projected to be slow and steady, with Q1 FY26 showing a strong start.
BOE Segment Performance and Outlook
The Building Operations and Experience (BOE) segment saw revenue growth driven by local facilities management, data center solutions, and Pearce Services. Local Facilities Management grew from $330 million in 2021 to $800 million in 2025, with global local margins slightly above the overall BOE segment. The company is proactively investing in BOE to sustain outsized growth, expecting flat margins in 2026 due to these investments, but anticipating continued margin expansion beyond 2026.
Project Management Integration and Margins
The integration of Turner & Townsend and CBRE's Legacy Project Management business is proceeding well and is expected to be largely complete in 2026. Margins in Q4 FY25 declined due to one-time📎 expenses related to conservative provisioning for receivables on large projects, but these are expected to reverse in Q1 FY26, leading to margin expansion in the segment for the year.
Free Cash Flow and Capital Allocation
CBRE generated nearly $1.7 billion in free cash flow in 2025, converting 86% of core net income, exceeding its 75%-85% target range due to strong development gains. The company allocated over $1.5 billion since Q3, including $1.2 billion for Pearce Services and nearly $400 million for share repurchases. Net leverage ended FY25 at 1.2 turns. For 2026, free cash flow conversion is expected to be within the 75%-85% range, with a headwind from 2025 cash compensation.