Skip to content
    CME
    Earnings call· Mar 2026(Q1 FY26)

    CME GROUP Q1 FY26 earnings call CME

    Apr 22, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    CME Group Q1 FY26 — Record 36.2M ADV with simultaneous volume records across all six asset classes

    CME enters 2026 from a position of structural strength: simultaneous volume records across all six asset classes and accelerating international adoption show its liquidity moat deepening as clients hedge rate and geopolitical uncertainty. Management's forward stance is to widen the plumbing rather than lift price — cross-margining, tokenized collateral, cloud migration, a stablecoin, and prediction-market distribution all aim to funnel new participants in, accepting lower per-contract economics as the deliberate engine of profitable incremental volume.

    Highlights

    5
    • Record quarterly ADV of 36.2 million contracts, up 22% YoY and ~6 million/day above any prior quarter, with record volume in all six asset classes (rates, equities, energy, ag, metals, FX) simultaneously for the first time in company history

    • Record revenue of $1.9 billion, up $238 million or 14% YoY; adjusted diluted EPS of a record $3.36, up 20% YoY; adjusted net income a record $1.2 billion

    • Record 72.8% adjusted operating margin (highest in history) and 64.9% adjusted net income margin, with $200M of the $238M revenue increase flowing to adjusted net income

    • Record market data revenue of $224 million, up 15%, marking 32 consecutive quarters of YoY growth; international ADV a record 11.4 million contracts, up 30%

    • Commodity volume grew 38% and financial products 18%; U.S. treasury open interest hit an all-time high of 36.3 million contracts; $3.2 billion returned to shareholders

    Concerns

    4
    • Blended rate per contract fell to $0.652 as record volume triggered heavier volume tiering, a crude-vs-nat-gas mix shift, and a surge in micro energy contracts (~315,000/day at ~$0.52 vs ~80,000/day a year ago), pressuring energy RPC

    • Adjusted expenses excluding license fees rose ~7% YoY in Q1 as high activity lifted variable comp and technology costs; occupancy and tech costs guided to keep growing through 2026 (Dallas, cloud)

    • Softer trading activity so far in April versus the record Q1 spikes

    • Competitive/regulatory overhang from offshore perpetual-futures venues drawing commodity volume, plus an IP dispute after the S&P Dow Jones JV granted an exclusive S&P 500 perpetual-futures license to a third party without CME's advance knowledge despite CME's 27% index-business ownership

    Guidance & targets

    5
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year 2026 adjusted operating expense (excluding license fees)
    $1.695 billion
    high materiality
    High
    FICC cross-margining client-book margin savings (customer program launching April 30)
    upward of 80%
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Full-year 2026 occupancy cost
    expected to continue growing over the year
    low materiality
    Medium
    Full-year 2026 technology expense
    expected to continue growing as cloud migration proceeds
    low materiality
    Medium
    Share repurchases funded by OSTTRA sale proceeds
    deploy remaining $758M of the $1.55B OSTTRA proceeds toward buybacks
    medium materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    5
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Commodity products (rates excluded; energy, ag, metals) — volume
    Commodity sector set records across energy, agricultural and metals; growth led by commercial customers with double-digit growth across all client segments amid geopolitical energy supply stress.
    WTI futures market share: north of 79-80%Energy open interest: +14% since Dec 31, +1% YoYMicro energy contracts ADV: ~315,000/day vs ~80,000/day YoY
    +38% (aggregate commodity-sector volume)
    Financial products (rates, equities, FX) — volume
    Financial products set records across rates, equities and FX; U.S. treasury futures and options saw unprecedented demand.
    U.S. treasury open interest: 36.3 million contracts (all-time high)
    +18% (aggregate financial-products volume)
    International (EMEA, APAC, Latin America)
    Global expansion accelerating; international business set record volume simultaneously across all six asset classes, evidencing globally-resonating value proposition.
    International ADV: 11.4 million contracts (record)Records in all six asset classes internationally; EMEA, APAC and Latin America each set record highs
    +30% (ADV growth)
    Market data & information services
    Broad-based growth from surging simulated-trading-environment participation (new retail traders), licensing policy changes (end-of-day data category), and professional subscriber growth; real-time professional subscribers remain the core revenue driver.
    32 consecutive quarters of YoY revenue growthProfessional subscribers: +1% QoQ, +2.45% YoY
    $224 million (record)+15%
    Clearing & transaction fees
    Revenue growth from record volume across all asset classes combined with volume tiering that lowers rate at higher volumes; management frames RPC decline as a deliberate driver of profitable incremental volume.
    Blended rate per contract: $0.652
    +$205 million increase (up 15% YoY)+15%

    Operational metrics

    18
    Average daily volume
    36.2 million contracts+22% YoY; ~6 million/day above any prior quarter (all-time high)
    Q1 FY26

    Highest quarterly ADV in CME Group history.

    Open interest
    up 11% YoY; up 19% since start of 2026+11% YoY, +19% YTD
    quarter-end Q1 FY26

    Reinforces CME's role as the deepest, most efficient liquidity pool.

    U.S. treasury open interest
    36.3 million contractsall-time high
    Q1 FY26

    Driven by unprecedented demand for U.S. treasury futures and options.

    Rate per contract
    $0.652declined as record volume triggered heavier volume tiering and mix shift
    Q1 FY26

    Volume tiering lowers rate at higher volumes to drive profitable incremental trading; management urges focusing on client-base growth over RPC.

    Adjusted diluted EPS (non-GAAP)
    $3.36+20% YoY (record)
    Q1 FY26

    Highest diluted EPS in company history.

    Adjusted net income (non-GAAP)
    $1.2 billionrecord; $200M of the $238M revenue increase accrued to adjusted net income
    Q1 FY26

    Record adjusted net income.

    Adjusted operating income (non-GAAP)
    $1.4 billionrecord
    Q1 FY26

    Peak operating margin in company history.

    Adjusted operating expense (non-GAAP)
    $512 million total; $405 million excluding license feesex-license up ~7% YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Full-year adjusted expense ex-license guidance of $1.695B affirmed; occupancy (Dallas) and technology (cloud) costs guided to keep growing.

    Daily margin/capital efficiency savings
    over $85 billion/dayrecord level of capital efficiency
    Q1 FY26

    Average margin savings delivered to customers; management exploring tokenization/stablecoin to grow these efficiencies further.

    Total capital returned to shareholders
    $3.2 billion
    Q1 FY26

    Buyback level doubled QoQ, partly funded by OSTTRA sale proceeds.

    Micro energy contract ADV
    ~315,000 contracts/dayup from ~80,000/day in Q1 FY25
    Q1 FY26

    Retail-driven micro energy growth is a key dampener on the weighted-average energy RPC.

    Prediction markets / event contracts cumulative volume
    surpassed 220 million contractsmarket-based contracts exceeded 30% of volume since mid-March marketing push
    since December 2025 launch through Q1 FY26

    Distribution/new-participant acquisition strategy; DraftKings connected on DCM side but no volume yet.

    Cash collateral balances and rate
    ~$149 billion avg (Q1); ~$153 billion (April)rate held steady at ~33 bps
    Q1 FY26 avg; April 2026 partial

    Cash-earnings spread; collateral balances rising into April.

    Noncash collateral balances and rate
    ~$171 billion avg (Q1); ~$174 billion (April)at ~10 bps
    Q1 FY26 avg; April 2026 partial

    Noncash collateral rising slightly into April.

    BrokerTec Chicago ADV
    +93% MoM (March); record $1.2 billion day (April 8)+93% month-over-month
    March-April 2026

    Foundation for bringing cash and futures treasury markets closer together.

    FICC cross-margining House program savings
    max ~$1.5 billion; average daily ~$1 billion
    current (House program)

    Basis for the >80% client-book savings expected from the customer-program expansion going live April 30.

    GME Dubai crude physical deliveries
    15-20 million barrels/dayuninterrupted despite Strait of Hormuz tensions
    ongoing

    Demonstrates delivery dependability of CME's global crude benchmark outside the Strait of Hormuz.

    OSTTRA sale proceeds
    $1.55 billion received; ~$758 million cash remaining at end of Q1~half deployed into repurchases across last quarter and this quarter
    Q1 FY26

    Divestiture proceeds earmarked for opportunistic share repurchases.

    Product announcements

    7
    ProductTypeDetails
    24/7 crypto tradinglaunch
    Micro Equity Index options — financial settlementupdate
    Expanded CME-FICC treasury cross-margining to end-user clientsexpansion
    Agricultural products migration to Google cloudroadmap
    Dallas testing facilitymilestone
    Tokenized cash on Google Cloud Universal Ledgerroadmap
    CME stablecoinroadmap

    Deals & partnerships

    7
    FanDuelpartnership / FCM joint venture (prediction markets & event contracts)

    Original deal aimed at markets and distribution, not sports. FanDuel's separate FCM application does not change the JV, which carries contractual restrictions barring competing alternative venues during the partnership.

    Googlepartnership (cloud migration, tokenized cash) + equity

    Multi-year partnership underpinning Dallas facility, ag-product cloud migration, and Google Cloud Universal Ledger tokenization; part of Google's original CME investment.

    DTCC / FICC (Fixed Income Clearing Corporation)cross-margining agreement

    Expansion of treasury cross-margining to end-user clients; also collaborating on tokenizing U.S. treasuries as collateral.

    Bank of Montrealtokenization project participant

    Publicly disclosed as working with CME and Google on the cash-tokenization project within the settlement-bank ecosystem.

    OSTTRA (buyer not named)divestiture$1.55 billion proceeds received

    CME divested its OSTTRA stake; proceeds directed toward opportunistic share repurchases.

    DraftKingscustomer/venue connection (prediction markets DCM)

    Multiple entities hooked up on the DCM side including DraftKings; no volume yet reported.

    S&P Dow Jones Indices JVindex licensing (dispute)

    The JV granted an exclusive S&P 500 perpetual-futures license to a third-party blockchain firm without CME's advance knowledge, despite CME owning 27% of the index business; CME has pressed its IP position and is working to realign with its partner.

    Risks & headwinds

    7
    Rate-per-contract compression from volume tiering and mix shiftQ1 FY26 and forward as volume grows

    Blended RPC $0.652; micro energy surged to ~315,000/day at ~$0.52 vs ~80,000/day a year ago; crude (lower-priced) mix shift vs nat gas

    Mitigation: Management frames lower RPC as a deliberate feature of client-base growth driving profitable incremental volume; model overall volume tiering plus crude-vs-nat-gas and micro-vs-full-size mix

    Softening trading activity into April after record Q1 spikesQ2 FY26 to date

    "a little bit of softer activity so far here in April"

    Mitigation: Activity varies across periods of the year; open interest holding and strong April participation cited in energy

    Expense growth from variable costs and expansion projectsFY2026

    Q1 adjusted expense ex-license up ~7% YoY (higher variable comp and technology); occupancy and technology guided to keep growing

    Mitigation: Full-year $1.695B ex-license guidance affirmed; costs monitored against activity levels

    Offshore perpetual-futures venues drawing commodity volumeongoing

    Explosive commodity-perp volumes on offshore platforms (silver, oil) — but in notional, not contract terms; volume surges coincided with extreme price moves (silver $50→$118→$86; oil $50→$100+→$86)

    Mitigation: Perpetuals illegal in the U.S. under the Commodity Exchange Act; auto-liquidation mechanics (winners fund losers, e.g. $1 owed paid at $0.45) make them unsuitable for institutional hedgers who need cash-futures convergence; financial customers follow end-user hedging into CME futures

    Intellectual-property dispute over S&P 500 perpetual-futures licenseongoing

    Exclusive license granted to a third party without CME's advance knowledge despite 27% index-business ownership

    Mitigation: CME engaged aggressively with S&P partners on IP; both parties working to stay aligned going forward

    Geopolitical energy supply disruption and volatilitynear-to-medium term

    ~20% of crude flows from disrupted Middle East region; Venezuela/Iran/Strait of Hormuz uncertainty; distinction between orderly (good) and disruptive headline (bad) volatility

    Mitigation: Largely a tailwind — WTI share north of 79-80% as liquidity retrenches to home exchange; resilient energy open interest (+14% since Dec 31); new hedging constituency emerging (shipping insurers/reinsurers); short-dated options helping clients manage event risk

    FanDuel launching its own FCM (potential JV competition)future

    FanDuel filed an FCM application (application, not launch)

    Mitigation: Contractual restrictions bar FanDuel from operating alternative competing venues during the CME partnership; application is precautionary for future registration requirements and does not change the relationship

    Q&A highlights

    9

    How does CME view perpetual futures as a potential retail-engagement driver, and what regulatory/market-structure hurdles exist, given exploding volumes in commodity perps on offshore platforms?

    Terry stated perpetuals are illegal in the U.S. under the Commodity Exchange Act of 2000, whose centerpiece defines a futures contract as one for future delivery, not one that never ends. He argued convergence between cash and futures is essential for the commercial hedgers/producers CME's contracts are designed for, not speculators. He cautioned that offshore perpetual venues use auto-liquidation mechanics where winners fund losers (a hedger owed $1 might get $0.45), unsuitable for institutional hedgers, and noted the silver/oil volume surges coincided with extreme price moves whose sustainability is unproven.

    First of all, perpetuals are against the law in the United States of America. That's first and foremost.

    asked by Patrick Moley · answered by Terrence Duffy

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    A clean sweep of records across every asset class

    Q1 2026 ADV of 36.2 million contracts was CME's highest ever, up 22% YoY and roughly 6 million/day above any prior quarter, and for the first time the firm set simultaneous volume records across all six asset classes — rates, equities, energy, agricultural, metals and FX. Commodity-sector volume grew 38% and financial products 18%. International ADV reached a record 11.4 million contracts (up 30%), with EMEA, APAC and Latin America each posting record highs and all six asset classes setting international records too. Open interest ended the quarter up 11% YoY and 19% since the start of 2026, while U.S. treasury open interest hit an all-time high of 36.3 million contracts.

    02

    Record financials with peak margins

    Clearing and transaction fee revenue rose 15% YoY, adding $205 million, on a blended rate per contract of $0.652 (volume tiering deliberately lowers rate at higher volumes to drive profitable incremental trading). Total revenue was a record $1.9 billion, up 14%. Adjusted expenses were $512 million ($405 million excluding license fees). Adjusted operating income of $1.4 billion produced a record 72.8% adjusted operating margin; adjusted net income was a record $1.2 billion (64.9% margin) and adjusted diluted EPS a record $3.36, up 20%. Management stressed that RPC declines should be read as a feature of client-base growth, not weakness.

    03

    Energy franchise strength amid geopolitical supply stress

    Management framed WTI as an increasingly global benchmark, with U.S. crude and Henry Hub gas exporting at record levels since the 2014 export-ban repeal and now reinforced by Middle East supply disruption (~20% of crude flows from the region). CME WTI futures share ran north of 79-80% as stressed markets retrench to core home-exchange liquidity, and the Dubai-based GME contract kept delivering 15-20 million barrels/day outside the Strait of Hormuz uninterrupted. Energy open interest is up 14% since Dec 31 and 1% YoY. Terry flagged an emerging new hedging constituency — insurers/reinsurers of high-value shipping vessels transiting conflict zones.

    04

    Prediction markets and new-participant acquisition

    Since the December 2025 launch of fully-collateralized event contracts, CME has crossed 220 million contracts and drawn over 150,000 new accounts. After a mid-March marketing push with FanDuel, market-based contracts (equity, crypto, energy, metals) exceeded 30% of prediction-market volume — validating management's original thesis that the FanDuel deal was about markets and distribution, not sports. The strategy is to capture next-generation traders earlier in their lifecycle and graduate them into futures. FanDuel's separate FCM application does not change the JV, which carries contractual restrictions against competing alternative venues.

    05

    Digital-asset, tokenization and cloud roadmap

    CME is advancing tokenization of cash via the Google Cloud Universal Ledger (Bank of Montreal disclosed as a partner), targeting go-live by year-end to enable value movement outside banking hours for 24/7 trading (crypto 24/7 goes live May 29). It is pursuing a license to issue its own stablecoin, with technology partners under evaluation, aiming to advance this year subject to regulatory timing. Two agricultural products migrate to the Google cloud by year-end, with the Dallas testing facility opening this summer. Google's preferred shares (nonvoting) converted to common during the quarter, now reflected in basic and diluted share counts.

    06

    Market data and BrokerTec Chicago momentum

    Market data revenue hit a record $224 million (+15%, 32nd consecutive quarter of YoY growth), driven by a surge in simulated-trading-environment participation feeding new retail traders, licensing policy changes (end-of-day data category), and professional subscriber growth (+1% QoQ, +2.45% YoY). Management stressed real-time professional subscribers remain the core, with licensing changes additive but not the primary driver. BrokerTec Chicago, offering smaller tick sizes and Aurora co-location, has 35+ connected clients, saw ADV grow 93% MoM in March and a record $1.2 billion day on April 8 — part of a broader effort to bring cash and futures treasury markets closer together.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.