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    CME
    Earnings call· Sep 2025(Q3 FY25)

    CME GROUP INC. CME

    Oct 22, 2025 Source

    Executive summary

    CME Group Q3 FY25 — Strong Volumes and Strategic Product Innovation

    CME Group delivered a strong Q3 FY25, marked by robust trading volumes and record open interest, driven by continued customer demand for risk management tools. The company is strategically focused on future growth through product innovation, including crypto futures expansion and new partnerships, while maintaining disciplined cost management and exploring capital deployment options for recent divestiture proceeds.

    Highlights

    5
    • Average daily volume (ADV) of 25.3 million contracts in Q3 FY25, marking the second highest third quarter ADV in the company's history.

    • Quarter and year-end open interest reached 126 million contracts, the highest at the end of September in the last 5 years.

    • Market data revenue hit a record $203 million in Q3 FY25, representing a 14% year-over-year increase.

    • Adjusted operating income margin stood at 68.4% for the quarter, reflecting strong cost discipline.

    • Adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) came in at $2.68, the third highest quarterly EPS in the company's history.

    Concerns

    4
    • Classification of sports event contracts

    • Manipulability of political prediction markets

    • Cost of 24/7 trading for other asset classes

    • High U.S. corporate and government debt

    Guidance & targets

    1
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Total adjusted operating expenses (excluding license fees)
    approximately $1.625 billion
    medium materiality
    High

    Operational metrics

    34
    Clearing and transaction fees
    $1.2 billion
    Q3 FY25

    Resulting from an average rate per contract of $0.702.

    Adjusted expenses
    $487 million
    Q3 FY25

    Reflects continued strong cost discipline.

    Adjusted expenses excluding license fees
    $405 million
    Q3 FY25

    Component of total adjusted expenses.

    Adjusted operating income margin
    68.4%
    Q3 FY25

    Achieved on adjusted operating income of $1.1 billion.

    Adjusted effective tax rate
    22.6%
    Q3 FY25

    Company's adjusted tax rate for the quarter.

    Adjusted net income
    $978 millionslightly above Q3 FY24
    Q3 FY25

    Represented the third highest quarter of any in company history.

    Adjusted diluted EPS
    $2.68slightly above Q3 FY24
    Q3 FY25

    Represented the third highest quarter of any in company history.

    Dividends paid
    $455 million
    Q3 FY25

    Dividends paid during the third quarter.

    Dividends paid
    $3.5 billion
    YTD FY25

    Total dividends paid over the first 9 months of the year.

    Adjusted EPS growth
    9%over record 2024
    YTD FY25

    Year-to-date growth in adjusted earnings per share.

    Crypto complex ADV
    340,000 contracts per dayup over 225% YoY
    Q3 FY25

    Record trading volume in the crypto complex, aided by Solana and XRP futures.

    WTI futures market share
    76%up from 74% last quarter
    Q3 FY25

    Share of WTI futures trading shifting back to CME.

    WTI options market share
    91%
    Q3 FY25

    Maintained share in WTI options markets.

    Crude and refined complex growth
    10%
    YTD FY25

    Year-to-date growth in crude and refined products.

    Natural gas complex growth
    11%
    YTD FY25

    Year-to-date growth in natural gas products.

    Natural gas complex growth
    2%
    Q3 FY25

    Growth in the natural gas complex during Q3.

    Natural gas options growth
    12%
    Q3 FY25

    Growth in natural gas options during Q3.

    BrokerTec Chicago notional traded
    Over $1 billion
    since Oct 6 launch

    Volume traded across all 7 tenors since launch.

    BrokerTec Chicago full curve quoted
    More than 90%
    trading day

    Percentage of the trading day the full curve is quoted on BrokerTec Chicago.

    BrokerTec Chicago volume at non-NY Club prices
    66%
    since launch

    Volume traded at price points not available on the BrokerTec New York Club, offering client choice.

    Cash collateral average balance
    $135 billion
    Q3 FY25

    Average cash collateral balance in the third quarter.

    Cash collateral yield
    33 bps
    Q3 FY25

    Yield earned on cash collateral.

    Noncash collateral average balance
    $156 billion
    Q3 FY25

    Average noncash collateral balance in the third quarter.

    Noncash collateral yield
    10 bps
    Q3 FY25

    Yield earned on noncash collateral.

    Cash collateral balance
    $134 billionfairly steady
    early Oct FY25

    Average cash balance in the first half of October.

    Noncash collateral balance
    $164 billionticked up a bit
    early Oct FY25

    Average noncash balance in the first half of October.

    Cash collateral percentage
    46%
    Q3 FY25

    Percentage of collateral held in cash, above the 30% minimum.

    Google-related expenses
    $27 million
    Q3 FY25

    Expenses related to the Google partnership during the quarter.

    Google-related expenses
    $71 million
    YTD FY25

    Total Google-related expenses year-to-date.

    FX Spot+ entities traded
    Over 70
    since April launch

    Number of entities that have traded on FX Spot+ since its launch, including many new to FX futures.

    FX Spot+ single day record volume
    $5.6 billion
    September 11

    Record single-day volume for FX Spot+.

    FX Spot+ single day volumes over $5 billion
    4 days
    September

    Number of days in September where FX Spot+ volumes exceeded $5 billion.

    Equity RPC impact from micros shift
    43%down from 47% last quarter
    Q3 FY25

    Micro contracts as a percentage of equity volume, impacting equity RPC.

    Credit futures sales opportunities
    300
    current

    Number of sales opportunities in the pipeline for credit futures across various client types.

    Product announcements

    11
    ProductTypeDetails
    Solana and XRP futureslaunch
    Credit futures, 1-ounce gold futures, agricultural weekly optionslaunch
    FX Spot+launch
    BrokerTec Chicagolaunch
    Cross-margin agreement with DTCCexpansion
    FTSE Russell Index derivatives licenseexpansion
    Cryptocurrency futures and options tradingexpansion
    Event-based contracts with FanDuellaunch
    Tokenized cash with Googlemilestone
    Hourly event contractslaunch
    Market data price increasesupdate

    Deals & partnerships

    2
    FanDuelDevelop and distribute event-based contracts

    Partnership to develop and distribute event-based contracts, with a focus on expanding CME's retail distribution.

    OSTTRASale of stake in OSTTRA$1.5 billion

    Sale of CME Group's stake in OSTTRA, generating significant cash proceeds for potential capital return.

    Risks & headwinds

    4
    Classification of sports event contracts

    undecided

    Mitigation: Requires federal government approval to classify as swaps, not gaming; CME will proceed accordingly if approved.

    Manipulability of political prediction markets

    directional

    Mitigation: Management expresses concern about certain political events being 'very dangerous' and 'readily manipulable markets', which is against the Commodity Exchange Act.

    Cost of 24/7 trading for other asset classes

    directional

    Mitigation: Lack of significant demand from other asset classes due to associated costs for FCMs and other entities; CME will monitor demand and market evolution.

    High U.S. corporate and government debtnext several years

    $37.5 trillion - $38 trillion

    Mitigation: Creates an 'interesting dynamic' in credit markets, with potential for active engagement in both cash U.S. treasury and corporate credit markets.

    What to watch in Q4 FY25

    5

    FanDuel partnership progress

    next quarter
    CurrentPartnership announced, event-based contracts beginning later this year.
    TargetInitial launch and adoption of event-based contracts.

    Why it matters

    This partnership is key to expanding CME's retail distribution and exploring new product categories like event-based contracts.

    Finally, we announced a partnership with FanDuel to develop and distribute event-based contracts beginning later this year, which we look forward to talking to you about today.

    Q&A highlights

    7

    Can CME Group scale its retail offering organically, or is M&A likely given the FanDuel partnership and micro complex growth?

    CME's retail strategy is vast and global, focusing on distribution and efficiencies. The FanDuel partnership provides access to 13 million potential accounts. While M&A is not off the table, the company is currently more inclined to grow organically, leveraging its credibility and existing infrastructure.

    Our retail strategy is vast, it's global, and it's going to -- I think it's going to continue to grow. It doesn't necessarily mean that you have to do an acquisition to grow that strategy.

    asked by Dan Fannon · answered by Terrence Duffy

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Strategic Growth & Product Innovation

    CME Group highlighted several successful product launches and expansions, including Solana and XRP futures, credit futures, 1-ounce gold futures, and agricultural weekly options, all of which saw record volumes in Q3. The FX Spot+ platform, launched earlier this year, set new volume records monthly, and BrokerTec Chicago, launched two weeks prior to the call, enables side-by-side trading of futures and cash products. The company also announced an extension of its cross-margin agreement with DTCC and its FTSE Russell Index derivatives license through 2037, ensuring continuity and efficiency for clients.

    02

    Retail Strategy & Prediction Markets

    Management discussed its evolving retail strategy, emphasizing distribution and efficiencies. The partnership with FanDuel aims to provide CME products to 13 million potential accounts. While the company is operationally ready to list sports events on its DCM, it awaits federal government approval to classify these as swaps rather than gaming. Management expressed caution regarding political prediction markets, viewing some as potentially manipulable and against the Commodity Exchange Act.

    03

    24/7 Trading & Tokenization Initiatives

    CME Group plans to offer 24/7 trading of cryptocurrency futures and options starting early next year, leveraging its Google Cloud transformation. The company's partnership with Google on tokenized cash is progressing, with a go-live target in 2026, which will enable value transfer outside traditional banking hours and support risk management. While prepared for 24/7 trading in other asset classes, management noted a lack of significant client demand and the associated costs for FCMs and other entities.

    04

    BrokerTec Chicago Launch and Impact

    The launch of BrokerTec Chicago on October 6 was described as successful, with over $1 billion notional traded across all 7 cash instruments in its first 2.5 weeks. The platform saw 2-sided markets and 66% of volume traded at price points not available on the BrokerTec New York Club. This initiative aims to enhance the cash franchise by sitting cash fixed income markets side-by-side with core futures and options, attracting new clients and growing the futures franchise.

    05

    Capital Deployment and Financial Discipline

    The company received approximately $1.5 billion in proceeds from the OSTTRA sale. Management indicated that a recommendation for capital deployment would be brought to the Board shortly, emphasizing CME Group's low debt-to-EBITDA ratio and disciplined approach to growth through organic means, JVs, and partnerships rather than large acquisitions. The company also highlighted its continued strong cost discipline, leading to a reduction in full-year adjusted operating expense guidance.

    06

    Market Data Growth and Pricing

    Market data revenue achieved its 30th consecutive quarter of growth, reaching a record $203 million, up 14% year-over-year. This growth was attributed to increased subscribers across professional and non-professional segments, particularly overseas in APAC and EMEA. CME Group announced a 3.5% price increase for many of its data products, effective January 1, 2026, reflecting the value and demand for its market data.

    07

    Credit Markets and Macro Environment

    Discussion around credit futures highlighted strong growth and record open interest, with 300 sales opportunities in the pipeline. Management noted the significant size of the U.S. corporate and government debt markets, totaling $37.5 trillion to $38 trillion, creating an interesting dynamic for participation in credit markets. The company sees active engagement in both cash U.S. treasury and corporate credit markets in the coming years.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.