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    CMG
    Earnings call· Mar 2026(Q1 FY26)

    CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL Q1 FY26 earnings call CMG

    Apr 29, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Chipotle Q1 FY26 — Recipe for Growth drives return to positive transactions

    Chipotle's Recipe for Growth is producing an early, transaction-led inflection, with faster-cadence menu innovation and a relaunched rewards program widening the funnel and carrying momentum into April. Management leans on below-inflation pricing to defend value while first-half margins absorb beef and freight inflation, and pairs genuine upside with a deliberately conservative full-year stance given a dynamic consumer backdrop.

    Highlights

    5
    • Revenue grew 7.4% to $3.1B with comparable sales up 0.5% and a return to positive transaction growth (transactions +60 bps)

    • Loyalty reached 32% of sales, up 300 bps YoY, and the rewards relaunch drove a ~25% increase in daily enrollees

    • Add-on protein reached nearly 25% of transactions and stayed elevated; Cilantro-Lime Sauce incidence ran ~2x prior top sauce Red Chimichurri

    • Opened 49 new restaurants (42 Chipotle); Europe now at double-digit restaurant margins with ~40% year-2 ROI and positive comps across all countries

    • Momentum stepped up in April, aided by Cilantro-Lime Sauce, the rewards relaunch and an earlier Easter

    Concerns

    6
    • Restaurant-level margin fell 250 bps YoY to 23.7% (adjusted 40 bps for legal settlements)

    • Adjusted diluted EPS of $0.24 declined 17% YoY

    • Cost of sales rose 40 bps to 29.6% on beef and freight inflation; full-year cost-of-sales inflation guided to ~4%

    • Other operating costs rose 120 bps to 15.6% on higher marketing, utility and delivery costs

    • Middle East partner-operated openings expected to be delayed/fewer due to geopolitical conditions; March softening tied to Iran conflict and gas prices

    • Hourly turnover rose in 2025 after three years of declines

    Guidance & targets

    18
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year comparable restaurant sales growth
    About flat
    high materiality
    Medium
    Q2 comparable restaurant sales growth
    Approximately +1%
    high materiality
    Medium
    Q2 menu pricing
    About 1.5%
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year menu pricing
    1% to 2%
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year cost-of-sales inflation
    Around 4%
    high materiality
    Medium
    Q2 cost of sales (% of sales)
    About 30% of sales
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Q2 labor cost (% of sales)
    Low 25% range
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Q2 other operating costs (% of sales)
    High 14% range
    low materiality
    Medium
    Marketing costs (% of sales), Q2 and full year
    Low 3% of sales
    low materiality
    Medium
    Q2 G&A (non-GAAP)
    Around $181M
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Full-year depreciation (% of sales)
    Around 3% of sales
    low materiality
    High
    Full-year effective tax rate
    24% to 26%
    low materiality
    High
    Full-year new restaurant openings (US/Canada)
    Around 350 restaurants, ~80% with Chipotlane
    high materiality
    High
    High-efficiency equipment package rollout
    2,000 restaurants by year-end
    medium materiality
    High
    Chipotle Kitchen digital makeline rollout
    All restaurants by end of year
    low materiality
    Medium
    Catering broad rollout
    Begin broad rollout toward end of year
    medium materiality
    Low
    Long-term US restaurant footprint
    7,000 restaurants over time
    high materiality
    Medium
    Catering + Build Your Own Chipotle sales mix (long term)
    Double-digit percentage of sales over time
    medium materiality
    Low

    Segment performance

    1
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Europe
    Europe reached double-digit margins and ~40% year-2 ROI, prompting a more aggressive real-estate search in Central London and Germany. At least one additional opening planned in Frankfurt this year. Performance attributed to alignment with North American standards across culinary, training, systems and operations; described as a meaningful long-term opportunity.
    Restaurant count: 29 restaurants across EuropeNew-restaurant year-2 ROI: ~40%Comparable sales: positive across all countriesRecord: strongest opening-day sales in region history at Westfield Stratford (UK)
    Double-digit restaurant margin

    Operational metrics

    16
    Digital sales mix
    $1.2B / 38.6% of sales
    Q1 FY26

    Order-ahead surpassing 20% read as consumers picking up rather than paying delivery premiums; new CDO Arlie Sisson to reassess third-party aggregators (DoorDash used as premium/faster, Uber as discount).

    Restaurant-level operating margin
    23.7%down 250 bps YoY
    Q1 FY26

    First half of the year expected to see the most YoY margin pressure as ~0.9% pricing runs well below ~mid-3% inflation; dislocation expected minimal by year-end as beef is lapped.

    Adjusted diluted EPS (non-GAAP)
    $0.24down 17% YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Non-GAAP; decline driven by restaurant-margin compression.

    Cost of sales margin
    29.6%up ~40 bps YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Enriched with driver bridge; full-year cost-of-sales inflation guided to ~4%.

    Labor cost margin
    25.7%up ~70 bps YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Q2 expected in low 25% range with low-single-digit wage inflation.

    Other operating costs margin
    15.6%up ~120 bps YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Q2 expected in high 14% range.

    Marketing expense
    3.4% of salesup ~40 bps YoY; dollar spend up ~22%
    Q1 FY26

    Analyst noted 22% Q1 marketing growth; management defends spend as margin-accretive with a brand-building tail ('sales overnight and brand over time').

    G&A expense (non-GAAP)
    $198M$204M on GAAP basis
    Q1 FY26

    Q2 non-GAAP G&A guided to ~$181M ($151M underlying + ~$30M stock comp).

    Effective tax rate
    25.4% GAAP / 25.3% non-GAAP
    Q1 FY26

    Full-year underlying rate guided to 24%-26%, subject to discrete items.

    Cash and investments balance
    $1B
    end of Q1 FY26

    Balance sheet described as strong.

    Share repurchase authorization
    $1B remaining
    end of Q1 FY26

    Q1 buybacks executed at an average price of $36.14; $1B remained under authorization at quarter-end.

    High-efficiency equipment rollout
    over 600 restaurantsincrease of 250 vs prior quarter
    as of Q1 FY26

    Time savings reinvested into throughput and hospitality rather than removed as labor; installs done overnight to avoid closures.

    Chipotle Kitchen digital makeline rollout
    over 100 restaurants
    as of Q1 FY26

    Company-built visual makeline display replacing prior text-based system to improve accuracy and ease of new-item integration.

    Add-on protein attach rate
    nearly 25% of transactionsremained elevated
    Q1 FY26

    Driven by high-protein line campaign; provides a positive mix lift.

    Catering and Build Your Own Chipotle sales mix
    over 2% of combined sales
    Q1 FY26

    Group-occasion growth layer; BYOC noted as highly incremental with modest cannibalization.

    General manager turnover
    Historically low levelsstability at a multiyear high
    Q1 FY26

    2025 hourly-turnover rise attributed to decelerating sales/fewer hours and a hospitality-driven staffing reset.

    Industry KPIs

    5
    MetricValueDetails
    Comparable sales comps+0.5%%
    Input cost inflation hedgingBeef and freight inflation
    Value affordability positioningPricing below inflation (Q1 ~0.9%)%
    Loyalty program members tier mixLoyalty = 32% of sales% of sales
    Net unit growth development pipeline49 new restaurants opened (42 Chipotle)restaurants

    Product announcements

    9
    ProductTypeDetails
    Cilantro-Lime Saucelaunch
    Chipotle Honey Chickenlaunch
    Chicken Al Pastorlaunch
    High-protein linelaunch
    Rewards program refreshupdate
    Ava Cado AI assistantexpansion
    Zipline drone delivery pilotexpansion
    Future LTOs and beverage/size innovationroadmap
    Happier hour value testroadmap

    Deals & partnerships

    3
    Ziplinepartnership (drone delivery pilot)

    Drone-delivery pilot showing encouraging early results; expanding to several more restaurants in Q2 2026.

    DoorDash / Uberpartnership (third-party delivery aggregators)

    Delivery premiums tested across both platforms; Uber used as a discount platform, DoorDash as premium/faster. Chipotle prices remain below channel peers even at elevated menu-price inflation on marketplace. New CDO Arlie Sisson to reassess aggregator strategy for H2.

    Third-party delivery platform (unnamed) for cateringpartnership (catering delivery)

    Launched within the Chicago catering pilot; broad catering rollout expected toward end of year if guest response and execution hold.

    Risks & headwinds

    6
    Restaurant-level margin compression from price running below inflationFirst half of 2026 (most YoY pressure)

    Restaurant margin -250 bps YoY to 23.7%; Q1 price ~0.9% vs ~mid-3% inflation; full-year cost-of-sales inflation ~4%

    Mitigation: Pricing to tick up with a slow/measured approach; beef costs lapped in H2, expected to make the dislocation minimal by year-end; margin expansion thereafter via price offsetting inflation plus incremental transactions

    Commodity and freight inflation (beef, freight, produce)2026, easing in H2

    Q2 cost of sales stepping to ~30%; Q2 inflation mid-single-digit, H2 low-to-mid single-digit

    Mitigation: Favorable avocado (strong Mexico crop) and dairy partially offsetting; lapping elevated beef costs in H2; no hedge coverage stated

    Middle East geopolitical disruption delaying partner-operated openings2026

    Fewer partner-operated openings than anticipated this year (not quantified)

    Mitigation: Long-term regional outlook unchanged (potential for hundreds of restaurants over time); partners and teams reported safe

    Dynamic consumer environment (Iran conflict, gas prices) dampening demandQ2 2026 and full year

    March trend softening around start of Iran conflict; Q2 comp guided to ~+1% (implies ~50 bps traffic decline vs Q1's +60 bps)

    Mitigation: Deliberately conservative full-year (about flat) and Q2 guidance; value reinforced via below-inflation pricing and menu innovation; management flags upside

    Competitive expansion in chicken/Mexican QSR conceptsOngoing

    Low levels of impact currently; early cannibalization when a competitor opens near a Chipotle, recovering by months 6-8

    Mitigation: Deep-dive analysis (New York, Florida) shows recovery to Chipotle trend and increased trade-area traffic; national marketing viewed as most efficient

    Labor: 2025 hourly-turnover increase and manager coverage gaps2025-2026

    Hourly turnover rose in 2025 after three years of declines (not quantified); manager coverage challenged across all 14 weekly peaks

    Mitigation: Q1 turnover returned to historical lows; plan to ensure GM coverage across lunch and dinner every day; apprentice role realigned to hospitality; time savings reinvested rather than removed

    Q&A highlights

    8

    Can you quantify what you're seeing in early April, and what specific QSR experience do you expect Fernando Machado to bring?

    Adam cited a nice step-up in April from an earlier Easter, the Cilantro-Lime Sauce launch (incidence ~2x, outperforming Red Chimichurri) and the rewards relaunch. Scott praised Machado's global brand-building track record and affinity for the brand.

    It's actually outperforming Red Chimichurri, which was our most popular sauce up until that point and the incidence is about 2x.

    asked by Danilo Gargiulo · answered by Adam Rymer

    4 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q1 performance and Recipe for Growth momentum

    Revenue grew 7.4% to $3.1 billion, driven by comp sales of +0.5% and a return to positive transaction growth. Management framed the quarter as ahead of expectations, supported by the high-protein line campaign, the return of Chicken Al Pastor and the launch of Cilantro-Lime Sauce, all of which drove incremental transactions. The Recipe for Growth strategy rests on five pillars: protecting/strengthening the core, modernizing the business model with technology and rewards, evolving brand and menu innovation, cultivating talent, and expanding global reach. Momentum reportedly continued into April.

    02

    Comp cadence through the quarter and into April

    January was strong on the protein campaign — double protein and single tacos rose double digits and sustained through April — but weather closed roughly half of restaurants at one point, costing about 100 bps. February improved on the Chicken Al Pastor launch (highest incidence of its three runs). March softened around the start of the Iran conflict, before a notable April step-up driven by Cilantro-Lime Sauce (incidence ~2x, outperforming Red Chimichurri), the rewards relaunch, and an Easter shift ~2 weeks earlier than the prior year. Q2 comp is guided to roughly +1%.

    03

    Margin pressure and cost outlook

    Restaurant-level margin fell 250 bps YoY to 23.7% (adjusted 40 bps for legal settlements). Cost of sales rose 40 bps to 29.6% as lower dairy/avocado and pricing were more than offset by beef and freight inflation plus higher produce usage; Q2 is expected to step up to ~30%. Labor was 25.7% (+70 bps) on wage inflation, lower AUVs and higher benefits. Other operating costs rose 120 bps to 15.6% on higher marketing, utility and delivery costs. Management expects the price-vs-inflation dislocation to be minimal by year-end as elevated beef costs are lapped.

    04

    Rewards relaunch and loyalty engagement

    Loyalty reached 32% of sales in Q1, up 300 bps YoY, on both member growth and higher frequency (Summer of Extras, Freepotle). The refreshed program drove a ~25% increase in daily enrollees and aims to widen the funnel — only ~20% of in-restaurant transactions are linked to rewards versus ~90% of app transactions. New benefits include a chips & guac welcome offer and three monthly 'Chipotle drops' (rewards on repeat), plus UX simplification and an in-development single-scan feature to earn points and pay in one step. Loyalty comps have outpaced non-loyalty for several consecutive quarters, with the gap widening.

    05

    Menu innovation cadence and group occasions

    Chipotle doubled its LTO cadence, planning four LTOs this year plus additional size and beverage innovation. Add-on protein reached nearly 25% of transactions and stayed elevated. Cilantro-Lime Sauce was the first LTO sauce on the makeline and the first with multiple sizes, delivering higher incidence than Red Chimichurri and Adobo Ranch. Chipotle Honey Chicken relaunched the day before the call. Protein LTOs typically generate a few hundred bps of transaction lift with a durable tail as new guests return. Catering (Chicago/Boston pilots plus a third-party delivery platform) and Build Your Own Chipotle together exceed 2% of combined sales, targeted at double-digit over time.

    06

    Technology, AI and throughput initiatives

    The high-efficiency equipment package (Dual-Sided Plancha, Three-Pan Rice Cooker, High-Capacity Fryer) is in over 600 restaurants (+250 QoQ), targeted at 2,000 by year-end and full portfolio by late 2027/early 2028, driving 200-400 bps of comp lift; time savings are being reinvested into throughput and hospitality rather than removed. The Chipotle Kitchen digital makeline is live in 100+ restaurants. AI assistant Ava Cado is expanding from hiring into GM operational insights, scheduling and cook-to-needs guidance. A Zipline drone-delivery pilot will expand to more restaurants in Q2.

    07

    People, leadership and global expansion

    GM turnover is at historical lows and stability at a multiyear high; the company is ensuring manager coverage across lunch and dinner and aligning the apprentice role to hospitality. Two senior hires were announced: Fernando Machado as Chief Brand Officer (ex-RBI, Unilever) and Arlie Sisson as Chief Digital Officer (ex-Hyatt). Globally, US/Canada opened 49 in Q1 (on track for ~350 full year); Europe reached 29 restaurants with double-digit margins, ~40% year-2 ROI and positive comps across all countries (record UK opening-day sales at Westfield Stratford). Middle East partner openings face geopolitical delays; Mexico and South Korea openings are expected in 2026, Singapore in 2027.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.