Skip to content
    COHR
    Earnings call· Mar 2026(Q3 FY26)

    COHERENT Q3 FY26 earnings call COHR

    May 6, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Coherent Q3 FY26 — AI datacenter demand drives record revenue and a new growth inflection

    Coherent has crossed into a faster growth phase as AI datacenter optical demand converts into record backlog and near-term shipments, with management framing the June quarter as a new inflection point and fiscal '27 growth set to exceed fiscal '26. The thesis now hinges on execution — ramping supply-constrained indium phosphide and new OCS/CPO/multi-rail platforms — rather than demand, which management calls exceptional with no signs of attenuation.

    Highlights

    5
    • Record revenue of $1.8B, up 7% sequentially and 21% YoY (pro forma +9% seq / +27% YoY excluding divested A&D and Munich businesses), with YoY growth accelerating vs the prior quarter

    • Datacenter & Communications reached 75% of total revenue and grew more than 40% YoY; within it data center revenue rose 13% seq / 37% YoY and Communications rose 16% seq / 60% YoY

    • Non-GAAP gross margin expanded to 39.6% (+57 bps seq, +105 bps YoY) and non-GAAP operating margin rose to 20.3%, driving non-GAAP EPS of $1.41 (+9% seq, +55% YoY)

    • Cash balance rose to $3.0B (from $1.5B) after NVIDIA's $2B equity investment; debt leverage cut to 0.5x from 1.7x in Q2 and 2.1x a year ago after $162M of debt payments

    • Record bookings and backlog with order visibility now extending into calendar 2028 and customer LTAs reaching the end of the decade

    Concerns

    3
    • Industrial segment revenue declined modestly both sequentially and YoY on a pro forma basis, reflecting continued softness in parts of the broader industrial market

    • Industry-wide indium phosphide capacity remains the key constraint, with supply (not demand) the limiting factor on near-term shipments

    • Capital expenditures surged to $290M (from $154M in Q2 and $112M a year ago) and are guided to increase again sequentially in Q4, pressuring near-term free cash flow

    Guidance & targets

    19
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Q4 FY26 revenue
    $1.91B-$2.05B
    high materiality
    High
    Q4 FY26 non-GAAP gross margin
    39%-41%
    high materiality
    High
    Q4 FY26 total non-GAAP operating expenses
    $360M-$380M
    medium materiality
    High
    Q4 FY26 non-GAAP tax rate
    18%-20%
    low materiality
    High
    Q4 FY26 non-GAAP EPS
    $1.52-$1.72
    high materiality
    High
    Fiscal 2027 revenue growth rate
    Above fiscal 2026 growth rate
    high materiality
    Medium
    Q4 FY26 (June quarter) sequential revenue growth
    Strong sequential growth / acceleration vs prior quarter
    high materiality
    High
    Internal indium phosphide capacity doubling
    Double internal indium phosphide output capacity
    high materiality
    High
    Internal indium phosphide capacity (calendar 2027)
    More than double internal indium phosphide capacity again
    high materiality
    Medium
    Long-term non-GAAP gross margin target
    Greater than 42%
    high materiality
    Medium
    Q4 FY26 capital expenditures
    Increase sequentially
    medium materiality
    High
    800 gig transceiver revenue
    Grow year-over-year in calendar 2026
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Data center revenue growth (current quarter)
    Further acceleration
    high materiality
    High
    OCS (optical circuit switch) revenue
    Grow this quarter and strong sequential growth over coming quarters
    medium materiality
    Medium
    CPO (co-packaged optics) scale-out revenue
    Begin ramping in second half of calendar 2026
    high materiality
    Medium
    CPO (co-packaged optics) scale-up revenue
    Begin ramping in second half of calendar 2027
    high materiality
    Low
    Multi-rail systems revenue
    Begin ramping in first half of calendar 2027
    medium materiality
    Low
    Thermal solutions revenue (data center XPU cooling / thermoelectric generators)
    Begin ramping in second half of calendar 2027
    low materiality
    Low
    Industrial segment revenue
    Improving demand to begin contributing to revenue growth in current quarter, with further sequential improvement through the balance of the calendar year
    medium materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    2
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Datacenter & Communications
    Primary driver of company growth, with growth accelerating again this quarter. Data center strength is broad-based across multiple customers and product categories; Communications strength spans DCI/scale-across (ZR/ZR+), traditional telecom, and a components-to-systems portfolio. New growth vectors (OCS, CPO, multi-rail) layer on top.
    Data center revenue: +13% QoQ, +37% YoY (second consecutive quarter of double-digit sequential growth)Communications revenue: +16% QoQ, +60% YoYSegment share of total company revenue: 75%
    75% of total company revenue (~$1.35B implied)More than 40% YoYnot statedPrimary source of company gross margin expansion (both seq and YoY); driven by cost reductions, 6-inch InP yield, and pricing optimization
    Industrial
    Continued softness in parts of the broader industrial market, but encouraging signs of improvement — especially in semicap, where bookings rose meaningfully — expected to contribute to revenue growth in the current quarter and improve sequentially through the calendar year. Longer term, industrial materials tech (Thermadite, thermoelectric generators) is being repurposed for AI data center thermal/power applications.
    Semiconductor capital equipment bookings: increased meaningfully
    not stated (implied ~25% of total as remainder)Declined modestly YoY (pro forma)Declined modestly QoQBenefited from pricing optimization (contributor to company GM)

    Operational metrics

    7
    Non-GAAP gross margin
    39.6%+57 bps QoQ (vs prior quarter); +105 bps YoY
    Q3 FY26

    Non-GAAP figure; enriched with driver breakdown. 6-inch InP contributes via <half-the-cost structure; pricing optimization increased significantly QoQ and was sizable in DC&C.

    R&D expense as a percentage of revenue
    9.9%Up from 9.4% in prior quarter and 9.4% in year-ago quarter
    Q3 FY26

    R&D dollar increase focused on multiple short- and long-term growth drivers; part of total non-GAAP opex of $348M (vs $321M prior, $297M year-ago).

    SG&A expense as a percentage of revenue
    9.4%Down from 9.6% in prior quarter and 10.4% in year-ago quarter
    Q3 FY26

    Continued SG&A leverage and efficiency gains offsetting R&D growth.

    Debt leverage ratio
    0.5xDown from 1.7x in Q2 and 2.1x in the year-ago quarter
    Q3 FY26 (as of 2026-03-31)

    Balance sheet strengthened via $162M of debt payments during the quarter and the NVIDIA equity inflow.

    Debt repayments
    $162M
    Q3 FY26

    Debt payments made during the quarter, contributing to the reduction in leverage to 0.5x.

    Pro forma revenue growth
    +9% QoQ, +27% YoYvs reported +7% QoQ / +21% YoY
    Q3 FY26

    Pro forma (organic ex-divestitures) growth is the cleaner underlying read; reported figures are held from the filing.

    Divested Munich product division revenue contribution
    $8M in Q3; ~$25M average quarterly revenue over prior 4 quarters
    Q3 FY26 (division sold end of January 2026)

    Provided for modeling the pro forma revenue base; the below-corporate margin means the divestiture is modestly accretive to gross margin.

    Industry KPIs

    12
    MetricValueDetails
    M a contributionDivestitures: Munich product division (~$25M avg quarterly revenue over prior 4 quarters, $8M in Q3; GM well below corporate; closed end of Jan 2026) and Aerospace & Defense (sold Q1)USD
    Orders book to billRecord bookings and record backlog; bookings up substantially vs prior quarter ('step function' increase)
    Long term agreementsNVIDIA multiyear supply agreement (through end of decade) plus additional LTAs; a couple signed in prior quarter, more expected to close this quarter, 'significant in size'
    Segment revenue growthDatacenter & Communications >+40% YoY (75% of revenue); Industrial declined modestly% growth
    Multi year framework targets>42% long-term non-GAAP gross margin target (Investor Day)%
    Ai data center content revenueDatacenter & Communications (AI-driven) = 75% of total revenue, growing >40% YoY% of revenue
    Design wins product cycle rampsTransceivers: 800G growing plus rapid 1.6T ramp; CPO scale-out H2 CY26 and scale-up H2 CY27; multi-rail H1 CY27; 400G SiPho (3.2T) demonstrated at OFC
    Order visibility backlog policyOrder visibility extends into calendar 2028; LTAs extend to end of decade
    Supply demand imbalance lead timesSupply (not demand) is the gating factor; indium phosphide is the key industry constraint; OCS internal-component bottleneck recently resolved
    Capacity expansion internal sourcingInternal indium phosphide capacity to double by end CY26 (one quarter early) and more than double again by end CY27 (~4x over two years)
    End market revenue mix organic growthDatacenter & Communications = 75% of total revenue; Industrial ~25% (remainder)% of revenue / % growth
    Operating margin incremental leverageNon-GAAP operating margin 20.3%%

    Orderbook & backlog

    1
    Backlog and bookings (orders)Record backlog and record bookings; bookings up substantially vs the prior quarterQ3 FY26 (as of 2026-03-31)

    Another 'step function' increase in the order book; record level

    Orders now extend into calendar 2028; customer LTAs extend to the end of the decade. Increasingly translating into near-term shipment/revenue as capacity expands; specific book-to-bill ratio and dollar backlog not disclosed.

    Product announcements

    7
    ProductTypeDetails
    Optical Circuit Switch (OCS) systemsexpansion
    Co-packaged optics (CPO) solutionsroadmap
    Multi-rail systems (Communications)roadmap
    Data center thermal solutions (Thermadite XPU cooling & thermoelectric generators)roadmap
    First transceivers with 6-inch indium phosphide componentsmilestone
    400-gig-per-lane silicon photonics (3.2T)milestone
    200-gig and 400-gig VCSELsroadmap

    Deals & partnerships

    4
    NVIDIAStrategic partnership + equity investment + multiyear supply agreement (CPO)$2B equity investment (announced March 2, 2026); multibillion-dollar multiyear supply agreementSupply agreement extends through the end of the decade

    Covers multiple CPO-related products and solutions. NVIDIA is Coherent's lead CPO customer; Sherman, TX facility will ramp CW laser production supporting the partnership. Initial scale-out CPO revenue H2 CY26, scale-up H2 CY27.

    Multiple strategic customers (hyperscalers and system manufacturers)Long-term supply agreements (LTAs)Not disclosed individually; described as 'significant in size'; include upfront customer capex investmentMultiyear demand commitments (some extending to end of the decade)

    Each LTA typically has three parts: upfront customer capex investment ('skin in the game'), a Coherent supply commitment, and a minimum demand commitment. Spans both hyperscalers and system customers within Datacenter & Communications.

    Munich, Germany product division (divested buyer unnamed)Divestiture

    Sold in fiscal Q3; excluded from pro forma revenue growth figures.

    Aerospace & Defense business (divested buyer unnamed)Divestiture

    Portfolio pruning; referenced as one of the two divested businesses backed out of pro forma growth.

    Capital programs

    3
    6-inch indium phosphide capacity expansionunderway
    Period spend: Company capex of $290M in Q3 FY26 (up from $154M in Q2 and $112M year-ago), focused on internal capacity; guided to increase again in Q4
    Funding: Coherent capital expenditures plus upfront customer investments embedded in LTAs (customer 'skin in the game')
    Start: Ramp underway; Texas (Sherman) first, then Sweden

    Benefit: Roughly quadruples InP capacity over two years; 6-inch yields >4x devices at less than half the cost of 3-inch; EML/CW/PD yields all exceed 3-inch; ~half of internal InP capacity to be 6-inch by end of CY26

    Highest-priority capacity program; the key constraint for Coherent and the industry. Directly tied to gross margin expansion and revenue growth acceleration; Sherman TX also key for ramping CW laser production for CPO including the NVIDIA partnership.

    OCS (optical circuit switch) production capacity rampunderway
    Period spend: not separately stated
    Start: Bottleneck recently resolved; ramping now

    Benefit: Rapid output ramp across two production facilities after resolving an internal-component bottleneck

    Management dramatically improved internal component production, unlocking a faster OCS production ramp over the last month or two; expected to convert backlog into shipments.

    SG&A efficiency / ERP consolidation programunderway
    Spent to date: Majority of the company now on a single ERP platform
    Start: In progress

    Benefit: SG&A leverage/efficiency (SG&A fell to 9.4% of revenue); low-cost regional shared services in G&A

    Cost/productivity program driving G&A efficiency alongside the capacity build-out.

    Risks & headwinds

    6
    Industrial market softnessQ3 FY26; improvement expected to begin in Q4 FY26

    Industrial revenue declined modestly both sequentially and YoY on a pro forma basis

    Mitigation: Semiconductor capital equipment bookings increased meaningfully; expected to contribute to revenue growth in the current quarter and improve sequentially through the calendar year; longer-term AI-data-center thermal applications.

    Indium phosphide capacity constraint (industry-wide)Ongoing; easing as capacity doubles a quarter early (June quarter) and more than doubles again by end CY27

    Cited as the key constraint for Coherent and the industry; supply is the gating factor limiting near-term shipments (unquantified)

    Mitigation: 6-inch InP ramp (>4x devices at <half cost) across Texas, Sweden and Zurich; capacity allocated to highest-margin-dollar products.

    Supply/production bottlenecks constraining new-product ramps (OCS)Recently resolved (last month or two)

    Internal-component production had been pacing OCS capacity expansion (unquantified)

    Mitigation: Dramatically improved internal component output; ramping across two facilities in parallel.

    Rising capital intensity / capex step-upQ3 FY26 and continuing into Q4 FY26

    Capex rose to $290M (from $154M in Q2 and $112M year-ago) and guided to increase again sequentially in Q4

    Mitigation: Disciplined capital allocation; upfront customer investment in LTAs helps fund capacity; strong balance sheet (leverage 0.5x, $3B cash).

    External component price inflation (e.g., EML/laser pricing increases)Ongoing

    Not quantified; management notes reported laser/EML price increases in the market

    Mitigation: Most transceiver components internally sourced, buffering external increases; successful pass-through or offset of higher external component prices; healthy pricing dynamics from supply-demand imbalance.

    Customer concentration in CPO / hyperscaler dependencyAs CPO ramps from H2 CY26

    Not quantified — NVIDIA is the lead CPO customer, though multiple other customers are engaged

    Mitigation: Broadening customer engagement across CPO/MPO; wide portfolio of CPO components reduces single-solution dependency.

    Q&A highlights

    8

    What is driving the implied acceleration in the June quarter guide, on both the demand and supply sides?

    Management sees the June quarter as a new inflection point; demand is exceptional with record bookings and orders extending into calendar 2028, but the focus is on ramping supply — especially indium phosphide capacity, which doubles a quarter early — plus incremental growth vectors (OCS, CPO from H2 CY26, multi-rail from H1 CY27, thermal from H2 CY27).

    We really believe the current June quarter kind of represents a new inflection point in our revenue growth rate moving forward

    asked by Samik Chatterjee · answered by James Anderson

    4 min read8 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Record backlog and multi-year demand visibility

    Management reported another 'step function' increase in the order book, driving backlog to a record level, with record bookings substantially above the prior quarter. Order visibility now extends into calendar 2028 and customer LTAs reach the end of the decade, and management characterized demand as exceptionally strong and broad-based across multiple customers and product categories with no signs of attenuation. The company frames the June quarter as a new inflection point in its revenue growth rate, with supply — not demand — as the gating factor.

    02

    6-inch indium phosphide capacity ramp

    Indium phosphide has been the key constraint for Coherent and the industry. The 6-inch platform delivers more than 4x the devices at less than half the cost of 3-inch, and yields on all three device types (EMLs, CW lasers, photodiodes) already exceed 3-inch yields. The Sherman, Texas facility ramped first and shipped the first transceivers containing 6-inch-produced components this quarter, contributing to both sequential revenue and gross margin. Sweden is in production and a third site in Zurich was announced, with output expected to begin in early calendar 2027. Internal InP capacity is on track to double one quarter early (June quarter) and more than double again by end of CY27; by the end of this year roughly half of capacity will be 6-inch.

    03

    Data center transceivers — 800G and 1.6T

    Data center revenue grew 13% sequentially and 37% YoY, a second consecutive quarter of double-digit sequential growth. Management expects 800 gig revenue to grow YoY in calendar 2026 while 1.6T ramps rapidly through the balance of the year and into next, with a broad range of customers adopting 1.6T; the 1.6T ramp is running faster than expected a year ago and drives a good portion of current-quarter sequential growth. The 1.6T ramp uses both EML and silicon-photonics-based transceivers (both requiring InP-based CW lasers), with no significant gross margin difference between the two; mix is determined by customer application. A 400-gig-per-lane silicon photonics capability enabling 3.2T was demonstrated at OFC.

    04

    OCS and CPO growth vectors

    Coherent raised its OCS market opportunity to over $4B, citing expanding use cases across data center interconnect, scale-out and scale-up networks. A recently resolved internal-component bottleneck now allows OCS output to ramp rapidly across two facilities. CPO is framed as a transformational, >$15B incremental opportunity; the NVIDIA partnership covers multiple CPO products (high-power CW laser, external laser source module, fiber attach unit with micro-lens arrays and polarization-maintaining fiber). Initial scale-out CPO revenue begins H2 CY26 and scale-up CPO in H2 CY27, with NVIDIA as lead customer and multiple others engaged across CPO and MPO opportunities.

    05

    Communications, scale-across and multi-rail

    Communications revenue accelerated to 16% sequential and 60% YoY growth, driven by data center interconnect (ZR/ZR+ transceivers), scale-across and traditional telecom. The portfolio spans components (pump lasers), modules (100G/400G/800G ZR/ZR+), line cards, amplifiers and full systems, with LTAs in place. Multi-rail — addressing bandwidth between increasingly distributed AI data centers — is a new full-system product with a market sized at least $2B; management describes highly differentiated underlying component technology and a higher gross margin structure, with initial revenue in H1 CY27.

    06

    Gross margin expansion drivers

    Non-GAAP gross margin reached 39.6%, up 57 bps sequentially and 105 bps YoY, marking sequential improvement in 7 of the past 8 quarters (~530 bps cumulative). Drivers are cost reductions (notably 6-inch InP at roughly half the cost), yield improvements, and pricing optimization, each of which increased significantly QoQ. Improvements were predominantly in Datacenter & Communications, and pricing optimization was 'quite sizable' in that segment as well as industrial. Management reiterated its >42% long-term gross margin target and characterized the trajectory as early stage.

    07

    Industrial segment and data center thermal opportunity

    Industrial revenue declined modestly both sequentially and YoY on a pro forma basis amid continued softness, but semiconductor capital equipment bookings increased meaningfully and are expected to contribute to revenue growth in the current quarter. Longer term, Coherent is repurposing industrial materials technology for AI data centers: Thermadite (a proprietary material offering 2x-5x better heat transfer than copper for XPU/ASIC cooling) and thermoelectric generators for waste-heat recovery, both with revenue expected to begin in H2 CY27.

    08

    Balance sheet, capital allocation and NVIDIA investment

    Cash rose to $3.0B from $1.5B, primarily on NVIDIA's $2B equity investment announced March 2, 2026. The company made $162M of debt payments, cutting the debt leverage ratio to 0.5x from 1.7x in Q2 and 2.1x a year ago. Capital expenditures rose to $290M (from $154M and $112M) to expand internal capacity and are guided higher again in Q4. Capital allocation is focused on capacity expansion and the R&D road map; new LTAs typically include upfront customer capex investment, a supply commitment, and a minimum demand commitment.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.