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    CRDO
    Earnings call· Feb 2026(Q3 FY26)

    Credo Technology Group Holding Q3 FY26 earnings call CRDO

    Mar 2, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Q3 FY26 — Record Revenue and Strong AI Connectivity Growth

    Credo Technology Group delivered record Q3 FY26 results, driven by robust demand for its AI infrastructure connectivity solutions, particularly Active Electrical Cables (AECs) and optical DSPs. The company is strategically expanding its product portfolio with Zero Flat Optics, Active LED Cables (ALCs), and Omni Connect, positioning for sustained growth in the evolving AI and data center landscape. Management emphasized operational excellence and supply chain confidence as key differentiators.

    Highlights

    5
    • Achieved record revenue of $407 million, representing a 52% sequential increase and over 200% year-over-year growth.

    • Delivered non-GAAP gross margin of 68.6%, exceeding guidance and up 92 basis points sequentially.

    • Reported record non-GAAP net income of $208.8 million, a 63% sequential increase and quadrupling from Q3 last year.

    • Generated strong free cash flow of $139.7 million, an increase of over $100 million from the prior quarter.

    • Began production shipments of Zero Flat Optics with a first Neocloud customer, ahead of schedule, with a significant ramp expected in Q1 FY27.

    Concerns

    2
    • Q4 FY26 non-GAAP gross margin is guided lower to a range of 64% to 66%, compared to 68.6% in Q3 FY26, due to product mix and conservative forecasting.

    • The fourth hyperscaler customer may not represent greater than 10% of revenue for the full fiscal year 2026, primarily due to significant upside from other customers.

    Guidance & targets

    12
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Q4 FY26 Revenue
    $425 million to $435 million
    high materiality
    High
    Q4 FY26 Non-GAAP Gross Margin
    64% to 66%
    medium materiality
    High
    Q4 FY26 Non-GAAP Operating Expenses
    $76 million and $80 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Q4 FY26 Diluted Weighted Average Share Count
    approximately 197 million shares
    low materiality
    High
    FY27 Revenue Growth
    mid-single digits sequential, more than 50% year-over-year
    high materiality
    Medium
    Zero Flat Optics Production Ramp
    significant production ramp beginning in first quarter of fiscal '27 and continuing throughout the year
    high materiality
    High
    PCIe Gen6 ADCs Mass Production
    released to mass production in first half fiscal '27
    medium materiality
    High
    PCIe Gen6 Retimers Production Revenue
    convert to production revenue in fiscal '27
    medium materiality
    High
    Active LED Cables (ALCs) Sampling and Qualification
    sample and qualify our first ALC products in fiscal '27
    medium materiality
    High
    Active LED Cables (ALCs) Production Ramp
    production ramp in fiscal 2018
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Omni Connect First Gearbox Production Ramp
    production ramp for the first omniconnect gearbox to be in fiscal '28
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Long-term Non-GAAP Gross Margin
    63% to 65% range
    medium materiality
    High

    Operational metrics

    20
    Revenue
    $407 millionup 52% sequentially and more than 200% from Q3 last year
    Q3 FY26

    Record revenue achieved in the third fiscal quarter.

    Non-GAAP Gross Margin
    68.6%up 92 basis points sequentially
    Q3 FY26

    Gross margin above the high end of guidance range.

    Non-GAAP Operating Expenses
    $77.4 millionup 35% sequentially
    Q3 FY26

    Operating expenses above the high end of guidance due to R&D investment.

    Non-GAAP Operating Income
    $201.8 millioncompared to $124.1 million in Q2
    Q3 FY26

    Demonstrable increase due to top-line growth leverage.

    Non-GAAP Operating Margin
    49.6%compared to 46.3% in the prior quarter, a sequential increase of 327 basis points
    Q3 FY26

    Operating margin demonstrating substantial leverage.

    Non-GAAP Net Income
    $208.8 million63% sequential increase compared to $127.8 million in Q2; quadrupled from Q3 of last year
    Q3 FY26

    Record high net income demonstrating top-line growth, strong gross margins, and disciplined expense scaling.

    Non-GAAP Net Margin
    51.3%
    Q3 FY26

    Net margin for the quarter.

    Capital Expenditure
    $26.5 million
    Q3 FY26

    CapEx driven largely by purchases of production mask sets.

    Cash and Equivalents Balance
    $1.3 billionincrease of $487.9 million from the second quarter
    Q3 FY26 end

    Increase driven by ATM offering proceeds and strong free cash flow.

    Inventory
    $208 millionup $57.8 million sequentially
    Q3 FY26 end

    Ending inventory for the quarter.

    Revenue Growth FY24-FY25
    more than doubled
    FY24 to FY25

    Historical revenue growth rate.

    Revenue Growth FY25-FY26
    triple
    FY25 to FY26

    Expected revenue growth rate for the current fiscal year.

    Revenue Growth FY24-FY26
    greater than 6x
    FY24 to FY26

    Cumulative revenue growth over a two-year period.

    AEC Reliability vs. Laser-based Optics
    up to 1,000x better
    Current

    AECs deliver significantly better reliability than commodity laser-based optics.

    AEC Power Consumption vs. Laser-based Optics
    roughly half
    Current

    AECs consume roughly half the power of commodity laser-based optics.

    AEC Reach
    up to 7 meters
    Current

    AECs are de facto standard for intra-rack and rack-to-rack connectivity.

    Omni Connect Weaver Memory I/O Density Improvement
    10x improvement
    Current

    First Omni Connect product, Weaver, enables significant memory beachfront I/O density improvement.

    Top Customer 1 Revenue Share
    39%
    Q3 FY26

    Largest customer in Q3, also largest in Q1.

    Top Customer 2 Revenue Share
    32%
    Q3 FY26

    Second largest customer in Q3, was largest in Q2.

    Top Customer 3 Revenue Share
    17%
    Q3 FY26

    Third largest customer in Q3, was the first hyperscaler to ramp.

    Industry KPIs

    5
    MetricValueDetails
    Ai data center revenueStrong growth
    Design wins socket pipelineFiscal 26 design wins
    Inventory channel inventory$208 millionUSD
    Node platform ramp schedule100 gig per lane, 200 gig per lane, 400 gig per lanegig per lane
    End market segment revenue mixTop 3 customers were 39%, 32%, and 17% of revenue%

    Product announcements

    5
    ProductTypeDetails
    Zero Flat Opticslaunch
    PCIe Gen6 ADCsmilestone
    Blue Heronlaunch
    Active LED Cables (ALCs)roadmap
    Omni Connect Weaverlaunch

    Deals & partnerships

    1
    Chimeraacquisition

    Acquisition of Chimera, an IP partner since 2022, known for protocol IP, error correction, and security IP technologies. Strengthens Credo's ability to deliver complete system-level connectivity solutions and will accelerate end-to-end connectivity roadmap.

    Risks & headwinds

    4
    Q4 FY26 Non-GAAP Gross Margin DeclineQ4 FY26

    Guided to 64%-66% from 68.6% in Q3 FY26

    Mitigation: Attributed to product mix and conservative forecasting; long-term gross margin expectation remains 63%-65%.

    Memory (HBM) Supply Chain TightnessCurrent

    HBM is probably the tightest area within the memory market

    Mitigation: OmniConnect Weaver product offers a solution by enabling the use of DDR over HBM.

    Laser Supply Chain for Optical ProductsCurrent and future

    Industry-wide concern

    Mitigation: Credo has underpinned its demand for Zero Flat Optics for FY27 and beyond, making firm commitments to supply chain partners.

    Customer ConcentrationQ3 FY26

    Top customer was 39% of revenue in Q3 FY26; top 3 customers were 39%, 32%, and 17% of revenue in Q3 FY26

    Mitigation: Company continues to make progress in diversifying its customer base across hyperscalers, Neoclouds, and other customers; customer mix will vary quarter-to-quarter.

    Q&A highlights

    7

    How does the ZF Optics ramp compare to AECs, and will customer engagement be similar in scale and pattern?

    Bill Brennan stated that the ZF Optics ramp is ahead of schedule, with production units already shipped and a significant ramp expected in Q1 FY27. Customer activity is very similar to AECs, with strong interest from hyperscalers and Neoclouds, driven by the product's superior reliability.

    moving from providing samples to going right into qualification with the customers, what we're seeing. And so that's why we highlighted the fact that although last quarter, we signaled that the ramp would occur in second half fiscal '27, we feel confident now saying that, that ramp is going to start in first quarter, noting that we've already shipped production units.

    asked by Thomas O'Malley · answered by William Brennan

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    AI Infrastructure Connectivity Strategy

    Credo's core mandate is maximizing network reliability and energy efficiency for AI infrastructure, which is crucial for accelerating cluster bring-up, maximizing XPU utilization, and reducing total cost of ownership. The company aims to lead in reliability, power efficiency, and signal integrity across the entire data center connectivity fabric, from die-to-die links to facility-wide optical solutions. This strategy addresses the growing demands for higher bandwidth and faster data rates driven by AI workloads, which are transitioning from 100 gig to 200 gig per lane and towards 400 gig per lane.

    02

    Active Electrical Cable (AEC) Product Line Growth

    The AEC product line delivered strong growth in Q3 FY26, driven by existing customers and new wins, including a fifth hyperscaler. Demand is accelerating across both hyperscalers and emerging Neocloud providers, with AECs becoming the de facto standard for intra-rack and rack-to-rack connectivity up to 7 meters. AECs offer significant advantages, including up to 1,000x better reliability and roughly half the power consumption compared to commodity laser-based optics, which is critical for AI clusters where downtime is costly. The company is supporting large-scale 100 gig per lane deployments and is prepared for the industry's shift to 200 gig per lane or 1.6 terabit ports.

    03

    IC Business Expansion and PCIe Solutions

    Credo's IC business, encompassing retimers and optical DSPs, supports copper and optical connectivity across 50 gig, 100 gig, and 200 gig per lane speeds. Strong optical DSP growth is expected in FY26, driven by 100 gig deployments and increasing traction at 200 gig. Ethernet retimers are seeing significant growth in traditional switching fabrics and the rapidly expanding AI server segment. PCIe Gen6 retimers are on track for FY26 design wins to convert to production revenue in FY27, offering industry-leading reach, latency, and power efficiency. The new Blue Heron 200 gig per lane retimer is purpose-built for AI scale, supporting UALink, Ethernet, and E.SUN protocols.

    04

    Zero Flat Optics Progress and Market Impact

    Progress with Zero Flat Optics is ahead of schedule, with production shipments initiated to a first Neocloud customer (Tensor Way) and qualification underway with three additional customers, including hyperscalers. This product addresses major data center challenges by providing real-time telemetry and autonomous detection/mitigation of potential link failures, significantly improving network reliability beyond what traditional laser-based optics can offer. This innovation expands Credo's total addressable market by addressing optical connectivity across various lengths within the data center, with a significant production ramp expected to begin in Q1 FY27.

    05

    New Product Initiatives: ALCs and Omni Connect

    Credo is extending its product portfolio with Active LED Cables (ALCs) and Omni Connect. ALCs apply the AEC system-level philosophy to mid-reach optical connectivity, combining Credo's architecture with micro LED expertise to deliver reliability and power efficiency up to 30 meters, bridging the gap between AECs and conventional optical modules. ALCs are expected to sample and qualify in FY27, with production ramp in FY28. Omni Connect expands Credo's reach inward towards silicon, combining BSR SerDes with gearboxes for XPU connectivity. The first product, Weaver, enables a 10x improvement in memory beachfront I/O density, supporting composable XPU architectures for training and inference workloads, with a production ramp expected in FY28.

    06

    Operational Excellence and Supply Chain Management

    The company highlighted its silicon operations and system product operations teams for their outstanding job in managing supply, scaling production, and executing flawlessly amidst significant upside demand. This operational excellence has become a distinct competitive advantage, enabling record performance and reinforcing customer trust. Management expressed confidence in its supply chain for wafers (across 12nm, 7nm, 5nm, and 3nm nodes) and packaging, noting that supply chain management is increasingly a differentiator in the current market. While memory (HBM) supply is tight, Omni Connect offers a solution by enabling DDR over HBM.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.