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    DASH
    Earnings call· Dec 2024(Q4 FY24)

    DoorDash, Inc. DASH

    Feb 11, 2025 Source

    Executive summary

    DoorDash Q4 FY24 — Strong Growth Across International and New Verticals

    DoorDash concluded Q4 FY24 with robust growth across its platform, driven by strong performance in international markets and new verticals, alongside stable U.S. restaurant growth. The company's investment strategy remains consistent, prioritizing product enhancements, scaling existing businesses, and exploring new opportunities like local commerce, while leveraging AI for personalization and operational efficiency. Despite some Q1 FX and prior-year comp headwinds, management expressed confidence in the full-year outlook, emphasizing a focus on long-term profit dollar growth and opportunistic capital allocation.

    Highlights

    5
    • International business is gross profit positive and growing substantially faster than peers, gaining share in virtually every country.

    • Wolt+ is growing faster than DashPass did in its early years, indicating strong adoption and scaling.

    • Monthly Active Users (MAUs) reached an all-time high and order frequency continues to grow, with over 42 million MAUs growing at a double-digit rate.

    • New verticals in the U.S. are the fastest-growing segment, gaining share throughout the year, with improved unit economics in FY24 compared to FY23.

    • Advertising business had a "great year" with continued product improvements for both consumers and advertisers.

    Concerns

    2
    • Q1 FY25 growth outlook impacted by an extra day in Q1 FY24 and approximately 1% FX headwind on a year-over-year growth basis.

    • Q4 take rate was sequentially flat due to seasonal Dasher Pay, as the company leaned into supporting growth.

    Segment performance

    3
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    International
    The international portfolio is gross profit positive and growing substantially faster than peers, gaining share in virtually every country. User growth and order frequency reached all-time highs, with Wolt+ growing faster than DashPass in its early years. New verticals and grocery penetration in several international countries are higher than in the U.S.
    substantially faster than peersgross profit positive
    U.S. Restaurants
    The U.S. restaurants area, the oldest area of exploration, continues to grow at a very nice pace, with stable and consistent growth throughout the quarters. Penetration is still in the single-digit percentages of the total U.S. restaurant industry sales.
    Penetration of U.S. restaurant industry sales: single-digit percentages
    double digits
    U.S. New Verticals
    U.S. new verticals are the fastest-growing segment, gaining share throughout the year. Unit economics have improved in FY24 compared to FY23. Consumers are increasing their engagement and monthly spend on the platform by utilizing new verticals.
    fastest growing

    Operational metrics

    12
    Monthly Active Users (MAUs)
    over 42 milliondouble-digit rate
    Q4 FY24

    Overall MAUs, including international, reached an all-time high and are growing at a double-digit rate.

    Order frequency
    all-time high
    Q4 FY24

    Order frequency continues to be at an all-time high across the platform, including international markets.

    Wolt+ growth
    growing faster than DashPasscompared to DashPass in its early years
    Q4 FY24

    Wolt+ is scaling quite nicely and its growth trajectory is faster than DashPass's in its early years.

    New verticals growth
    fastest growing
    FY24

    U.S. new verticals are the fastest-growing segment and have gained share throughout the year.

    Unit economics
    improvedcompared to FY23
    FY24

    The unit economics for new verticals have improved in FY24 compared to FY23.

    Spend per MAU
    continues to go up
    monthly basis

    The overall spend for MAU per month continues to increase, driven by consumers utilizing new verticals.

    Dasher supply health
    really good
    Q4 FY24

    Dasher supply is very strong on the road, outside of anomalies like weather or natural disasters.

    Dashers driving less than 10 hours per week
    90%
    Q4 FY24

    This highlights the flexibility of the Dasher network.

    Share buyback
    over $2 billion
    last couple of years

    The company has been opportunistic and conservative with its buyback program.

    International portfolio profitability
    gross profit positivemore compared to FY23
    FY24

    The international portfolio continues to be gross profit positive, with some countries approaching strong contribution margins.

    International new verticals/grocery penetration
    higher than U.S.
    Q4 FY24

    In several international countries, new verticals and grocery penetration are actually higher than what is seen in the U.S.

    FX impact on YoY growth
    1%on a year-over-year growth basis
    Q1 FY25

    There is an approximate 1% FX headwind impacting Q1 FY25 year-over-year growth.

    Deals & partnerships

    1
    Trade DeskAdvertising partnership

    DoorDash signed a deal with Trade Desk as an advertising partner, which is part of building out the advertising roadmap and integrating with platform partners.

    Risks & headwinds

    3
    Q1 FY25 Growth HeadwindsQ1 FY25

    extra day in Q1 FY24; ~1% FX impact on YoY growth

    Seasonal Dasher Pay Impact on Take RateQ4 FY24

    Q4 take rate sequentially flat

    Mitigation: company leaned into Dasher Pay to support growth

    Weather and Natural Disasters Impact on Dasher SupplyQ4 FY24

    challenging circumstances with weather and natural disasters

    Mitigation: outside of these anomalies, Dasher supply continues to look really, really healthy

    What to watch in Q1 FY25

    5

    International Market Profitability

    Next quarter
    Currentgross profit positive
    TargetSpecific markets reaching "contribution margin positive" levels

    Why it matters

    Indicates the scaling and efficiency of international expansion, a key growth driver.

    The international portfolio is gross profit positive. That continues to be the case. 2024 is more compared to 2023. And I think about where the business would get to, again, think about it, right? Like we are still early in our journey. We're still very early in terms of penetration. We are not in all the cities that -- in all the countries that we operate in. Our goal is to continue to scale the business, which ultimately is going to drive efficiency, which will continue to lead to more gross profit in the system. And we are very pleased with the performance of the business so far.

    Q&A highlights

    7

    What is the bigger opportunity: increasing frequency or penetration, given the 800 million person TAM, 100 million active shoppers, and 7 million daily orders? What does a most penetrated market look like?

    Tony Xu stated that DoorDash is still in the single-digit percentages of the U.S. restaurant industry sales and even smaller globally, calling it a "speck of dust." He believes the opportunity lies in both penetration (geographical expansion, product improvement) and frequency (selection, quality, affordability, customer support), with significant runway in all areas, especially newer ones like grocery and retail.

    We are a speck of dust in terms of how penetrated we are. And I think the answer is really both in terms of penetration and frequency.

    asked by Ross Sandler · answered by Tony Xu

    3 min read8 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Market Opportunity and Penetration

    Tony Xu highlighted the vast market opportunity, noting DoorDash is still a "speck of dust" in terms of penetration in U.S. restaurants (single-digit percentage of sales) and even smaller globally. He emphasized that both increasing penetration (geographical expansion, product improvement) and frequency (selection, quality, affordability, customer support) are key growth vectors, especially in newer areas like grocery and retail. The company aims to improve product quality in terms of accuracy, speed, reliability, and affordability across all categories.

    02

    International Business Performance

    Ravi Inukonda reported that the international portfolio is gross profit positive and growing substantially faster than peers, gaining share in nearly every country. User growth and order frequency reached all-time highs, driven by improved selection, quality, and affordability. Wolt+ is scaling nicely, growing faster than DashPass did in its early years, and new verticals/grocery penetration in some international markets exceed U.S. levels. The goal is to continue scaling the business to drive efficiency and gross profit.

    03

    Investment Philosophy and Future Growth

    Tony Xu reiterated that the company's investment philosophy remains unchanged, focusing on areas with strong product-market fit and clear paths to monetization. Key investment areas include U.S. restaurants, international expansion, non-restaurant verticals, the commerce platform, and advertising. He also mentioned exploring new areas within local commerce, emphasizing the long runway for growth in existing and new ventures. The company seeks to make good investments that lead to increasing ability to reinvest.

    04

    Autonomous Vehicles and AI Agents

    Tony Xu discussed the potential of autonomous delivery, distinguishing it from robotaxis due to different problem statements (e.g., first and last 10-feet problem). He noted that while the cost structure is still being figured out, DoorDash has been studying and working on this area for years. Regarding AI agents, he stressed the importance of mastering the physical world logistics first, then leveraging AI and LLMs with DoorDash's vast data for personalization and operational improvements, seeing them as two distinct jobs.

    05

    U.S. New Verticals and Grocery Strategy

    The U.S. new verticals segment is the fastest-growing, gaining share and showing improved unit economics. Consumers are increasingly using new verticals, leading to higher engagement and monthly spend per MAU. For grocery, key learnings include the need for continued product improvement (SKU accuracy, affordability, Dasher matching) and the observation that customers are moving from small top-up orders to larger baskets, with grocers recognizing the incremental value DoorDash brings. The focus is on scale to drive overall free cash flow.

    06

    DashPass and Subscriber Growth

    Tony Xu outlined a straightforward strategy for DashPass growth: converting the large fraction of existing annual customers (over 100 million) who are not yet subscribers (tens of millions). This involves continuous product improvement, offering exclusive benefits, and enhancing overall service quality to drive higher frequency, which naturally leads to greater subscriber consideration. He believes no unnatural actions are needed to achieve growth in subscriber programs.

    07

    Advertising Business Development

    The advertising business had a strong year, focusing on building products for both consumers and advertisers. Tony Xu emphasized balancing high return on ad spend for advertisers with minimal consumer degradation. The roadmap includes increasing ad relevance, diversifying ad units, and integrating with platform partners, while ensuring that a healthy marketplace precedes and underpins the advertising business. The company expects more partnerships in this area.

    08

    Dasher Supply and Segmentation

    Dasher supply is described as "really good" and "healthy," despite some weather-related anomalies. Tony Xu noted that Dashers exhibit different preferences for delivery types, and the network's flexibility, with 90% of Dashers working fewer than 10 hours a week, allows for self-selection and adaptation as more categories and tasks are added. The goal is to construct the maximum flexible set of opportunities for Dashers.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.