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    DHI
    Earnings call· Mar 2026(Q2 FY26)

    HORTON D R INC /DE/ Q2 FY26 earnings call DHI

    Apr 21, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    D.R. Horton Q2 FY26 — Solid results as orders climb 11% despite affordability drag

    Horton is trading price for pace and returns: with affordability and cautious sentiment capping demand, it is holding elevated incentives, driving down completed-spec inventory, and squeezing stick-and-brick and cycle times to defend margins while orders still grew double digits. The forward stance is disciplined share aggregation funded by capital-efficient, developer-supplied lots and near-full cash return, with margins hinging on rates and construction-cost savings offsetting rising land costs.

    Highlights

    5
    • Consolidated pretax income of $867M on $7.6B revenues with an 11.5% pretax profit margin, above the high end of guidance

    • Net sales orders up 11% YoY to 24,992 homes; total order value up 10% to $9.2B

    • Completed unsold homes cut 35% YoY (5,500) and 25% from December — lowest unsold-as-%-of-inventory and completed-unsold levels since fiscal 2023

    • TTM homebuilding pretax return on inventory of 17.6%; consolidated ROE 13.2% and ROA 8.9%, with ROA in the top 20% of the S&P 500 over 3/5/10 years

    • Generated $3.7B of cash from operations and returned $4B to shareholders (repurchases + dividends) over the trailing 12 months

    Concerns

    6
    • Diluted EPS fell to $2.24 from $2.58 a year ago; net income $648M

    • Average closing price of $361,600 down 3% YoY and 1% sequentially

    • Sales incentives increased in the quarter to roughly 10% of revenue and are expected to remain elevated for the rest of the year

    • SG&A as a % of revenue rose to 9.2% from 8.9%, driven by lower closings revenue from the ASP decline

    • Full-year closings guide lowered by 500 homes and top-end revenue guidance reduced on lower ASP assumptions

    • Lot costs up 4% YoY, a continuing margin headwind; reported gross margin included a one-off 40bp warranty/litigation benefit (normalized 19.7%)

    Guidance & targets

    16
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Third-quarter consolidated revenue
    $8.8 billion to $9.3 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Third-quarter homes closed (homebuilding)
    23,500 to 24,000 homes
    high materiality
    High
    Third-quarter home sales gross margin
    19.7% to 20.2%
    high materiality
    High
    Third-quarter consolidated pretax margin
    12.2% to 12.7%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year FY26 consolidated revenue
    approximately $33.5 billion to $34.5 billion
    high materiality
    Medium
    Full-year FY26 homes closed (homebuilding)
    86,000 to 87,500 homes
    high materiality
    Medium
    Full-year FY26 income tax rate
    approximately 24.5%
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year FY26 operating cash flow
    at least $3 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year FY26 common stock repurchases
    approximately $2.5 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year FY26 dividend payments
    around $500 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Third-quarter home starts
    Lower than Q2 sequentially, roughly flat with prior-year Q3
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Rental property inventory level
    remain around $3 billion
    low materiality
    Medium
    Quarterly dividend (next declaration)
    $0.45 per share, payable in May
    low materiality
    High
    SG&A as a percentage of revenue
    expected to come down from recent-quarter levels in Q3 and Q4
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Active selling community count growth
    expected to moderate to mid-single-digit YoY growth
    medium materiality
    Low
    Sales incentives
    expected to remain elevated for the rest of the year (Q3 stable vs Q2)
    high materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    5
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Homebuilding
    Solid quarter with orders up 11% despite affordability constraints; margin above guidance helped by a one-off 40bp warranty/litigation benefit and construction-cost savings, partly offset by a 4% YoY lot-cost increase and an SG&A ratio rise on lower ASP.
    Homes closed: 19,486 (vs 19,276 prior year)Average closing price: $361,600 (down 1% QoQ, down 3% YoY)Net sales orders: 24,992 homes (up 11% YoY)Total order value: $9.2B (up 10% YoY)Average order price: $366,300 (up 1% QoQ, down 2% YoY)Cancellation rate: 16%SG&A as % of revenue: 9.2% (vs 8.9% prior year)Homes started: 27,500Homes in inventory: 38,200 (22,900 unsold, 5,500 completed unsold)
    $7.0B home sales revenue (consolidated revenue $7.6B)Home sales revenue down from $7.2B prior yearHome sales gross margin 20.1% (19.7% normalized); consolidated pretax profit margin 11.5%; consolidated pretax income $867M
    Financial Services (mortgage/title)
    Captive mortgage operation supports affordability through rate buydowns; ARM adoption slow versus prior cycles with buyers preferring 30-year fixed.
    First-time homebuyers: 65% of mortgage-company closingsARM product: ~10% of closings (down from 13% QoQ, up from ~0 YoY)Buydown penetration: ~90% of mortgage-company buyers / ~73% of overall closings
    $193M$52M pretax income; 26.8% pretax profit margin
    Rental (single-family + multifamily)
    Not a growth area; focus on capital efficiency and returns. BFR legislative uncertainty (potential 7-year sale requirement) is causing a demand pause; forward BFR business is pre-contracted.
    Single-family rental homes sold: 566Multifamily rental units sold: 216Rental property inventory: $3.0B ($2.7B multifamily, $347M single-family)
    $212M$12M pretax income
    Forestar (majority-owned lot developer)
    Separately capitalized platform positioned to aggregate lot-development market share and supply finished lots to Horton and the broader industry.
    Lots sold: 2,938Owned/controlled lot position: 94,000 lots65% of owned lots under contract or ROFO with D.R. HortonFinished lots purchased by DHI from Forestar: $280M
    $374M$44M pretax income
    North region (geography)
    Management highlighted the North region as an increasing contributor from prior-year investments (organic plus a few acquisitions) as Texas and Florida are 'not quite the powerhouses they once were'; no segment-level figures were quantified.
    Contribution growing on multi-year greenfield and acquisition investments

    Operational metrics

    25
    Homebuilding pretax return on inventory
    17.6%
    TTM ended March 31, 2026

    Reflects the returns-focused, capital-efficient operating model.

    Return on equity
    13.2%
    TTM ended March 31, 2026

    Consolidated return on equity.

    Return on assets
    8.9%
    TTM ended March 31, 2026

    Consolidated return on assets; cited to support the durable returns narrative.

    Home sales gross margin
    20.1% reported / 19.7% normalizedSlightly above guidance range
    Q2 FY26

    Enriched with the litigation/warranty bridge; management flagged the 40bp benefit as one-off and expects a normal 40-50bp negative warranty/litigation drag going forward.

    Cost per square foot bridge
    Stick and brick down 2% QoQ, down 4% YoY; lot costs flat QoQ, up 4% YoYSequential and YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Stick-and-brick savings (materials and labor) offsetting lot-cost inflation; further savings expected in Q3/Q4.

    SG&A ratio
    9.2%Up from 8.9% prior year
    Q2 FY26

    Homebuilding SG&A dollars up 2% YoY; ratio expected to decline in H2 on higher closings volume.

    Sales incentives as % of revenue
    ~10%Increased during the quarter; ticked up slightly QoQ
    Q2 FY26

    Expected to remain elevated for the rest of the year; a reduction needs rates to moderate or consumer confidence to improve.

    Consolidated leverage ratio
    21.7%vs long-term target of ~20%
    As of March 31, 2026

    Low-leverage balance sheet providing flexibility; management targets ~20% over the long term.

    Share count reduction
    8%vs a year ago
    YoY as of Q2 FY26

    Buybacks are the variable lever in the ~90-100% cash-flow distribution policy; accelerated into Q2 on a stock pullback.

    Book value per share
    $82.91Up 5% YoY
    As of March 31, 2026

    Per-share book value rose despite lower total equity due to share-count reduction.

    Net sales orders
    24,992 homesUp 11% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    In line with business plan; order growth kept pace with community expansion.

    Active selling communities
    Up 11% YoY / up 4% sequentiallyYoY and QoQ
    Q2 FY26

    Company does not formally guide community count.

    Average closing price
    $361,600Down 1% QoQ, down 3% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Reflects affordability focus; no ASP increase assumed in H2.

    Average sales price of net orders
    $366,300Up 1% QoQ, down 2% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Management declined to call a floor on order ASP.

    Cancellation rate
    16%Consistent with prior year; down from 18% sequentially
    Q2 FY26

    Stable throughout the quarter with no change in cancellation reasons.

    Homes started
    27,500 homes
    Q2 FY26

    Start pace managed to sales demand community by community.

    Completed unsold homes
    5,500 homesDown 25% from December, down 35% YoY
    As of March 31, 2026

    Reflects disciplined start pace and faster cycle times; aging completed specs degrade margin.

    Median cycle time (start to close)
    Improved by almost a month YoYYoY
    Q2 FY26 closings

    Faster turns let the company hold less inventory and sell earlier at a margin lift.

    Homes sold within the quarter
    61%
    Q2 FY26

    Results were highly reflective of in-quarter market conditions, informing the Q3 stable-incentive assumption.

    Homebuilding lot position
    ~575,000 lotsDown ~10% YoY
    As of March 31, 2026

    Sequential decline in owned lots driven by developers adjusting takedown schedules; capital-light strategy via third-party developers and Forestar.

    Homes closed on lots developed by others (Forestar/third parties)
    67%Up from 64% prior year
    Q2 FY26

    Enhances capital efficiency, returns and operational flexibility.

    Investments in lots, land and development
    $2.1B
    Q2 FY26

    Actively managed based on current market conditions.

    ARM product share of closings
    ~10%Down from 13% QoQ, up from ~0 a year ago
    Q2 FY26

    Slow uptake vs prior cycles; buyers prefer 30-year fixed; no material margin impact.

    Mortgage buydown penetration
    ~73% of overall closingsUp on overall closings
    Q2 FY26

    Buydowns are the largest incentive component.

    First-time homebuyer mix
    65%
    Q2 FY26

    Share of mortgage-company closings; underscores affordable-price-point focus.

    Industry KPIs

    1
    MetricValueDetails
    Full year guidance revisionsFY26 closings guide lowered by 500 homes to 86,000-87,500; top-end revenue trimmed to $33.5B-$34.5Bhomes / USD

    Product announcements

    1
    ProductTypeDetails
    Entry-level affordable communities (high-$100s to low-$200s price points)expansion

    Deals & partnerships

    2
    Forestar Group (majority-owned residential lot developer)Finished-lot supply / land-development relationship$280M of finished lots purchased from Forestar in Q2

    Separately capitalized platform providing essential finished lots to Horton and the industry, supporting Horton's capital-light, lots-developed-by-others strategy (67% of Q2 closings on Forestar/third-party lots).

    Third-party land developers (unnamed roster)Lot development / takedown partnerships

    Majority of Horton's lot position is held by third-party developers putting lots on the ground; management values the operational flexibility, capital efficiency and development expertise.

    Risks & headwinds

    11
    Affordability constraints and cautious consumer sentiment suppressing new-home demandOngoing through FY26

    Sales incentives ~10% of revenue and expected to remain elevated; average closing price down 3% YoY

    Mitigation: Elevated rate buydowns, affordable product at lower price points, community-by-community incentive management, selling earlier in construction

    Elevated and potentially sticky sales incentives becoming a 'new normal'Through FY26 and beyond until rates moderate

    ~10% of revenue; ARM product ~10% of closings; ~73% of closings with buydowns

    Mitigation: Management believes rate moderation or improved consumer confidence would allow incentives to ease and eventually base-price increases

    Lot-cost inflationOngoing

    Lot costs up 4% YoY (moderated from +6% prior quarter)

    Mitigation: Stick-and-brick materials and labor savings expected to offset the lot-cost increase in Q3/Q4

    Declining average sales price pressuring SG&A leverageH1 FY26, easing in H2

    SG&A ratio rose to 9.2% from 8.9%; ASP down 3% YoY

    Mitigation: Higher closings volume in Q3/Q4 expected to bring SG&A ratio down

    Oil/energy price inflation potentially triggering fuel surcharges and material-cost pressure, and longer commutes affecting community locationsWould require an extended period of elevated prices; material-cost impact likely fiscal '27

    Not quantified; nothing tangible to report currently

    Mitigation: Monitoring closely; FY26 largely locked on starts/closings; would reassess community locations only on a sustained energy-price shift

    Build-for-rent (BFR) legislative uncertainty (potential 7-year sale requirement)Beyond FY26 pending legislation

    Not quantified; causing a demand pause in rental

    Mitigation: BFR communities underwritten as for-sale and can be redirected; forward BFR business is pre-contracted, limiting reliance

    Mortgage qualification failures driving cancellationsOngoing

    Cancellation rate 16%; vast majority due to buyers unable to qualify

    Mitigation: Captive mortgage company and buydown products; stable cancellation rate

    Normalization of warranty and litigation costsQ3 FY26 onward

    40bp benefit this quarter (net impact 0); normal impact expected to be a 40-50bp negative to margin each quarter

    Mitigation: Reserves set to actual cost trends; disclosed as a line item in supplemental presentation

    Announced building-material price increasesPotential fiscal '27 closings impact

    Not quantified; 'a slew of price increase announcements across a large basket of construction materials'

    Mitigation: FY26 starts/closings largely locked; announced increases are frequently not actually taken

    Regional demand softness in software-industry-heavy marketsCurrent

    Not quantified; 'a little bit of softness in a few of our markets'

    Mitigation: Broad geographic footprint; most markets performing in line with expectations; North region strengthening

    Macro volatility and geopolitical uncertainty (Iran conflict)Ongoing

    Not quantified; no meaningful business disruption observed

    Mitigation: Disciplined adjustment to market conditions; stable cancellation rate through the quarter

    Q&A highlights

    9

    What is driving the construction-cost tailwind and could higher oil prices bring fuel-surcharge inflation from trades?

    Management said cost-down work with trades during the Q4/Q1 starts pullback is now flowing through homes under construction, with incremental benefits expected in Q3 and Q4. On oil, they have nothing tangible to report; only an extended period of elevated prices would create pressure, and a temporary spike would have little impact.

    we can now see in our construction cycle and our construction -- our homes under construction, lower costs coming through... we expect to see some incremental benefits in Q3 and Q4.

    asked by Alan Ratner · answered by Bill Wheat

    5 min read8 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Margin Above Guidance on Construction-Cost Savings and a One-Off Benefit

    Home sales gross margin was 20.1%, including a 40 basis point benefit from a favorable litigation outcome and lower-than-normal warranty costs; normalized, margin was 19.7%, slightly above the guidance range. Management attributed the beat to a combination of stick-and-brick reductions (materials and labor), a strong demand quarter that let them hold incentives a bit more than anticipated (just under 25,000 homes sold), and disciplined selling. Sequentially, home sales revenue and stick-and-brick costs were both down 2% per square foot with lot costs flat; year-over-year, revenue and stick-and-brick were down 4% per square foot while lot costs rose 4%. Management sees incremental construction-cost savings flowing through Q3 and Q4.

    02

    Demand, Seasonality and Geopolitical Backdrop

    Management characterized March demand as good and in line with normal seasonality, with results through mid-April also pleasing, though only mid-month. The cancellation rate was stable throughout the quarter at 16% and cancellations continue to stem mainly from buyers failing to qualify for a mortgage in full documentation. Management said it saw no meaningful disruption tied to global events or gas-price increases despite elevated consumer-sentiment volatility. Regionally, Texas and Florida demand felt good but are 'not quite the powerhouses they once were,' with the North region contributing strongly on prior-year investments; some softness appeared in markets with heavy software-industry exposure.

    03

    Incentives, ARMs and Buydowns

    Sales incentives run roughly 10% of revenue, with the mortgage-rate buydown the most significant component; management expects incentives to stay elevated and needs rates to moderate or consumer confidence to improve before they ease. About 90% of buyers using the captive mortgage company took some form of permanent and/or temporary buydown, equating to roughly 73% of overall closings. ARM product was about 10% of mortgage-company closings, down from 13% sequentially but up from essentially zero a year ago; management expects ARMs to bounce in a 10%-15% range and sees no material margin impact. Incentives are managed community by community, and selling earlier in the construction process lets Horton hold back some incentives.

    04

    Inventory Discipline and Cycle Times

    Horton started 27,500 homes and ended the quarter with 38,200 homes in inventory (22,900 unsold, 5,500 completed and unsold). Completed unsold homes fell 25% from December and 35% year-over-year, with both unsold-as-a-percentage-of-total-inventory and completed-unsold inventory at their lowest levels since fiscal 2023. Median cycle time from start to close improved almost a month year-over-year and complete-to-close fell about a week sequentially, letting the company hold less inventory and turn homes faster. About 61% of homes closed in the quarter were sold within the quarter. Management expects Q3 starts lower than Q2, roughly flat with the prior-year Q3.

    05

    Land and Lot Strategy — Capital-Light via Developers and Forestar

    The homebuilding lot position at March 31 was approximately 575,000 lots, 23% owned and 77% controlled through purchase contracts; the lot count is down about 10% year-over-year. In Q2, 67% of homes closed were on lots developed by Forestar or third parties, up from 64% a year ago. Land-banker exposure is only mid-single-digit of the lot portfolio; most lots are held by third-party developers, giving Horton flexibility to adjust takedown schedules and pass on deals that don't underwrite in the current incentive environment. Homebuilding investments in lots, land and development totaled $2.1B ($1.5B finished lots, $500M land development, $120M land acquisition). Forestar reported $374M revenue on 2,938 lots sold and $44M pretax income, with a 94,000-lot owned/controlled position.

    06

    Capital Allocation and Returns

    Over the trailing 12 months Horton generated $3.7B of cash from operations and returned $4B to shareholders through repurchases and dividends. In Q2 it repurchased 6 million shares for $904M, cutting the share count 8% year-over-year, and paid $0.45 per share in dividends ($130M). Book value per share rose 5% year-over-year to $82.91 even as stockholders' equity slipped 3% to $23.6B. Consolidated liquidity was $6B against $6.6B total debt and 21.7% leverage (long-term target ~20%), with $600M of homebuilding senior notes maturing over the next 12 months. Policy is to distribute roughly 90%-100% of operating cash flow, with buybacks the variable lever and a strong reluctance to cut the dividend.

    07

    Rental and Financial Services Segments

    Rental operations generated $12M of pretax income on $212M of revenue from the sale of 566 single-family rental homes and 216 multifamily units; rental property inventory was $3B ($2.7B multifamily, $347M single-family) and is expected to stay near $3B. Management noted build-for-rent (BFR) legislative uncertainty around a potential 7-year sale requirement is causing a demand pause, but Horton underwrites BFR communities as for-sale and focuses forward BFR business on pre-contracted forward sales, limiting reliance. Financial services delivered $52M of pretax income on $193M of revenue, a 26.8% pretax margin, with 65% of mortgage-company closings to first-time homebuyers.

    08

    Guidance Revision and Affordability Positioning

    Full-year FY26 closings guidance was cut by 500 homes to 86,000-87,500 and top-end revenue guidance trimmed to $33.5B-$34.5B, reflecting Q1 and Q2 closings below plan and a lighter ASP assumption with no ASP increase modeled in the back half. Horton's average closing price of $361,600 sits roughly $160,000 (about 30%) below the average U.S. new-home price and its median about $70,000 below the median existing home, underscoring its affordability focus. Management is pushing more affordable product where lot sizes and minimum-square-footage rules allow — for example communities priced in the high $100s to low $200s in Texas markets like San Antonio — and reports above-average sales pace at those price points.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.