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    DHI
    Earnings call· Jun 2025(Q3 FY25)

    HORTON D R INC /DE/ Q3 FY25 earnings call DHI

    Jul 22, 2025 Source

    Executive summary

    D.R. Horton Q3 FY25 — Strong Closings and Shareholder Returns Amidst Choppy Market

    D.R. Horton delivered solid Q3 FY25 results, exceeding expectations for closings and gross margin, driven by disciplined market response and effective incentive management. Despite ongoing affordability constraints and choppy demand, the company maintained a strong capital allocation strategy, increasing its share repurchase plan and focusing on inventory efficiency. Management anticipates continued market volatility but remains positive on the long-term housing outlook.

    Highlights

    5
    • Diluted earnings per share of $3.36, exceeding expectations.

    • 23,160 homes closed, surpassing the company's guidance range.

    • Home sales gross margin of 21.8%, flat sequentially and above expectations.

    • Returned $4.6 billion to shareholders over the past 12 months through repurchases and dividends.

    • Increased fiscal year 2025 share repurchase plan to $4.2 billion-$4.4 billion.

    Concerns

    4
    • Net sales orders were flat year-over-year, with order value decreasing 3%.

    • Average closing price declined 3% year-over-year to $369,600.

    • Expected Q4 home sales gross margin to be lower (21%-21.5%) compared to Q3 (21.8%) due to higher incentives.

    • Homebuilding SG&A as a percentage of revenues increased 70 basis points year-over-year to 7.8%.

    Guidance & targets

    8
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Consolidated Revenues
    $9.1 billion to $9.6 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Homes Closed (Homebuilding)
    23,500 to 24,000 homes
    high materiality
    High
    Home Sales Gross Margin
    21% to 21.5%
    high materiality
    High
    Consolidated Pretax Profit Margin
    13.6% to 14.1%
    medium materiality
    High
    Consolidated Revenues
    approximately $33.7 billion to $34.2 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Homes Closed (Homebuilding)
    85,000 to 85,500 homes
    high materiality
    High
    Income Tax Rate
    approximately 24%
    medium materiality
    High
    Share Repurchases
    $4.2 billion to $4.4 billion
    high materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    4
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Homebuilding
    The homebuilding segment delivered strong closings and maintained gross margin above expectations, despite a slight decline in revenue and order value. The company continues to manage inventory and land investments strategically, with a focus on capital efficiency.
    Homes Closed: 23,160Net Sales Orders: 23,071 (flat YoY)Order Value: $8.4 billion (-3% YoY)Cancellation Rate: 17% (up from 16% sequentially, down from 18% YoY)Average Price of Net Sales Orders: $365,100 (-4% YoY)Starts: 24,700 (+24% sequentially)Homes in Inventory: 38,400Unsold Homes: 25,000Completed Unsold Homes: 7,300 (-1,100 from March)Completed Unsold Homes > 6 months: 800Construction Cycle Times: Improved several days sequentially, 2 weeks YoYLot Position: 600,000 lots (24% owned, 76% controlled)Inventory Impairments: $16 millionOption Deposits and Due Diligence Write-offs: $36 millionInvestments in Lots, Land & Development: $2.2 billion ($1.4 billion finished lots, $610 million land development, $140 million land acquisition)Closings on 3rd party/Forestar lots: 66% (up from 64% YoY)
    $8.6 billion-6.5%21.8% gross margin
    Rental Operations
    Rental operations generated significant pretax income and revenues from the sale of single-family and multifamily units, with a substantial inventory position at quarter-end. Focus remains on improving capital efficiency and returns.
    Single-Family Rental Homes Sold: 1,065Multifamily Rental Units Sold: 328Rental Property Inventory: $3.1 billion ($2.5 billion multifamily, $668 million single-family)
    $381 million$55 million pretax income
    Forestar
    Forestar continued to provide essential finished lots, contributing to D.R. Horton's capital-efficient model. It maintains a strong balance sheet and significant lot position.
    Lots Sold: 3,605Owned & Controlled Lot Position: 102,000 lotsOwned Lots under contract with D.R. Horton: 63%Finished Lots Purchased from Forestar by D.R. Horton: $320 millionLiquidity: $790 millionNet Debt-to-Capital Ratio: 28.9%
    $391 million$44 million pretax income
    Financial Services
    Financial services provided strong support to homebuyers, with a high percentage of D.R. Horton's customers utilizing DHI Mortgage, particularly first-time homebuyers.
    Mortgage Company Handled Financing: 81% of homebuyersAverage FICO Score: 720Average Loan-to-Value Ratio: 90%First-time Homebuyers: 64% of closings handled by mortgage company
    $228 million$81 million pretax income (35.7% pretax profit margin)

    Operational metrics

    31
    Consolidated Pretax Income
    $1.4 billion
    Q3 FY25
    Consolidated Revenues
    $9.2 billion
    Q3 FY25
    Consolidated Pretax Profit Margin
    14.7%
    Q3 FY25
    Diluted EPS
    $3.36vs $4.10 prior year quarter
    Q3 FY25
    Homebuilding Pretax Return on Inventory
    22.1%
    TTM June 30
    Consolidated Return on Equity
    16.1%
    TTM June 30
    Consolidated Return on Assets
    11.1%
    TTM June 30
    Share Repurchases
    $1.2 billion
    Q3 FY25
    Share Repurchases (YTD)
    $3.6 billionreduced outstanding share count by 9% YoY
    FY25 YTD
    Remaining Share Repurchase Authorization
    $4 billion
    June 30
    Dividends Paid
    $122 million
    Q3 FY25
    Average Closing Price
    $369,600-1% sequentially and -3% year-over-year
    Q3 FY25
    Homebuilding SG&A as % of Revenues
    7.8%up 70 basis points from prior year
    Q3 FY25
    Homebuilding SG&A Expenses Growth
    2%YoY
    Q3 FY25
    Market Coverage
    126up 4% to 126 markets
    Q3 FY25
    Unsold Homes
    25,000
    Q3 FY25

    Part of 38,400 total homes in inventory.

    Completed Unsold Homes
    7,300down 1,100 homes from March
    Q3 FY25
    Completed Unsold Homes > 6 months
    800
    Q3 FY25
    Average Square Footage (Homes Closed)
    1,956down 1% from a year ago
    Q3 FY25

    Gradual decline over the last 5 years.

    Consolidated Liquidity
    $5.5 billion
    June 30
    Debt
    $7.2 billion
    June 30
    Consolidated Leverage
    23.2%
    June 30
    Stockholders' Equity
    $24.1 billion
    June 30
    Book Value Per Share
    $80.46up 7% from a year ago
    June 30
    Homebuilding Senior Notes Issued
    $500 million
    May
    Homebuilding Revolving Credit Facility Capacity
    $2.3 billionincreased capacity
    June
    Homebuilding Senior Notes Maturing
    $500 million
    next 12 months
    Broker Attachment Rate
    North of 80%
    Q3 FY25
    Broker Commissions as % of Closings
    270relatively flat
    Q3 FY25

    Impact on gross margin.

    Average Mortgage Rate (Closings)
    just over 5%
    Q3 FY25
    Construction Cycle Time
    3 monthsimproved several days sequentially, 2 weeks YoY
    Q3 FY25

    Below historical norms.

    Industry KPIs

    1
    MetricValueDetails
    Tariff trade impact by segmentsignificant step-up

    Risks & headwinds

    5
    Affordability Constraints & Consumer SentimentQ4 FY25 and potentially beyond

    Incentives expected to remain elevated, Q4 home sales gross margin guided lower (21%-21.5%) compared to Q3 (21.8%).

    Mitigation: Increased incentives, tailoring product offerings, adjusting homes in inventory and starts pace.

    Mortgage Rate VolatilityOngoing

    Average mortgage rate on closings just over 5%; FHA 3.99% rate offered as incentive.

    Mitigation: Offering rate buydowns and other financing incentives.

    Increased SG&A as % of RevenueQ3 FY25

    Homebuilding SG&A as a percentage of revenues increased 70 bps YoY to 7.8%.

    Mitigation: Focus on managing SG&A costs efficiently, expecting gradual improvement.

    Rental Segment Margin DeclineQ4 FY25

    Q4 rental segment margins expected to be lower than Q3.

    Mitigation: Working to sell identified properties, improving capital efficiency and returns of rental operations.

    Canadian Softwood Lumber Agreement ImpactNext month (August 2025)

    Significant step-up in tariff rates, potential impact not quantified.

    Mitigation: Buying some percentage of wood, potential for substitutionary product.

    What to watch in Q4 FY25

    5

    Home Sales Gross Margin

    Q4 FY25
    Current21.8%
    Target21.0%-21.5%

    Why it matters

    Key indicator of pricing power and incentive effectiveness in a volatile market.

    We expect our home sales gross margin for the fourth quarter to be in the range of 21% to 21.5% and our consolidated pretax profit margin to be in the range of 13.6% to 14.1%.

    Q&A highlights

    8

    How have incentives trended, and is the increase driven by competition or a desire to accelerate activity, especially given the increased start pace?

    Incentives were choppy but increased towards the end of the quarter to maintain pace and meet full-year guidance. The start pace was aligned with sales over the trailing 6 months.

    our incentives have increased some to maintain our pace, which is going to allow us to maintain our guidance at 85,000 to 85,000 (sic) [ 85,000 to 85,500 ] for the year.

    asked by Alan Ratner · answered by Paul Romanowski

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Market Conditions and Affordability

    New home demand continues to be impacted by ongoing affordability constraints and cautious consumer sentiment. The company has increased incentives where necessary to drive traffic and incremental sales, noting that its cancellation rate remains at the low end of its historical range, indicating committed buyers. Management expects sales incentives to remain elevated and potentially increase further in the fourth quarter, depending on demand strength, mortgage rates, and other market conditions.

    02

    Operational Efficiency and Inventory Management

    D.R. Horton started 24,700 homes in the June quarter, a 24% sequential increase from Q2, though Q4 starts are expected to be lower. The company ended the quarter with 38,400 homes in inventory, of which 25,000 were unsold and 7,300 were completed unsold homes. Construction cycle times improved by several days sequentially and approximately two weeks year-over-year, positioning the company to turn housing inventory faster and manage starts based on market conditions.

    03

    Land Strategy and Capital Efficiency

    The homebuilding lot position at June 30 consisted of approximately 600,000 lots, with 24% owned and 76% controlled through purchase contracts. D.R. Horton actively manages its investments in lots, land, and development based on market conditions, focusing on relationships with land developers to build more homes on lots developed by others. This strategy enhances capital efficiency, returns, and operational flexibility, with 66% of Q3 closings on third-party or Forestar lots.

    04

    Rental Operations Performance

    Rental operations generated $55 million of pretax income on $381 million of revenues in Q3 FY25, primarily from the sale of 1,065 single-family rental homes and 328 multifamily rental units. The rental property inventory at June 30 was $3.1 billion, comprising $2.5 billion in multifamily and $668 million in single-family rental properties. The company remains focused on improving the capital efficiency and returns of its rental operations.

    05

    Forestar Contribution

    Forestar, D.R. Horton's majority-owned residential lot development company, reported Q3 revenues of $391 million on 3,605 lots sold, with pretax income of $44 million. Forestar's owned and controlled lot position was 102,000 lots at June 30, with 63% of its owned lots under contract or subject to a right of first offer to D.R. Horton. The strategic relationship with Forestar is vital for providing essential finished lots and enhancing D.R. Horton's returns-focused business model.

    06

    Financial Services and Homebuyer Profile

    Financial services generated $81 million in pretax income on $228 million in revenues, achieving a pretax profit margin of 35.7%. DHI Mortgage handled financing for 81% of D.R. Horton's homebuyers in Q3. Borrowers originating loans had an average FICO score of 720 and an average loan-to-value ratio of 90%. First-time homebuyers represented a significant 64% of the closings handled by the mortgage company.

    07

    Capital Allocation and Balance Sheet Strength

    D.R. Horton maintains a strong balance sheet with low leverage and healthy liquidity, providing significant financial flexibility. Consolidated liquidity at June 30 was $5.5 billion, including $2.6 billion in cash and $2.9 billion in available credit facilities. Consolidated leverage was 23.2% at quarter-end, with a long-term target of around 20%. Stockholders' equity reached $24.1 billion, and book value per share was $80.46, up 7% year-over-year.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.