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    EIX
    Earnings call· Dec 2024(Q4 FY24)

    EDISON INTERNATIONAL EIX

    Feb 27, 2025 Source

    Executive summary

    Edison International Q4 FY24 — Eaton Fire Investigation and AB 1054 Durability in Focus

    The Q4 FY24 earnings call for Edison International was dominated by discussions surrounding the recent Eaton fire and the durability of California's AB 1054 wildfire framework. While the company reported strong financial performance, including core EPS above guidance and a dividend increase, significant attention was given to the ongoing investigation into the fire's cause and the need for legislative enhancements to reinforce investor confidence in the state's utility sector. Management expressed confidence in SCE's prudence and the AB 1054 framework's ability to provide financial stability, even as they engage with stakeholders on potential solutions.

    Highlights

    5
    • Full year 2024 core EPS of $4.93 was above the midpoint of guidance.

    • Maintained track record of meeting or exceeding annual EPS guidance for over 2 decades.

    • Dividend increased by 6.1%, marking the 21st consecutive annual increase.

    • CPUC unanimously approved TKM settlement agreement, allowing recovery of approximately $1.6 billion for pre-AB 1054 wildfire claims.

    • SCE installed over 800 miles of covered conductor in 2024, bringing total deployment to over 6,400 miles.

    Concerns

    4
    • Eaton fire cause remains undetermined, with investigation ongoing into potential link to SCE equipment.

    • Uncertainty regarding the long-term durability and scaling of the AB 1054 wildfire fund given the magnitude of recent wildfires.

    • Potential for prolonged legal processes and litigation related to the Eaton fire, delaying clarity on liabilities.

    • Rating agencies are focused on climate risk, with S&P maintaining a negative outlook on the company.

    Guidance & targets

    4
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Core EPS CAGR
    5% to 7%
    high materiality
    High
    Common stock dividend
    $0.8275 per share
    medium materiality
    High
    Core EPS
    $5.94 to $6.34
    high materiality
    High
    Core EPS growth target base
    $5.84
    high materiality
    High

    Operational metrics

    11
    Core EPS
    $4.93above midpoint of guidance
    FY24

    Full year 2024 core EPS.

    Core EPS
    $1.05
    Q4 FY24

    Fourth quarter 2024 core EPS.

    Common stock dividend
    $0.82756.1% increase
    Q1 2025

    Declared Q1 2025 common stock dividend, marking the 21st consecutive annual increase.

    Covered conductor installed
    800
    2024

    Miles of covered conductor installed in 2024, contributing to total deployment.

    TKM settlement recovery
    $1.6B
    pre-AB 1054 wildfire

    Amount recovered from the TKM settlement agreement for pre-AB 1054 wildfire claims.

    CEMA proceeding contribution to EPS
    $0.14
    2024

    Contribution to 2024 EPS from the 2022 CEMA proceeding final decision.

    EIX debt maturities
    $800M
    2025

    Edison International's debt maturities for 2025, partially prefunded.

    Customer-funded self-insurance
    $1B
    current

    Amount of customer-funded self-insurance available, to be utilized before accessing the AB 1054 wildfire fund.

    Distribution lines hardened in high fire risk area
    nearly 90%
    current

    Percentage of distribution lines hardened in high fire risk areas.

    O&M items settled with intervenors
    20%
    2025 GRC

    Percentage of O&M items settled with intervenors in the 2025 GRC.

    Capital items settled with intervenors
    8%
    2025 GRC

    Percentage of capital items settled with intervenors in the 2025 GRC.

    Industry KPIs

    2
    MetricValueDetails
    Ffo to debt15% to 17%%
    Regulatory rate base growth6%%

    Deals & partnerships

    1
    Jennifer GranholmBoard of Directors appointment

    Former U.S. Secretary of Energy, Jennifer Granholm, will join the Board of Directors of both EIX and SCE. Jennifer has deep expertise in energy technology, energy policy, safety and sustainability.

    Capital programs

    2
    Multi-year capital plan (SCE)underway
    Funding: authorized capital structure

    Benefit: replacing aging infrastructure, grid hardening, expanding grid for load growth

    The 2025 GRC is the core driver of the outlook through 2028. SCE's capital plan is focused on replacing aging infrastructure to support reliability and safety for customers, continuing grid hardening investments to mitigate risk and enhance resiliency and expanding the grid to make the system ready for load growth today and in the future as customers increase their electricity usage.

    Additional capital deployment opportunitiesidentifiedat least $1B

    Benefit: next-gen ERP project, advanced metering infrastructure program, additional system needs on distribution grid, FERC transmission projects

    SCE has refined estimates for these projects, resulting in an increase of at least $1 billion to these opportunities. One such investment is the next-gen ERP project... utility also plans to file an application for an advanced metering infrastructure program... Further, SCE has more than $2 billion of FERC transmission projects in development.

    Risks & headwinds

    4
    Eaton fire investigation uncertaintyseveral months or longer

    cause remains undetermined

    Mitigation: SCE is examining available evidence; committed to transparency; confident in reasonable operator status under AB 1054.

    Wildfire fund durability and legislative enhancementsnear-term action needed

    magnitude of recent wildfires brought long-term durability of the fund into focus

    Mitigation: Actively engaged in conversations with key stakeholders to find solutions to support community safety, manage customer costs, and reinforce investor confidence.

    Litigation and legal process delaysweeks yet

    may take many weeks as it requires agreeing on a protocol with plaintiffs' attorneys

    Mitigation: Engaging in court process to agree on protocols for equipment examination; balancing transparency with litigation needs.

    Rating agency outlook

    S&P has us on negative outlook

    Mitigation: Working to move through the process and share more information; managing financing plan within provided range.

    What to watch in Q1 FY25

    5

    Eaton Fire Investigation Outcome

    Several months or longer
    CurrentCause undetermined, potential link to SCE equipment under investigation.
    TargetDetermination of cause and potential SCE involvement.

    Why it matters

    Determines potential liability and triggers AB 1054 fund access.

    We anticipate the full investigation will take several months or longer to complete, and there isn't a discrete time line for the county or SCE to complete their respective investigations.

    Q&A highlights

    5

    What is the potential number for damages from the Eaton fire, and when will this information be known, especially regarding the wildfire fund impact?

    It is too early to determine if SCE equipment was involved or to estimate potential liabilities. The investigation is ongoing, and legal processes for determining liability and claims can take a significant amount of time, potentially months or longer.

    short answer is just way too early. First, we need to conclude determining whether our equipment was indeed involved. And then beyond that, there would be a process for determining what potential liabilities could be.

    asked by Nicholas Campanella · answered by Pedro Pizarro

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Eaton Fire Investigation and Prudence

    The cause of the Eaton fire remains undetermined, with SCE investigating a potential link to its transmission equipment. The investigation is complex and may take several months or longer, involving engineers, photogrammetrists, and meteorologists. Examining the idle transmission line for arc marks or missing metal requires agreeing on a protocol with plaintiffs' attorneys and other stakeholders, which could take many weeks. Management asserts SCE's reasonable operator status and confidence in making a good faith showing of prudence under AB 1054, which recognizes that the prudence standard does not demand perfection.

    02

    AB 1054 Framework and Legislative Engagement

    The catastrophic impact of recent wildfires underscores the importance of AB 1054, which provides a liability cap, clear prudence standard, and liquidity through the wildfire fund. Edison International is actively engaged with stakeholders, including the Governor's office and legislative leaders, to explore enhancements to strengthen the framework. The company acknowledges market concerns about the fund's long-term durability and the need for near-term action to reinforce investor confidence in California's utilities, advocating for solutions that could include scaling the fund or ensuring the liability cap endures regardless of the fund's state.

    03

    Regulatory Progress and Cost Recovery

    SCE received timely safety certification and unanimous CPUC approval for the TKM settlement agreement, allowing recovery of approximately $1.6 billion, or 60%, of wildfire claims payments and associated costs for a pre-AB 1054 wildfire. This approval signals a constructive cost recovery framework in California. The Woolsey cost recovery proceeding is also underway, with intervenor testimony due in early June, rebuttal testimony in mid-July, and a motion for settlement approval or joint statement of stipulations due in mid-August.

    04

    Capital Plan and Growth Opportunities

    SCE's capital plan, driven by the 2025 GRC, focuses on replacing aging infrastructure for reliability and safety, continuing grid hardening investments, and expanding the grid for load growth. The company has identified at least $1 billion in additional capital deployment opportunities beyond the current plan. These include a next-gen ERP project, an advanced metering infrastructure program to replace smart meters, additional system needs on the distribution grid, and over $2 billion in FERC transmission projects in development.

    05

    Financial Outlook and Dividend

    Edison International reported Q4 FY24 core EPS of $1.05, bringing full-year 2024 core EPS to $4.93, which was above the midpoint of guidance. The company reaffirmed its 5% to 7% core EPS CAGR target through 2028, off a higher base of $5.84, incorporating the $0.14 interest expense reduction from the TKM settlement. The Board declared a Q1 2025 common stock dividend of $0.8275 per share, marking the 21st consecutive annual increase, demonstrating confidence in the financial outlook.

    06

    Board Appointment

    Former U.S. Secretary of Energy, Jennifer Granholm, has joined the Board of Directors for both Edison International and SCE. Her appointment is expected to bring deep expertise in energy technology, energy policy, safety, and sustainability, providing valuable guidance to the company.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.