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Eaton (ETN) Q1 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Mar 2026 (Q1 FY26)· Industrials· May 5, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Eaton Q1 FY26 — Record revenue and orders on data-center surge; Electrical Americas margin troughs

Eaton enters 2026 at a demand inflection — record electrical orders and backlog plus a sharply higher negotiation pipeline give rare forward visibility, led by data-center build-out and accelerating mega-project starts. The lone soft spot is deliberate: Electrical Americas margins troughed as management front-loaded capacity-ramp costs and absorbed a commodity price-cost lag, both framed as temporary and price-offset, with a steady sequential recovery guided through the second half.

Highlights

5
  • Record Q1 revenue of $7.5B (+17% total, +10% organic) and Q1-record segment profit of $1.7B at 22.7% margin

  • Adjusted EPS of $2.81, a Q1 record and $0.06 above the guidance midpoint; free cash flow up 245% YoY

  • Demand inflection: rolling-12-month orders +42% Electrical Americas / +13% Electrical Global / +13% Aerospace; combined Electrical orders +32% rolling-12-mo (+47% in-quarter); data-center orders +240%

  • Record backlogs — total electrical backlog +48% YoY, book-to-bill up to 1.2 (from 1.1); Electrical Americas negotiations pipeline +81%

  • Raised FY26 organic growth 200 bps to a 10% midpoint and adjusted EPS midpoint to $13.28, absorbing Boyd dilution; closed Ultra PCS (Jan) and Boyd Thermal (Mar) ahead of schedule

Concerns

5
  • Electrical Americas operating margin only 25.6% — below expectations — on a negative commodity price-cost lag and accelerated ramp-up costs

  • FY26 segment margin guide cut 50 bps to 24.1%-24.5%, driven by the Electrical Americas Q1 performance

  • Mobility organic sales -6% on the deliberate exit of a low-margin North America light-vehicle business

  • Boyd acquisition is EPS-dilutive for the year (absorbed within the raised guide); Boyd capex temporarily rising toward ~double-digit % of sales

  • Winter storms disrupted Electrical Americas facilities and the supply chain in January and February

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Full-year 2026 total company organic growth
9% to 11% (10% midpoint)
high materiality
High
Full-year 2026 adjusted EPS
$13.05 to $13.50 ($13.28 midpoint)
high materiality
High
Full-year 2026 segment operating margin
24.1% to 24.5%
high materiality
High
Full-year 2026 segment operating profit (dollars)
~$4.4B
high materiality
High
Full-year 2026 Electrical Americas organic growth
~13% midpoint (raised 300 bps)
high materiality
High
Full-year 2026 Electrical Global organic growth
raised 300 bps at the midpoint
medium materiality
High
Electrical Americas Q1-to-Q2 margin improvement
+150 bps sequentially
medium materiality
High
Electrical Americas exit-year (Q4 2026) operating margin
north of 30%
high materiality
High
Electrical Americas long-term operating margin
32%
high materiality
Medium
Electrical Americas incremental margin ramp
~10% (Q2), ~20s% (Q3), ~50s% (Q4) YoY incrementals
high materiality
Medium
Q4 2026 firm-wide adjusted EPS (implied)
~$4
medium materiality
Medium
Full-year 2026 liquid cooling (Boyd) revenue
$1.7B or better business (~$1.4B included in Eaton financials)
high materiality
High
Liquid cooling quarterly revenue run-rate (H2 2026)
$450M per quarter (from ~$400M in Q1)
medium materiality
Medium
Solid-state transformer / 800V DC order and shipment timing
orders in 2H 2026; shipments starting late 2027 into early 2028
medium materiality
Medium
Mobility segment spin-off
complete by first quarter of 2027
medium materiality
High
Full-year 2026 free cash flow
reaffirmed (prior guide range)
medium materiality
Medium

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
Electrical Americas
Record sales and Q1-record operating profit, but margin below expectations on a commodity price-cost lag and accelerated ramp-up costs. Growth led by data centers, commercial/institutional and machine OEM; Q1 is the margin trough.
Data center sales: up ~50%Rolling-12-month orders growth: +42% YoYIn-quarter orders growth: +60% YoYBacklog growth: +44% YoY (+$4.4B added over the year)Negotiations pipeline growth: +81% YoYUtility orders growth: double-digit (rolling-12-month)Short-cycle revenue: high-single-digit (from mid-single-digit in Q4)
—+14% organic—25.6% operating margin
Electrical Global
Strength in data center, residential and machine OEM; margin expansion driven by higher sales and operational efficiencies. Exceptional data-center demand cited.
Rolling-12-month orders growth: +13% YoYBoyd acquisition contribution: +6 points of growthUtility orders growth: mid-single-digit (rolling-12-month)Distributed IT: slightly down YoY
—+21% total (+9% organic, +6% from Boyd acquisition)—19.2% operating margin (+60 bps YoY)
Electrical (combined sector)
Roll-up of Electrical Americas and Electrical Global; record backlog and accelerating orders underpin forward visibility.
Rolling-12-month orders growth: +32% YoYIn-quarter orders growth: +47% YoYBook-to-bill: 1.2 (from 1.1 last quarter)Total electrical backlog growth: +48% YoY (record)
—+20% total (+13% organic)—23.4% segment margin
Aerospace
Record sales with particular strength in defense aftermarket plus commercial OEM and aftermarket. Ultra PCS (closed January) performed in line with expectations; robust orders and growing backlog.
Rolling-12-month orders growth: +13% YoYUltra PCS acquisition contribution: +5 points of total sales growthMargin included a one-time facility sale gain
—+16% total (+9% organic)—26.7% operating margin (+360 bps YoY; +80 bps ex one-time gain)
Mobility (Vehicle + eMobility)
Decline driven primarily by the deliberate exit of a low-margin North America light-vehicle business ('fixing the tail'); margins held flat on mix and operational improvements offsetting commodity and wage inflation.
Includes both Vehicle and eMobilityOn track to spin by Q1 2027
—-6% organic—flat YoY

ETN operating KPIs by quarter

ETN operating KPIs stated on its earnings calls, by fiscal quarter
KPI Dec 2024 Q4 FY24 Mar 2025 Q1 FY25 Jun 2025 Q2 FY25 Sep 2025 Q3 FY25 Dec 2025 Q4 FY25 Jun 2026 Q2 FY26Change vs prior quarter
Book-to-bill ratio Electrical Americas——
1.1 ratio Even with record sales, book-to-bill increased to 1.1 with 17% growth in our large $11.4 billion backlog, providing strong visibility for our organic growth in 2025 and beyond. Source: earnings call transcript
1.1 ratio Book-to-bill remained at 1.1, and our backlog grew by $2 billion or 20% to $12 billion, providing strong visibility for our organic growth outlook. Source: earnings call transcript
1.2 ratio Book-to-bill increased to 1.2, and our backlog year-on-year grew by over $3 billion or 31% to $13.2 billion, providing strong visibility for our organic growth outlook. Source: earnings call transcript
1.3 ratio Our total company book-to-bill remains strong at 1.2, with Americas book-to-bill expanding to 1.3 and Aerospace to 1.2. Source: earnings call transcript
+8.3%
Backlog Electrical
$11.8B Backlog continues to be very strong with Electrical at $11.8 billion and Aerospace at $3.7 billion for a total backlog of $15.5 billion. Source: earnings call transcript
———
$15.3B On the right, backlog also continues to set records with Electrical at $15.3 billion and Aerospace at $4.3 billion for a total backlog of $19.6 billion. Source: earnings call transcript
——
Backlog Aerospace
$3.7B Backlog continues to be very strong with Electrical at $11.8 billion and Aerospace at $3.7 billion for a total backlog of $15.5 billion. Source: earnings call transcript
———
$4.3B On the right, backlog also continues to set records with Electrical at $15.3 billion and Aerospace at $4.3 billion for a total backlog of $19.6 billion. Source: earnings call transcript
——
Backlog
$15.5B Backlog continues to be very strong with Electrical at $11.8 billion and Aerospace at $3.7 billion for a total backlog of $15.5 billion. Source: earnings call transcript
———
$19.6B On the right, backlog also continues to set records with Electrical at $15.3 billion and Aerospace at $4.3 billion for a total backlog of $19.6 billion. Source: earnings call transcript
——
Book-to-bill ratio —
1.1 ratio And as a result, total Eaton book-to-bill ratio at 1.1 with backlog growth year-over-year and sequentially. Source: earnings call transcript
—
1.2 ratio As a result, our book-to-bill for the combined segments was 1.2 on a quarterly basis and 1.1 on a rolling 12-month basis. Source: earnings call transcript
—
1.2 ratio Our total company book-to-bill remains strong at 1.2, with Americas book-to-bill expanding to 1.3 and Aerospace to 1.2. Source: earnings call transcript
—
Backlog Electrical Americas——
$11.4B Even with record sales, book-to-bill increased to 1.1 with 17% growth in our large $11.4 billion backlog, providing strong visibility for our organic growth in 2025 and beyond. Source: earnings call transcript
$12B Book-to-bill remained at 1.1, and our backlog grew by $2 billion or 20% to $12 billion, providing strong visibility for our organic growth outlook. Source: earnings call transcript
$13.2B Book-to-bill increased to 1.2, and our backlog year-on-year grew by over $3 billion or 31% to $13.2 billion, providing strong visibility for our organic growth outlook. Source: earnings call transcript
—+10%

Operating figures the company stated on at least two of the calls shown, checked against each call's transcript. Click a figure to read the sentence. A dash means it was not stated that quarter.

Orderbook & backlog

Total electrical backlog record high; +48% YoY 2026-03-31

+48% YoY

Combined Electrical book-to-bill 1.2 (rolling-12-month), up from 1.1; provides forward visibility.

Electrical Americas backlog record; +44% YoY 2026-03-31

+44% YoY; ~$4.4B added over the past year

Built while still delivering double-digit top-line growth.

Aerospace backlog record high (growing) 2026-03-31

record high; rolling-12-mo orders +13%

Robust orders continue to position Aerospace for growth; specific value not stated.

Combined Electrical book-to-bill ratio 1.2 2026-03-31

up from 1.1 last quarter; even stronger YoY

Rolling-12-month basis; above 1.0 indicates growing backlog.

Boyd (liquid cooling) backlog doubled over the last 6 months 2026-03-31

2x over 6 months

Supports $1.7B+ 2026 cooling revenue trajectory; run-rate ~$400M/qtr rising to $450M in H2.

Industry data-center backlog (Eaton estimate) 228 GW (~12 years at 2025 build rates) Q1 FY26

up from 11 years in last update

Industry demand pool, not Eaton's booked orders; 32 GW under construction in the US (70% AI).

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
Eaton [indiscernible] DSX platform (with NVIDIA)launch
800V DC solid-state transformer / medium-voltage DC architectureroadmap
NVIDIA Vera Rubin complete power solutionmilestone

Deals & partnerships

Boyd Thermal (prior owner: Goldman/PE) acquisition not stated

Leading liquid-cooling / cold-plate provider; core design partner to hyperscalers and silicon providers; completes Eaton's grid-to-chip offering and expands white-space presence. Reports to sector COO (Heath).

Ultra PCS acquisition not stated

Aerospace acquisition; integration a 2026 priority.

Fiber bond acquisition not stated

Successfully integrated; enhances Eaton's modular approach; integration continues in 2026.

Resilient Power Systems acquisition not stated

Fast-tracks solid-state transformer technology via an immersion-cooled offering delivering higher power density in a smaller footprint; 'leapfrogged' Eaton's SST development.

NVIDIA partnership (design)

Design partnership at 800V DC scope for the next-generation Vera Rubin chips; underpins the Eaton DSX platform and grid-to-chip AI-factory infrastructure.

Siemens Energy partnership (on-site power)

On-site power partnership to help solve global power constraints.

Eaton Mobility (Vehicle + eMobility) spin-off divestiture

Planned spin of the Mobility segment; on track for Q1 2027 execution.

Capital programs

Electrical Americas capacity expansion (24 facilities) underway over $1B CapEx (record scale)
Period spend: bulk of ramp-up cost concentrated in Q4 2025 and H1 2026
Spent to date: 12 of 24 facilities complete and ramping (>half of the near-term cost/'pain' behind)
Start: construction finalized on first 12; program underway 2024-2025

Benefit:supports raised ~13% Electrical Americas organic growth; capacity in voltage regulators, capacitors and switchgear

Management does not expect another expansion of this magnitude soon — future investment to be more continuous, with focus on 'sweating' new assets for high returns.

Boyd (liquid cooling) capacity investment underway
Period spend: capex approaching ~double-digit % of sales (temporarily)
Start: post-close (March 2026)

Benefit:scale to support doubling backlog and $1.7B+ 2026 revenue

Historically Boyd grew at low capex intensity (~3-4% of sales); explosive growth temporarily lifts capex toward double digits, already within FY26 guidance.

Risks & headwinds

Electrical Americas margin pressure (price-cost lag) Q1 2026, temporary through H1

EA operating margin 25.6% (below expectations); FY26 segment margin guide cut 50 bps to 24.1%-24.5%

Mitigation:April 1 price increase plus additional price actions; described as temporary and more than offset in the full year

Capacity ramp-up costs (front-loaded fixed cost/labor/depreciation ahead of volume) Q4 2025-H1 2026

over $1B CapEx; costs concentrated in Q4 2025 and H1 2026; accelerated to deliver ~30% higher volume

Mitigation:volume leverage as 12 factories ramp; lower support costs as % of sales in H2; >half the cost 'pain' already behind

Commodity/input cost inflation early 2026

higher input costs than originally planned (unquantified $); negative price-cost lag

Mitigation:pricing actions (April 1 and beyond); framework pricing

Winter storm disruption January-February 2026

impacted Electrical Americas facilities and supply chain (unquantified $)

Mitigation:team recovered well in March; strong April

Mobility revenue decline Q1 2026, ongoing until spin

-6% organic in Q1

Mitigation:deliberate exit of low-margin NA light-vehicle business ('fixing the tail'); spin planned Q1 2027

Boyd acquisition EPS dilution FY26

dilutive to 2026 EPS (unquantified; absorbed within $13.28 midpoint)

Mitigation:offset by full Q1 beat flow-through and strong Boyd growth; synergy delivery a priority

Tariff / trade-policy exposure FY26

included in guidance; considered immaterial

Mitigation:included in guide; pricing offsets

Q&A highlights

Where does Eaton stand competitively in solid-state transformers and medium-voltage DC, and what is the TAM?

Paulo framed a broad shift to DC from utility to chip. He said chillers consume ~20% of DC power and that moving AC (93% efficient) to 800V+ DC can lift efficiency to ~98% (up to 5% savings). Eaton is in a leading position, accelerated by Resilient Power, with ~10 SST pilots including hyperscalers, is leading US/EU codes, is quoting 800V DC now, and expects orders in 2H26 with shipments late 2027 into 2028.

“we estimate and all the industry leaders estimate that switching to this direct current technology 800 volts or above can save up to 5% from data center operations, moving the efficiency all the way up to 98%”

asked by Scott Davis · answered by Paulo Sternadt

4 min read 7 chapters

Detailed narrative

Demand inflection: record orders, backlog and pipeline

Rolling-12-month orders rose in every business — +42% Electrical Americas, +13% Electrical Global and +13% Aerospace — with combined Electrical orders up 32% on a rolling-12-month basis and 47% in the quarter. Data-center orders were up 240%. Combined book-to-bill rose to 1.2 from 1.1, lifting total electrical backlog 48% YoY to a new record, with Aerospace also at a record.

Electrical Americas alone added $4.4B to backlog over the past year and its negotiations pipeline was up 81%. Management framed the setup as 'the precipice of a new growth cycle.'

Electrical Americas margin trough and recovery path

Electrical Americas posted 14% organic growth but a 25.6% operating margin, below expectations, on two temporary headwinds: a negative commodity price-cost lag and accelerated ramp-up costs to deliver ~30% higher volume than originally planned. Management stressed product unit economics remain healthy and reaffirmed full-year segment profit near $4.4B.

Recovery levers are an April 1 price increase (plus further actions), volume leverage as 12 ramping factories fill, and lower support costs as a % of sales. Guidance implies +150 bps Q1-to-Q2, a >30% exit rate, and the path to a 32% margin by 2030.

Boyd Thermal and the liquid-cooling strategy

Boyd Thermal (closed March, ahead of schedule) makes Eaton a full grid-to-chip provider by adding leading liquid-cooling and cold-plate capability in the data-center 'white space.' The cooling business is tracked to $1.7B+ in 2026 (~$1.4B in Eaton financials) versus $1.1B in 2025; Q1 revenue more than doubled YoY and backlog doubled over six months, with a Q1 run-rate near $400M rising to a modeled $450M/quarter in H2.

Management called cold plates strategic assets, not commodities, and said a year-long market search (with an external consultant and a DOE cooling expert) pointed to Boyd as the market leader bought at the right multiple.

Grid-to-chip and next-gen power architecture (NVIDIA, solid-state transformers)

Eaton unveiled the DSX platform, a modular grid-to-chip AI-factory infrastructure solution, and detailed an 800V DC partnership with NVIDIA for the Vera Rubin generation. Management argued the two biggest data-center efficiency levers are reducing chillers (~20% of DC power today) via advanced cooling and moving from AC (93% efficient) to 800V+ DC (up to 98%).

Eaton has more than a handful of solid-state-transformer pilots (approaching ~10, including hyperscalers), accelerated by the Resilient Power Systems acquisition, and is leading US/EU codes and standards; quotes are out now with orders expected in 2H26 and shipments in late 2027 into 2028.

Data-center and broader end-market backdrop

Eaton now estimates 32 GW of US data-center capacity under construction (70% AI) and total industry data-center backlog of 228 GW — about 12 years at 2025 build rates, up from 11 — with power demand potentially tripling between 2025 and 2030.

Beyond data centers, utility orders grew double-digits (Americas rolling-12-mo) with share gains in voltage regulators, capacitors and switchgear; mega-project starts hit $54B in Q1 (more than double YoY, third-best on record). Short-cycle revenue improved to high-single-digits from mid-single-digits in Q4, with resi, machine OEM and distributed IT all recovering.

Capacity expansion program and winter-storm recovery

Eaton finalized construction on and is ramping 12 of an announced 24 Americas facilities, deploying over $1B of CapEx at record scale — the bulk of the ramp-up cost concentrated in Q4 2025 and H1 2026. Six more facilities come online by end-2026 (ramping in 2027) and the final six beyond 2027; management does not expect another tranche of this magnitude soon, favoring continuous investment and 'sweating' existing assets.

Americas recovered from a tough January and February hit by winter storms across facilities and the supply chain, with a strong March and a good start to April.

Portfolio actions and CFO transition

Eaton closed Ultra PCS (January, Aerospace) and Boyd Thermal (March), integrated Fiber bond, and acquired Resilient Power Systems to fast-track solid-state transformer technology, alongside partnerships with NVIDIA (design) and Siemens Energy (on-site power). The mobility spin remains on track for Q1 2027.

Dave Foster returned as CFO (announced March 2) after nearly 30 years at Eaton, citing record past-due collections performance (beat 2025's record by another 100 bps at Q1) as evidence of finance-function transformation, and named integrating the acquisitions and executing the spin as top priorities.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.