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Expedia Group (EXPE) Q1 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Mar 2026 (Q1 FY26)· Consumer Discretionary· May 7, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Expedia Group Q1 FY26 — Double-digit bookings growth and highest Q1 margin in 15 years

Expedia delivered a strong start to the year, with double-digit bookings and revenue growth and sharp margin expansion showing its efficiency-and-execution flywheel is durable even as a March macro shock (Middle East, Mexico) drove elevated cancellations before demand reaccelerated in April. Management leaned hard into AI as an amplifier of supply, servicing and marketing productivity, expanded its B2B partner roster (Uber, BMO AIR MILES), and deliberately held—rather than raised—the full-year guide, signaling disciplined caution amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty.

Highlights

5
  • Gross bookings of $35.5B, up 13%; revenue up 15% to $3.4B, both exceeding the high end of guidance

  • Adjusted EBITDA of $542M at a 15.8% margin — nearly 6 points of margin expansion and the highest first-quarter margin in 15 years

  • B2B gross bookings up 22% to $10.7B (revenue +25%); Consumer bookings up 10%, the fastest post-COVID pace (highest in ~8 years)

  • Adjusted EPS of $1.96, up approximately 4x year-over-year on earnings growth plus buyback accretion

  • Vacation rentals on Expedia reached a $1B annualized bookings run-rate for the first time; Board approved a new $5B repurchase authorization

Concerns

4
  • Middle East conflict and Mexico travel advisories cut roughly 2 points from bookings and room-night growth for the quarter (~5 points of impact in March alone)

  • Total booked room nights grew only 6%; U.S. was flagged by an analyst as slower than some peers, and B2B decelerated on moderating partner promotional activity

  • Full-year outlook was reiterated rather than raised despite the Q1 beat, citing geopolitical/macro volatility and uncertainty on gas prices

  • Consumer revenue growth (8%) lagged its bookings growth (10%) on a higher air mix, and marketing/margin leverage is expected to moderate in H2 as last year's cost cuts are lapped; AI token costs are expected to rise

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Q2 2026 gross bookings growth
7% to 9%
high materiality
High
Q2 2026 revenue growth
9% to 11%
high materiality
High
Q2 2026 adjusted EBITDA margin expansion
up 50 to 100 basis points
high materiality
High
Full-year 2026 gross bookings growth
6% to 8%
high materiality
Medium
Full-year 2026 revenue growth
6% to 9%
high materiality
Medium
Full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA margin expansion
100 to 125 basis points (expected at high end)
high materiality
Medium
Full-year 2026 share repurchase pace
opportunistic repurchases at a pace similar to recent years
medium materiality
Medium

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
Consumer
Sustained U.S. momentum and continued Vrbo strength; bookings growth outpaced revenue primarily on a higher mix of air. Margin expansion driven by marketing leverage and disciplined cost management. All major brands contributed, led by Brand Expedia. Faced headwinds from Mexico travel advisories.
Gross bookings: $24.8B (+10% YoY)Consumer bookings growth: fastest post-COVID pace (highest in ~8 years)Supplier-funded promotions: over 1/3 of Vrbo bookingsDirect sales & marketing: down 7%, leveraging ~75 bps of consumer gross bookings
$2.1B8% (revenue); gross bookings +10%—EBITDA margin ~20%, up ~9 points YoY
B2B
Led by acceleration in North America and double-digit growth across all core regions. Benefited from elevated (but sequentially moderating) promotional activity by some of the largest partners. More exposed to the Middle East conflict given international mix, driving elevated March cancellations in Europe and Asia that recovered in April. Company continues to prioritize B2B investment, weighing on near-term margin.
Gross bookings: $10.7B (+22% YoY)Rapid API: again the largest contributor to growth~2/3 of B2B bookings originate outside the U.S.Other lines of business grew at least mid-teens
$1.2B25% (revenue); gross bookings +22%—EBITDA margin 22.7%, approximately flat YoY

EXPE operating KPIs by quarter

EXPE operating KPIs stated on its earnings calls, by fiscal quarter
KPI Dec 2024 Q4 FY24 Mar 2025 Q1 FY25 Jun 2025 Q2 FY25 Sep 2025 Q3 FY25 Dec 2025 Q4 FY25This call Mar 2026 Q1 FY26Change vs prior quarter
Gross bookings
$24.4B Total gross bookings of $24.4 billion grew 13% with a 5-point sequential acceleration in both B2C and B2B with a better-than-expected demand environment and strong operational execution. Source: earnings call transcript
$31.5B Total gross bookings of $31.5 billion were up 4%. Source: earnings call transcript
$30.4B Gross bookings were $30.4 billion, up 5%, which includes a 1 point benefit from foreign exchange. Source: earnings call transcript
$30.7B Gross bookings were $30.7 billion, up 12%, including a 1 point benefit from foreign exchange. Source: earnings call transcript
$27B Gross bookings and revenue grew 11% to $27 billion and $3.5 billion, respectively. Source: earnings call transcript
$35.5B Gross bookings were 35.5 billion, up 13%, driven by 6% room night growth and 4% ADR growth on an FX-neutral basis. Source: earnings call transcript
+31.5%
Average daily rate (ADR) —
$214 Average daily rates were $214, down 1%, although up 1% on an FX-neutral basis. Source: earnings call transcript
$209 ADRs of $209 were essentially flat with prior year. Source: earnings call transcript
———-2.3%
Gross bookings B2C—
$22.6B B2C gross bookings of $22.6 billion grew 1%. Source: earnings call transcript
$21.6B B2C gross bookings of $21.6 billion increased 1% year-over-year. Source: earnings call transcript
$21.3B B2C gross bookings of $21.3 billion accelerated 6 points to 7% year-over-year, driven by performance both domestically and internationally. Source: earnings call transcript
$18.3B B2C gross bookings of $18.3 billion grew 5%, driven by sustained momentum both domestically and internationally. Source: earnings call transcript
$24.8B Consumer gross bookings of 24.8 billion grew 10%, driven by sustained momentum in the US and continued momentum in Vrbo. Source: earnings call transcript
+35.5%
Gross bookings B2B—
$8.8B B2B gross bookings of $8.8 billion grew 14%, materially above the market, although decelerating sequentially. Source: earnings call transcript
$8.8B B2B gross bookings were $8.8 billion, up 17%. Source: earnings call transcript
$9.4B B2B gross bookings were $9.4 billion or 26% with broad-based growth across all regions. Source: earnings call transcript
$8.7B B2B gross bookings grew 24% to $8.7 billion, with continued double-digit growth across all regions. Source: earnings call transcript
$10.7B B2B gross bookings grew 22% to $10.7 billion, led by an acceleration in North America and double-digit growth across all core regions. Source: earnings call transcript
+23%

Operating figures the company stated on at least two of the calls shown, checked against each call's transcript. Click a figure to read the sentence. A dash means it was not stated that quarter.

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
ChatGPT adslaunch
Claude integrationexpansion

Deals & partnerships

Uber B2B partnership — exclusive hotel partner; Expedia to power Uber's hotel offering, with Uber also appearing in the Expedia app

Announced 'just last week' as the exclusive hotel partner for Uber. Management framed it as accretive and a testament to B2B's technology, team and supply, while noting consumer brands continue to defend their ~2/3 direct-booking base.

Bank of Montreal (BMO) AIR MILES B2B partnership — exclusive travel/loyalty partnership

Announced an exclusive partnership with Bank of Montreal AIR MILES as part of continued B2B partner-network expansion.

Speed (YouTube creator) Marketing/brand partnership targeting the Gen Z audience for Brand Expedia

Upper-funnel brand marketing partnership with a large YouTuber to reach younger travelers, cited as an example of Brand Expedia's brand-spend strategy.

Risks & headwinds

Middle East conflict driving elevated outbound-travel cancellations, especially in Europe and Asia (B2B most affected) Peaked in March 2026; cancellations stabilized in early April; some residual/uncertain impact embedded in Q2 guide

Middle East is less than 2% of total bookings directly; combined with Mexico advisories, cost ~2 points of bookings/room-night growth for the quarter and ~5 points in March

Mitigation:Extended cancellation flexibility with in-region partners, augmented service teams, and used AI to handle surge volumes; bookings reaccelerated in April

Mexico travel advisories pressuring U.S. outbound demand in the consumer business March 2026; recovering in April

Part of the combined ~2-point quarter drag (with Middle East)

Mitigation:U.S. domestic bookings accelerated to mid-teens, partially offsetting outbound weakness

Broad macro/geopolitical volatility and uncertain gas prices creating unpredictable, divergent demand metrics Ongoing through 2026

Not quantified; cited as reason to maintain rather than raise full-year outlook

Mitigation:Prudent guidance stance; full-year update deferred to Q2; strategy built for resilience across traveler behaviors

Moderating promotional activity from some of the largest B2B partners decelerating B2B growth contribution Q1 FY26, continuing into Q2

Not separately quantified; contribution to B2B growth lower this quarter and expected to be a bit lower next quarter

Mitigation:Diversified B2B lines of business (Rapid API leading, others growing at least mid-teens) and new partner wins (Uber, BMO)

Rising AI/token costs pressuring the cost base, particularly in H2 Second half of 2026

Not quantified; token costs expected to go up as AI skills are added back

Mitigation:Prior cost reductions across teams create room to absorb; disciplined 'pressurized' usage; productivity gains funding AI investment

Moderating margin/marketing leverage as prior-year marketing cuts and larger cost actions are lapped Second half of 2026

Full-year margin expansion guided to 100–125 bps (vs. ~6 points in Q1); pace expected to slow in H2

Mitigation:Durable measurement/incrementality gains plus continued efficiencies in overhead and cost of sales; making each marketing dollar convert better

Rising airfares (tighter air capacity, higher fuel) potentially pressuring travel demand elasticity Q1 FY26 and ongoing

Not quantified; air capacity tightened and prices increased during the quarter with some shifts across quarters

Mitigation:No dramatic shift in customer behavior observed; bundling of hotel deals with flights positioned as more attractive when airfares rise

AI platforms potentially disintermediating discovery/booking (competitive/structural) Long-term/evolving

Not quantified; AI-channel traffic and bookings remain small

Mitigation:Positioning AI as a discovery layer while booking/servicing stays with a trusted scale provider; investing in AEO, integrations, and treating a shift toward paid advertising as a net positive

Q&A highlights

What have you seen in April and early May, what's embedded in the room-night guide, and why did U.S. growth appear slower than some peers?

Management described a strong January/February, a March slowdown from Mexico advisories and the Middle East conflict (hitting APAC/EMEA outbound and B2B most), and normalization of cancellations with improved bookings in April. On the U.S., Gorin said domestic bookings actually accelerated to mid-teens growth and domestic nights were stable, growing faster than the market; the drag was outbound-to-Mexico demand and B2B partner promo moderation. Consumer sentiment was called remarkably resilient.

“if you just look at the U.S. on domestic bookings, the U.S. domestic bookings actually accelerated and grew in the mid-teens. U.S. domestic nights were stable, and we grew faster than the market overall.”

asked by Brian Nowak · answered by Ariane Gorin

4 min read 7 chapters

Detailed narrative

Quarter cadence and the March macro shock

Expedia entered the quarter with strong momentum carried from late 2025, posting healthy room-night and bookings growth in January and February in line with the prior quarter — its best first-quarter start in three years. In March the macro environment turned volatile: travel advisories in Mexico pressured the consumer business and the conflict in the Middle East meaningfully impacted outbound travel from multiple regions, driving elevated cancellations across Europe and Asia and hitting B2B hardest.

Middle East itself is less than 2% of total bookings, but the two events combined cost about 2 points of growth for the full quarter and roughly 5 points in March alone. Cancellations normalized in early April and booking activity reaccelerated through the month, though management expects further volatility through Q2.

Consumer brand health and marketing discipline

Consumer Brands grew bookings 10%, the fastest pace in 12 quarters (strongest post-COVID, and highest in nearly 8 years), while direct consumer sales and marketing spend was actually cut 7% — evidence of durable marketing efficiency from better incrementality measurement and channel reallocation.

Brand Expedia was the primary growth contributor with strong air ticket growth, record attach and insurance levels, and a scaling unified lodging path; Vrbo showed strong momentum on traffic, conversion and quality; Hotels.com continues its brand relaunch and loyalty-program adjustments.

Management emphasized balancing upper-funnel brand spend (e.g., a new creator partnership with YouTuber Speed targeting Gen Z) with performance marketing, and stated it did not believe it left meaningful growth on the table.

B2B momentum and partner-network expansion

B2B gross bookings grew 22% to $10.7B with revenue up 25% to $1.2B, led by acceleration in North America and double-digit growth across all core regions, with Rapid API again the largest contributor. Roughly two-thirds of B2B bookings originate outside the U.S., which is why the segment bore the brunt of the Middle East disruption and elevated cancellations in March before recovering in April.

The company announced an exclusive partnership with Bank of Montreal AIR MILES and, just last week, became the exclusive hotel partner for Uber (launching in the U.S., then expanding), with Uber also appearing inside the Expedia app. Management framed these as accretive to the B2B P&L and to supply partners, who gain incremental demand through a single connection.

EBITDA margin held roughly flat at 22.7% as the company continues prioritizing B2B investment over near-term margin.

AI strategy across product, supply, servicing and marketing

Management positioned AI as an amplifier of existing advantages rather than a threat. In product, AI drives personalization at scale using data from hundreds of millions of traveler interactions, yielding higher Vrbo conversion and record attach on Expedia; AI-powered filters and the servicing agent are the two most-adopted features.

In supply, AI accelerates onboarding across nearly 3.7 million properties (800,000 exclusive) and enriches proprietary content. In servicing, over 30% of the more than 250 million annual interactions (over half self-service) are AI-powered, cutting new-agent onboarding time by ~60% and helping absorb the Middle East cancellation surge.

In marketing, answer-engine optimization is the fastest-growing channel, ChatGPT ads went live in February and a Claude integration is live; AI-enabled tools are driving hundreds of millions of dollars in realized marketing value. On OpenAI scaling back in-chat checkout, management said it reinforces its view that AI is a discovery layer while booking/servicing is best handled by a trusted scale provider — a net positive if the market shifts toward paid advertising.

Margin expansion and cost discipline

Adjusted EBITDA reached $542M at a 15.8% margin — the highest first-quarter margin in 15 years — with nearly 6 points of expansion, of which about 1 point came from favorable FX and the balance from stronger-than-expected marketing leverage, revenue flow-through and cost efficiencies.

Cost of revenue rose only 5% (leveraging ~1 point on efficiencies in payments and customer service), total direct sales and marketing rose 6% (with consumer S&M down 7%, leveraging ~75 bps of consumer gross bookings), and overhead rose 4% (leveraging ~2 points).

Management cautioned that H2 margin expansion will moderate as it laps last year's marketing cuts and larger cost actions, and as AI/token costs rise, offset by continued productivity gains across overhead and cost of sales.

Capital structure and shareholder returns

Expedia ended the quarter with $5.8B of unrestricted cash and short-term investments and generated $4.1B of trailing-12-month free cash flow. During the quarter it retired $1.75B of short-term debt (including convertible and senior notes), secured a $2.5B revolving credit facility, and — subsequent to quarter end — issued $1B of long-term debt, all consistent with maintaining its investment-grade rating.

It repurchased 3.3 million shares for $700M at an average price of $212, bringing cumulative repurchases since 2022 to nearly 49 million shares and a 24% net reduction in share count. The Board approved a new $5B repurchase authorization, with 2026 buybacks expected at a pace similar to recent years.

Outlook philosophy

For Q2, Expedia guided to gross bookings growth of 7%–9% and revenue growth of 9%–11%, with EBITDA margin up 50–100 bps. Despite the Q1 beat and April rebound, management deliberately reiterated (rather than raised) full-year gross bookings growth of 6%–8%, revenue growth of 6%–9%, and margin expansion of 100–125 bps (expected at the high end), citing recent volatility and ongoing geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty, and committing to update the full-year view at Q2 under incoming CFO Derek Anderson.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.