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    FCX
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC FCX

    Jul 23, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Freeport-McMoRan Q2 FY26 — Grasberg Ramp-up and Americas Growth Drive Strong Results

    Freeport-McMoRan delivered a strong second quarter, marked by significant progress in the Grasberg ramp-up and robust operational and financial performance in the Americas. The company is advancing key organic growth projects, including the Bagdad expansion and innovative leach initiatives, while maintaining a strong balance sheet and returning cash to shareholders. Management is actively pursuing a license extension in Indonesia to unlock long-term growth opportunities and is focused on disciplined execution across its global portfolio.

    Highlights

    5
    • Grasberg Block Cave production doubled during the quarter, from 34,000 tons per day in April to 69,000 tons per day in June.

    • U.S. mining operations contributed 2.4x more operating income in H1 FY26 compared to H1 FY25, with Morenci mining rates 30% higher than the 5-year average.

    • Consolidated net income for H1 FY26 increased by 65% compared to H1 FY25.

    • Unit net cash cost for FY26 is estimated at $1.90 per pound, slightly below the prior estimate of $1.95 per pound.

    • Increased ownership in Cerro Verde by 2% to over 55% through opportunistic purchases totaling over $300 million.

    Concerns

    3
    • Preliminary capital cost estimate for Bagdad expansion increased to $4.5 billion, approximately 30% above the 2023 estimate, due to commodity and labor escalation, scope revisions, and updated engineering.

    • Volatility in oil and related products, as well as sulfur and acids, continues to impact business costs.

    • Third-quarter copper sales are expected to be significantly lower than production due to inventory build-up for the new Indonesian smelter.

    Guidance & targets

    18
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Grasberg Block Cave Production Rate
    65% of full capacity
    high materiality
    High
    Grasberg Block Cave Production Rate
    80% of full capacity
    high materiality
    High
    Grasberg Block Cave Production Rate
    approach full capacity
    high materiality
    High
    Unit Net Cash Cost
    $1.90 per pound
    high materiality
    High
    Annual Copper Sales Growth
    increase by more than 20%
    high materiality
    High
    Annual Gold Sales Growth
    increase by more than 50%
    high materiality
    High
    Copper & Gold Sales Growth
    additional growth projected
    medium materiality
    High
    Annual EBITDA (at $5 copper)
    approximately $13 billion per annum
    high materiality
    High
    Annual EBITDA (at $7 copper)
    $20 billion per annum
    high materiality
    High
    Annual Operating Cash Flow (at $5 copper)
    approximately $9.5 billion per year
    high materiality
    High
    Annual Operating Cash Flow (at $7 copper)
    $15.5 billion per year
    high materiality
    High
    Capital Expenditures
    $4.8 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Bagdad Expansion Capital Cost
    $4.5 billion range
    high materiality
    Medium
    Bagdad Expansion Incentive Price
    $4 per pound copper
    high materiality
    High
    U.S. Copper Production Growth
    60% increase
    high materiality
    High
    Leach Initiative Production Run Rate
    300 million pounds per annum
    medium materiality
    High
    Leach Initiative Long-term Production
    800 million pounds per annum
    high materiality
    Medium
    U.S. Operating Costs
    $2.50 per pound
    high materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    2
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    U.S. Mining Operations
    Contributed significantly to earnings, demonstrating strong conversion to the bottom line. Equipment reliability metrics are improving, leading to higher mining rates.
    Operating income H1 FY26 vs H1 FY25: 2.4x increaseMorenci mining rates: 30% higher than 5-year average
    2.4x operating income increase
    Grasberg Block Cave (Indonesia)
    Steady progress with ramp-up, doubling production rates. Upgrades to material handling system are on schedule, and work for restarting Production Block 1 South in 2027 is progressing. Dry conditions in Indonesia improved the dry to wet ratio of draw points.
    Production rate (April average): 34,000 tons per dayProduction rate (June average): 69,000 tons per day

    Operational metrics

    14
    Consolidated Net Income Growth
    65% increasevs H1 FY25
    H1 FY26

    Compared to the first half of 2025.

    Shareholder Returns
    $600 million
    H1 FY26

    Distributed through dividends and share purchases.

    Cumulative Shareholder Returns (since 2021)
    $6.3 billion
    since 2021

    Distributed through dividends and share purchases under the financial policy.

    Copper Price (YTD average)
    $5.93
    YTD June

    Year-to-date through June.

    Copper Price (current)
    $6.30up 12% since start of year
    July 22, 2026

    Closed on July 22, 2026.

    COMEX Copper Premium
    2% premiumto LME pricing
    current

    Currently trading at an approximate 2% premium.

    Copper Price Sensitivity to Annual EBITDA
    $390 millionper $0.10 per pound change
    annual

    Each $0.10 per pound change in copper price equates to approximately $390 million in annual EBITDA.

    Gold Price Sensitivity to Annual EBITDA
    $105 millionper $100 per ounce change
    annual

    Each $100 per ounce change in gold price approximates $105 million in annual EBITDA.

    Molybdenum Price Sensitivity to Annual EBITDA
    $85 millionper $1 per pound change
    annual

    Each $1 per pound change in molybdenum price approximates $85 million in annual EBITDA.

    Net Operating Losses (NOLs)
    just under $6 billion
    current

    Available to use against U.S. income.

    U.S. Minimum Tax Rate
    6%-7%
    FY26

    Effective rate for minimum tax, NOLs not applied against this tax.

    45X Production Tax Credit Potential
    $500 million
    annual

    Potential benefit if copper is included in Treasury regulations for critical minerals, supporting U.S. investments.

    Bagdad Expansion Molybdenum Price Assumption
    $20
    long-term economics

    Used in the $4 copper case for Bagdad expansion economics.

    Morenci Truck Capacity Upgrade
    400-ton
    Q2 FY26

    Transitioning a number of trucks to higher capacity, with more planned for next year to enhance operating excellence.

    Industry KPIs

    5
    MetricValueDetails
    Unit cash cost$1.90per pound
    By product credits
    Reserve life new supply
    Ore grade recovery drilling by deposit
    Production sales volume by metal and by mine69,000tons per day

    Deals & partnerships

    3
    Cerro VerdeIncreased ownership in Cerro Verde through opportunistic share purchases in the open market.over $300 millionapproximate 2-year time frame

    Purchases were opportunistic, leveraging a relatively small public float. Freeport is interested in further increases if opportunities arise at reasonable values.

    Indonesian governmentMemorandum of Understanding (MOU) for extension of operating rights for the life of the resource.life of the resource

    MOU signed in February, formal application submitted in June. Working diligently to respond to questions from the Energy & Mines Ministry for timely approval.

    CODELCOPartnership at El Abra operation in Chile to develop a large-scale expansion.

    Significant activity with a leach pad expansion and plans for heated stockpile injection testing in H2 FY26. Chilean government is enthusiastic about the project.

    Capital programs

    5
    Kucing Liar Developmentunderway
    Period spend: $1.6 billion (2026) / $1.9 billion (2027) discretionary capex includes this

    Benefit: sustain a low-cost, long-term production profile

    Part of discretionary capital expenditures, aimed at sustaining long-term production in the Grasberg district.

    LNG Project (Grasberg)underway
    Period spend: $1.6 billion (2026) / $1.9 billion (2027) discretionary capex includes this

    Part of discretionary capital expenditures at Grasberg.

    Bagdad Tailings and Infrastructure Accelerationunderway
    Period spend: included in $1.9 billion FY27 discretionary capex

    Benefit: support Bagdad expansion

    Work on the new tailings facility was accelerated to support the future Bagdad expansion and would be required for existing assets anyway. This is included in the FY27 capital expenditure forecast.

    El Abra Expansionunderway
    Start: March 2026 (EIS submittal)

    Benefit: transform El Abra from relatively small producer to significant contributor

    Advancing regulatory work in Chile, with an environmental impact study submitted in March. Chilean government is enthusiastic about the project.

    Bagdad Expansion Projectpending final decision$4.5 billion range
    Funding: cash flow, balance sheet

    Benefit: more than double production; make Bagdad second largest U.S. copper mine

    Finalizing investment case, with a decision expected in H2 FY26. Capital estimate is preliminary and subject to Board approval. Project benefits from large resource and attractive fiscal regime in the U.S.

    Risks & headwinds

    5
    Commodity and Labor Cost EscalationCurrent

    Bagdad expansion capital cost increased by approximately 30% (to $4.5 billion) from 2023 estimates.

    Mitigation: Optimizing operating plans, using new technologies, efficient execution strategies (off-site labor, prefab work), and seeking firm bids for construction.

    Volatile Energy and Input CostsOngoing

    Volatility in oil and related products, sulfur, and acids.

    Mitigation: Assuming prices similar to Q2 FY26 for diesel; Freeport's integrated producer status provides a natural hedge on sulfur and acid costs through sales of acid.

    Grasberg Production Volatility during UpgradesH2 FY26

    H2 FY26 production will be at a 'steady state' from June forward, with some production going down for upgrades, despite June exit rate of 69,000 tpd.

    Mitigation: Planned upgrades to material handling system (chute regulators) to improve flexibility for different ore types and increase long-term robustness; new drilling technology and drainage galleries to manage water in the pit bottom.

    Regulatory Approval for Grasberg ExtensionFY26

    No prescribed time frame for Mines Ministry approval of the formal application.

    Mitigation: Working diligently to respond to questions; strong alignment with Indonesian government on the importance and benefits of the extension.

    U.S. Operating Cost Target AchievementFY27

    $2.50 per pound target for FY27 is challenged by current market conditions (energy, sulfur, acid prices).

    Mitigation: Continuing to work on internal efficiencies, automation, technology improvements, and leveraging the lower costs of the incremental leach initiative.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    Bagdad Expansion Final Decision

    H2 FY26
    CurrentFinalizing investment case; preliminary capital cost $4.5B
    TargetBoard approval and final decision

    Why it matters

    This project is a major organic growth driver, significantly increasing U.S. copper production and impacting future capital allocation.

    We're finalizing the investment case for a major expansion at our Bagdad mine in Northwest Arizona, and expect to be in a position to move towards a final decision in the second half of this year.

    Q&A highlights

    5

    Despite higher CapEx for Bagdad, are there offsetting operating benefits? When is a decision expected?

    Management is finalizing the investment case for a H2 FY26 decision, focusing on optimizing operating plans with new technologies (e.g., autonomous trucks) and efficient execution strategies (prefab work, off-site labor) to offset increased capital costs. The project remains attractive at $4/lb copper, expanding resources and improving resilience.

    We're doing a lot of work on the Bagdad project to be in a position to review it with our Board and seek final approval in the second half of this year.

    asked by Lawson Winder · answered by Kathleen Quirk

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Grasberg Ramp-up and Indonesian Operations

    The Grasberg Block Cave mine demonstrated significant progress, doubling production rates from 34,000 tons per day in April to 69,000 tons per day in June. The team is on track to achieve 65% of full capacity in H2 FY26, 80% by mid-2027, and full capacity by end-2027. Upgrades to the material handling system are progressing, and work for restarting Production Block 1 South in 2027 is advancing. A formal application for the mine rights extension was submitted in June, following an MOU with the Indonesian government, with an objective to secure approval this year to plan beyond 2041.

    02

    Americas Operational Excellence and Innovation

    U.S. mining operations, particularly Morenci, showed strong performance with mining rates 30% higher than the 5-year average, driven by improved equipment reliability and maintenance. The innovative leach initiative is progressing, with the first internally developed additive producing results and two more high-potential additives planned for field-testing. Pilot testing of heated solution leaching at Morenci is underway, aiming to enhance recoveries and unlock a long-term path to 800 million pounds per annum from this initiative. The company is targeting a 300 million pound run rate from leach by year-end.

    03

    Bagdad Expansion Project Update

    Freeport is finalizing the investment case for a major expansion at its Bagdad mine in Arizona, with a final decision expected in H2 FY26. Preliminary capital cost estimates indicate $4.5 billion, a 30% increase from 2023 estimates due to commodity/labor escalation and scope revisions. Despite the cost increase, the project remains economically viable at a $4 per pound copper price, well below current market prices. The project is expected to take 3-4 years to complete once approved and would make Bagdad the second-largest copper mine in the U.S.

    04

    El Abra and Safford/Lone Star Growth Opportunities

    In South America, the El Abra operation in Chile is advancing a significant expansion project, with an environmental impact study submitted in March and positive engagement with the Chilean government. This project aims to transform El Abra into a significant contributor to Freeport's portfolio. Studies are also continuing in the Safford/Lone Star District in the U.S. to evaluate optimal expansion options, leveraging a large undeveloped resource and potentially incorporating new leach technologies.

    05

    Financial Performance and Capital Allocation

    The company generated significant margins, cash flows, and earnings in Q2 FY26, with consolidated net income up 65% in H1 FY26. The FY26 unit net cash cost estimate was lowered to $1.90 per pound. Freeport returned $600 million to shareholders in H1 FY26, including $200 million in share repurchases, and increased its ownership in Cerro Verde by 2% to over 55% through opportunistic purchases totaling over $300 million. The balance sheet remains strong with investment-grade ratings.

    06

    Copper Market Outlook and Strategic Positioning

    Copper demand remains robust, driven by electrification, AI data centers, energy infrastructure, and the auto sector, with LME copper prices averaging $5.93 per pound year-to-date through June and closing at $6.30 per pound on July 22. Visible inventories in China are at multi-year lows, and exchange inventories outside the U.S. are exceptionally tight. Freeport is strategically well-positioned with large-scale production, long-lived reserves, and brownfield expansion opportunities to meet growing market demand.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.