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    FE
    Earnings call· Mar 2026(Q1 FY26)

    FIRSTENERGY Q1 FY26 earnings call FE

    Apr 29, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    FirstEnergy Corp. Q1 FY26 — core EPS +7.5% on formula-rate investment, West Virginia data-center pipeline scaling

    FirstEnergy is executing a formula-rate-weighted regulated investment strategy that is translating rising rate base into steady core-earnings growth, with the reaffirmed full-year and long-term outlooks intact. The forward story is a step-up in West Virginia generation and multi-state data-center load layering incremental rate base atop the base plan, set against an affordability-and-market-structure debate where management insists large loads pay the utility rather than shift commodity risk onto its wires businesses.

    Highlights

    5
    • Core (non-GAAP) EPS of $0.72, up 7.5% from $0.67 in Q1 2025 (GAAP $0.70 vs $0.62), with each regulated business up YoY

    • $1.4B of customer-focused capital invested in the quarter, +33% vs Q1 2025; transmission rate base up 13% (integrated businesses +19%, stand-alone transmission +11%)

    • Base O&M down ~5% in the quarter, part of a >$200M (15%) base-O&M reduction since 2022; consolidated ROE 9.8% on a trailing-12-month basis

    • West Virginia data-center demand grew to ~1.8 GW of highly credible projects (+50% since February) with >6 GW more in dialogue; ~4 GW of total pipeline near contracting, expected to nearly double contracted demand

    • Moody's raised its senior-unsecured outlook to positive; $850M FirstEnergy Pennsylvania debt issued at a 4.4% average coupon, >5x oversubscribed

    Concerns

    5
    • Affordability pressure driven by a PJM capacity-market construct not attracting incremental generation; political scrutiny in Pennsylvania where a peer recently pulled its rate case

    • Seller's market for turbines/equipment risks cost pressure on the ~$2.5B West Virginia gas plant, though management holds its estimate with contingencies

    • Unresolved PJM backstop-procurement and FERC colocated-load rules (FE filed a D.C. Circuit petition); management states it will NOT sign Phase 2 contracts carrying generation/commodity risk

    • Numerous storms rolled through the service territory during the quarter, requiring extensive restoration

    • Maryland Omnibus bill introduces regulatory-process uncertainty ahead of a planned filing there

    Guidance & targets

    12
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year 2026 core (non-GAAP) EPS
    $2.62 to $2.82 per share
    high materiality
    High
    Long-term core (non-GAAP) EPS CAGR
    6% to 8% through 2030, targeting near the top end
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 capital investment plan
    $6 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Consolidated rate base growth rate (upon WV gas approval)
    increase from just over 10% to just over 11%
    high materiality
    Medium
    West Virginia 1.2 GW combined-cycle gas facility — regulatory approval
    approval anticipated in second half of 2026 (likely early Q4)
    high materiality
    Medium
    West Virginia base rate case — new rates effective
    new rates effective Q1 2027 (reflects ~$1B rate base increase since 2023)
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Ohio distribution investment (3-year rate plan)
    increase investment ~15% to ~$800M annually; bill impacts <3%/year; new rates mid-2027
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Remaining 2026 financing plan
    $1.7B in subsidiary debt offerings plus a modest amount of common equity
    medium materiality
    High
    5-year equity / equity-like issuance
    up to $2 billion, incl. ~$100M annually from employee benefit programs; annual common equity ~1% of current market cap
    medium materiality
    Medium
    West Virginia generation investment — equity funding share
    up to ~35% funded with new equity
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Contracted data-center demand
    ~4 GW of pipeline expected to become contracted (with construction agreement) within this quarter, nearly doubling contracted demand
    high materiality
    Medium
    PJM 2026 open-window project approvals
    PJM Board expected to approve projects in Q1 2027
    medium materiality
    Medium

    Operational metrics

    8
    Core (non-GAAP) EPS
    $0.72+7.5% YoY (vs $0.67 in Q1 2025)
    Q1 FY26

    Reflects execution against the regulated investment strategy and cost discipline.

    Return on equity
    9.8%in line with targeted returns
    trailing 12 months

    Consolidated ROE per Jon Taylor.

    Base O&M cost reduction
    down close to 5%>$200M / 15% reduction since 2022
    Q1 FY26 YoY

    Comparable base O&M in each 2026 rate filing is below the last case's approved level.

    Senior unsecured credit rating outlook
    raised to positivefrom prior outlook
    late March 2026

    Signals credit-profile improvement.

    Subsidiary debt issuance
    $850M (FE Pennsylvania) + $250M (MAIT) + $175M (ATSI)
    March 2026 (Q1 FY26)

    MAIT and ATSI are transmission companies.

    Customer bill vs. in-state peers
    20% below in-state peers (T&D component 35% below)vs in-state peer companies
    current

    Core affordability talking point with regulators/legislators.

    Customer outage duration improvement
    Pennsylvania ~20% (down 27 minutes); New Jersey ~16% (~49 minutes)YoY reliability improvement
    PA since 2024; NJ 2024→2025

    Reliability gains tied to investment strategy; used to justify continued rate-case investment.

    Pennsylvania default-service reform customer savings
    $80M
    hypothetical 2025

    Management stated customers would have saved $80M in 2025 had the mechanism been in place.

    Industry KPIs

    4
    MetricValueDetails
    Regulatory rate base growthjust over 10% (rising to just over 11% upon WV gas approval)%
    Rto market structure reviewPJM reliability backstop-procurement auction under review; FERC NOPR / colocated-load order; capacity-auction cap for next 2 auctions through 2030
    New gas generation builds upgrades1.2 GW combined-cycle natural gas facility (West Virginia)GW
    Contracted large load capacity esas loas~4 GW in final contract negotiations, expected contracted (with construction agreement) this quarter — nearly doubling contracted demandGW

    Orderbook & backlog

    1
    Secured competitive transmission projects (awarded)>$5 billioncumulative over last 4 years (through Q1 FY26)

    expect more opportunity in future solicitations; PJM 2026 open window Board approval expected Q1 2027

    Competitive/regional awards distinct from regulated transmission rate base; 80-85% of transmission capex is non-competitive base-system work.

    Capital programs

    4
    2026 capital investment planunderway / reaffirmed$6 billion (FY2026)
    Period spend: $1.4 billion in Q1 FY26 (+33% YoY)
    Spent to date: $1.4B in Q1
    Funding: formula-rate recovery; subsidiary debt plus modest common equity
    Start: FY2026

    Benefit: reliability and resiliency of the electric grid; nearly all increase in formula-rate programs

    Reaffirmed; most remaining earnings growth vs 2025 weighted to H2.

    West Virginia 1.2 GW combined-cycle natural gas facilitypending regulatory approval (hearings mid-July; approval expected H2 2026, likely early Q4)~$2.5 billion
    Funding: up to ~35% new equity (with AFUDC cash recovery offset); balance debt
    Start: pending regulatory approval (CPCN filed)

    Benefit: 1.2 GW dispatchable generation supporting WV economic development / data-center load

    Estimate held at ~$2.5B with contingencies despite a seller's market for turbines; EPC, turbine and gas-supply contracts being finalized to execute on approval; plan to be updated post-approval.

    Ohio 3-year distribution rate planfiling~$800M annually (proposed)
    Period spend: >$1.3B invested since 2024 filing
    Spent to date: >$1.3B since 2024
    Funding: regulated recovery via rate plan
    Start: prefiling April 22, 2026; formal filing May 2026

    Benefit: improved distribution reliability; ~15% increase in investment; <3% annual customer bill impact

    Distribution system investment plan.

    Competitive / regional transmission programongoing>$5 billion awarded (last 4 years)
    Spent to date: >$5B awarded
    Funding: regulated transmission recovery
    Start: ongoing

    Benefit: grid reliability/resiliency; 80-85% of transmission capex is base-system (non-competitive) work

    Evolving toward partnering and more competitive bidding; further core-system transmission investment anticipated.

    Risks & headwinds

    8
    Affordability pressure from PJM capacity-market construct not attracting incremental generationongoing through 2030 (cap)

    PA capacity-auction cap in place for next 2 auctions through 2030; customers 'wasting money' paying for new capacity they don't get

    Mitigation: O&M reductions (>$200M since 2022), alternative rate designs, PA default-service reform (~$80M/yr customer savings), engagement with governors/regulators; evaluating PJM reliability backstop-procurement auction

    Equipment/turbine cost inflation in a seller's marketthrough plant construction to 2031

    WV gas plant estimate ~$2.5B (with contingencies); no revised figure but pricing pressure flagged

    Mitigation: Contingencies in filed estimate; leveraging repeat-customer relationships and political scrutiny on suppliers to keep pricing 'measured'

    FERC NOPR / colocated-load order and PJM backstop-procurement uncertainty'more to come'; near-term regulatory

    unquantified; FE filed D.C. Circuit petition for review

    Mitigation: Advocating large loads pay the utility (earning a return) via open-season-style model; will NOT sign Phase 2 contracts carrying generation/commodity risk on wires companies

    Pennsylvania rate-case / affordability political backdropcurrent rate-case cycle

    unquantified; a peer recently pulled its rate case; FE in a stay-out

    Mitigation: Engagement with Gov. Shapiro; 'no surprises' approach; reliability gains and below-peer bills; investing via LTIP and DSIC riders

    Maryland Omnibus bill regulatory-process uncertaintyahead of planned Maryland filing

    unquantified

    Mitigation: Historically used a historical test year; working through legislation and will update plan accordingly

    Storm activity / weatherQ1 FY26

    numerous storms across the service territory in Q1

    Mitigation: Employee restoration performance; grid resiliency investment

    Concentration in a small number of hyperscaler/data-center large-load customersas demand contracts and generation is added

    ~4 GW near contracting; >6 GW in WV dialogue; ~1.8 GW WV credible

    Mitigation: Requiring large loads to pay 'full fair share'; generation added only as loads become contracted, subject to regulatory approval

    Interest-rate / heavy debt issuance exposure2026 and beyond

    $1.7B remaining 2026 subsidiary debt; recent $850M at 4.4% coupon

    Mitigation: Strong demand (>5x oversubscribed); improved Moody's outlook; disciplined financing plan

    Q&A highlights

    8

    Timing of the incremental generation spend, turbine-queue status, and how it affects the CAGR since FE already guides near the high end.

    Turbines are on track for a 2031 online date; approval of the existing application is expected in H2 2026, likely early Q4. Upon approval, rate base growth would step from just over 10% to just over 11%, with the plan updated as soon as practical and focus on converting rate base into earnings growth.

    upon approval, rate base growth would increase from just over 10% to just over 11%. And obviously, we'll be very focused on translating rate base growth into earnings growth.

    asked by Shahriar Pourreza · answered by K. Taylor

    4 min read8 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q1 earnings and financial discipline

    First quarter GAAP EPS was $0.70 versus $0.62 a year ago; core (non-GAAP) EPS was $0.72, up 7.5% from $0.67, with each regulated business up YoY. Roughly 75% of the capital program is under a formula rate, and consolidated ROE was 9.8% on a trailing-12-month basis, in line with targeted returns. Base O&M fell close to 5% in the quarter, extending a >$200M (15%) reduction since 2022 driven by a shift to integrated, analytical, risk-based decision-making and automation. Management characterized the savings as sustainable rather than timing-driven.

    02

    Capital program and rate base growth

    FE invested $1.4B in the quarter, a 33% increase over Q1 2025, with nearly all of the increase in formula-rate programs targeting reliability and resiliency. Transmission rate base rose 13% (integrated businesses +19%, stand-alone transmission +11%). Consolidated rate base is growing just over 10%, rising to just over 11% once the West Virginia gas facility is approved. The $6B 2026 capital plan was reaffirmed, and management flagged that substantial incremental transmission and generation investment above the current plan will be required as the energy landscape evolves.

    03

    West Virginia generation and data-center demand

    FE filed a CPCN for a 1.2 GW combined-cycle gas facility (~$2.5B), with hearings mid-July and approval expected in H2 2026; equipment is on track for a 2031 online date. West Virginia data-center demand reached ~1.8 GW of highly credible projects, up 50% since February, with constructive dialogue on >6 GW more of load — aligned to Governor Morrisey's 50 GW-by-2050 initiative. Across all states, ~4 GW of pipeline is in final negotiations and expected to be contracted this quarter, nearly doubling contracted demand. FE is prepared to add incremental generation as large loads become contracted, subject to regulatory approval.

    04

    Multi-state regulatory calendar

    West Virginia base rate case to be filed in May (reflecting a ~$1B rate base increase since 2023, new rates Q1 2027). Ohio prefiling notices were made April 22 for a 3-year rate plan (formal filing next month), proposing a ~15% increase to ~$800M annual investment, <3% annual bill impact, and new rates mid-2027 after >$1.3B invested since 2024. In Pennsylvania, the approved infrastructure program now recovers nearly 50% of FE-PA's capital program through the DSIC. New Jersey and Maryland filings are being timed carefully given administration/legislative developments.

    05

    Affordability strategy

    Management frames affordability as central to its regulatory strategy: FE's rates average 20% below in-state peers, with the T&D bill component 35% below peers. It attributes affordability pressure primarily to a demand-supply imbalance in the PJM capacity-market construct. Levers include the >$200M O&M reduction since 2022, alternative distribution rate designs, and a Pennsylvania default-service-program reform proposal that management said would have saved customers $80M in 2025 had it been in place. Comparable base O&M in each planned 2026 rate filing is below the level approved in the prior case.

    06

    PJM and FERC market-structure stance

    FE is evaluating PJM's proposed reliability backstop-procurement auction as a possible step in the right direction but wants detail on procuring the right dispatchable generation at affordable rates; a capacity-auction cap (negotiated by Governor Shapiro) remains for the next two auctions through 2030. On FERC's NOPR and colocated-load order, FE filed a D.C. Circuit petition and argues large loads should pay the utility (which earns a return on the network investment) rather than route CIAC outside rate base — analogous to a gas-pipeline open season. Management stated it will not sign Phase 2 contracts that place generation/commodity risk on its regulated wires businesses, consistent with legislation in 4 of 5 states barring utility generation ownership.

    07

    Financing and credit

    In late March, Moody's raised its outlook on FE's senior-unsecured rating to positive, citing an improved credit profile and low-risk regulated T&D operations. FE completed an $850M FE-Pennsylvania offering at a 4.4% average coupon (>5x oversubscribed), plus $250M (MAIT) and $175M (ATSI) transmission-company issuances. Remaining 2026 financing includes $1.7B of subsidiary debt and a modest amount of common equity; the 5-year plan carries up to $2B of equity/equity-like securities, with annual common equity ~1% of market cap and ~$100M/yr from employee benefit programs.

    08

    Competitive transmission opportunity

    FE has been awarded more than $5B in competitive transmission projects over the last four years and expects more from future solicitations, having shifted toward partnering with neighbors and more competitive bidding. Management noted 80–85% of the transmission capex plan is non-competitive work on the existing aging system, given the system's critical location in PJM. The PJM 2026 planning window is open, with Board approval of projects expected in Q1 2027.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.