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    FERG
    Earnings call· Mar 2026(Q1 FY26)

    Ferguson Enterprises Inc. /DE/ Q1 FY26 earnings call FERG

    May 5, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Ferguson Enterprises Q1 FY26 — Nonresidential strength and margin expansion offset persistent residential weakness

    Ferguson delivered a solid, margin-accretive quarter in a soft, uncertain market, outperforming through its multi-customer-group scale as nonresidential large-capital-project demand — data centers, industrial and waterworks — offset ongoing residential weakness. Management reaffirmed full-year guidance while flagging a bit more inflation and new-resi volume pressure, staying disciplined on cost, M&A and capital returns. Note the fiscal transition: this Q1 FY26 covers the period ended March 31, 2026.

    Highlights

    5
    • Net sales grew 3.6% to $7.5B (organic +2.8%, acquisitions +0.8%) despite a challenged market

    • Gross margin expanded 30 bps to 31% and adjusted operating margin +40 bps to 8.7%; adjusted operating profit +8.4% to $647M

    • Adjusted diluted EPS rose 9.1% to $2.28

    • Nonresidential revenue +8%, led by Commercial Mechanical +18% (on a 9% comp) and Industrial +10% on strong large-capital-project/data-center demand; Waterworks +5% all-organic volume on an 11% comp

    • Strong balance sheet at 1.0x net debt/EBITDA; $410M returned to shareholders and a new $2B buyback authorization approved

    Concerns

    5
    • Residential end market (~half of revenue) declined 1%, with new residential construction and RMI both soft amid high mortgage rates

    • Inflation stepped up to mid-single-digit vs the low-single-digit originally expected, with a touch more volume pressure on new residential

    • Operating cash flow fell $100M YoY to $772M on working-capital investment

    • Canada organic revenue declined 0.3% and adjusted operating profit slipped $1M to $5M as markets, especially residential, stayed subdued

    • Management expects gross margin to tick down in Q2/Q3 on seasonal HVAC/Waterworks mix, against tougher nonres comparables ahead

    Guidance & targets

    10
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year 2026 net sales growth
    Low to mid-single-digit growth
    high materiality
    Medium
    Full-year 2026 operating margin (non-GAAP)
    9.4% to 9.8%
    high materiality
    Medium
    Full-year 2026 interest expense
    Approximately $200 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 capital expenditures
    Approximately $350 million to $400 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 effective tax rate (non-GAAP)
    Approximately 26%
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 residential market outlook
    Down low to mid-single digits
    high materiality
    Medium
    Full-year 2026 nonresidential market outlook
    Up low to mid-single digits
    high materiality
    Medium
    Full-year 2026 price inflation
    Low single-digit (possibly a touch higher)
    medium materiality
    Low
    Gross margin trajectory (H2 FY26)
    Could tick down a bit from 31% in Q2/Q3
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Cost growth rate (H1 CY26)
    Could step up a touch in Q2/Q3, still generating cost leverage for the full calendar year
    low materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    10
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    United States
    Outperformed weak residential markets while nonresidential drove share gains led by large capital projects (data centers, power gen, life sciences, pharma).
    Residential end market (~half of revenue): -1%Nonresidential end market: +8%Waterworks: +5%Commercial Mechanical: +18%Industrial: +10%Facility Supply: +3%Fire and Fabrication: -6%Ferguson Home: -2%Residential Trade Plumbing: -2%HVAC: +1%
    Net sales +3.5% YoY+3.5% (organic +2.9%, acquisitions +0.6%)Operating profit $656M (+$45M YoY); 9.2% operating margin
    Canada
    Markets remained subdued, particularly residential; growth driven entirely by acquisitions as organic declined slightly.
    Net sales +5.5% YoY+5.5% (acquisitions +5.8%, organic -0.3%)Adjusted operating profit $5M (-$1M YoY)
    Waterworks (US customer group)
    Diversified strength in large capital projects, public works, municipal, private water authorities, meters/metering technology, erosion control and stormwater management offset weaker residential; backlog building.
    Comp: +11% prior-yearComposition: all organic volume, a touch of deflation, no acquisition
    +5% (all organic volume, slight deflation)
    Commercial Mechanical (US customer group)
    Growth led by large capital projects such as data centers, balancing weaker traditional nonresidential construction; open-order/bidding activity growing.
    Comp: +9% prior-yearBacklog up greater than 18%
    +18%
    Industrial (US customer group)
    Balanced growth across power generation, life sciences, pharma and chemical, plus growing core industrial MRO.
    Comp: +9% (per Kevin Murphy)
    +10%
    Facility Supply (US customer group)
    Modest growth within the nonresidential mix.
    +3%
    Fire and Fabrication (US customer group)
    Declined in the quarter.
    -6%
    Ferguson Home (US customer group)
    Outperformed a challenging residential market by combining best-in-class showrooms with a digital experience serving the more resilient higher-end segment.
    -2%
    Residential Trade Plumbing (US customer group)
    Declined, reflecting headwinds in both new and RMI construction.
    -2%
    HVAC (US customer group)
    Returned to growth as regulatory/pull-forward disruption largely passed; investing in associates, counter retrofits, greenfields and M&A to serve dual-trade contractors; repair continues to outpace replace.
    Comp: +5% prior-yearTwo-year stack: +6%
    +1%

    Operational metrics

    11
    Adjusted diluted EPS
    $2.28+9.1% YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Non-GAAP adjusted diluted EPS.

    Adjusted operating margin
    8.7%+40 bps YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Company-wide non-GAAP operating margin; full-year guide of 9.4%-9.8%.

    Gross margin
    31%+30 bps YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Enriched gross-margin bridge; year-over-year comparison faces pressure later from lapping last year's outsized price benefit.

    Adjusted EBITDA
    $711M+$60M YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Solid cash-generative quarter.

    Net debt to EBITDA
    1.0x
    As of Q1 FY26 end

    Strong balance sheet supporting continued capital deployment.

    Capital returned to shareholders
    $410M
    Q1 FY26

    Returned when below the low end of the 1-2x target leverage range.

    Share buyback
    $236M executed
    Q1 FY26

    Board approved a new $2B repurchase authorization given the strong financial position.

    Dividend per share
    $0.89
    Q1 FY26 (declared, quarterly)

    Quarterly dividend declared by the Board.

    Owned brand revenue mix
    Slightly above 10% of total revenuegood growth in the quarter
    Q1 FY26

    Product-strategy execution supporting gross margin.

    SG&A / operating cost growth
    Up ~3%~10 bps of leverage vs 3.6% revenue growth
    Q1 FY26

    Cost discipline delivered leverage on a challenged revenue base.

    Final-mile delivery fleet
    Over 5,900 trucks
    Q1 FY26

    Value-added final-mile service embedded in product price rather than surcharged.

    Industry KPIs

    3
    MetricValueDetails
    End market growth mixResidential -1%, Nonresidential +8%%
    Price realization vs costMid-single-digit price inflation%
    Market volume mro market benchmarkMarkets broadly flat; Ferguson outperforming/gaining share

    Orderbook & backlog

    3
    Commercial Mechanical backlogUp greater than 18% YoYQ1 FY26 (period ended March 31, 2026)

    Growing faster than the 18% Commercial Mechanical revenue growth

    Revenue delivery can be lumpy given project size/scale; management sees no slowdown and a strong multi-year tailwind in large capital projects.

    Open orders / bidding activity (nonresidential large capital projects, incl. data centers)Growing / robustQ1 FY26

    Open-order volume and bidding activity continue to grow

    Ferguson engaging earlier with owner-engineering and contractor communities; expects continued acceleration as projects move to liquid cooling.

    Waterworks backlogBuilding (qualitative)Q1 FY26

    Continuing to build across strategic businesses

    Backlog growing across municipal, private water authorities, meters/metering technology, public works, erosion control and stormwater management.

    Deals & partnerships

    7
    Technology Sales Associatesacquisition (Waterworks customer group)

    Completed within the Waterworks customer group during Q1 FY26.

    Chesapeake Environmental Equipmentacquisition (Waterworks customer group)

    Completed within the Waterworks customer group during Q1 FY26, enhancing water and wastewater treatment capabilities.

    Carrier Great Lakesacquisition (HVAC customer group)

    Acquired subsequent to quarter end within the HVAC customer group.

    Dealer Supply Companyacquisition (HVAC customer group)

    Signed definitive agreement; strengthens HVAC/plumbing position in the Southeast alongside organic counter build-outs.

    New England Applied Productsacquisition (HVAC customer group)

    Signed definitive agreement; anticipated to close during Q2 FY26.

    PRD Technologies Groupacquisition (Industrial customer group)

    Signed definitive agreement; anticipated to close during Q2 FY26.

    Mingledorfacquisition (HVAC, Southeast)

    Referenced in Q&A as an HVAC acquisition in the Southeast supporting Ferguson's dual-trade growth strategy.

    Capital programs

    2
    $100M cost-savings / productivity programcompleted~$100M annualized savings
    Spent to date: Essentially complete — full annualized rate recognized
    Start: April 2025 (executed vast majority)

    Benefit: Annualized operating-cost savings; contributed to ~10 bps Q1 cost leverage

    Executed the vast majority in April last year; company now lapping the comparable, with cost growth expected to step up a touch in Q2/Q3.

    Fleet optimization and rationalization programunderway

    Benefit: Productivity gains that effectively offset diesel/fuel cost increases across a 5,900+ truck fleet

    One of the largest productivity initiatives; management pleased with results and using it to offset the fuel headwind rather than fuel surcharges.

    Risks & headwinds

    10
    Weak residential end market (new construction and RMI)FY26

    Residential (~half of revenue) down 1% in Q1; guided down low-to-mid single digits for FY26

    Mitigation: Outperforming the market via multi-customer-group scale, showroom + digital experience targeting the more resilient higher-end segment

    High mortgage rates / pressured consumer balance sheetsOngoing FY26

    Not quantified; cited as a factor pressuring new residential demand

    Mitigation: Balanced end-market exposure; leaning into nonresidential and structural growth drivers

    Inflation stepping up more than expected (incl. Section 232 tariffs)FY26

    Mid-single-digit inflation in Q1 vs low-single-digit expected; more branded price-increase announcements coming

    Mitigation: Pricing teams, tools/technology, product strategy; guide contemplates the inflationary environment

    Commodity/plastic (PVC) pricing volatilityFY26

    Plastic pipe (~half of the 15% commodity basket) still deflationary, down low double digits; copper strongest inflation but lapping; steel low-to-mid single digit

    Mitigation: Right inventory levels and supply-chain solutions (large-diameter steel pipe, weld fittings, flanges); monitoring month-to-month

    Additional new-residential volume pressureFY26

    Starts and permits weaker in CY Q1 than prior year, indicating a touch more pressure through the year

    Mitigation: Balanced approach; not viewed as broad demand destruction

    Diesel / fuel cost headwindOngoing

    Not quantified; described as not overly material

    Mitigation: Currently offset by productivity, notably fleet optimization/rationalization; no fuel surcharges applied

    Tougher year-over-year comparables in nonresidentialH2 FY26

    Lapping ~18% Commercial Mechanical comps and double-digit overall nonres comps as the year progresses

    Mitigation: Backlog and open orders up more than 18%; multi-year large-capital-project tailwind

    Subdued Canadian marketFY26

    Canada organic -0.3%; adjusted operating profit $5M, down $1M YoY

    Mitigation: Growth supported by acquisitions (+5.8% contribution)

    Gross-margin pressure from seasonal mix and price-benefit lappingQ2-Q3 FY26

    Gross margin expected to tick down from 31% in Q2/Q3

    Mitigation: SG&A leverage to offset, landing in the 9.4%-9.8% operating-margin range

    Competitive entry into HVAC (retail competitor)Ongoing

    Not quantified

    Mitigation: Strong Southeast position in plumbing and HVAC; counter build-outs, greenfields and M&A (Dealer Supply, Mingledorf) serving dual-trade contractors

    Q&A highlights

    10

    How do the components — volume by end market and pricing amid tariffs and the Middle East war — build up to the full-year top-line guide?

    Guide unchanged: broadly flat markets (resi down low-mid, nonres up low-mid single digits) plus outperformance to low-to-mid single-digit total growth. Q1 saw inflation step up to mid-single-digit and more volume pressure, chiefly new residential and expected HVAC softness. Expect a touch more inflation and a touch more volume pressure than originally anticipated, but a broadly similar revenue environment.

    We probably would say there might be a touch more inflation with a touch more volume pressure than we originally anticipated, but still think the broad revenue environment is going to be pretty similar.

    asked by Philip Ng · answered by Bill Brundage

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Headline results and margin execution

    Ferguson posted Q1 FY26 (period ended March 31, 2026) net sales of $7.5B, up 3.6% (organic +2.8%, acquisitions +0.8%) with mid-single-digit price inflation. Gross margin expanded 30 bps to 31% on productivity initiatives, cost discipline, owned-brand growth (now slightly above 10% of revenue), strong pricing execution, and a sequential step-up in inflation from Q4 to Q1. Adjusted operating profit grew 8.4% to $647M for an 8.7% operating margin (+40 bps), and adjusted diluted EPS rose 9.1% to $2.28, aided by the buyback.

    02

    End-market and customer-group dynamics

    Residential (~half of revenue) fell 1% as new construction and RMI stayed weak, yet Ferguson outperformed the market. Nonresidential rose 8% on share gains, driven by large capital projects. By U.S. customer group: Waterworks +5% (on an 11% comp, all organic volume), Commercial Mechanical +18% (on a 9% comp, led by data centers), Industrial +10% (power gen, life sciences, pharma, chemical), Facility Supply +3%, Fire and Fabrication -6%, Ferguson Home -2%, Residential Trade Plumbing -2%, and HVAC returned to growth at +1% (on a 5% comp; 6% two-year stack).

    03

    Large capital projects and data centers

    Management emphasized robust and growing backlog, open orders, and bidding activity in the large-capital-project space, with Commercial Mechanical backlog up more than the 18% revenue growth. Data-center demand remains strong with earlier looks at orders, aided by Ferguson's multi-customer-group approach and value-added services (fabrication, valve and automation). Management sees knock-on demand in power generation (combined-cycle plants), water sourcing/treatment, onshoring of manufacturing, and pharma (e.g., GLP-1 production), viewing it as a multi-year tailwind, especially as projects move to liquid cooling.

    04

    Segment results — US and Canada

    U.S. net sales grew 3.5% (organic +2.9%, acquisitions +0.6%) with operating profit of $656M, up $45M, for a 9.2% operating margin. Canada net sales rose 5.5% (acquisitions +5.8%, organic -0.3%) as markets, particularly residential, stayed subdued; adjusted operating profit was $5M, down $1M YoY.

    05

    Cash flow, capital allocation and M&A

    EBITDA was $711M (+$60M YoY). Operating cash flow of $772M fell $100M on working-capital investment for growth (partly offset by cash-tax timing); after $92M CapEx, free cash flow was $688M. Net debt/EBITDA held at 1.0x, below the 1-2x target range. Ferguson returned $410M via buybacks ($236M) and dividends ($0.89/share declared), and the Board approved a new $2B repurchase authorization. Two Waterworks deals closed in Q1 (Technology Sales Associates, Chesapeake Environmental Equipment); Carrier Great Lakes (HVAC) closed post-quarter; and three more (Dealer Supply, New England Applied Products, PRD Technologies) are signed to close in Q2 — six deals totaling ~$350M in aggregate annual revenue.

    06

    Inflation, commodities and cost pass-through

    Finished goods (~85% of revenue) ran mid-single-digit inflation; the commodity basket (15%) moved to very low single-digit inflation. Within commodities, plastic pipe (~half the basket) stayed deflationary (down low double digits) though price-increase announcements are emerging on resin/transport costs tied to the Iran/Middle East conflict; copper tube and fittings was the strongest inflationary category (now lapping outsized increases); steel ran low-to-mid single-digit. Section 232 tariffs are prompting more branded price-increase announcements, though stickiness remains uncertain.

    07

    Fuel, fleet and productivity

    Ferguson does not use fuel surcharges as a matter of principle; roughly half of revenue is delivered on its final-mile fleet of over 5,900 trucks. Diesel is a headwind but not material, currently offset by productivity — notably a fleet optimization/rationalization program. The prior-year $100M cost-savings program was largely executed in April 2025 and fully annualized by May 1; Q1 costs rose ~3% against 3.6% revenue growth, yielding ~10 bps of leverage.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.