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    FLEX
    Earnings call· Mar 2025(Q4 FY25)

    FLEX Q4 FY25 earnings call FLEX

    May 7, 2025 Source

    Executive summary

    Flex Q4 FY25 — Record Margins and Strong Data Center Growth

    Flex concluded FY25 with record adjusted operating margins and strong free cash flow, driven by its strategic shift towards higher-value businesses, particularly in the data center segment. The company's EMS plus Products plus Services strategy, emphasizing proprietary power products and expanded services, is enhancing its competitive position. Despite macroeconomic headwinds and tariff uncertainties, Flex is confident in its ability to achieve a 6% adjusted operating margin in FY26, a year ahead of its target, leveraging its global operational footprint and regionalization trend.

    Highlights

    6
    • Q4 FY25 revenue reached $6.4 billion, growing almost 4% year-over-year.

    • Q4 FY25 adjusted operating margin hit a record 6.2%, up 80 basis points year-over-year.

    • Q4 FY25 adjusted EPS was $0.73, an increase of 28% over last year.

    • FY25 achieved record annual adjusted operating margins of 5.7% and over $1 billion in free cash flow.

    • FY25 data center revenue grew approximately 50% year-over-year to $4.8 billion at accretive margins.

    • FY26 adjusted operating margin is expected to reach 6% a full year ahead of schedule.

    Concerns

    4
    • Tariffs are expected to add costs that will be passed through, potentially causing a slight drag on operating margins.

    • The current tariff environment presents risks to demand and a potential slowdown in the broader economy.

    • Q1 FY26 Reliability Solutions revenue is expected to be flat to down high single digits due to automotive weakness from tariff-related disruptions.

    • Increasing adoption of customer-sourced inventory models is muting reported revenue growth rates, with an additional $1 billion+ expected in FY26.

    Guidance & targets

    18
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    FY26 Revenue
    $25 billion to $26.8 billion
    high materiality
    Medium
    FY26 Adjusted Operating Margin
    6% to 6.1%
    high materiality
    High
    FY26 Adjusted Tax Rate
    about 21%
    medium materiality
    Medium
    FY26 Adjusted EPS
    $2.81 to $3.01 per share
    high materiality
    Medium
    FY26 Free Cash Flow Conversion
    80%-plus
    medium materiality
    High
    FY26 Data Center Revenue Growth
    around the mid-30% level
    high materiality
    High
    FY26 Power Products Revenue Growth
    a little above that rate
    medium materiality
    High
    FY26 Cloud Revenue Growth
    slightly below difficult comps
    medium materiality
    Medium
    FY26 Reliability Solutions Revenue
    flat at the midpoint
    medium materiality
    Medium
    FY26 Agility Solutions Revenue
    flat to slightly up
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Q1 FY26 Revenue
    $6 billion to $6.5 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Q1 FY26 Adjusted Operating Income
    $330 million and $370 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Q1 FY26 Interest and Other Expense
    around $50 million
    low materiality
    High
    Q1 FY26 Adjusted Tax Rate
    around 21%
    low materiality
    High
    Q1 FY26 Adjusted EPS
    $0.58 and $0.66 per share
    high materiality
    High
    Q1 FY26 Weighted Average Shares Outstanding
    approximately 385 million
    low materiality
    High
    Q1 FY26 Reliability Solutions Revenue
    flat to down high single digits
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Q1 FY26 Agility Solutions Revenue
    down low single to up mid-single digits
    medium materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    4
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Reliability Solutions
    Revenue largely driven by strength in Power, offset by continued softness in core industrial and renewables. Operating margin improved by 40 basis points.
    $2.9 billion-1.3%6.2%
    Agility Solutions
    Revenue driven by cloud demand and networking share gains, offsetting weak enterprise IT and consumer end markets. Operating margin improved by 100 basis points to a new quarterly record on continued mix improvements.
    $3.5 billion8.2%6.6%
    Reliability Solutions (FY25)
    Despite top line pressure, the team delivered 50 basis points of margin improvement, reaching a record level for the segment.
    $11.7 billion5.8%
    Agility Solutions (FY25)
    Delivered a record operating margin, reflecting a purposeful mix shift towards higher value business across all three business units.
    $14.1 billion6.1%

    Operational metrics

    25
    Gross Profit
    $602 million
    Q4 FY25
    Non-GAAP gross margin
    9.4%up 80 bps
    Q4 FY25

    New record level.

    Operating Profit
    $396 million
    Q4 FY25
    Non-GAAP operating margin
    6.2%up 80 bps
    Q4 FY25

    New quarterly record.

    Non-GAAP EPS
    $0.73up 28% YoY
    Q4 FY25
    Net Inventory
    down 4%down 18% YoY
    Q4 FY25
    Inventory days (net of working capital advances)
    56 daysdown 14 days YoY
    Q4 FY25
    Net CapEx
    $108 million
    Q4 FY25
    Revenue
    $25.8 billiondown 2% YoY
    FY25

    Corrected from $28.5 billion in transcript.

    Gross Profit
    $2.3 billion
    FY25
    Non-GAAP gross margin
    8.8%up 100 bps
    FY25

    Record level, driven by strong mix.

    Operating Income
    $1.5 billionup 15% YoY
    FY25
    Non-GAAP operating margin
    5.7%up 90 bps
    FY25

    Record level, driven by favorable mix impacts and operational efficiency.

    Non-GAAP EPS
    $2.65up 23% YoY
    FY25

    Fifth consecutive year of double-digit adjusted EPS growth, reaching a record level.

    Adjusted Free Cash Flow Conversion
    80%-plus
    FY25

    Exceeded target for the second consecutive year.

    CapEx
    $423 million
    FY25

    Below historical target rate of ~2%.

    Share buyback
    $300 million
    Q4 FY25
    Total Share Buybacks
    $1.3 billion
    FY25
    M&A Spend
    $400 million
    FY25

    Deployed on strategic accretive M&A.

    Data Center Revenue
    $4.8 billionup ~50% YoY
    FY25
    Cloud Programs Revenue
    $3.5 billion
    FY25

    Comprised of end-to-end customized hyperscale rack solutions.

    Power Products Revenue
    $1.3 billion
    FY25

    Combination of embedded and critical power solutions.

    Customer Sourced Inventory Activity
    $1.5 billion
    FY25

    Increased from FY24, muting reported revenue growth but driving operating profit dollars.

    Customer Sourced Inventory Activity (expected)
    additional $1 billion plus
    FY26

    Expected to increase further, representing approximately 20% of revenue.

    CapEx as % of revenue
    normalize closer to 2%
    FY26

    Expected to return to historical rates after being lower in FY25.

    Industry KPIs

    7
    MetricValueDetails
    M a contribution$400 millionUSD
    Segment revenue growthReliability Solutions: $2.9B (Q4 FY25), -1.3% YoY; $11.7B (FY25). Agility Solutions: $3.5B (Q4 FY25), 8.2% YoY; $14.1B (FY25).USD
    Design wins product cycle ramps2 PACE awards
    Recurring software services mixExpected to grow
    Capacity expansion internal sourcing>48 million square feet (global); 16 million square feet (North America)square feet
    End market revenue mix organic growthData center revenue grew ~50% YoY to $4.8B (FY25); Cloud programs $3.5B (FY25); Power Products $1.3B (FY25).USD
    Operating margin incremental leverage6.2% (Q4 FY25); 5.7% (FY25); 6%-6.1% (FY26 guide)%

    Product announcements

    2
    ProductTypeDetails
    NVIDIA DRIVE AGX powered Jupiter Compute Platformmilestone
    Backup DC/DC Convertermilestone

    Deals & partnerships

    3
    JetCoolAcquisition to enhance liquid cooling capabilities.

    Acquired to enhance direct to chip liquid cooling capabilities, crucial for scaling customer orders in cloud operations.

    Crown TechnicalAcquisition to enhance critical power capabilities.

    Acquired to enhance critical power capabilities in the data center and expand the addressable market into grid modernization.

    HusqvarnaAcquisition of a facility to expand North American footprint.

    Acquired a facility from Husqvarna, described as an opportunistic deal to expand Flex's footprint and capability in North America, aligning with regionalization trends.

    Capital programs

    1
    North American Footprint Expansionunderway
    Start: FY25

    Benefit: 7 million square feet across 17 facilities (US), 9 million square feet (Mexico)

    Expanded 4 new strategic locations, predominantly in the U.S., encompassing 7 million square feet across 17 facilities with further expandability. Combined with Mexico, North America now commands one of the largest advanced manufacturing footprints. This expansion has been tied to current customer demand, especially with cloud and power programs.

    Risks & headwinds

    5
    Tariff impacts on costs and cash flowFY26

    Tariffs add cost (pass-through), can affect cash flow timing (lag between payment and recovery), and could have a slight pressure on operating margins (low calorie revenue).

    Mitigation: Tariffs are expected to be a pass-through cost with strong contractual protections. Flex has pricing actions underway for Flex-owned power products subject to tariffs. Working with customers to develop durable tariff mitigation strategies.

    Potential slowdown in broader economyNear-term

    Unquantified, but noted as a risk in the current tariff environment.

    Mitigation: Flex's diversified end market strategy and strong operational footprint position it to navigate this environment.

    Automotive weakness due to tariff-related disruptionsQ1 FY26

    Expected to cause Reliability Solutions revenue to be flat to down high single digits in Q1 FY26.

    Mitigation: Management believes these macro-driven headwinds are temporary and expects these end markets to support growth in the future.

    Muting of reported revenue growth by customer-sourced inventory modelsFY26

    Customer-sourced inventory activity increased $1.5 billion in FY25 (17% of revenue) and is expected to increase an additional $1 billion+ in FY26 (20% of revenue).

    Mitigation: While muting reported revenue growth, these models drive operating profit dollar growth, which increased 15% YoY in FY25.

    Increasing global tax ratesFY26

    Expected adjusted tax rate to land at about 21% for FY26.

    Mitigation: Factored into FY26 guidance.

    What to watch in Q1 FY26

    5

    Adjusted Operating Margin

    FY26
    Current5.7% (FY25)
    Target6% - 6.1% (FY26 guide)

    Why it matters

    Verifying if Flex achieves its FY27 target a full year ahead of schedule, indicating strong operational execution and mix improvement.

    our fiscal 2026 guidance indicates, we expect to achieve 6% adjusted operating margin reaching our fiscal 2027 target a full year ahead of schedule.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    Beyond cloud mix, what are the other key drivers for the strong FY26 margin guide of 6%+?

    Continued growth in cloud and data center product business (power) will be a big driver of mix. Growth in the services business will also have favorable mix impacts. Additionally, operational efficiency, continued productivity, and leverage within each segment are expected to drive margin improvement.

    a big driver of the mix year-on-year is going to be our continued growth in the cloud, also data center product business as we are in our power business, we should continue to see favorable mix impacts from that as well.

    asked by Samik Chatterjee · answered by Kevin Krumm

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Flex Forward Strategy and Portfolio Transformation

    Since 2020, Flex has executed its 'Flex Forward' strategy, making aggressive portfolio management decisions to shift towards higher-value businesses. This approach, combined with organizational changes and operational innovation, has resulted in a more efficient and resilient company. The strategy has delivered multiple years of consecutive record-level adjusted operating margins and earnings per share, validating the company's direction and demonstrating its ability to create sustainable value through economic cycles.

    02

    Evolution to EMS plus Products plus Services Strategy

    Building on its world-class advanced manufacturing and supply chain capabilities, Flex formally unveiled its 'EMS plus Products plus Services' strategy. This evolution incorporates proprietary products and expanded value-added services, providing greater vertical integration and customization at scale. The company's power products, in particular, differentiate Flex as a comprehensive provider spanning the data center from grid to chip, aiming for margin-accretive growth opportunities and more integrated customer engagements.

    03

    Data Center Business: Cloud and Power Differentiation

    The data center business is a prime example of Flex's strategy in action, with total data center revenue growing approximately 50% year-over-year in FY25 to $4.8 billion at accretive margins. This segment comprises Cloud programs ($3.5 billion in FY25), offering end-to-end customized hyperscale rack solutions, and Power Products ($1.3 billion in FY25), covering embedded and critical power solutions. Acquisitions like JetCool (liquid cooling) and Crown Technical (critical power, grid modernization) have further enhanced Flex's unique 'grid to chip' capability, reinforcing its position in the AI data center ecosystem.

    04

    Strategic Footprint and Regionalization Amidst Tariffs

    Flex is navigating the evolving tariff environment by treating tariffs as a pass-through cost and working with customers on mitigation strategies. The company's extensive global operational footprint, exceeding 48 million square feet, including 16 million square feet in North America (7M in the U.S., 9M in Mexico), is a significant strategic asset. This footprint, expanded with four new strategic locations in the U.S. last year, positions Flex as a key facilitator and beneficiary of the longer-term trend towards regionalization, especially for North American manufacturing capacity.

    05

    Impact of Customer-Sourced Inventory Models

    An increasing number of customers, particularly in the cloud business, are moving to customer-sourced inventory models. While financial reporting requires excluding the value of this inventory from revenue, it still drives operating profit dollar growth. In FY25, this activity increased by $1.5 billion, representing approximately 17% of revenue, up from 11% in FY24. It is expected to increase by an additional $1 billion+ in FY26, reaching approximately 20% of revenue, muting reported growth rates but contributing to operating profit and EPS.

    06

    Capital Allocation and Financial Discipline

    Flex's capital allocation priorities remain focused on maintaining an investment-grade balance sheet, funding CapEx for organic growth, deploying capital towards accretive M&A, and opportunistically returning capital to shareholders through buybacks. In FY25, the company deployed CapEx judiciously, spent $400 million on strategic M&A, and repurchased nearly $1.3 billion of stock, representing about 9% of outstanding shares, all while delivering a record $1.1 billion in free cash flow.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.