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    FTNT
    Earnings call· Mar 2026(Q1 FY26)

    Fortinet Q1 FY26 earnings call FTNT

    May 6, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Fortinet Q1 FY26 — AI infrastructure and OT demand drive 31% billings growth and record $1B FCF

    The convergence-of-networking-and-security thesis is inflecting as AI-infrastructure build-out, sovereign SASE, and OT digitalization revive a hardware-led upgrade cycle that management explicitly likens to the share-gaining post-COVID supply era. Forward stance is confident and raised across top-line metrics, but the services line lags as billings strength converts through the balance sheet over time, and the durability of the appliance surge hinges on whether AI-driven demand — not supply-chain pull-forward — is doing the work.

    Highlights

    5
    • Total billings grew 31% to $2.09B, with secure networking billings +32% and Unified SASE billings +31%; large-enterprise deals >$1M and total deal value each grew over 60%

    • Product revenue surged 41% to $645M as customers shifted to higher-performance FortiGate appliances, including AI-data-center deployments; total revenue +20% to $1.85B

    • OT security billings grew over 70% amid heightened ransomware and nation-state threat activity

    • Record free cash flow of $1.01B (adjusted FCF $1.07B, +27%, 58% margin); non-GAAP operating margin a Q1-record 35.8% (+160 bps), GAAP operating margin 31.4%

    • Non-GAAP EPS +41% to $0.82 and GAAP EPS +29% to $0.72; over 6,600 new organizations selected the FortiOS platform

    Concerns

    3
    • Service revenue grew only 11% to $1.21B, lagging product; management said balance-sheet-to-revenue conversion 'takes longer', and the full-year service-revenue guide was raised only at the low end

    • Component/memory cost pressure is driving pricing actions, with a low-single-digit impact baked into product-revenue growth guidance

    • Analysts flagged air-pocket/pull-forward risk echoing the post-COVID cycle; management says it sees no meaningful pull-forward this time but concedes it cannot predict how long the supply-chain window lasts

    Guidance & targets

    16
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Second-quarter 2026 billings
    $2.09 billion to $2.19 billion (midpoint ~20% growth)
    high materiality
    High
    Second-quarter 2026 revenue
    $1.83 billion to $1.93 billion (midpoint ~15% growth)
    high materiality
    High
    Second-quarter 2026 non-GAAP gross margin
    79.5% to 80.5%
    medium materiality
    High
    Second-quarter 2026 non-GAAP operating margin
    33% to 35%
    high materiality
    High
    Second-quarter 2026 non-GAAP EPS
    $0.72 to $0.76
    high materiality
    High
    Second-quarter 2026 infrastructure investments
    $50 million to $100 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Second-quarter 2026 non-GAAP tax rate and cash taxes
    18% tax rate; cash taxes $160M to $180M
    low materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 billings
    $8.8 billion to $9.1 billion (midpoint ~18% growth)
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 revenue
    $7.71 billion to $7.87 billion (midpoint ~15% growth)
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 service revenue
    $5.09 billion to $5.15 billion (midpoint ~12% growth)
    high materiality
    Medium
    Full-year 2026 non-GAAP gross margin
    79% to 81%
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 non-GAAP operating margin
    33% to 36%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 non-GAAP EPS
    $3.10 to $3.16
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 infrastructure investments
    $350 million to $550 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 non-GAAP tax rate and cash taxes
    18% tax rate; cash taxes $400M to $450M
    low materiality
    High
    Pricing impact embedded in product-revenue guidance
    Low-single-digit contribution to product revenue growth
    low materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    6
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Secure Networking
    Driven by robust FortiGate demand as customers expanded protection across OT environments and AI infrastructure; management attributes durability to consolidation, simplicity and security posture, not only AI.
    OT security billings growth: over 70%FortiGate demand: robust, drove product revenue
    +32% (billings)
    Unified SASE
    Growth driven by SD-WAN and FortiSASE; top-3 player. Sovereign SASE demand strong with no comparable competitor offering; European telcos ramping. New SD-WAN/SASE bundle introduced to accelerate adoption.
    Share of total billings: ~25%Large-enterprise FortiSASE adoption: 18% (up from ~16% prior quarter, +45% YoY)Sovereign SASE: roughly same size as or larger than cloud-based SASE
    +31% (billings)
    AI-driven Security Operations (SecOps)
    Platform expansion within installed base as customers consolidate vendors; combined Unified SASE + SecOps grew 28%.
    AI-enabled solutions on platform: more than 20SecOps ARR growth: cited as strong (no figure)
    +23% (billings)
    Product revenue
    Customers shifted toward higher-performance products; growth in both hardware and software from upgrades, upsell and new use cases.
    Includes AI-related FortiGate deployments for throughput/segmentationRecent pricing changes: low-single-digit impact on product revenue growth
    $645 million+41%
    Service revenue
    Revenue lags billings; management points to service billings, deferred revenue and SecOps ARR as leading indicators, with H2 acceleration expected.
    Service billings growth reaccelerated to 27%Current service billings: +13%Deferred revenue: +15%
    $1.21 billion+11%
    Geography — Europe and U.S.
    Broad-based strength across customer types, verticals and geos; large enterprise particularly strong in Europe and the U.S.
    Large-enterprise deals >$1M and total deal value each grew over 60%
    Strong growth in both

    Operational metrics

    5
    Non-GAAP gross margin
    81%better than expected despite product mix shift
    Q1 FY26

    Management called it impressive given the mix shift toward lower-margin product.

    Non-GAAP EPS
    $0.82+41% YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Non-GAAP EPS growth significantly outpaced ~20% top-line growth, reflecting high-quality earnings.

    Share repurchase authorization remaining
    ~$766 million
    as of call date (2026-05-06)

    Continued shareholder-focused capital return; buyback the primary vehicle.

    Market share (unit shipment of network security systems)
    ~60%
    current

    Ken Xie cited scale advantage enabling better procurement and preparation during the memory-shortage supply cycle.

    Deferred revenue growth
    +15%YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Balance-sheet leading indicator management uses to argue services growth will accelerate in H2.

    Industry KPIs

    11
    MetricValueDetails
    Capacity CAPEXInfrastructure investments $350M-$550M (FY26 guide); $50M-$100M (Q2)USD
    Revenue growthTotal revenue $1.85 billionUSD
    Arr net new arrSecOps ARR growth strong; ARR growth 'really good'
    Bookings billingsTotal billings $2.09 billionUSD
    Customer account countOver 6,600 new organizations addedorganizations
    Large customer cohortsDeals greater than $1 million and total deal value each grew over 60%%
    Large deal new logo metricsOver 6,600 new organizations selected the FortiOS platformorganizations
    Multi product platform attach18% of large-enterprise customers have purchased FortiSASE%
    Operating FCF margin rule of 40Non-GAAP operating margin 35.8%; FCF margin 58%%
    Ai product adoption monetizationMore than 20 AI-enabled solutions on the platform; AI-driven SecOps billings +23%products / %
    Headcount internal ai productivityOver 500 AI patents; ~15 years of AI investmentpatents / years

    Orderbook & backlog

    1
    Deferred revenue+15% YoY growth2026-03-31 (Q1 FY26)

    +15% YoY

    Contracted future revenue; management cites it (with service billings +27% and SecOps ARR) as a leading indicator of future services revenue, with balance-sheet-to-revenue conversion taking longer. Fortinet does not disclose a formal RPO/backlog figure.

    Product announcements

    4
    ProductTypeDetails
    FortiGate 3500G and 400Glaunch
    FortiOS 8.0update
    SD-WAN and SASE services bundlelaunch
    FortiAIGateroadmap

    Deals & partnerships

    4
    Cloud infrastructure provider (GPU compute for AI workloads)customer contract7-figure (>$1M)

    Selected FortiGate to secure a new AI data center, providing high-performance perimeter protection, segmentation and secure connectivity for a new production environment; win driven by scalable high-throughput security.

    Leading Generative AI company (Middle East)customer contract7-figure (>$1M)

    Selected for the initial phase of an AI data center project in the Middle East; chosen for security-architecture strength to secure high-performance AI environments.

    Multinational energy companycustomer contract7-figure (>$1M)

    Selected full SD-WAN across more than 3,000 locations plus OT security for an additional 300 global sites; also exploring FortiSASE expansion.

    Global manufacturercustomer contract7-figure (>$1M)

    Selected FortiSASE to secure approximately 40,000 users to modernize its remote-access environment; chose unified FortiOS platform for single security policy across FortiSASE and FortiGate with globally distributed POPs.

    Risks & headwinds

    5
    Service revenue growth lagging product; deferred balance-sheet-to-revenue conversionImprovement expected in H2 FY26

    Service revenue grew only 11% to $1.21B vs product +41%; full-year services guide raised only at the low end

    Mitigation: Management points to service billings +27%, deferred revenue +15%, and SecOps ARR growth as leading indicators; new SD-WAN/SASE bundle to lift services over time

    Component/memory cost inflation and pricing actionsOngoing; duration uncertain

    Low-single-digit impact baked into product revenue growth

    Mitigation: Maintain-margin pricing policy — raise prices as costs rise and lower them when pressures ease; monthly adjustments; scale and direct manufacturing improve procurement

    Supply-chain-driven demand / potential future air pocket (post-COVID analogy)Uncertain — 'difficult to judge how long this will last'

    Not quantified; analyst-raised

    Mitigation: Management says demand is threat-driven and durable (unlike COVID), sees little pull-forward, and reports channel inventory not elevated; direct operations model positions for share gains

    Expanding attack surface from AI (shadow AI, agentic east-west traffic)Ongoing

    Not quantified

    Mitigation: Positioned as a demand driver; products including FortiAIGate provide visibility and monitoring of AI traffic flows

    Ransomware and nation-state activity targeting OT/critical infrastructureOngoing/heightened

    Drove OT billings growth over 70%

    Mitigation: Fortinet positioned as OT security leader securing lower infrastructure layers with edge/real-time deployment

    Q&A highlights

    9

    What drove the strength, and what underpins confidence in the strong guidance that even Q2 may be prudent?

    Ken Xie cited AI as a tailwind accelerating networking/security convergence, 15 years and 500+ patents of AI investment, and a differentiated operations/supply-chain model enabling rapid share gains; sees the growth as more long-term.

    we just feel we're gaining market share very quickly right now.

    asked by Shaul Eyal · answered by Ken Xie

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    AI as a durable demand tailwind across all three pillars

    Management framed AI as accelerating the 26-year convergence of networking and security, driving demand simultaneously for secure networking (billings +32%), Unified SASE (+31%), and AI-driven security operations (+23%). Ken Xie cited 15 years and 500+ patents of AI investment. AI both expands the attack surface (shadow AI, agentic east-west traffic requiring internal segmentation) and raises throughput/performance requirements, which management argues favors Fortinet's ASIC-accelerated appliances. Combined Unified SASE and SecOps grew 28%.

    02

    AI data center build-out and the hardware/ASIC advantage

    Product revenue grew 41% to $645M as customers shifted to higher-performance FortiGate appliances, including AI-infrastructure deployments needing throughput, segmentation and secure connectivity. Ken Xie claimed Fortinet is the only cybersecurity vendor building its own ASIC from day one, yielding roughly 3-5x better performance at the same cost across top functions with lower energy use, and no competitor matches it on performance or cost — including the FortiGate 3500G and 400G announced today. Management said AI data-center security is still early-stage, ramping after infrastructure is built and applications deploy.

    03

    OT security acceleration

    OT billings grew over 70% as customers prioritized protecting critical infrastructure amid heightened ransomware and nation-state activity plus rapid digitalization for AI. Ken Xie positioned Fortinet as the sole leader securing the lower layers of the 'AI 5-layer cake' (energy, infrastructure), much of it deployed in the field requiring real-time edge processing — reinforcing the edge-over-cloud thesis.

    04

    Unified SASE, Sovereign SASE, and the new bundle

    Unified SASE billings grew 31% and now represent about 25% of total billings, with Fortinet a top-3 player. FortiSASE adoption reached 18% of large-enterprise customers (up from ~16% prior quarter, +45% growth). Management highlighted three differentiators: single FortiOS across firewall/SD-WAN/SASE, own global cloud infrastructure at roughly one-third the TCO of peers, and a larger TAM via sovereign/private SASE with no comparable competitor offering. Sovereign SASE is estimated as large as or larger than cloud-based SASE, with European telecom service providers ramping it. A new SD-WAN and SASE services bundle (Slide 14) was introduced to accelerate adoption and future services revenue.

    05

    Margins, cash flow and capital return

    Non-GAAP gross margin of 81% beat expectations despite the product-mix shift (GAAP 80.3%); non-GAAP operating margin was a Q1-record 35.8% (+160 bps), GAAP 31.4%. Record free cash flow of $1.01B (adjusted $1.07B, +27%, 58% margin). Fortinet repurchased 10.6M shares for $827M in Q1 and 1.9M more for $146M quarter-to-date, leaving ~$766M authorization. Non-GAAP EPS +41% to $0.82; GAAP EPS +29% to $0.72.

    06

    Services lag and leading indicators

    Service revenue grew only 11% to $1.21B, but management pointed to service billings reaccelerating to 27%, current service billings +13%, deferred revenue +15%, and SecOps ARR growth as leading indicators of future services revenue. CFO Christiane Ohlgart stressed the balance-sheet-to-revenue conversion 'takes longer,' and the full-year services guide was raised at the low end; services growth is expected to pick up in H2 driven by accelerating product revenue.

    07

    Supply chain, pricing and market share

    Management drew a parallel to the post-COVID supply era (Slides 24-25), arguing its direct manufacturing/operations model, larger scale (~60% unit market share in network security systems) and better procurement position it to gain share again during the memory-shortage cycle. Pricing policy is to maintain (not expand) gross margin, adjusting prices up as component costs rise and down when they ease. Unlike COVID, management sees no meaningful demand pull-forward📎 this time and says channel inventory is not elevated.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.