GE Vernova (GEV) Q1 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A
Earnings call· Mar 2026 (Q1 FY26)· Industrials· Apr 22, 2026
Source: earnings call transcript
Executive summary
GE Vernova Q1 FY26 — Strong Orders and Raised Full-Year Guidance
GE Vernova delivered a strong Q1 FY26, marked by robust order growth and significant free cash flow generation, driven by accelerating global electrification and data center demand. The company raised its full-year guidance for revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flow, reflecting confidence in its integrated solutions strategy and ongoing productivity improvements, despite continued headwinds in the Wind segment.
Highlights
5
Total orders increased 71% year-over-year to $18.3 billion in Q1 FY26.
Total backlog grew to $163 billion, with equipment backlog up 67% year-over-year to $76 billion.
Adjusted EBITDA grew 87% year-over-year to $896 million, with margin expansion of 390 basis points.
Free cash flow reached $4.8 billion in Q1 FY26, significantly exceeding full-year 2025 FCF of $3.7 billion.
Electrification orders from data centers in Q1 FY26 totaled $2.4 billion, surpassing full-year 2025 data center orders.
Concerns
3
Wind segment reported EBITDA losses of $382 million in Q1 FY26, in line with expectations.
The U.S. market for new onshore wind equipment remains soft due to permitting delays and tariff uncertainty.
Tariffs are projected to have a net impact of $250 million to $350 million on the company in FY26.
Guidance & targets
22
Category
Target
Timeline
Confidence
Total Backlog
$200 billion
high materiality
FY27
High
Gas Power Contracts
10 to 15 gigawatts
medium materiality
Q2 · FY26
High
Gas Power Contracts
at least 110 gigawatts
medium materiality
FY26
High
NRC License for Clinch River
as soon as the second half of '26
low materiality
H2 FY26
Medium
Solid-State Transformer (SST) Product Delivery
Fall of this year
low materiality
Fall 2026 · FY26
High
Solid-State Transformer (SST) Potential Order
first half of '27
low materiality
H1 FY27
Medium
Full-Year 2026 Revenue
$44.5 million to $45.5 billion
high materiality
FY26
High
Full-Year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin
12% to 14%
high materiality
FY26
High
Full-Year 2026 Free Cash Flow
$6.5 billion and $7.5 billion
high materiality
FY26
High
Full-Year 2026 Power Organic Revenue Growth
16% to 18%
medium materiality
FY26
High
Full-Year 2026 Power EBITDA Margins
17% to 19%
medium materiality
FY26
High
Full-Year 2026 Electrification Revenue
$14 billion to $14.5 billion
medium materiality
FY26
High
Full-Year 2026 Electrification EBITDA Margin
18% to 20%
medium materiality
FY26
High
Full-Year 2026 Wind Organic Revenue
down low double digits
medium materiality
FY26
High
Full-Year 2026 Wind EBIT Losses
approximately $400 million
medium materiality
FY26
High
Full-Year 2026 Corporate Costs
$450 million and $500 million
low materiality
FY26
High
Q2 2026 Power Revenue Growth
15% to 17%
medium materiality
Q2 · FY26
High
Q2 2026 Power EBITDA Margin
approximately 17% to 18%
medium materiality
Q2 · FY26
High
Q2 2026 Electrification Revenue
$3.3 billion and $3.5 billion
medium materiality
Q2 · FY26
High
Q2 2026 Electrification EBITDA Margin
modestly above 1Q 2026 levels
medium materiality
Q2 · FY26
High
Q2 2026 Wind Revenue Decline
mid-teens rate year-over-year
medium materiality
Q2 · FY26
High
Q2 2026 Wind EBITDA Losses
$200 million and $300 million
medium materiality
Q2 · FY26
High
Segment performance
3
Segment
Revenue
YoY
QoQ
Margin
Power
The segment delivered strong demand, continued revenue growth, and significant EBITDA margin expansion, driven by favorable price, more profitable volume, and productivity. Equipment revenue increased from higher volume and price in heavy-duty gas turbine and aeroderivative growth. Services revenue increased due to growth at nuclear power.
Orders Growth: 59% YoYGas Power Equipment Orders: more than doubled YoYPower Services Orders: +29% YoYGas Turbines Shipped: 25 units
increased 10%
10%
—
16.3%
Electrification
The segment achieved significant orders and revenue growth, and EBITDA margin expansion. Orders remained strong at roughly 2.5x revenue, driven by growing grid equipment demand, partially supporting data center development. Revenue growth was across all regions, with increased volume at power transmission from switchgear and transformers. Margin expansion was led by strong volume, productivity, and favorable pricing.
The team focused on discipline, delivering stronger performance in onshore wind services and successfully completing offshore project installations. Revenue decreased due to lower onshore equipment deliveries, partially offset by higher onshore services and offshore revenues. EBITDA losses were in line with expectations, primarily due to lower equipment deliveries, tariffs, and higher contract losses at offshore wind.
GEV operating KPIs stated on its earnings calls, by fiscal quarter
KPI
Mar 2025 Q1 FY25
Sep 2025 Q3 FY25
Dec 2025 Q4 FY25
This call Mar 2026 Q1 FY26
Jun 2026 Q2 FY26
Changevs prior quarter
Backlog
$123BWe now maintain a total backlog of $123 billion.Source: earnings call transcript
$135BAs a result, our backlog expanded to $135 billion, a year-over-year and sequential increase led by both Power and Electrification.Source: earnings call transcript
$150BIn '25, we increased our total backlog by over 25% or $31 billion to $150 billion with robust profitable order growth in Power and Electrification further underscoring our momentum as we kick off '26.Source: earnings call transcript
$163BWe've grown this backlog to $163 billion, with an 80% increase in our equipment backlog at considerably better margins.Source: earnings call transcript
$176BOur total backlog has reached $176 billion with improving margins.Source: earnings call transcript
+8%
Orders
$10.2BDemand remained robust in the first quarter as we booked $10.2 billion of orders, an increase of 8% year-over-year and approximately 1.3x revenue.Source: earnings call transcript
$14.6BWe booked orders of $14.6 billion, a 55% increase year-over-year and a book-to-bill ratio of approximately 1.5.Source: earnings call transcript
$22.2BIn the fourth quarter, we booked orders of $22.2 billion, a 65% increase year-over-year and a book-to-bill ratio of approximately 2x.Source: earnings call transcript
$18BWe booked $18 billion of orders in Q1, up 71% year-over-year.Source: earnings call transcript
$24.2BIn the second quarter, we booked orders of $24.2 billion, an 88% increase year-over-year and a book-to-bill ratio of slightly more than 2x with growth in both equipment and services.Source: earnings call transcript
+34.4%
Book-to-bill ratio
~1.3 ratioDemand remained robust in the first quarter as we booked $10.2 billion of orders, an increase of 8% year-over-year and approximately 1.3x revenue.Source: earnings call transcript
~1.5 ratioWe booked orders of $14.6 billion, a 55% increase year-over-year and a book-to-bill ratio of approximately 1.5.Source: earnings call transcript
~2 ratioIn the fourth quarter, we booked orders of $22.2 billion, a 65% increase year-over-year and a book-to-bill ratio of approximately 2x.Source: earnings call transcript
~2 ratioIn the first quarter, we booked orders of $18.3 billion, a 71% increase year-over-year and a book-to-bill ratio of approximately 2.Source: earnings call transcript
2 ratio+In the second quarter, we booked orders of $24.2 billion, an 88% increase year-over-year and a book-to-bill ratio of slightly more than 2x with growth in both equipment and services.Source: earnings call transcript
—
Orders Electrification
~$3.4BOrders remained strong at approximately $3.4 billion, roughly 1.8x revenue driven by the growing need for grid equipment.Source: earnings call transcript
~$5.1BOrders remained strong at roughly 2x revenue and more than doubled year-over-year to approximately $5.1 billion, driven by the growing need for grid investment.Source: earnings call transcript
—
—
~$6.3BOrders remained strong at roughly 1.7x revenue and increased 66% year-over-year to approximately $6.3 billion due to growing grid equipment demand partially to support data center development.Source: earnings call transcript
—
Book-to-bill ratio Electrification
~1.8 ratioOrders remained strong at approximately $3.4 billion, roughly 1.8x revenue driven by the growing need for grid equipment.Source: earnings call transcript
—
~2.5 ratioIn the fourth quarter, orders remained strong at roughly 2.5x revenue and increased 50% year-over-year to approximately $7.4 billion due to growing grid equipment demand, particularly for synchronous condensers, substations partially to support data center growth and switchgear.Source: earnings call transcript
—
~1.7 ratioOrders remained strong at roughly 1.7x revenue and increased 66% year-over-year to approximately $6.3 billion due to growing grid equipment demand partially to support data center development.Source: earnings call transcript
—
Backlog Electrification Equipment
~$22BEquipment orders outpaced revenue, further expanding the equipment backlog to approximately $22 billion, up more than $7 billion compared to the first quarter of 2024.Source: earnings call transcript
$26B+This equipment backlog was $6 billion entering '23 and is now more than $26 billion.Source: earnings call transcript
—
$39BElectrification equipment orders continued outpacing revenue, which combined with Prolec further increased our equipment backlog to $39 billion, up 75% or roughly $17 billion compared to the first quarter of 2025.Source: earnings call transcript
$41BElectrification equipment orders continued outpacing revenue and further increased our equipment backlog to $41 billion, up 69% or roughly $17 billion compared to the second quarter of 2025.Source: earnings call transcript
+5.1%
Backlog Equipment
—
$54BAs Scott mentioned, equipment backlog grew to $54 billion, up approximately $12 billion year-over-year, and equipment backlog margin remains healthy, reflecting favorable price and our continued focus on disciplined underwriting.Source: earnings call transcript
—
$76BEquipment backlog increased to $76 billion, up approximately $12 billion sequentially and 67% year-over-year, driven by both electrification, which now incorporates Prolec's backlog and power.Source: earnings call transcript
$88BEquipment backlog increased to $88 billion, up approximately $12 billion sequentially and 77% year-over-year, driven by both Power and Electrification, which incorporates Prolec's backlog.Source: earnings call transcript
+15.8%
Backlog Services
—
~$81BOur services backlog grew more than $5 billion year-over-year to approximately $81 billion, led by Power.Source: earnings call transcript
—
$87BOur services backlog grew $9 billion or 12% year-over-year to $87 billion led by Power.Source: earnings call transcript
$88BOur services backlog grew approximately $10 billion or 12% year-over-year to $88 billion led by Power.Source: earnings call transcript
+1.1%
Backlog Electrification
—
—
$35BIn 4Q, we grew the segment's total backlog to $35 billion, up $4 billion sequentially and $11 billion year-over-year, representing Electrification's largest growth quarter on a dollar basis in '25.Source: earnings call transcript
$42BSince year-end '22, its backlog has grown from $9 billion to $42 billion, and we expect substantially more growth moving forward.Source: earnings call transcript
—
+20%
Employees
—
—
75KWe are humbled with their confidence in us to drive that $150 billion backlog to the 75,000 employees we have today that I'm proud to represent every day, as is Ken, in these meetings.Source: earnings call transcript
—
85KI want to thank our team of 85,000 people around the world for their ongoing commitment to excellence.Source: earnings call transcript
—
Gas turbines shipped
—
—
—
25We shipped a total of 25 gas turbines in the quarter, a 32% increase year-over-year.Source: earnings call transcript
29We shipped a total of 29 gas turbines in the quarter, a 38% increase year-over-year, including 16 aeroderivatives.Source: earnings call transcript
+16%
Operating figures the company stated on at least two of the calls shown, checked against each call's transcript.
Click a figure to read the sentence. A dash means it was not stated that quarter.
Orderbook & backlog
9
Total Backlog$163BQ1 FY26
up $13B sequentially
Equipment Backlog$76BQ1 FY26
up ~$12B sequentially, +67% YoY
Driven by Electrification (including Prolec) and Power. Equipment backlog margin remains healthy.
Services Backlog$87BQ1 FY26
+12% YoY
Led by Power.
Electrification Backlog$42BQ1 FY26
up from $9B (YE 2022)
Significant growth since year-end 2022.
HVDC Backlog~$10BQ1 FY26
To be delivered in the coming years, primarily in Europe, with increasing momentum in Asia.
Prolec Backlog$5BQ1 FY26
up $1B since 3Q FY25 announcement (+25%)
Reflects customer enthusiasm for the acquisition.
Gas Power Total Gigawatts Under Contract100 GWQ1 FY26
up from 83 GW sequentially
80% with traditional customers, 20% explicitly supporting data centers.
Gas Power Backlog (Firm Orders)44 GWQ1 FY26
up from 40 GW sequentially
Gas Power Slot Reservation Agreements56 GWQ1 FY26
up from 43 GW sequentially
Product announcements
3
Product
Type
Timeline
Details
Energy Management System (EMS)
launch
Q1 FY26 (first order), April FY26 (second order)
Stability Block (MV UPS solution)
roadmap
H2 FY26 (potential incremental orders)
Solid-State Transformer (SST)
milestone
Fall FY26 (first product delivery to hyperscaler), H1 FY27 (potential order)
Deals & partnerships
2
Prolec GEacquisition$5.3B
Completed the acquisition of the remaining 50% ownership stake of Prolec GE for $5.3 billion in early February.
U.S. and Japanese governmentspartnershipup to $40B
Announcement of up to $40 billion for GE Vernova Hitachi to build SMRs in the U.S., representing government leadership to reindustrialize the industry.
Capital programs
1
Gas Power Annualized Output Capacity Expansionon track
Spent to date:installed over 280 new machines
Benefit:20 GW annualized output
Installed over 280 new machines in gas power factories and remain on track to reach 20 gigawatts of annualized output by 3Q.
Risks & headwinds
4
Wind EBITDA lossesQ1 FY26
$382M
Mitigation:Partially offset by improved onshore services and offshore wind performance.
Soft U.S. market for new onshore wind equipmentQ1 FY26, ongoing
soft
Mitigation:Monitoring the outcome of 232 wind and solar tariffs, which could lead to more orders clarity in H2 FY26.
Tariff impact on companyFY26
$250M-$350M net impact
Mitigation:Working mitigating plans through alternate sourcing and contractual provisions for pass-through.
Middle East conflictsQ1 FY26, ongoing
minimal impact to our business and financial performance to date
Mitigation:Monitoring the situation closely and continuing operations where it is safe to do so.
Q&A highlights
6
How does AI and automation affect Gas Power capacity targets, and what are the current lead times for new orders, especially considering the 24 GW target?
Current lead time for Gas Power orders is about 3 years, with approximately 10 GW of capacity remaining for 2029 and 2030 combined. The company has added over 280 new machines and 1,800 production workers in Gas Power factories, expecting increased productivity from these investments. Gas turbines are often not the gating item for project completion, and lean initiatives will continue to add capacity efficiently.
“We still have about 10 gigawatts remaining cumulatively in '29 and '30 together, whereas in the course of where we were in January earnings, we had 10 gigawatts in total for '29.”
asked by Mark W. Strouse · answered by Scott Strazik
Why is Power Transmission well-positioned for market share gains? Can you elaborate on Electrification's capacity expansion plans? Are there any significant tariff issues or mitigation needs for Prolec?
GE Vernova's strength in Power Transmission comes from integrating electrical equipment with power generation solutions, driving momentum through combined offerings. Capacity expansion involves investing in existing factories and leveraging Prolec's three new US factories, applying lean principles for operational improvements. The total net tariff impact for 2026 is guided at $250 million to $350 million, with Prolec seeing a slightly higher impact from Section 232 tariffs, but mitigation plans are in place.
“Our total number of tariffs last year, we said was about a net $250 million impact on the company. We guided to $250 million to $350 million net impact on the company in 2026.”
asked by Julian Mitchell · answered by Scott Strazik
Could you provide more color on customer conversations and pipeline growth in Gas Power, and what are the expectations for pricing trends beyond the 10-20 point increase mentioned for early 2026?
New bidding activity in Gas Power continues to show 10-20 point price growth relative to Q4 last year, which is expected to be reflected in Q2 orders. The 100 GW under contract is with approximately 90 distinct customers across 24 countries, indicating broad demand. While Q1 order pricing was consistent with Q4, the conversion of Slot Reservation Agreements (SRAs) is expected to bring higher pricing into the backlog.
“through the first 4 months of this year now on new bidding activity, which is probably a forward-looking indicator, we continue to be in that 10 to 20-point growth in price on new bidding and winning activity today relative to where we were in the backlog in the fourth quarter of last year.”
asked by Nicole DeBlase · answered by Scott Strazik
Given that Q1 data center orders for Electrification exceeded full-year 2025, what is the progress on increasing entitlement per gigawatt for data centers, and what new products are in development?
GE Vernova is systematically building integrated solutions for data centers, including the Energy Management System (EMS), which secured its first order in Q1 and a second in April. They are also developing a stability block solution (MV UPS) with potential orders in H2 2026, and the Solid-State Transformer (SST) will be delivered to a hyperscaler in Fall 2026 for testing, with potential orders in H1 2027. R&D investment is heavily focused on Electrification to develop these new offerings.
“The largest proportion of that R&D is in Electrification because we see real opportunities to organically invest in this business and serve this customer need, and we're very determined to do that.”
asked by Andrew Kaplowitz · answered by Scott Strazik
What progress has been made on framework agreements for turbine orders, especially as bookings extend further out, and are there any pricing trade-offs involved?
Discussions for framework agreements, which involve long-term commitments at current pricing for 5-year periods in the next decade, are ongoing with 30-35 potential agreements, but none have closed yet. Customers continue to place incremental 'by the drink' orders. The expanded scope, including Electrification solutions, is elongating these discussions, but they are considered productive.
“We have not closed one of those transactions to date. Admittedly, we've been having these conversations for a period of time and what continues to happen is incremental orders, let's call it by the drink.”
asked by David Arcaro · answered by Scott Strazik
Will GE Vernova limit order intake beyond 2030 due to supply chain concerns, similar to a competitor, or what is your approach?
GE Vernova is confident in its ability to meet long-term demand and plans to continue taking orders for 2031 and beyond. The company is investing in its suppliers and partners, and heavy-duty gas turbines are generally not the gating item for 3-year cycle projects. Their significantly larger installed base provides a financial floor and optionality. Lean initiatives are expected to continuously add capacity efficiently.
“We do continue to expect to take on orders for '31 and beyond.”
asked by Joseph Ritchie · answered by Scott Strazik
2 min read 6 chapters
Detailed narrative
01
Segment Realignment and Comparability
GE Vernova realigned its reporting segments in Q1 FY26 to better reflect how the company is managed. In Power, the steam business was integrated primarily into nuclear. Electrification was realigned into four distinct business units: Power Transmission, Grid Systems Integration, Grid Automation and Software, with a portion of electrification software moved to Gas Power.
In Wind, LM Wind was integrated into Onshore Wind. The company provided a financial supplement with restated 2025 segment results to ensure comparability, noting no changes to total company 2025 results.
02
AI Integration and Productivity Initiatives
GE Vernova is actively integrating AI across its operations, with 13 AI-based process transformations underway and plans to double this in 2026. In Gas Power, AI tools are being developed to automate demand projection and resource allocation for customer fleets, aiming for better performance and higher scope per outage.
In sourcing, AI is leveraged for parts rationalization, intelligent bidding, and automating manual processes like invoice matching, expected to save tens of millions annually and free up thousands of manual work hours.
03
Data Center Demand and Integrated Solutions Strategy
Data center demand is a significant growth driver, with Q1 Electrification orders from data centers totaling $2.4 billion, exceeding full-year 2025 figures. The company is developing integrated solutions, exemplified by its first energy management system (EMS) order for a data center customer in Q1, which combines power conversion, grid automation, and substation electrical equipment.
This integrated approach allows GE Vernova to provide comprehensive solutions spanning power generation, electrical equipment, and software.
04
Capital Allocation and Portfolio Simplification
In Q1 FY26, GE Vernova invested approximately $700 million in R&D and CapEx combined, with R&D growing by roughly 25% to commercialize new technologies. The company also simplified its portfolio through business dispositions, generating approximately $900 million in pretax cash.
This included the sale of its manufacturing software business for $600 million and additional stakes in China XD grid and a merchant transmission facility for $300 million.
05
Gas Power Capacity and Lead Times
Gas Power currently has a directional lead time of about 3 years for orders, with approximately 10 gigawatts of capacity remaining for 2029 and 2030 combined. The company has installed over 280 new machines in its gas power factories and added about 1,800 production workers between 2025 and 2026, primarily in Gas Power.
These investments aim to drive productivity and meet growing demand, with 20 gigawatts of annualized output expected by Q3.
06
Offshore Wind Project Execution
The Wind segment successfully completed the installation of remaining wind turbines at Dogger Bank A and Vineyard Wind offshore projects in Q1, with commissioning activities now underway. Installation for Dogger Bank B has commenced strongly, and both Dogger Bank B and C are expected to be completed through the better part of 2027.
This progress highlights execution discipline despite the soft U.S. market for new onshore equipment.