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GE Vernova (GEV) Q1 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Mar 2026 (Q1 FY26)· Industrials· Apr 22, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

GE Vernova Q1 FY26 — Strong Orders and Raised Full-Year Guidance

GE Vernova delivered a strong Q1 FY26, marked by robust order growth and significant free cash flow generation, driven by accelerating global electrification and data center demand. The company raised its full-year guidance for revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flow, reflecting confidence in its integrated solutions strategy and ongoing productivity improvements, despite continued headwinds in the Wind segment.

Highlights

5
  • Total orders increased 71% year-over-year to $18.3 billion in Q1 FY26.

  • Total backlog grew to $163 billion, with equipment backlog up 67% year-over-year to $76 billion.

  • Adjusted EBITDA grew 87% year-over-year to $896 million, with margin expansion of 390 basis points.

  • Free cash flow reached $4.8 billion in Q1 FY26, significantly exceeding full-year 2025 FCF of $3.7 billion.

  • Electrification orders from data centers in Q1 FY26 totaled $2.4 billion, surpassing full-year 2025 data center orders.

Concerns

3
  • Wind segment reported EBITDA losses of $382 million in Q1 FY26, in line with expectations.

  • The U.S. market for new onshore wind equipment remains soft due to permitting delays and tariff uncertainty.

  • Tariffs are projected to have a net impact of $250 million to $350 million on the company in FY26.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Total Backlog
$200 billion
high materiality
High
Gas Power Contracts
10 to 15 gigawatts
medium materiality
High
Gas Power Contracts
at least 110 gigawatts
medium materiality
High
NRC License for Clinch River
as soon as the second half of '26
low materiality
Medium
Solid-State Transformer (SST) Product Delivery
Fall of this year
low materiality
High
Solid-State Transformer (SST) Potential Order
first half of '27
low materiality
Medium
Full-Year 2026 Revenue
$44.5 million to $45.5 billion
high materiality
High
Full-Year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin
12% to 14%
high materiality
High
Full-Year 2026 Free Cash Flow
$6.5 billion and $7.5 billion
high materiality
High
Full-Year 2026 Power Organic Revenue Growth
16% to 18%
medium materiality
High
Full-Year 2026 Power EBITDA Margins
17% to 19%
medium materiality
High
Full-Year 2026 Electrification Revenue
$14 billion to $14.5 billion
medium materiality
High
Full-Year 2026 Electrification EBITDA Margin
18% to 20%
medium materiality
High
Full-Year 2026 Wind Organic Revenue
down low double digits
medium materiality
High
Full-Year 2026 Wind EBIT Losses
approximately $400 million
medium materiality
High
Full-Year 2026 Corporate Costs
$450 million and $500 million
low materiality
High
Q2 2026 Power Revenue Growth
15% to 17%
medium materiality
High
Q2 2026 Power EBITDA Margin
approximately 17% to 18%
medium materiality
High
Q2 2026 Electrification Revenue
$3.3 billion and $3.5 billion
medium materiality
High
Q2 2026 Electrification EBITDA Margin
modestly above 1Q 2026 levels
medium materiality
High
Q2 2026 Wind Revenue Decline
mid-teens rate year-over-year
medium materiality
High
Q2 2026 Wind EBITDA Losses
$200 million and $300 million
medium materiality
High

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
Power
The segment delivered strong demand, continued revenue growth, and significant EBITDA margin expansion, driven by favorable price, more profitable volume, and productivity. Equipment revenue increased from higher volume and price in heavy-duty gas turbine and aeroderivative growth. Services revenue increased due to growth at nuclear power.
Orders Growth: 59% YoYGas Power Equipment Orders: more than doubled YoYPower Services Orders: +29% YoYGas Turbines Shipped: 25 units
increased 10%10%—16.3%
Electrification
The segment achieved significant orders and revenue growth, and EBITDA margin expansion. Orders remained strong at roughly 2.5x revenue, driven by growing grid equipment demand, partially supporting data center development. Revenue growth was across all regions, with increased volume at power transmission from switchgear and transformers. Margin expansion was led by strong volume, productivity, and favorable pricing.
Orders Growth: 86% YoYEquipment Orders North America: tripled YoYEquipment Orders Asia: tripled YoYProlec Revenue: ~$500MProlec EBITDA Margin: >20%
increased 61% (U.S. GAAP), 29% (organic)61% (U.S. GAAP), 29% (organic)—17.8%
Wind
The team focused on discipline, delivering stronger performance in onshore wind services and successfully completing offshore project installations. Revenue decreased due to lower onshore equipment deliveries, partially offset by higher onshore services and offshore revenues. EBITDA losses were in line with expectations, primarily due to lower equipment deliveries, tariffs, and higher contract losses at offshore wind.
Orders Growth: 85% YoYOnshore Wind Services Margin: double-digit expansion YoY
decreased 25%-25%—($382M) loss

GEV operating KPIs by quarter

GEV operating KPIs stated on its earnings calls, by fiscal quarter
KPI Mar 2025 Q1 FY25 Sep 2025 Q3 FY25 Dec 2025 Q4 FY25This call Mar 2026 Q1 FY26 Jun 2026 Q2 FY26Change vs prior quarter
Backlog
$123B We now maintain a total backlog of $123 billion. Source: earnings call transcript
$135B As a result, our backlog expanded to $135 billion, a year-over-year and sequential increase led by both Power and Electrification. Source: earnings call transcript
$150B In '25, we increased our total backlog by over 25% or $31 billion to $150 billion with robust profitable order growth in Power and Electrification further underscoring our momentum as we kick off '26. Source: earnings call transcript
$163B We've grown this backlog to $163 billion, with an 80% increase in our equipment backlog at considerably better margins. Source: earnings call transcript
$176B Our total backlog has reached $176 billion with improving margins. Source: earnings call transcript
+8%
Orders
$10.2B Demand remained robust in the first quarter as we booked $10.2 billion of orders, an increase of 8% year-over-year and approximately 1.3x revenue. Source: earnings call transcript
$14.6B We booked orders of $14.6 billion, a 55% increase year-over-year and a book-to-bill ratio of approximately 1.5. Source: earnings call transcript
$22.2B In the fourth quarter, we booked orders of $22.2 billion, a 65% increase year-over-year and a book-to-bill ratio of approximately 2x. Source: earnings call transcript
$18B We booked $18 billion of orders in Q1, up 71% year-over-year. Source: earnings call transcript
$24.2B In the second quarter, we booked orders of $24.2 billion, an 88% increase year-over-year and a book-to-bill ratio of slightly more than 2x with growth in both equipment and services. Source: earnings call transcript
+34.4%
Book-to-bill ratio
~1.3 ratio Demand remained robust in the first quarter as we booked $10.2 billion of orders, an increase of 8% year-over-year and approximately 1.3x revenue. Source: earnings call transcript
~1.5 ratio We booked orders of $14.6 billion, a 55% increase year-over-year and a book-to-bill ratio of approximately 1.5. Source: earnings call transcript
~2 ratio In the fourth quarter, we booked orders of $22.2 billion, a 65% increase year-over-year and a book-to-bill ratio of approximately 2x. Source: earnings call transcript
~2 ratio In the first quarter, we booked orders of $18.3 billion, a 71% increase year-over-year and a book-to-bill ratio of approximately 2. Source: earnings call transcript
2 ratio+ In the second quarter, we booked orders of $24.2 billion, an 88% increase year-over-year and a book-to-bill ratio of slightly more than 2x with growth in both equipment and services. Source: earnings call transcript
—
Orders Electrification
~$3.4B Orders remained strong at approximately $3.4 billion, roughly 1.8x revenue driven by the growing need for grid equipment. Source: earnings call transcript
~$5.1B Orders remained strong at roughly 2x revenue and more than doubled year-over-year to approximately $5.1 billion, driven by the growing need for grid investment. Source: earnings call transcript
——
~$6.3B Orders remained strong at roughly 1.7x revenue and increased 66% year-over-year to approximately $6.3 billion due to growing grid equipment demand partially to support data center development. Source: earnings call transcript
—
Book-to-bill ratio Electrification
~1.8 ratio Orders remained strong at approximately $3.4 billion, roughly 1.8x revenue driven by the growing need for grid equipment. Source: earnings call transcript
—
~2.5 ratio In the fourth quarter, orders remained strong at roughly 2.5x revenue and increased 50% year-over-year to approximately $7.4 billion due to growing grid equipment demand, particularly for synchronous condensers, substations partially to support data center growth and switchgear. Source: earnings call transcript
—
~1.7 ratio Orders remained strong at roughly 1.7x revenue and increased 66% year-over-year to approximately $6.3 billion due to growing grid equipment demand partially to support data center development. Source: earnings call transcript
—
Backlog Electrification Equipment
~$22B Equipment orders outpaced revenue, further expanding the equipment backlog to approximately $22 billion, up more than $7 billion compared to the first quarter of 2024. Source: earnings call transcript
$26B+ This equipment backlog was $6 billion entering '23 and is now more than $26 billion. Source: earnings call transcript
—
$39B Electrification equipment orders continued outpacing revenue, which combined with Prolec further increased our equipment backlog to $39 billion, up 75% or roughly $17 billion compared to the first quarter of 2025. Source: earnings call transcript
$41B Electrification equipment orders continued outpacing revenue and further increased our equipment backlog to $41 billion, up 69% or roughly $17 billion compared to the second quarter of 2025. Source: earnings call transcript
+5.1%
Backlog Equipment—
$54B As Scott mentioned, equipment backlog grew to $54 billion, up approximately $12 billion year-over-year, and equipment backlog margin remains healthy, reflecting favorable price and our continued focus on disciplined underwriting. Source: earnings call transcript
—
$76B Equipment backlog increased to $76 billion, up approximately $12 billion sequentially and 67% year-over-year, driven by both electrification, which now incorporates Prolec's backlog and power. Source: earnings call transcript
$88B Equipment backlog increased to $88 billion, up approximately $12 billion sequentially and 77% year-over-year, driven by both Power and Electrification, which incorporates Prolec's backlog. Source: earnings call transcript
+15.8%
Backlog Services—
~$81B Our services backlog grew more than $5 billion year-over-year to approximately $81 billion, led by Power. Source: earnings call transcript
—
$87B Our services backlog grew $9 billion or 12% year-over-year to $87 billion led by Power. Source: earnings call transcript
$88B Our services backlog grew approximately $10 billion or 12% year-over-year to $88 billion led by Power. Source: earnings call transcript
+1.1%
Backlog Electrification——
$35B In 4Q, we grew the segment's total backlog to $35 billion, up $4 billion sequentially and $11 billion year-over-year, representing Electrification's largest growth quarter on a dollar basis in '25. Source: earnings call transcript
$42B Since year-end '22, its backlog has grown from $9 billion to $42 billion, and we expect substantially more growth moving forward. Source: earnings call transcript
—+20%
Employees ——
75K We are humbled with their confidence in us to drive that $150 billion backlog to the 75,000 employees we have today that I'm proud to represent every day, as is Ken, in these meetings. Source: earnings call transcript
—
85K I want to thank our team of 85,000 people around the world for their ongoing commitment to excellence. Source: earnings call transcript
—
Gas turbines shipped ———
25 We shipped a total of 25 gas turbines in the quarter, a 32% increase year-over-year. Source: earnings call transcript
29 We shipped a total of 29 gas turbines in the quarter, a 38% increase year-over-year, including 16 aeroderivatives. Source: earnings call transcript
+16%

Operating figures the company stated on at least two of the calls shown, checked against each call's transcript. Click a figure to read the sentence. A dash means it was not stated that quarter.

Orderbook & backlog

Total Backlog $163B Q1 FY26

up $13B sequentially

Equipment Backlog $76B Q1 FY26

up ~$12B sequentially, +67% YoY

Driven by Electrification (including Prolec) and Power. Equipment backlog margin remains healthy.

Services Backlog $87B Q1 FY26

+12% YoY

Led by Power.

Electrification Backlog $42B Q1 FY26

up from $9B (YE 2022)

Significant growth since year-end 2022.

HVDC Backlog ~$10B Q1 FY26

To be delivered in the coming years, primarily in Europe, with increasing momentum in Asia.

Prolec Backlog $5B Q1 FY26

up $1B since 3Q FY25 announcement (+25%)

Reflects customer enthusiasm for the acquisition.

Gas Power Total Gigawatts Under Contract 100 GW Q1 FY26

up from 83 GW sequentially

80% with traditional customers, 20% explicitly supporting data centers.

Gas Power Backlog (Firm Orders) 44 GW Q1 FY26

up from 40 GW sequentially

Gas Power Slot Reservation Agreements 56 GW Q1 FY26

up from 43 GW sequentially

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
Energy Management System (EMS)launch
Stability Block (MV UPS solution)roadmap
Solid-State Transformer (SST)milestone

Deals & partnerships

Prolec GE acquisition $5.3B

Completed the acquisition of the remaining 50% ownership stake of Prolec GE for $5.3 billion in early February.

U.S. and Japanese governments partnership up to $40B

Announcement of up to $40 billion for GE Vernova Hitachi to build SMRs in the U.S., representing government leadership to reindustrialize the industry.

Capital programs

Gas Power Annualized Output Capacity Expansion on track
Spent to date: installed over 280 new machines

Benefit:20 GW annualized output

Installed over 280 new machines in gas power factories and remain on track to reach 20 gigawatts of annualized output by 3Q.

Risks & headwinds

Wind EBITDA losses Q1 FY26

$382M

Mitigation:Partially offset by improved onshore services and offshore wind performance.

Soft U.S. market for new onshore wind equipment Q1 FY26, ongoing

soft

Mitigation:Monitoring the outcome of 232 wind and solar tariffs, which could lead to more orders clarity in H2 FY26.

Tariff impact on company FY26

$250M-$350M net impact

Mitigation:Working mitigating plans through alternate sourcing and contractual provisions for pass-through.

Middle East conflicts Q1 FY26, ongoing

minimal impact to our business and financial performance to date

Mitigation:Monitoring the situation closely and continuing operations where it is safe to do so.

Q&A highlights

How does AI and automation affect Gas Power capacity targets, and what are the current lead times for new orders, especially considering the 24 GW target?

Current lead time for Gas Power orders is about 3 years, with approximately 10 GW of capacity remaining for 2029 and 2030 combined. The company has added over 280 new machines and 1,800 production workers in Gas Power factories, expecting increased productivity from these investments. Gas turbines are often not the gating item for project completion, and lean initiatives will continue to add capacity efficiently.

“We still have about 10 gigawatts remaining cumulatively in '29 and '30 together, whereas in the course of where we were in January earnings, we had 10 gigawatts in total for '29.”

asked by Mark W. Strouse · answered by Scott Strazik

2 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

Segment Realignment and Comparability

GE Vernova realigned its reporting segments in Q1 FY26 to better reflect how the company is managed. In Power, the steam business was integrated primarily into nuclear. Electrification was realigned into four distinct business units: Power Transmission, Grid Systems Integration, Grid Automation and Software, with a portion of electrification software moved to Gas Power.

In Wind, LM Wind was integrated into Onshore Wind. The company provided a financial supplement with restated 2025 segment results to ensure comparability, noting no changes to total company 2025 results.

AI Integration and Productivity Initiatives

GE Vernova is actively integrating AI across its operations, with 13 AI-based process transformations underway and plans to double this in 2026. In Gas Power, AI tools are being developed to automate demand projection and resource allocation for customer fleets, aiming for better performance and higher scope per outage.

In sourcing, AI is leveraged for parts rationalization, intelligent bidding, and automating manual processes like invoice matching, expected to save tens of millions annually and free up thousands of manual work hours.

Data Center Demand and Integrated Solutions Strategy

Data center demand is a significant growth driver, with Q1 Electrification orders from data centers totaling $2.4 billion, exceeding full-year 2025 figures. The company is developing integrated solutions, exemplified by its first energy management system (EMS) order for a data center customer in Q1, which combines power conversion, grid automation, and substation electrical equipment.

This integrated approach allows GE Vernova to provide comprehensive solutions spanning power generation, electrical equipment, and software.

Capital Allocation and Portfolio Simplification

In Q1 FY26, GE Vernova invested approximately $700 million in R&D and CapEx combined, with R&D growing by roughly 25% to commercialize new technologies. The company also simplified its portfolio through business dispositions, generating approximately $900 million in pretax cash.

This included the sale of its manufacturing software business for $600 million and additional stakes in China XD grid and a merchant transmission facility for $300 million.

Gas Power Capacity and Lead Times

Gas Power currently has a directional lead time of about 3 years for orders, with approximately 10 gigawatts of capacity remaining for 2029 and 2030 combined. The company has installed over 280 new machines in its gas power factories and added about 1,800 production workers between 2025 and 2026, primarily in Gas Power.

These investments aim to drive productivity and meet growing demand, with 20 gigawatts of annualized output expected by Q3.

Offshore Wind Project Execution

The Wind segment successfully completed the installation of remaining wind turbines at Dogger Bank A and Vineyard Wind offshore projects in Q1, with commissioning activities now underway. Installation for Dogger Bank B has commenced strongly, and both Dogger Bank B and C are expected to be completed through the better part of 2027.

This progress highlights execution discipline despite the soft U.S. market for new onshore equipment.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.