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    GEV
    Earnings call· Sep 2025(Q3 FY25)

    GE Vernova Inc. GEV

    Oct 22, 2025 Source

    Executive summary

    GE Vernova Q3 FY25 — Prolec GE Acquisition & Strong Electrification Growth

    GE Vernova reported a strong Q3 FY25, highlighted by the strategic acquisition of the remaining 50% of Prolec GE, which is expected to bolster its Electrification segment. The company demonstrated robust order growth and significant margin expansion, particularly in Electrification and Power, while navigating continued softness in onshore wind. Management reaffirmed full-year guidance, emphasizing disciplined capital allocation and a focus on long-term growth.

    Highlights

    5
    • Announced the acquisition of the remaining 50% of Prolec GE for $5.275 billion, expected to be immediately accretive to EBITDA before synergies.

    • Total orders increased 55% year-over-year to $14.6 billion, achieving a book-to-bill ratio of approximately 1.5.

    • Electrification segment revenue grew 32% year-over-year, with EBITDA margin expanding 550 basis points to 15.1%.

    • Total equipment backlog expanded to $54 billion, an increase of $11 billion year-to-date.

    • Adjusted EBITDA more than tripled year-over-year to $811 million, with margin expansion of 600 basis points.

    Concerns

    4
    • Onshore Wind equipment orders remain soft, expected to weigh on '26 onshore revenue.

    • Wind revenue decreased 9% year-over-year due to the absence of a prior-year offshore contract settlement and blade event charges.

    • Full-year 2025 Wind revenue guidance revised down to down high single digits organically from previous mid-single digits.

    • Full-year 2025 Wind EBITDA losses are now anticipated to be approximately $400 million.

    Guidance & targets

    19
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Prolec GE Revenue
    over $4 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Prolec GE EBITDA
    over $1 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Prolec GE Annualized Cost Synergies
    $60 million to $120 million
    medium materiality
    High
    GE Vernova FY25 Revenue
    higher end of our $36 billion to $37 billion guidance range
    high materiality
    High
    GE Vernova FY25 Adjusted EBITDA Margin
    8% to 9%
    high materiality
    High
    GE Vernova FY25 Free Cash Flow
    $3 billion to $3.5 billion
    high materiality
    High
    GE Vernova FY25 Tariff Impact
    lower end of our $300 million to $400 million range
    medium materiality
    High
    Power FY25 Organic Revenue Growth
    between 6% and 7%
    medium materiality
    High
    Power FY25 EBITDA Margin
    14% and 15%
    medium materiality
    High
    Wind FY25 Organic Revenue Growth
    down high single digits
    high materiality
    Medium
    Wind FY25 EBITDA Losses
    approximately $400 million
    high materiality
    Medium
    Electrification FY25 Organic Revenue Growth
    trend towards 25%
    high materiality
    High
    Electrification FY25 EBITDA Margin
    14% to 15%
    high materiality
    High
    Corporate Costs
    increase year-over-year
    low materiality
    Medium
    Q4 Adjusted EBITDA
    growth
    medium materiality
    High
    Q4 Adjusted EBITDA Margin
    expansion
    medium materiality
    High
    Q4 Free Cash Flow
    positive
    medium materiality
    High
    Q4 Revenue
    slightly lower year-over-year
    low materiality
    Medium
    Incremental Capital to Deploy
    over $10 billion
    high materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    3
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Power
    Revenue increased 14%, led by Gas Power. EBITDA margins expanded 120 basis points to 13.3%, mainly driven by continued strength at Gas Power. Higher price and productivity offset capacity investments and R&D.
    Orders grew 50%Gas Power equipment orders more than doublingBooked 20 heavy-duty gas turbines, including 13 HA units (40% YoY increase)Power services revenue increased mainly from higher transactional volume and price
    14%13.3%
    Electrification
    Revenue increased 32% with growth across all regions. EBITDA doubled in the quarter with margin expansion of 550 basis points to 15.1%, led by more profitable volume, productivity, and favorable pricing at Grid Solutions.
    Orders more than doubled year-over-year to approximately $5.1 billionStrong orders growth in Middle East ($1.6B synchronous condensers in Saudi Arabia), North America, EuropeHyperscaler orders $400M in Q3, $900M YTD (vs $600M in all of '24)HVDC valve modules production capacity increased 40% at Stafford, U.K. facility
    32%15.1%
    Wind
    Revenue decreased 9% due to the absence of a prior-year offshore contract settlement and blade event charges. EBITDA losses improved by approximately $250 million year-over-year.
    Orders increased 4% year-over-yearHigher onshore services partially offset by lower onshore equipmentOnshore margin expanded from productivity, price and favorable mixOffshore EBITDA losses improved given lower contract losses
    -9%EBITDA losses improved by approximately $250 million year-over-year

    Operational metrics

    24
    Prolec GE Revenue
    $3 billion
    FY25

    Expected revenue for Prolec GE in FY25.

    Prolec GE EBITDA Margin
    25%
    FY25

    Expected EBITDA margins for Prolec GE in FY25.

    Prolec GE Incremental EBITDA
    $800 million
    2028

    Incremental EBITDA contribution to GE Vernova from consolidating Prolec GE in 2028.

    Prolec GE Revenue Growth
    low double-digit
    2025-2028 CAGR

    Expected compounded annual growth rate for Prolec GE revenue from 2025 to 2028.

    Prolec GE Capital Expenditure Peak
    2026
    2026

    Expected peak year for capital expenditures at Prolec GE to support revenue growth.

    Total Cash Balance
    nearly $8 billion
    Q3 FY25

    Cash balance at the end of the third quarter.

    R&D and CapEx Growth
    over 20%
    FY25

    Growth in R&D and CapEx investments for the full year 2025.

    Shares Repurchased
    over 6 million
    YTD FY25

    Number of shares repurchased year-to-date at an average price of $357.

    Share Repurchase Value
    roughly $2.2 billion
    YTD FY25

    Value of shares repurchased year-to-date.

    Total Capital Returned to Shareholders
    $2.4 billion
    YTD FY25

    Total capital returned to shareholders through dividends and buybacks year-to-date.

    Manufacturing Software Business Sale
    approximately $600 million
    Q3 FY25

    Agreement to sell manufacturing software business, expected to close in H1 2026.

    China XD Grid Business Sale Proceeds
    approximately $100 million
    Q3 FY25

    Pretax proceeds from selling an additional ownership stake in China XD Grid business.

    Working Capital Benefit
    nearly $300 million
    Q3 FY25

    Cash benefit from working capital in the third quarter.

    Total Capital Returned to Shareholders
    approximately $730 million
    Q3 FY25

    Total cash returned to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends in the third quarter.

    Organic Revenue Growth
    12%
    YTD FY25

    Organic revenue growth year-to-date.

    Adjusted EBITDA Margin Expansion
    290 basis points
    YTD FY25

    Adjusted EBITDA margin expansion year-to-date.

    Power Equipment Revenue Growth
    22%
    Q3 FY25

    Growth in Power equipment revenue in Q3.

    Electrification Equipment Revenue Growth
    37%
    Q3 FY25

    Growth in Electrification equipment revenue in Q3.

    Wind Revenue Growth (ex-settlement)
    low double digits
    Q3 FY25

    Wind revenue growth in Q3, excluding the impact of a prior year offshore contract settlement.

    Tariff Cost Impact
    lower end of our $300 million to $400 million range
    FY25

    Estimated full-year 2025 tariff impact, net of mitigating actions.

    Corporate Costs
    increase year-over-year
    FY25

    Expected increase in corporate costs for FY25.

    Gas Power Factories New Machines Installed
    almost 200
    YTD FY25

    Number of new machines installed in gas power factories year-to-date.

    Gas Power Factories Production Workers Added
    approximately 800
    YTD FY25

    Number of production workers added in gas power factories year-to-date.

    Gas Power Annualized Production Target
    20 gigawatts
    Q3 FY26

    Target for annualized production capacity in gas power factories.

    Industry KPIs

    7
    MetricValueDetails
    Book to bill ratioapproximately 1.5
    Orders bookings growth55%%
    Gigawatts under contract62 gigawattsGW
    M a acquisition contributionimmediately accretive
    Backlog by segment end market$135 billionUSD
    Data center exposure pipeline$400 millionUSD
    Incremental flow through margin550 basis pointsbps

    Orderbook & backlog

    13
    Prolec GE Equipment Backlog$4 billionQ2 FY25
    Total Backlog$135 billionQ3 FY25

    year-over-year and sequential increase

    Equipment Backlog$54 billionQ3 FY25

    up approximately $12 billion year-over-year

    Electrification Equipment Backlogmore than $26 billionQ3 FY25

    up almost $8 billion compared to Q3 2024

    Services Backlogapproximately $81 billionQ3 FY25

    more than $5 billion year-over-year

    Gas Turbine Backlog33 gigawattsQ3 FY25

    grew from 29 gigawatts

    Gas Turbine Slot Reservation Agreements29 gigawattsQ3 FY25

    increased from 25 gigawatts

    Total Gas Power Backlog and Slot Reservations62 gigawattsQ3 FY25

    from 55 gigawatts

    Power Services Backlogincreased $4 billionYTD FY25
    Total Equipment Backlog$11 billion increaseYTD FY25
    Electrification Equipment Backlogover $6 billionYTD FY25
    Services Backloggrew $2 billion sequentiallyQ3 FY25
    Services Backlog$5 billionYTD FY25

    Product announcements

    1
    ProductTypeDetails
    BWRX-300 nuclear SMRexpansion

    Deals & partnerships

    1
    XignuxAcquisition of remaining 50% of Prolec GE joint venture$5.275 billion

    GE Vernova is acquiring the remaining 50% of the Prolec GE joint venture from its partner, Xignux. The payment is planned to be funded 50% with cash and 50% with debt. Prolec is a leading grid equipment provider that produces transformers to serve North American utilities, industrials and data centers.

    Capital programs

    2
    Prolec GE Capacity Expansionunderwayapproximately $300 million

    Benefit: expand capacity

    Prolec has invested about $300 million in existing or active programs to expand capacity across its facilities, specifically in Mexico and the U.S., to support projected growth.

    Gas Power Factories Expansionunderway
    Start: YTD FY25

    Benefit: 20 gigawatts annualized production

    Installed almost 200 new machines and added approximately 800 production workers in gas power factories this year, remaining on track to meet 20 gigawatts annualized production by Q3 2026.

    Risks & headwinds

    3
    Onshore Wind equipment orders softnessFY25, 2026

    Wind revenue decreased 9%; FY25 Wind revenue guidance revised to down high single digits organically; FY25 Wind EBITDA losses approximately $400 million

    Mitigation: closing deals with growing opportunities for services, repowering in the U.S. and new units in attractive international markets

    Permitting delays and tariff uncertainty2026

    likely weigh on our '26 onshore revenue

    Higher stock-based compensation and incentives2025

    increase year-over-year for corporate costs

    What to watch in Q4 FY25

    5

    Prolec GE Acquisition Close

    mid-2026
    Currentannounced
    Targetclosed

    Why it matters

    This is a major strategic acquisition that will significantly impact the Electrification segment's growth and GE Vernova's overall financial profile.

    We expect the transaction will close by mid-'26.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    How confident is management in the Prolec GE 2028 revenue and EBITDA targets, especially without revenue synergies, given the current backlog?

    Management expressed high confidence in the 2028 targets, noting Prolec's $4 billion explicit backlog and existing framework agreements. The data center business, a key growth driver, has increased from 10% to 20% of Prolec's revenue from 2024 to 2025. Prolec has already invested $300 million in capacity expansion to support this growth. The potential for international expansion of low-to-medium voltage technology is an uncaptured upside.

    You can see on the pages we've got $4 billion of explicit backlog today with Prolec. So by no means is in our backlog today, the '28 financials. But at the same time, we have a number of framework agreements that are in place with a number of the utilities, where they're able to draw upon their framework agreement at set cycle time commitments that, through a lot of our interactions with the end customers as we evaluated this acquisition, gave us a lot of confidence in the growth of this business, both with our traditional customers like the utilities, but also frankly, with our new archetype of customers like the data centers.

    asked by Mark W. Strouse · answered by Scott Strazik

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Prolec GE Acquisition Rationale

    GE Vernova is acquiring the remaining 50% of the Prolec GE joint venture from Xignux for $5.275 billion, funded equally with cash and debt, with an expected close by mid-2026. This acquisition is strategically aligned to strengthen GE Vernova's capabilities in the grid equipment market, particularly for transformers in North America, and is anticipated to accelerate growth within the Electrification segment. Prolec GE is projected to generate $3 billion in revenue this year with strong 25% EBITDA margins, making the acquisition margin-accretive to GE Vernova overall.

    02

    Prolec GE Financial Outlook & Synergies

    Prolec GE reported an equipment backlog of approximately $4 billion at the end of Q2. The business is expected to grow revenue from $3 billion in 2025 to over $4 billion by 2028, with EBITDA projected to exceed $1 billion by 2028, prior to synergies. The transaction is immediately accretive to EBITDA. Annualized cost synergies of $60 million to $120 million are targeted by 2028, stemming from common design practices, optimized sourcing, lean implementation, R&D optimization, and G&A savings. Revenue synergies are also expected from leveraging GE Vernova's global factory footprint and expanding service offerings.

    03

    Electrification Segment Momentum

    The Electrification segment continues to demonstrate robust demand and expanding margins, with equipment orders more than doubling year-over-year. Key wins include $1.6 billion of orders for synchronous condensers in Saudi Arabia and $400 million of orders from hyperscalers in Q3 alone, bringing year-to-date hyperscaler orders to $900 million compared to $600 million in all of 2024. Capacity expansion plans are progressing well, exemplified by a 40% increase in production capacity for HVDC valve modules at the Stafford, U.K. facility through Kaizen initiatives.

    04

    Gas Power Strength and Backlog

    Gas Power demand and pricing remain strong, with 12 gigawatts of new contracts signed in Q3, following 9 gigawatts in Q2. The gas turbine backlog grew from 29 gigawatts to 33 gigawatts, and slot reservation agreements increased from 25 gigawatts to 29 gigawatts, bringing total contractual commitments to 62 gigawatts. GE Vernova expects to approach 70 gigawatts of contractual gas power commitments by the end of 2025. Factory investments include installing nearly 200 new machines and adding approximately 800 production workers, aiming for 20 gigawatts of annualized production by Q3 2026.

    05

    Capital Allocation and Financial Strength

    GE Vernova ended the quarter with approximately $8 billion in cash, supporting over 20% growth in R&D and CapEx this year. The company repurchased over 6 million shares for roughly $2.2 billion year-to-date at an average price of $357. Total capital returned to shareholders year-to-date amounts to $2.4 billion. The company remains committed to its capital allocation principles: funding organic growth, returning at least one-third of cash generated to shareholders, and executing targeted M&A, with over $10 billion of incremental capital expected to be deployed by 2028.

    06

    Wind Segment Challenges and Strategy

    The Wind segment continues to face softness in onshore equipment orders due to permitting delays and tariff uncertainty🌐, which is expected to impact 2026 revenue. Despite these headwinds, services orders are up 27% year-to-date, with progress in repowering and improved fleet availability. Offshore wind EBITDA losses improved due to lower contract losses, net of a prior-year settlement. The company remains focused on executing its challenged offshore wind backlog and improving overall profitability.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.