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    HBAN
    Earnings call· Dec 2024(Q4 FY24)

    HUNTINGTON BANCSHARES INC /MD/ HBAN

    Jan 17, 2025 Source

    Executive summary

    Huntington Bancshares Q4 FY24 — Record Fee Revenues and Accelerated Loan/Deposit Growth

    Huntington Bancshares delivered strong Q4 FY24 results driven by record fee revenues and accelerated loan and deposit growth, positioning the company for profit momentum into 2025. The company's strategic investments in new geographies and capabilities are yielding attractive returns, contributing to peer-leading organic growth. Management remains focused on disciplined risk management and expects to maintain a stable net interest margin throughout 2025, with NII and fee revenues projected to reach record levels for the full year.

    Highlights

    5
    • Record fee revenues and accelerated growth of loans and deposits, with core underlying fee revenues increasing by $96 million or 20% year-over-year.

    • Average loan balances increased by $7 billion or 5.7% versus last year, and average deposits increased by $9.7 billion or 6.5% versus last year.

    • Net interest income grew by $45 million or 3.3% sequentially, reflecting over 6% growth year-over-year, and increased for the third consecutive quarter.

    • Strong credit performance with net charge-offs at 30 basis points, stable from the prior quarter and within the through-the-cycle range.

    • Capital Markets set a new quarterly record for revenue at $120 million, an increase of 74% from a year ago.

    Concerns

    3
    • GAAP noninterest income included a pretax loss of $21 million from a strategic securities repositioning.

    • Net interest income is expected to be lower by approximately 2% to 3% in Q1 FY25 due to normal day count headwinds and a modestly lower net interest margin.

    • Fee revenues are expected to normalize to approximately $500 million in Q1 FY25 due to seasonality, down from the record Q4 FY24 level.

    Guidance & targets

    15
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year Net Interest Income
    Record level
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year Fee Revenues
    Record level
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year Loan Growth
    5% to 7%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year Deposit Growth
    3% to 5%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year Net Interest Income Growth (dollar basis)
    4% to 6%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year Noninterest Income Growth
    4% to 6%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year Expense Growth
    3.5% to 4.5%
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year Net Charge-offs
    25 to 35 basis points
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year Effective Tax Rate
    Approximately 19%
    low materiality
    High
    Q1 FY25 Average Loan Balances Growth
    Approximately 2%
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Q1 FY25 Average Deposits Growth
    Relatively stable sequentially
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Q1 FY25 Net Interest Income (dollar basis)
    Lower by approximately 2% to 3%
    high materiality
    Medium
    Q1 FY25 Fee Revenues
    Approximately $500 million
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Q1 FY25 Expenses
    Down approximately 2%
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Adjusted CET1 Ratio (inclusive of AOCI)
    9% to 10%
    high materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    14
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Payments
    Growth driven by higher treasury management fees and the launch of a new merchant acquiring model.
    Commercial payment revenues increase: 16%
    8%
    Wealth Management
    Growth supported by increasing AUM and expansion of advisory household relationships.
    AUM growth: 16%Wealth advisory households increase: 9%
    8%
    Capital Markets
    Achieved a record quarter for revenue, with strong contributions from the Capstone Group.
    $120 million74%
    Funds Finance
    Ramped up faster than any previous specialty business.
    Loan growth contribution Q4 FY24: largest contributor to $1.1 billion from new initiatives
    North and South Carolina (Geography)
    Regional geographies made money on a direct expense basis in FY24.
    Loan growth contribution Q4 FY24: significant contributor to $1.1 billion from new initiatives
    Texas (Geography)
    Regional geographies made money on a direct expense basis in FY24.
    Loan growth contribution Q4 FY24: significant contributor to $1.1 billion from new initiatives
    Auto (Existing Business)
    Contribution to loan growth from existing businesses.
    Loan growth Q4 FY24: $766 million
    Regional Banking, Commercial and Industrial (Existing Business)
    Contribution to loan growth from existing businesses.
    Loan growth Q4 FY24: $421 million
    Asset Finance (Existing Business)
    Contribution to loan growth from existing businesses, with a record quarter for asset finance volume.
    Loan growth Q4 FY24: $511 million
    Auto Floorplan (Existing Business)
    Contribution to loan growth from existing businesses.
    Loan growth Q4 FY24: $327 million
    Distribution Finance (Existing Business)
    Contribution to loan growth from existing businesses, seasonally higher balances.
    Loan growth Q4 FY24: $85 million
    Other Consumer Categories (Existing Business)
    Includes increases from residential mortgage and home equity, offset by lower RV/marine balances.
    Loan growth Q4 FY24: $165 million net
    Commercial Bank (Existing Business)
    Collective contribution to loan growth from existing businesses.
    Loan growth Q4 FY24: approximately $800 million
    Commercial Real Estate
    Offsetting a portion of loan growth, but the book has performed exceptionally well and is believed to be close to bottoming out.
    Balances decline Q4 FY24: $465 million

    Operational metrics

    22
    Return on Tangible Common Equity (ROTCE)
    16.4%
    Q4 FY24
    Tangible Book Value Per Share Growth
    6.9%YoY
    FY24
    GAAP Noninterest Income Increase
    $154 millionYoY
    Q4 FY24

    Increase from the prior year on a GAAP basis.

    Core Noninterest Income Growth (adjusted)
    $96 millionYoY
    Q4 FY24

    Adjusted for impacts of loss on securities, CRT transactions, and pay-fixed swaptions mark-to-market.

    Fee Revenues as Percentage of Total Revenue
    28%from 26% prior year
    FY24
    GAAP Noninterest Expense Sequential Increase
    $48 millionQoQ
    Q4 FY24
    Underlying Core Expenses Sequential Increase
    $57 millionQoQ
    Q4 FY24
    Personnel Costs Sequential Increase
    $42 millionQoQ
    Q4 FY24

    Primary driver of increase in expenses, largely revenue-driven compensation.

    Securities Repositioning Pretax Loss
    $21 million
    Q4 FY24

    Resulted from selling approximately $1 billion of corporate securities to unlock capital and improve RWA.

    Fixed Asset Repricing Benefit
    12 bps
    FY24

    Benefit from fixed asset repricing.

    Fixed Asset Repricing Benefit Outlook
    10 bps
    FY25

    Likely benefit from fixed asset repricing in 2025.

    NIM Impact from Lower Spread Net of Free Funds
    -3 bpsQoQ
    Q4 FY24

    Component of NIM change.

    NIM Impact from Lower Cash Balances
    +3 bpsQoQ
    Q4 FY24

    Component of NIM change.

    NIM Impact from Lower Hedging Drag
    +5 bpsQoQ
    Q4 FY24

    Component of NIM change.

    Hedging Program Benefit Outlook
    couple bps
    FY25

    Likely benefit on a full year basis, with modest benefit in H1 and few bps drag in H2.

    Loan Growth from New Initiatives
    $1.1 billionup from $700M in Q3 and $500M in Q2
    Q4 FY24

    Accelerated contribution from new initiatives.

    Loan Growth from Existing Businesses
    $3.1 billion
    Q4 FY24

    Contribution to loan growth from existing businesses.

    Loan Growth Composition Outlook
    50% core / 50% new initiatives
    FY25

    Expected approximate split of loan growth between core and new initiatives.

    Cash and Securities as Percentage of Total Assets
    28%
    Year-end

    Expected to operate at or around this level going forward.

    Asset Finance Record Volume
    $600 millionmore than previous record
    Q4 FY24

    Reflects an unlocking of expectations and significant investments.

    CECL Day 1 Credit Reserve
    1.70%
    CECL Day 1

    Historical credit reserve level.

    COVID Peak Credit Reserve
    2.3%
    Early 2020

    Historical credit reserve level during the worst period of COVID.

    Industry KPIs

    12
    MetricValueDetails
    Loans$7 billionUSD
    Deposits$9.7 billionUSD
    Rotce ROE16.4%%
    Cet1 ratio10.5%%
    Capital returns
    Fee income lines
    Allowance reserves1.88%%
    Net interest income$45 millionUSD
    Net interest margin3.03%%
    Net charge offs npls30 bpsbps
    Total operating expenses
    Efficiency ratio operating leverage

    Risks & headwinds

    4
    Dynamic Interest Rate Environment2025

    Not quantified

    Mitigation: Execution of down beta action plans, lowering deposit pricing, and active hedging program to protect NIM and capital.

    Potential Higher Rate EnvironmentOngoing

    Not quantified

    Mitigation: Hedging program designed to protect capital from potential higher rates.

    Geopolitical VolatilityOngoing

    Not quantified

    Mitigation: Maintaining strong capital and overall position, with capital plus reserves being top tier.

    Basel III OverhangNear term

    Not quantified

    Mitigation: Expectation that the issue will be addressed fairly quickly, leading to more stability in banking.

    What to watch in Q1 FY25

    5

    Adjusted CET1 Ratio (incl. AOCI)

    H1 FY25
    Current8.7%
    Target9% to 10%

    Why it matters

    Reaching the target operating range for capital is crucial for financial flexibility and potential capital returns.

    An adjusted CET1 ratio of 8.7%. Our objective remains the same, which is to drive that up into the 9% to 10% operating range. And I expect that we'll do that within the first half of 2025.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    Can you elaborate on the confidence level for the NII guidance range, especially given macro uncertainties and how it accounts for potential rate changes?

    Management is very confident in achieving the NII guidance range. They expect NIM to remain approximately flat throughout 2025 across reasonable rate scenarios (0 to 3 rate cuts), with NII growth primarily driven by overall loan growth and earnings asset growth.

    we're very confident that we can drive revenue growth within that range. Ultimately, where we see the year playing out, obviously, still pretty dynamic here in terms of short-term rate outlook and even what's going on in the belly in the longer-term part of the curve. But we see the ability to manage the NIM within any reasonable range of 0 cuts to up to 2 or 3 cuts at approximately flat throughout the course of 2025, rising as we go into 2026 and beyond with the normal upward sloping yield curve and just continued growth in high-return areas, but generally flat in NIM for 2025.

    asked by Manan Gosalia · answered by Zachary Wasserman

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Strategic Investments Yielding Returns

    Huntington's investments in new geographies, including North and South Carolina and Texas, along with enhanced capabilities in areas like merchant acquiring and treasury management, are delivering attractive returns. These new initiatives contributed $1.1 billion to loan growth in Q4 FY24, representing 30% of total net loan growth, and are performing ahead of expectations. The regional geographic expansions have already achieved profitability, demonstrating the success of the targeted investment strategy.

    02

    Peer-Leading Organic Growth

    The company's organic growth strategy has resulted in loan and deposit growth significantly outpacing its peer group. Average loan balances increased by 5.7% year-over-year, and average deposits grew by 6.5% year-over-year. This strong performance is underpinned by consistent and disciplined management, robust liquidity and capital, and stable credit quality, enabling Huntington to accelerate growth in both core businesses and new market expansions.

    03

    NIM Management and Deposit Pricing

    Huntington is actively implementing 'down beta' action plans to reduce deposit pricing, which successfully lowered the overall cost of deposits by 24 basis points to 2.16% in Q4 FY24. This strategy is designed to effectively manage the net interest margin through a dynamic interest rate environment, with NIM expected to remain approximately flat in 2025 and to rise in 2026 and beyond as the yield curve normalizes.

    04

    Strong Credit Quality

    The company maintains a disciplined approach to client selection and rigorous portfolio management, leading to strong credit performance. Net charge-offs remained stable at 30 basis points for both Q4 FY24 and the full year, well within the through-the-cycle range. The criticized asset ratio improved for the third consecutive quarter to 3.76%, and the nonperforming asset ratio remained relatively stable at 63 basis points, reflecting a moderate to low-risk appetite.

    05

    Positive Operating Leverage and Profit Momentum

    Huntington anticipates achieving positive operating leverage for the full year 2025. This will be driven by sustained investments in revenue-producing initiatives and projected growth in both net interest income and noninterest income. The company is poised to deliver record net interest income and fee revenues for the full year, building on the strong momentum established in Q4 FY24.

    06

    Borrower Sentiment and Pipeline Strength

    Management observed a consistently positive borrower sentiment, particularly following the recent election, with nearly 100% of customers expressing optimism for 2025 and beyond. This improved outlook has led to the unlocking of previously deferred finance activities and significant investments, as evidenced by a record quarter in asset finance. Loan pipelines are approximately 50% higher than the previous year, providing strong confidence in achieving future loan growth targets.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.