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    HON
    Earnings call· Dec 2025(Q4 FY25)

    HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INC HON

    Jan 29, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Honeywell Q4 FY25 — Record Backlog and Accelerated Spin-Offs Drive Strong Outlook

    Honeywell concluded FY25 with robust performance, driven by strong order growth and a record backlog, while accelerating its portfolio transformation with the Aerospace spin now targeted for Q3 2026. The company is strategically simplifying its structure and investing in high-growth verticals and innovation, positioning for meaningful top and bottom-line growth in FY26 despite some short-cycle market pressures. Management remains focused on margin expansion through pricing, productivity, and volume leverage, alongside disciplined capital allocation.

    Highlights

    5
    • Adjusted sales and adjusted EPS exceeded expectations, with orders up 23% organically and backlog reaching over $37 billion.

    • Full-year 2025 organic sales grew 6% (excluding Bombardier), exceeding original guidance by 2 points.

    • Free cash flow for Q4 2025 increased 48% to $2.5 billion, and full-year FCF was $5.1 billion, up 20%.

    • Aerospace spin-off is now expected to complete in Q3 2026, faster than originally anticipated.

    • Quantinuum raised $840 million at a $10 billion pre-money valuation and launched Helios, the world's most accurate commercial quantum computer.

    Concerns

    5
    • Energy & Sustainability Solutions (ESS) organic sales declined 7% in Q4 2025 due to lower petrochemical catalyst shipments and project deferrals.

    • Process Automation Technologies (PA&T) is expected to have a slower first half 2026 due to continued pressure on catalyst demand in petrochemicals.

    • Industrial Automation (IA) sales are expected to be down low single digits to roughly flat in 2026 due to challenging prior year comparisons and mixed regional dynamics.

    • Quantinuum investments will be a modest headwind to margin in 2026, contributing approximately 30 basis points of drag to segment margins.

    • A one-time cash payment of $377 million was made in Q1 2026 for Flexjet-related litigation settlement, excluded from full-year FCF guidance.

    Guidance & targets

    13
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year 2026 Organic Sales Growth
    3% to 6%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 Sales
    $38.8 billion to $39.8 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 Segment Margin
    22.7% to 23.1%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 Adjusted EPS
    $10.35 to $10.65
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 Free Cash Flow
    $5.3 billion to $5.6 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 Capital Expenditures
    increase by roughly $250 million
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Q1 2026 Organic Sales Growth
    3% to 5%
    medium materiality
    High
    Q1 2026 Segment Margin
    22.4% to 22.6%
    medium materiality
    High
    Q1 2026 Adjusted EPS Growth
    2% to 6%
    medium materiality
    High
    Aerospace Spin Completion
    Q3 2026
    high materiality
    High
    Productivity Solutions and Services and Warehouse and Workflow Solutions Sale
    pursue a sale in first half of 2026
    high materiality
    High
    Stranded Cost Elimination (Aerospace Spin)
    12 to 18 months after the spin
    medium materiality
    High
    Quantinuum Next Quantum Machine Launch
    2027-time frame
    low materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    5
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Aerospace Technologies
    Led by continued strength in commercial aftermarket and Defense and Space. Commercial OE growth accelerated. Third consecutive quarter of strong double-digit order growth.
    Orders growth: strong double-digitBook-to-bill: 1.2
    11% organic (excluding Bombardier)26.5%
    Building Automation
    Supported by growth in Solutions and Products. North America and Middle East led overperformance, with Europe strong mid-single digits. Orders driven by momentum in Building Solutions and Products, highlighted by projects and fire businesses.
    Solutions growth: 9%Products growth: 8%Orders increased: year-over-year and sequentially
    8% organic27%
    Industrial Automation
    Grew for a second consecutive quarter, led by Warehouse and Workflow Solutions and Sensing, and return to growth in Productivity Solutions and Services.
    1% organic
    Process Automation and Technology
    Sales were flat as strength in aftermarket services was offset by lower volumes in measurement and controls products. Organic orders growth of 17% in H2 2025, leading to 16% rise in opening backlog.
    flat
    Energy & Sustainability Solutions
    Decline stemmed from lower petrochemical catalyst shipments, slightly below expectations due to continued project deferrals. This will be the last quarter results are presented for ESS, as it now only includes the UOP business unit.
    Orders growth (refining and petrochemicals projects): over 40%
    declined 7% organic

    Operational metrics

    37
    Organic Sales Growth (excluding Bombardier agreement)
    6%
    Q4 FY25

    Exceeding expectations for adjusted sales.

    Organic Sales Growth
    11%
    Q4 FY25

    Led by double-digit growth in aerospace and high single-digit growth in building automation.

    Price Contribution to Top Line
    4
    Q4 FY25

    Contributed roughly 4 percentage points to the top line.

    Adjusted Segment Profit Growth
    23%
    Q4 FY25

    Led by ongoing margin expansion in Building Automation, partially offset by timing of high-margin catalyst shipments in ESS and R&D step-up.

    Adjusted Segment Margin
    22.8%
    Q4 FY25
    Adjusted EPS Growth
    17%
    Q4 FY25

    Driven by higher segment profit and lower share count, overcoming $0.24 year-over-year headwind from tax timing.

    Capital Returned to Shareholders
    $900 million
    Q4 FY25
    Debt Repaid
    $2.3 billion
    Q4 FY25
    Organic Sales Growth (excluding Bombardier agreement)
    6%
    FY25

    Exceeded the high end of original full year guidance by 2 points.

    Organic Sales Growth
    7%
    FY25
    Adjusted Segment Profit Growth
    11%
    FY25
    Adjusted Segment Margin Expansion
    40
    FY25

    Total margin was 22.5%.

    Adjusted EPS Growth
    12%
    FY25

    Adjusted EPS was $9.78.

    Free Cash Flow Margin
    14%
    FY25
    Total Capital Deployed
    $10 billion
    FY25
    Share Repurchases
    $3.8 billion
    FY25
    Acquisitions Spend
    $2.2 billion
    FY25
    Capital Expenditures
    $1 billion
    FY25
    Dividends Paid
    $3 billion
    FY25
    Debt Repaid
    $3.8 billion
    FY25

    To lower interest expense.

    LTM Average Organic Growth Improvement
    300 to 400
    since beginning of 2024

    Stemming from strong end market demand, portfolio simplification and innovation.

    Organic Growth from New Product Introduction
    4%
    FY25

    Direct result of meaningful step-up in R&D investments in 2025.

    Engineers Added to Workforce
    600
    FY25

    Greatly bolstered R&D capacity, with overwhelming majority of R&D allocated to new product development.

    Quantinuum Margin Headwind
    30
    FY26

    From increased investments in Quantinuum.

    Share Count Reduction
    1%
    FY26

    Stemming from share repurchases.

    Free Cash Flow Conversion
    83%
    FY26

    At the high end of guidance.

    Segment Profit Growth Contribution to EPS
    $0.64
    FY26

    Overwhelming majority of earnings growth in 2026.

    Pension Income
    $660 million
    FY26

    Offset by increased repositioning expenses.

    Net Interest Expense
    in line with 2025 levels
    FY26
    Tax Rate
    19%
    FY26
    Share Count Decline Contribution to EPS
    $0.08
    FY26
    Q1 FY26 Below-the-Line Expense Increase
    $70 million
    Q1 FY26
    Flexjet Litigation Cash Payment
    $377 million
    Q1 FY26

    Excluded from full year free cash flow guidance.

    R&D as % of Sales
    4.8%
    FY26

    Considered a sweet spot for the company.

    Price Contribution to Sales Growth
    3% to 3.5%
    FY26

    Expected to be similar to 2025, with the balance of 3-6% organic growth coming from volume.

    Operational Margin Expansion
    50 to 90
    FY26

    Excluding the 30 bps headwind from Quantinuum.

    Stranded Costs Neutralized (Advanced Materials)
    net neutral
    FY26

    Impact of Solstice stranded costs neutralized through productivity and fixed cost reduction in the rest of the business.

    Industry KPIs

    6
    MetricValueDetails
    Backlog book to bill$37 billionUSD
    Organic orders growth23%%
    Named project wins pipeline
    Aftermarket demand indicators
    Segment organic growth margin
    Spin stranded cost portfolio moves

    Orderbook & backlog

    4
    Total Backlog$37 billionQ4 FY25

    up 15%

    Fueled by 23% organic orders growth in Q4 FY25.

    Aerospace Book-to-Bill1.2Q4 FY25

    Robust demand across all end markets led a third consecutive quarter of strong double-digit order growth.

    Total Company Book-to-Billabove 1Q4 FY25

    Wins in long-cycle aerospace, energy and broad-based demand in building automation led the way.

    Process Automation and Technology Opening Backlog16% riseH2 FY25

    Followed 17% organic orders growth in H2 2025. Gives confidence in an expected second half ramp in 2026, especially when measured against historical backlog conversion rates.

    Product announcements

    1
    ProductTypeDetails
    Helioslaunch

    Deals & partnerships

    6
    Solstice Advanced MaterialsSpin-off of Advanced Materials business

    Began reporting Advanced Materials as discontinued operations beginning in Q4 2025. Solstice began trading as an independent public company on October 30, 2025.

    Honeywell AerospaceSpin-off of Aerospace business

    Intention announced about a year ago. Leadership team and Board appointments announced. Investor Day planned for June.

    nullSale of PSS and WWS businesses

    Intention to pursue a sale of both businesses in H1 2026. Expect to sign deals in Q2 2026, with customary regulatory approvals for close.

    Quanta, NVIDIA, JPMorgan, Amgen, MitsuiFundraising round for Quantinuum$840 million

    Collaborative fundraising with strategic partners.

    NVIDIAIntegration of Helios with NVIDIA's AI supercomputing technology

    Collaboration to accelerate Quantum's commercial adoption.

    Johnson MattheyAcquisition of Catalyst Technologies business

    Pending acquisition.

    Capital programs

    1
    Growth Investment Capital Expendituresunderway
    Period spend: increase by roughly $250 million
    Funding: improvements in working capital efficiency

    Benefit: Support growth investment attached to orders already in backlog

    Focus on aerospace inventory for working capital improvements. Majority of increase ($150M) for Aerospace.

    Risks & headwinds

    6
    Lower petrochemical catalyst shipments and project deferralsQ4 2025, H1 2026

    ESS organic sales declined 7% in Q4 2025; PA&T expected to have slower first half 2026

    Mitigation: Orders momentum in UOP continued (over 40% growth in refining and petrochemicals projects), supporting confidence in gradual 2026 recovery; pent-up catalyst demand expected to fuel strong growth in 2026 and 2027.

    Increased investments in QuantinuumFY26

    Roughly 30 basis points headwind to segment margins in FY26

    Mitigation: Strategic investment to maintain leadership position in quantum computing and achieve technological/commercial milestones.

    Challenging prior year comparison and mixed regional and end market dynamics in Industrial AutomationFY26

    Sales expected to be down low single digits to roughly flat in FY26

    Mitigation: Targeted fixed cost takeout and meaningful productivity actions expected to lead margin expansion across all segments in 2026.

    Higher interest expense from recent acquisition and increased repositioning expenseQ1 FY26

    Roughly $70 million increase in below-the-line expenses in Q1 FY26

    Mitigation: Part of preparation for separation; overall earnings growth expected to overcome this.

    One-time cash payment for Flexjet-related litigation settlementQ1 FY26

    $377 million

    Mitigation: Excluded from full year free cash flow guidance, indicating it's a non-recurring item not impacting underlying operational cash generation.

    Mix pressure from stronger growth in Defense and Space and commercial OEFY26

    Dampens Aerospace margin expansion modestly in FY26

    Mitigation: Volume leverage, better pricing alignment with tariff costs, and tapering acquisition integration costs more than offset this pressure, leading to modest margin expansion.

    What to watch in Q1 FY26

    5

    Aerospace Spin Completion

    Q3 FY26
    CurrentExpected Q3 2026
    TargetConfirmation of Q3 2026 completion

    Why it matters

    The Aerospace spin-off is a major portfolio transformation, creating a new independent public company and impacting Honeywell's future structure and capital allocation.

    We have made tremendous progress throughout the year with the Advanced Materials spin complete, and we now expect to complete the Aerospace spin in the third quarter of 2026.

    Q&A highlights

    7

    How will total company margins progress through 2026, especially given the Q1 flat outlook? And specifically for Aerospace, what are the mix impacts and commercial OE contract renewal timings affecting margins?

    Total operational margins are expected to expand 50-90 bps, with a 30 bps headwind from Quantinuum. Q1 will be flatter due to Quantinuum impact, higher taxes, and interest, but sequential improvement is expected, with H2 much better. Aerospace margins are expected to expand modestly in 2026, driven by better pricing, abating integration costs, and supply chain improvements, despite mix pressure. OE contract negotiations are ongoing and expected to positively impact future Aerospace margins.

    So for 2026, I fully expect margin expansion in Aerospace.

    asked by Julian Mitchell · answered by Mike Stepniak

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q4 FY25 Performance Highlights

    Honeywell delivered a strong fourth quarter, exceeding expectations for adjusted sales and EPS. Organic orders grew 23%, driving the backlog to over $37 billion. Full-year 2025 organic sales increased 6% (excluding Bombardier), surpassing the high end of original guidance by 2 points. Adjusted segment profit grew 23% (2% excluding Bombardier) with a 22.8% margin, and adjusted EPS was $2.59, up 17% (down 3% excluding Bombardier). Free cash flow was $2.5 billion, up 48% (13% excluding Bombardier), with full-year FCF at $5.1 billion.

    02

    Accelerated Portfolio Transformation

    The company is progressing faster than anticipated on separation milestones. The Advanced Materials spin-off (Solstice) was completed on October 30, 2025. The Aerospace spin-off is now expected to occur in Q3 2026, with its leadership team and Board appointments already announced. Honeywell also concluded a strategic review of Productivity Solutions and Services (PSS) and Warehouse and Workflow Solutions (WWS), intending to pursue a sale of both businesses in H1 2026. These actions aim to create three leading pure-play independent public companies and simplify Honeywell's structure into three core end markets: Process, Buildings, and Industrial.

    03

    Quantinuum Progress and Investment

    Quantinuum recently raised approximately $840 million at a $10 billion pre-money valuation, accelerating its technological and commercial progress. In November, Quantinuum launched Helios, described as the world's most accurate commercial quantum computer, nearly doubling the qubit count of its predecessor. A partnership with NVIDIA was announced to integrate Helios with AI supercomputing technology. Honeywell continues to invest in Quantinuum's R&D and technology, which will be a modest headwind to overall segment margins in 2026.

    04

    Drivers of Growth Acceleration

    Honeywell has seen a 300 to 400 basis point improvement in LTM average organic growth since early 2024, driven by strong end-market demand, portfolio simplification, and innovation. The company is intentionally shifting towards higher-growth verticals and less cyclical, less capital-intensive markets. Recent acquisitions like Access Solutions and LNG process technology contribute to this. New product introductions (NPI) generated 4% organic growth in 2025, supported by increased R&D investments and the addition of approximately 600 engineers.

    05

    2026 Segment Outlook and Margin Expansion

    For 2026, Aerospace expects high single-digit organic growth, Building Automation above mid-single digits, Process Automation Technologies roughly flat (with a second-half ramp), and Industrial Automation down low single digits to flat. Overall segment margins are guided to expand 20 to 60 basis points, driven by price execution, productivity, and volume leverage, partially offset by Quantinuum investments. Industrial Automation is expected to lead margin expansion through fixed cost reduction, while Building Automation benefits from higher volumes.

    06

    Process Automation & Technology Dynamics

    The new PA&T segment saw 17% organic orders growth in H2 2025, leading to a 16% rise in opening backlog. This strength is primarily in long-cycle LNG and refining projects, with wins expected to convert to sales in H2 2026. However, the segment faces slower first-half growth due to continued pressure on petrochemical catalyst demand, influenced by market overcapacity. The 2026 guidance does not assume a rebound in this area, but a strong pipeline signals persistence of long-cycle orders.

    07

    Capital Deployment and Debt Reduction

    In 2025, Honeywell deployed $10 billion, including $3.8 billion for share repurchases (18 million shares), $2.2 billion for acquisitions, $1 billion for capital expenditures, and $3 billion for dividends. The company also repaid $3.8 billion of debt. For 2026, the focus for cash deployment is on reducing debt ahead of the separation. Capital expenditures are anticipated to increase by approximately $250 million to support growth investments, funded by working capital efficiency improvements.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.