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Itau Unibanco Holding S.A. (ITUB) Q2 FY25 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Jun 2025 (Q2 FY25)· Financials· Aug 6, 2025

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Itaú Unibanco Q2 FY25 — Strong Profitability and Digital Acceleration

Itaú Unibanco delivered robust Q2 FY25 results, driven by strong NII with clients and expanding margins, alongside significant progress in its digital transformation and One Itaú migration. The bank reaffirmed most of its 2025 guidance, notably raising its NII with clients outlook, while maintaining disciplined credit quality and capital generation. Management emphasized a long-term, client-centric strategy, leveraging digital channels and AI to enhance efficiency and engagement, despite facing some headwinds in specific fee income lines and anticipating minor NPL normalization in SMEs.

Highlights

5
  • Net income reached BRL 11.5 billion, a 14.3% increase year-over-year.

  • Consolidated Return on Equity (ROE) expanded to 23.3%, with Brazil ROE at 24.4%.

  • NII with clients grew 15.4% year-over-year, and consolidated NIM reached a historic high of 9.2%.

  • Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio increased by 50 basis points quarter-over-quarter to 13.1%.

  • Over 10 million clients migrated to the One Itaú platform with a 99.3% conversion rate and 80 NPS.

Concerns

4
  • Advisory & Brokerage Services revenues declined quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year due to lower DCM activity.

  • Payroll loans underperformed due to interest rate caps and funding impacts.

  • A slight uptick in SME NPL is expected in coming quarters as grace periods expire.

  • Extraordinary expenses of approximately BRL 600 million were incurred for restructuring.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
NII with clients growth
11%-14%
high materiality
High
Effective tax rate
28.5%-30.5%
medium materiality
Medium
Credit portfolio growth
Reaffirmed
high materiality
High
NII with market
BRL 1 billion - BRL 3 billion
medium materiality
Medium
Cost of credit
Reaffirmed
high materiality
High
Fee income growth
Reaffirmed
medium materiality
Medium
Non-interest expense growth
Reaffirmed
high materiality
High

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
Brazil
Loan book grew 1.0% quarter-over-quarter. ROE expanded quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year. Efficiency ratio improved from 37.0% in H1 FY24.
NIM: 10%Risk-adjusted NIM: 6.9%NPL over 90 days: 2.0%Efficiency ratio (H1 FY25): 36.4%
——1.0%24.4% ROE
Latin America
Loan book declined 2.3% quarter-over-quarter, primarily due to the appreciation of the Brazilian real against other currencies.
——-2.3%—
Wholesale (Brazil)
Delivered solid results with high profitability, contributing significantly to the bank's overall performance.
———~30% ROE
Wholesale (Latin America)
Achieved a strong ROE, creating significant value.
———15.8% ROE

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
Cofrinhos (Piggy Bank)launch
Expense tracking toollaunch
PIX Creditlaunch
PIX via WhatsApplaunch
AI-powered investment specialist pilotlaunch

Risks & headwinds

Payroll loans underperformance Q2 FY25

Underperformed this quarter

Mitigation:Ongoing product process improvement.

Advisory & Brokerage Services revenue decline Q2 FY25

Declined both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year

Mitigation:Maintaining significant market share and strong position in rankings, but dependent on market activity.

SME NPL uptick due to grace periods expiring Over the coming quarters

Slight uptick is expected

Mitigation:SMEs portfolio shows remarkable credit quality and no credit risk earnings; expected normalization.

Cost for hedging capital index increase Coming quarters

Expected to increase

Mitigation:Part of market NII forecasting, guidance reaffirmed.

Extraordinary expenses for restructuring Q2 FY25

BRL 600 million, approximately

Mitigation:Aimed at future efficiency gains and adapting the bank's cost structure.

FX fluctuations impacting loan book growth Q2 FY25

Latin America loan book declined 2.3% QoQ; Total credit portfolio grew 0.4% QoQ (would be 1.3% ex-FX)

Mitigation:Management provides ex-FX figures for clarity, acknowledging impact of Brazilian Real appreciation.

Weaker demand for credit

Demand that is weaker

Mitigation:Disciplined pricing and focus on quality clients; cautious approach given interest rates and activity levels.

Industry NPL worsening in credit cards and vehicles Last quarter

Market long-term delays on credit card growing 100 points vs. Itaú's 20%; short-term delay of vehicles coming stronger than observed

Mitigation:Itaú's consistent long-term portfolio management, focus on resilient clients, and disciplined strategy.

What to watch in Q3 FY25

SME NPL normalization

over the coming quarters
Current Flat at 1.4% (credit-only)
Target Slight uptick

Why it matters

Indicates credit quality trend as grace periods expire, potentially impacting cost of credit.

We expect this to normalize over the coming quarters in both short- and long-term overdue loans with no cause for concern. Therefore, a slight uptick is expected for the SMEs portfolio which shows remarkable credit quality and no credit risk earnings.

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Q&A highlights

What is Itaú's strategy for the Rede network, especially regarding market share gains and competitiveness, given its interest income growth?

Management stated that market share is a consequence, not an objective, focusing instead on client relationships, correct pricing, and a holistic vision. They prioritize profitable growth over market share at any cost, especially in segments with negative contribution margins.

“The market share for us is not an objective. I always reinforce this issue. Market share, it's a consequence of everything that we do and everything that we believe in, because once we focus on the correct client with correct price and the holistic vision of the relationship as a whole, the consequence is the market share.”

asked by Daniel Vaz · answered by Milton Maluhy Filho

3 min read 7 chapters

Detailed narrative

Digital Transformation & One Itaú Progress

Itaú Unibanco reported significant advancements in its digital transformation, with over 10 million clients successfully migrated to the One Itaú platform, achieving an 80 NPS and a 99.3% conversion rate. This initiative has led to 54% of migrated clients holding three or more products, boosting engagement by 32%.

The Super App saw a 25% increase in usage per client, with 19 new products launched in the past 18 months, including 'Cofrinhos' (Piggy Bank) reaching BRL 13 billion in balance and an expense tracking tool with 1.8 million active users.

Digital origination of loans grew 31% year-over-year, and daily financing origination increased 72% year-over-year, underscoring the impact of technology investments.

NII and NIM Expansion Drivers

The bank achieved a strong quarter for NII with clients, growing 3.1% quarter-over-quarter and 15.4% year-over-year. Consolidated NIM expanded to a historic high of 9.2%, with Brazil NIM reaching 10%, a level not seen since 2019. Core margin expanded by BRL 1.1 billion, driven by average volume, product and segment mix, spreads, liability margins, and the investment franchise.

Risk-adjusted NIM also saw significant expansion, reaching 6.3% consolidated and 6.9% in Brazil, indicating margin growth while maintaining strong credit quality.

Disciplined Credit Quality and Portfolio Management

Itaú maintained well-behaved delinquency rates, with consolidated NPL over 90 days stable at 1.9% and down year-over-year. Short-term delinquency indicators were positive, with overall NPL 15-90 days decreasing by 10 basis points. The annualized cost of credit over the loan portfolio remained flat at 2.7%, significantly below historical averages.

The bank emphasized its long-term portfolio management strategy, focusing on resilient clients and high-quality assets, which has resulted in a more resilient and less volatile portfolio compared to previous periods.

Efficiency Gains and Cost Management

The efficiency ratio improved, declining to 36.4% in Brazil for the first half of 2025 (from 37.0% in H1 2024) and to 38.4% consolidated (from 38.5%). This improvement is attributed to heavy investments in business technology and modernization. The bank also provisioned approximately BRL 600 million in extraordinary expenses for restructuring, signaling ongoing efforts to enhance efficiency and adapt its footprint to client demands and digital evolution.

Capital Generation and Allocation Strategy

The Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio posted a solid increase of 50 basis points quarter-over-quarter, reaching 13.1%. Net income, adjusted for interest on equity provisions, generated a 60 basis point capital increase. The bank announced call options on USD 1.5 billion of perpetual foreign currency debt instruments, enabled by BRL 5 billion in local perpetual debt issuance, with the AT1 ratio expected to converge to approximately 1.3%.

Management reiterated its focus on reinvesting capital for adequate profitability and distributing excess capital, rather than targeting a specific high payout ratio.

Fee Income Performance and Diversification

Fee income lines showed mixed performance. Card issuance revenues grew 4.5% year-over-year, and asset management revenues increased 17.5% year-over-year, driven by BRL 47.5 billion in net inflows and strong performance fees. Insurance, pension, and capitalization businesses grew 7.7% quarter-over-quarter and 25.2% year-over-year.

However, Advisory & Brokerage Services revenues declined due to lower DCM activity compared to a historically strong prior year, highlighting the impact of market volumes on certain fee lines.

Resilience of Agribusiness Portfolio

Despite market challenges in the agribusiness sector, Itaú's BRL 130 billion portfolio demonstrated strong resilience. Management highlighted its balanced approach, with diversified exposure across agricultural distributions, well-selected rural producers, and adequate monocultures. The bank maintains a disciplined management approach with careful penetration and strong guarantees, allowing it to perform healthily even in a volatile environment, with its market share at 5% of the sector's RJs.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.