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JD.com (JD) Q4 FY25 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Dec 2025 (Q4 FY25)· Consumer Discretionary· Mar 5, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

JD.com, Inc. Q4 FY25 — Resilient Performance Driven by User Growth and New Business Efficiency

JD.com navigated short-term headwinds in Q4 FY25, particularly in electronics and home appliances, by leveraging strong growth in general merchandise and marketplace services. The company demonstrated resilience through significant user base expansion and increased shopping frequency, while new businesses like JD Food Delivery showed improved investment efficiency. Strategic investments in AI and supply chain capabilities are positioning JD for sustainable, profitable growth and long-term value creation, despite a challenging macro environment.

Highlights

5
  • Quarterly active customers grew by 30% year-on-year in Q4, exceeding 700 million annual active customers.

  • User shopping frequency surged by over 40% year-on-year for the full year.

  • General merchandise revenue increased 12.1% year-on-year in Q4 and 15.3% for the full year.

  • Marketplace and marketing revenues grew 15% in Q4 and 18.9% year-on-year for the full year.

  • JD Retail operating margin expanded by 52 bps to 4.6% for the full year.

Concerns

4
  • Total net revenues grew by only 2% year-on-year in Q4, with product revenues dipping 3%.

  • Electronics and home appliances revenue was down 12% in Q4 due to a high comparison base.

  • Free cash flow for the full year 2025 was RMB 6 billion, a significant decrease from RMB 44 billion in 2024, primarily due to trade-in program outflows.

  • JD Logistics' non-GAAP operating income was down 17% year-on-year for the full year 2025.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Jingyan AI agent user base
double this user base
medium materiality
Medium
Advertising revenue momentum
maintain momentum
low materiality
Medium
JD Food Delivery investment efficiency
improve further this year compared to 2025 levels
medium materiality
Medium
Marketplace and marketing revenues growth
maintain solid growth momentum
low materiality
Medium
JD Food Delivery total investment
decrease in 2026 compared to 2025 level
medium materiality
Medium
Jingxi investment
increase a little bit
medium materiality
Medium
JD's long-term margin target
high single-digit
high materiality
High
JD Retail profit growth
healthy growth
high materiality
Medium
JD Retail long-term profit margin
high single-digit
high materiality
High

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
JD Retail
Q4 decline primarily due to high trading base for electronics and home appliances, mitigated by general merchandise and advertising. Diversified growth drivers provide resilience. Strategic investments in R&D and employee compensation temporarily paused margin expansion in Q4.
Full year 2025 revenue growth: 11%Full year 2025 non-GAAP operating income growth: 25%Full year 2025 operating margin: 4.6% (up 52 bps)Gross margin increase: 1.1 percentage points YoY in Q4 and full year 2025
down 2% year-on-year-2%—3.2% operating margin
JD Logistics
Incremental contribution from food delivery. Committed to investing in customer experience, service capabilities (domestic and overseas), and AI/robotic technologies for long-term sustainable growth.
Full year 2025 revenue growth: 19%Full year 2025 non-GAAP operating income growth: -17%
grew 22% year-on-year22%—up 3% non-GAAP operating income
New Businesses
Driven by rapid scaling of food delivery, Jingxi, and international business. Sequential improvement primarily from narrowing loss at JD Food Delivery, which has consistently improved since launch. Focus on healthy order volume and synergies with core retail.
Full year 2025 revenue growth: 157%JD Food Delivery loss narrowed: ~20% quarter-on-quarter
surged 201% year-on-year201%—RMB 14.8 billion non-GAAP operating loss

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
Joybuylaunch
JoyExpresslaunch

Deals & partnerships

CECONOMY acquisition

The acquisition of CECONOMY is currently under regulatory review.

Risks & headwinds

Short-term headwinds in electronics and home appliances Q4 FY25, extending into H1 2026

Q4 revenue down 1.7% YoY for JD Retail; electronics and home appliances revenue down 12% in Q4.

Mitigation:Strengthening supply chain capabilities, deepening user mind share, proactive offline presence, enhancing service experience, leveraging AI and emerging technologies for new product categories.

High comparison base for electronics and home appliances Q4 FY25, H1 2026

Electronics and home appliances revenue down 12% in Q4.

Mitigation:Anticipate sequential improvement in growth with more robust recovery in H2 2026; benefiting from resumed trade-in program.

Rising memory chip costs 2026

Prices of mobile phones, digital products are expected to increase across the board.

Mitigation:May dampen consumption and affect sales volume, but the rise of Average Order Value (AOV) will partially offset the impact of lower sales.

Market competition dynamics in food delivery 2026

Investment in JD Food Delivery expected to decrease in 2026 if market competition trends towards becoming more rational.

Mitigation:Focus on healthy order volume, deepening synergies with core retail, continuous improvement in operational efficiency, and orderly/rational monetization through merchant services.

Q&A highlights

How should we think about JD Retail's growth rate in 2026, especially for H1 vs H2, considering electronics and general merchandise? Also, what is the path to improving food delivery unit economics, how does JD differentiate, and what is the commitment to this business, including regulatory impact?

General merchandise will maintain healthy growth. Electronics and home appliances will face a high base in H1 2026 but expect recovery in H2. Food delivery will focus on healthy scaling and operational efficiency, with investment expected to decrease in 2026. Differentiation comes from high-quality service, full-time riders, and ecosystem synergy. Regulatory oversight is welcomed as it fosters healthy industry development.

“We expect total investment in food delivery to decrease in 2026 compared to 2025.”

asked by Ronald Keung · answered by Sean Shibiao Zhang

2 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

User Growth and Engagement Momentum

JD.com achieved significant user expansion in Q4 FY25, with quarterly active customers growing 30% year-on-year and annual active customers surpassing 700 million. User shopping frequency surged over 40% for the full year across all user groups, including new users, existing users, and Plus members. The JD Food Delivery initiative played a crucial role in boosting user frequency and engagement across the platform.

Resilient General Merchandise Performance

The general merchandise category demonstrated robust performance, with revenue up 12.1% year-on-year in Q4 and 15.3% for the full year. This segment has maintained double-digit growth for five consecutive quarters, outperforming the industry. Subcategories like supermarket, fashion, and healthcare all contributed strong results, with supermarket showing significant untapped potential and fashion building on infrastructural improvements like merchant recruitment.

Strong Advertising Revenue Growth

Marketplace and marketing revenues grew 15% in Q4 and 18.9% for the full year, primarily driven by advertising revenue which saw double-digit growth every quarter of 2025. This growth was fueled by optimized traffic allocation, enhanced conversion efficiency, and the deployment of AI-powered algorithms.

Advertisers are increasingly reallocating budgets to JD due to its consistent sales platform, brand-building capabilities, and high return on investment throughout the product lifecycle, with JD Food Delivery contributing an incremental 2-3% to ad revenue in Q4.

New Business Efficiency and Strategic Synergies

New businesses, particularly JD Food Delivery, showed solid progress in Q4. The total investment scale for JD Food Delivery was reduced by nearly 20% quarter-on-quarter, continuing a trend of sequential loss reduction since its inception. The loss rate over GMV narrowed significantly while maintaining scale momentum.

Strategic synergies with core retail are deepening, evidenced by upward trends in cross-selling rates, shopping frequency, and a 270% increase in active merchants, including high-quality restaurants.

Extensive AI Integration Across Operations

JD.com is embedding AI across its entire value chain, from demand stimulation to autonomous logistics. Its proprietary large language model, JoyAI, supports over 1,000 real-world applications, with token invocations surging 100-fold in 2025. The AI agent Jingyan surpassed 150 million annual active customers in 2025, driving over 20% user penetration GMV.

Logistics automation includes over 20 flagship LangzuTech warehouses in China and a new facility in the U.K., while multimodal AI customer service handled over 4.2 billion inquiries during the 11.11 promotion.

Electronics and Home Appliances Headwinds and Outlook

The electronics and home appliance category faced a high comparison base, leading to a 12% revenue decline in Q4 and contributing to a 1.7% overall revenue dip for JD Retail. While the government's trade-in program is expected to benefit the industry, the first half of 2026 will still be impacted by a high base.

However, management anticipates sequential improvement in growth for this category, with a more robust recovery expected in the second half of 2026, supported by strengthening supply chain capabilities and emerging AI-related products.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.