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    KEYS
    Earnings call· Jan 2025(Q1 FY25)

    Keysight Technologies, Inc. KEYS

    Feb 25, 2025 Source

    Executive summary

    Keysight Q1 FY25 — Strong Revenue and EPS Beat, Orders Return to Growth

    Keysight delivered strong Q1 FY25 results, with both revenue and EPS surpassing guidance, marking a return to core revenue growth after six quarters. Orders also showed positive momentum for the second consecutive quarter, driven by strength in wireline communications and aerospace and defense. The company maintains its outlook for a gradual recovery in FY25, while actively monitoring potential US policy changes and capitalizing on long-term AI-driven opportunities across its diverse end markets.

    Highlights

    5
    • Q1 revenue of $1.3 billion exceeded the high end of guidance.

    • Q1 earnings per share of $1.82 exceeded the high end of guidance.

    • Core revenues grew for the first time in 6 quarters, up 3% year-over-year.

    • Orders grew 4% year-over-year for the second consecutive quarter, reaching $1.3 billion.

    • Communications Solutions Group (CSG) revenue grew 5%, driven by wireline and aerospace, defense & government.

    Concerns

    4
    • Orders in Aerospace, Defense & Government were down due to ongoing continuing resolutions.

    • Electronic Industrial Solutions Group (EISG) revenue was down 1% year-over-year.

    • Automotive market conditions remain challenged, reflecting muted activity in manufacturing and EV battery development.

    • Smartphone supply chain demand remains muted.

    Guidance & targets

    5
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Q2 FY25 Revenue
    $1.270 billion to $1.290 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Q2 FY25 Earnings Per Share
    $1.61 to $1.67
    high materiality
    High
    FY25 Revenue Growth
    low end of 5% to 7%
    high materiality
    Medium
    FY25 Earnings Growth
    consistent with 10%
    high materiality
    Medium
    Operating Margin Target
    31% to 32%
    high materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    2
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Communications Solutions Group (CSG)
    Revenue growth driven by continued momentum in wireline, stability in wireless, and growth in aerospace, defense & government. Orders grew for the third consecutive quarter, driven by wireline and wireless.
    Commercial Communications revenue: $572 millionAerospace, Defense & Government revenue: $311 million (up 5%)
    $883 million5%68% gross margin, 27% operating margin
    Electronic Industrial Solutions Group (EISG)
    Revenue was down 1% (flat on a core basis), reflecting mixed demand across end markets. Semiconductor saw strong order growth for the third consecutive quarter. Automotive market conditions remain challenged. General Electronics orders grew for the second consecutive quarter.
    $415 million-1%61% gross margin, 27% operating margin

    Operational metrics

    13
    Non-GAAP gross margin
    65.8%
    Q1 FY25

    Reported gross margin for the quarter.

    Operating expenses
    $500 millionup 2% YoY
    Q1 FY25

    Operating expenses for the quarter.

    Operating margin
    27%
    Q1 FY25

    Operating margin for the quarter.

    Net income
    $317 million
    Q1 FY25

    Net income for the quarter.

    Non-GAAP EPS
    $1.82
    Q1 FY25

    Earnings per share for the quarter, exceeding guidance.

    Weighted average share count
    174 million
    Q1 FY25

    Weighted average share count used for EPS calculation.

    Cash and investments balance
    $2 billion
    Q1 FY25

    Cash and cash equivalents at quarter end.

    Share buyback amount
    $75 million
    Q1 FY25

    Amount spent on share repurchases during the quarter.

    Core revenue growth
    3%YoY
    Q1 FY25

    Core revenue growth, excluding currency movements and recent acquisitions/divestitures. First growth in 6 quarters.

    Orders growth
    4%YoY
    Q1 FY25

    Orders grew year-over-year for the second consecutive quarter.

    Software and services revenue mix
    40%
    Q1 FY25

    Software and services as a percentage of total Keysight revenue.

    Recurring revenue mix
    31%
    Q1 FY25

    Recurring revenue as a percentage of total revenue.

    Incremental margins
    40%
    Future

    Expected incremental margins for quarters with 5% or better growth.

    Industry KPIs

    7
    MetricValueDetails
    M a contribution
    Orders book to bill$1.263 billionUSD
    Segment revenue growth5%%
    Design wins product cycle rampsRecord orders
    Order visibility backlog policy$2.3 billionUSD
    Recurring software services mix40%%
    Operating margin incremental leverage27%%

    Orderbook & backlog

    2
    Orders$1.263 billionQ1 FY25

    up 4% YoY (reported and core)

    Second consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

    Backlog$2.3 billionQ1 FY25

    Finished the quarter at this level. Orders accepted are typically shippable within 6 months, implying relatively short conversion to revenue.

    Product announcements

    4
    ProductTypeDetails
    400 gig per lane test solutionlaunch
    Low-power DDR6 memory compliance testslaunch
    PNA-X pro network analyzerlaunch
    Multi-gigabit optical ethernet test solutionlaunch

    Deals & partnerships

    2
    Synopsys / AnsysAcquisition of Optical Solutions Group from Synopsys and power integrity software from Ansys.

    These two transactions are contingent on the closure of the Synopsys Ansys transaction. They are expected to add to Keysight's design engineering software portfolio, complementing existing physical layer tools in power management and optical.

    Fabless semiconductor companyPartnership to deliver a new multi-gigabit optical ethernet test solution.

    This partnership enabled the delivery of a new test solution for next-generation automotive optical technologies.

    Risks & headwinds

    5
    Uncertainty from potential U.S. policy actionsFY25

    Not quantified, but impacts macro environment outlook.

    Mitigation: Monitoring policy changes; base case scenario for gradual recovery remains unchanged.

    Continuing resolutions impacting Aerospace, Defense & Government ordersNear-term

    Orders were down in Q1 FY25.

    Mitigation: Long-term view remains strong due to record prime contractor backlog and increasing global defense budgets; minor near-term perturbations typically resolve in a few quarters.

    Muted smartphone supply chain demandQ1 FY25 and near-term

    Not quantified, but described as 'muted'.

    Mitigation: Wireless business remains stable, with strength in network infrastructure and early 6G research offsetting smartphone weakness.

    Challenged automotive market conditionsQ1 FY25 and near-term

    EISG revenue down 1% (flat core), EV battery development and manufacturing muted.

    Mitigation: Customer engagement and innovation remain high in R&D for software-defined applications and autonomous driving; new optical technologies for in-vehicle data transfer are being developed.

    Geopolitical trade restrictions in ChinaOngoing

    1- to 2-point headwind post-Huawei on a continuous basis.

    Mitigation: Focus on customers with whom business can be transacted; supporting Chinese customers' 'go global' efforts by relocating manufacturing to Southeast Asia or North America.

    What to watch in Q2 FY25

    5

    Aerospace, Defense & Government order recovery

    next quarter
    CurrentOrders down in Q1 FY25
    TargetOrders returning to growth

    Why it matters

    Recovery in this segment's orders would signal resolution of continuing resolution impacts and contribute to overall growth.

    Orders grew for the third consecutive quarter driven by growth in both wireline and wireless. In wireline, demand remained strong for our physical layer and AI workload emulation solutions, and we saw record orders again this quarter.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    What is the anticipated breakdown of contribution between wireline and wireless for future upside in Commercial Communications, given current stability in wireless and strong wireline growth from AI?

    Wireless is expected to remain stable in the short term, with potential upside from infrastructure spending. Wireline, driven by AI innovation, is anticipated to continue its robust growth, aligning with customer investment outlooks.

    It's -- at least in our short term, we think the wireless continues to be stable. That's sort of our base case thinking. There could be some upside as spending and infrastructure ramps in that area. But we feel very strongly that the innovation drivers in AI continue to be robust along with the investment outlook that our customers have shared with us today.

    asked by Priyanka Thapa · answered by Satish Dhanasekaran

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    AI as a Long-Term Secular Tailwind

    Keysight views AI as a significant long-term secular tailwind, driving demand for next-generation technologies in networking, data centers, and communications. The company is actively engaged with chipset designers, network equipment manufacturers, and hyperscalers, enabling the expansion of AI data center networks and the design of high-speed electrical and optical technologies. Keysight highlighted its 400 gig per lane test solution for 3.2 terabit speeds and low-power DDR6 memory compliance tests, demonstrating its participation across the AI technology stack from compute to memory and networking.

    02

    Gradual Market Recovery and Sales Funnel Improvement

    Management reiterated its expectation for a gradual market recovery in 2025, with incrementally positive signals observed in the sales funnel and customer engagements. The 6-month sales funnel is improving in terms of new intake, velocity of customer decisions, and overall size. This enhanced visibility supports the company's thesis of a steady recovery throughout the year, despite ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties and potential US policy changes.

    03

    Aerospace, Defense & Government Performance and Outlook

    The Aerospace, Defense & Government segment achieved record Q1 revenue, driven by strong demand in the U.S. and Asia. While orders were down due to continuing resolutions, the long-term outlook remains strong, supported by record backlog levels at prime contractors and increasing global defense budgets. Keysight continues to develop differentiated RF and Microwave capabilities for security applications and expects to capitalize on technology modernization trends in this sector.

    04

    Electronic Industrial Solutions Group (EISG) Dynamics

    EISG revenue was down 1% (flat on a core basis), reflecting mixed demand. The semiconductor business saw strong order growth for parametric wafer test solutions for the third consecutive quarter, driven by new fab projects and AI-driven demand for advanced nodes, HBM, and silicon photonics. However, the automotive market, particularly EV battery development and manufacturing, remained challenged. General Electronics orders grew for the second consecutive quarter, supported by high-speed PCB and connectivity applications, inventory normalization, and advanced research.

    05

    Software and Services Growth & Strategic Acquisitions

    Software and services now account for approximately 40% of Keysight's revenue, with recurring revenue at about 31% of total revenue, reflecting strategic progress in this area. The company is seeing growing customer engagement in design engineering software solutions and new demand in aerospace defense and industrial customers. Keysight also noted two pending acquisitions from the Synopsys-Ansys deal (Optical Solutions Group and power integrity software), which are contingent on the larger transaction and are expected to complement Keysight's design engineering software portfolio.

    06

    Operating Expense and Gross Margin Trends

    Operating expenses were up 2% year-over-year. Management expects a sequential increase in OpEx from Q1 to Q2 due to a full quarter of salary increases and lower PTO usage. The company aims for 40% incremental margins on 5% or better revenue growth. Gross margin was 65.8%, down year-over-year primarily due to mix, but was the highest in the last four quarters. The EISG gross margin is expected to remain mix-dependent, with a broader dispersion of margins within its portfolio.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.