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    KEYS
    Earnings call· Apr 2025(Q2 FY25)

    Keysight Technologies Q2 FY25 earnings call KEYS

    May 20, 2025 Source

    Executive summary

    Keysight Technologies Q2 FY25 — Strong Orders and Raised Full-Year Outlook

    Keysight delivered a strong second quarter, exceeding revenue and EPS guidance, driven by robust order growth across its Communications Solutions Group and a return to growth in the Electronic Industrial Solutions Group. The company raised its full-year revenue and EPS outlook, reflecting confidence in its pipeline and backlog despite ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties and new tariff impacts. Strategic investments in software and services, particularly in simulation, continue to bolster the company's resilience and long-term growth prospects.

    Highlights

    5
    • Q2 revenue of $1.3 billion exceeded the high end of guidance, up 7% reported and 8% core YoY.

    • Orders grew 8% year-over-year and 4% sequentially to $1.316 billion, indicating strong demand.

    • Commercial Communications orders grew double digits, driven by wireline and 400/800-gig Ethernet in AI data centers.

    • Aerospace, Defense & Government orders grew, driven by strength in the U.S. and Europe.

    • Cash flow from operations was strong at $484 million, with free cash flow of $457 million.

    Concerns

    5
    • New tariff expenses of approximately $7 million impacted Q2, resulting in a 60 basis point unfavorable impact on gross and operating margins and a $0.04 reduction in EPS.

    • Annualized tariff exposure is estimated at $75 million to $100 million, with the most significant impact expected in Q3.

    • Automotive orders and revenues were down, though the business has largely stabilized.

    • General Electronics growth was partially offset by contraction in U.S. education funding and continued normalization in the distribution channel.

    • Smartphone supply chain activity remains stable but soft in some segments, particularly China.

    Guidance & targets

    5
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year FY25 Revenue Growth
    5% to 7% (midpoint)
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year FY25 Annual EPS Growth
    Slightly above 10%
    high materiality
    High
    Q3 FY25 Revenue
    $1.305 billion to $1.325 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Q3 FY25 Earnings Per Share
    $1.63 to $1.69
    high materiality
    High
    Tariff Impact Mitigation
    Fully mitigated
    medium materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    6
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Communications Solutions Group (CSG)
    Revenue up 9% on both reported and core basis. Delivered strong gross and operating margins.
    67% gross margin
    $913M9%26% operating margin
    Commercial Communications
    Reflecting sustained strength in wireline and growth in wireless. Orders grew double digits.
    $612M9%
    Aerospace, Defense & Government
    Orders grew, driven by strength in the U.S. and Europe. Overall demand and pipeline remain robust.
    $301M9%
    Electronic Industrial Solutions Group (EISG)
    Revenue increased 5%, with growth in semiconductor and general electronics offsetting declines in automotive and energy. Returned to growth after 6 quarters of decline.
    59% gross margin
    $393M5%23% operating margin
    Automotive
    Orders and revenues were down, but the business has largely stabilized. Engagements with OEM customers remain steady.
    down
    General Electronics
    Orders grew for the third consecutive quarter, though at a lower rate. Growth in multi-industrial and medtech partially offset by contraction in U.S. education funding and channel normalization.
    growth

    Operational metrics

    12
    Non-GAAP gross margin
    65%
    Q2 FY25

    Impacted by 60 basis points unfavorably due to tariffs.

    Non-GAAP operating margin
    25%increased 100 basis points YoY
    Q2 FY25

    Impacted by 60 basis points unfavorably due to tariffs.

    Non-GAAP EPS
    $1.70
    Q2 FY25

    Included approximately $0.04 reduction due to tariffs.

    Cash and investments balance
    $3.118B
    Q2 FY25

    Cash and cash equivalents at quarter end.

    Share buyback
    $150M
    Q2 FY25

    Part of the balanced return of capital strategy. Over $1.7 billion returned over the past 12 quarters.

    Weighted average share count
    173M
    Q2 FY25

    Used for EPS calculation.

    Tariff expenses
    $7M
    Q2 FY25

    New tariff expenses in cost of sales.

    Annualized tariff exposure
    $75M-$100M
    FY25

    Estimated annual exposure, with less than 10% related to U.S.-China shipping. Mitigation efforts are underway.

    Software and services revenue mix
    36%
    Q2 FY25

    Represents the portion of Keysight's total revenue from software and services.

    Annual recurring revenue (ARR) mix
    28%
    Q2 FY25

    Represents the portion of Keysight's total revenue from annual recurring revenue.

    Inventory days
    down 10 days
    Q2 FY25

    Contributed to strong cash flow performance.

    Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)
    down 3 days
    Q2 FY25

    Contributed to strong cash flow performance.

    Industry KPIs

    6
    MetricValueDetails
    Orders book to bill$1.316BUSD
    Segment revenue growthCSG: $913M; EISG: $393MUSD
    Design wins product cycle rampsNotable deal with major defense agency in Europe; Key win with major automotive OEM
    Order visibility backlog policy$2.4BUSD
    Recurring software services mix36%%
    Operating margin incremental leverage40%%

    Orderbook & backlog

    2
    Orders$1.316BQ2 FY25

    up 8% YoY, up 4% sequentially

    Backlog$2.4BQ2 FY25

    Enters Q3 with a solid scheduled shipment position.

    Product announcements

    3
    ProductTypeDetails
    448 gig per lane optical transmission solutionlaunch
    Higher frequency extensions to phase noise analyzerlaunch
    New digital communications analyzerlaunch

    Deals & partnerships

    4
    Spirent Communications plcAcquisition of Spirent Communications plc$750M (senior notes issued to partially fund)

    The U.K. Competition and Markets Authority cleared the transaction in March. Keysight issued $750 million in senior notes to partially fund the acquisition. Progressing through review process with other regulatory agencies.

    Optical Solutions Group and PowerArtist (from Synopsys/Ansys transaction)Anticipated acquisition of Optical Solutions Group and PowerArtist

    Acquisition is anticipated to close shortly after the Synopsys to Ansys transaction is completed. These acquisitions would bolster Keysight's presence in the simulation space.

    Major defense agency in EuropeContract to modernize testing capabilities for antenna radar applications

    Keysight won a notable deal to modernize testing capabilities for antenna radar applications, which are key to mission-critical applications.

    Major automotive OEMDesign and test of home energy management systems

    Secured a key win for design and test of their home energy management systems.

    Risks & headwinds

    6
    Tariff impactQ3 FY25 most significant impact, full mitigation by Q1 FY26

    $7M in Q2 FY25, $75M-$100M annualized gross exposure

    Mitigation: Multipronged mitigation approach including global manufacturing footprint, sourcing strategies, pricing actions on new quotations, and operational realignments.

    Macroeconomic uncertaintyNear-term

    Not quantified, but noted as dynamic environment

    Mitigation: Monitoring overall macro environment, focused on executing on what is controllable, resilient business model with flexible cost structure and supply chain.

    Continuing Resolution in U.S. governmentMost of FY25

    Not quantified, but limits growth in new programs

    Mitigation: Overall demand and pipeline of opportunities remains robust with prime contractor backlogs at record levels; long-term trends for defense budgets are positive.

    Softness in smartphone supply chainOngoing

    Not quantified, but noted as soft in some segments

    Mitigation: Offset by strength in network infrastructure R&D activity (5G advanced, 6G, non-terrestrial networks).

    Contraction in U.S. education fundingQ2 FY25

    Not quantified, partially offset General Electronics growth

    Mitigation: Offset by growth in multi-industrial and medtech customers; exploring opportunities from manufacturing footprint diversification.

    Normalization in distribution channelQ2 FY25

    Not quantified, partially offset General Electronics growth

    Mitigation: Offset by growth in multi-industrial and medtech customers; exploring opportunities from manufacturing footprint diversification.

    What to watch in Q3 FY25

    5

    Tariff impact mitigation progress

    Q3 FY25
    Current$7M impact in Q2, $75M-$100M annualized exposure
    TargetReduced impact, progress towards full mitigation

    Why it matters

    Tariffs are a new, substantial cost, and the pace of mitigation will directly impact profitability and the ability to meet incremental margin targets.

    But by the time we get to Q1, we expect to have those tariff costs fully mitigated.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    Update on new AI activity and its meaningfulness, and confidence in the full-year guidance given order progression and pipeline.

    AI is a long-term secular trend with multi-year roadmap, driving demand in memory, compute, and networking. Wireline business, heavily influenced by AI, grew double digits in H1. The company has not seen material changes in customer behavior despite macro concerns, and a strong pipeline and backlog support the raised full-year guidance, with Q4 expected to be the strongest quarter.

    for the first half, it grew double digits. So we feel good about our position in this emerging space. And we think it's a long-term growth opportunity for us that we're very excited.

    asked by Tim Long · answered by Satish Dhanasekaran

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    AI and Wireline Demand Strength

    Keysight continues to see strong demand in wireline, driven by ongoing data center infrastructure expansion and AI applications. The company noted continued deployment of 400 and 800-gig Ethernet technologies, with R&D investments in 1.6 terabit electrical and optical technologies fueling demand. Keysight's broad portfolio, spanning physical and protocol layers, positions it well for innovation in high-performance computing, memory, and networking. The wireline business, which was over $1 billion in sales last year, grew double digits in the first half of FY25, with a growing number of customers participating in the expanding ecosystem.

    02

    Aerospace, Defense & Government Performance

    Orders in Aerospace, Defense & Government grew this quarter, primarily driven by strength in the U.S. and Europe. Despite the U.S. operating under a continuing resolution for most of the year, overall demand and the pipeline of opportunities remain robust, supported by record backlogs at prime contractors. Keysight secured a notable deal with a major European defense agency for antenna radar applications and was awarded a NATO FORACS contract. The company expects U.S. and European defense budgets to increase in the long term, reinforcing its strong portfolio position.

    03

    Electronic Industrial Solutions Group (EISG) Recovery

    The EISG segment returned to revenue growth after six quarters of decline, driven by strong demand in semiconductor and general electronics. Wafer test solutions for large foundry and IDM customers remained strong, with leading-edge process node investments and rapid growth in high-bandwidth applications. Customer engagements for silicon photonics and co-packaged optics accelerated. While automotive orders and revenues were down, the business has largely stabilized, with steady OEM engagements in software-defined vehicles and home energy management systems.

    04

    Software and Services Strategy

    Software and services accounted for approximately 36% of Keysight's revenue, with annual recurring revenue at 28% of the total mix. The company is actively investing to accelerate growth in this area, particularly in simulation. Design engineering software orders grew double digits, reflecting healthy demand for RF-EDA solutions and growing interest from industrial customers for virtual prototyping. The recent ESI acquisition is enabling next-generation industrial design, and potential future acquisitions from the Synopsys-Ansys transaction could further bolster Keysight's simulation presence, increasing recurring revenue and enabling earlier customer engagement in the design cycle.

    05

    Tariff Impact and Mitigation Efforts

    Keysight reported a $7 million impact from new tariffs in Q2, affecting gross and operating margins by 60 basis points and EPS by $0.04. The annualized gross exposure is estimated at $75 million to $100 million. The company has a diversified global supply chain with minimal China exposure and is implementing a multipronged mitigation approach, including manufacturing footprint adjustments, sourcing strategies, and pricing actions on new quotations. While the most significant tariff impact🌐 is expected in Q3, Keysight anticipates full mitigation by Q1 FY26, as pricing actions were not applied to pre-tariff backlog.

    06

    Financial Resilience and Capital Allocation

    Keysight's financial operating model demonstrated resilience, supported by a flexible cost structure and supply chain. The company generated $484 million in operating cash flow and $457 million in free cash flow in Q2. Capital allocation priorities remain unchanged, focusing on long-term investments and balanced return of capital. Over the past 12 quarters, Keysight has returned over $1.7 billion, or approximately 50% of free cash flow, to investors through share repurchases, including $150 million in Q2.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.