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    KEYS
    Earnings call· Jul 2025(Q3 FY25)

    Keysight Technologies, Inc. KEYS

    Aug 19, 2025 Source

    Executive summary

    Keysight Q3 FY25 — Strong Execution Drives Revenue and EPS Beat, Full-Year Outlook Raised

    Keysight delivered a strong third quarter, surpassing its own guidance for both revenue and earnings per share, driven by robust demand in AI, aerospace, defense, and general electronics. The company raised its full-year outlook, demonstrating confidence in its execution and market opportunities despite ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties and increased tariff impacts. Management is actively implementing mitigation strategies for tariffs and sees sustained long-term growth potential, particularly from AI-driven innovation across its end markets.

    Highlights

    5
    • Q3 FY25 revenue of $1.4 billion, up 11% year-over-year, exceeded the high end of guidance.

    • Q3 FY25 Non-GAAP EPS of $1.72, up 9% year-over-year, exceeded the high end of guidance.

    • Orders increased by 7% year-over-year, with growth across both CSG and EISG segments.

    • Wireline business expected to finish the year with record bookings and strong double-digit growth, driven by AI demand.

    • Aerospace, Defense, and Government revenue increased 8%, driven by elevated global defense spending and modernization priorities.

    Concerns

    3
    • New tariff rates announced August 1 are estimated to increase annual tariff exposure by an additional $75 million, bringing the total to $150 million-$175 million annually.

    • Automotive end market demand, while improving sequentially, was stable year-over-year and still faces headwinds.

    • The impact of tariffs limited the company's ability to deliver its 40% incremental margin target in the current fiscal year.

    Guidance & targets

    7
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Q4 FY25 Revenue
    $1.370 billion to $1.390 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Q4 FY25 Non-GAAP EPS
    $1.79 to $1.85
    high materiality
    High
    Full-Year FY25 Revenue Growth
    7%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-Year FY25 EPS Growth
    approximately 13%
    high materiality
    High
    Tariff Mitigation (April tariffs)
    fully mitigated
    medium materiality
    High
    Tariff Mitigation (August tariffs)
    fully mitigated on a dollars basis
    medium materiality
    High
    Long-term Revenue Growth
    5% to 7%
    high materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    4
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Communications Solutions Group (CSG)
    Revenue up 10% on a core basis. Driven by double-digit growth in both wireline and wireless commercial communications, and 8% growth in aerospace, defense, and government.
    Gross margin: 67%
    $940 million11%26% operating margin
    Commercial Communications
    Driven by double-digit growth in both wireline and wireless.
    $644 million13%
    Aerospace, Defense and Government
    Robust demand driven by elevated defense spending globally and modernization priorities.
    $296 million8%
    Electronic Industrial Solutions Group (EISG)
    Revenue up 9% on a core basis, with growth across automotive and energy, semiconductor, and general electronics.
    Gross margin: 57%
    $412 million11%22% operating margin

    Operational metrics

    13
    Non-GAAP gross margin
    64%
    Q3 FY25

    Reported gross margin for the quarter.

    Non-GAAP operating margin
    25%up 60 bps YoY
    Q3 FY25

    Increased 60 basis points over last year.

    Non-GAAP EPS
    $1.72up 9% YoY
    Q3 FY25

    Increased 9% year-over-year.

    Weighted average share count
    173 million
    Q3 FY25

    Used for EPS calculation.

    Cash and investments balance
    $2.636 billion
    Q3 FY25

    Cash and cash equivalents at quarter end.

    Short-term restricted cash
    $759 million
    Q3 FY25

    Set aside for closing the Spirent acquisition.

    Share repurchases
    $50 million
    Q3 FY25

    Repurchased approximately 300,000 shares at an average price of approximately $164.

    Tariff exposure (new August rates)
    $75 millionadditional
    Annually

    Estimated increase in annual tariff exposure from new August 1 rates.

    Total annual tariff exposure
    $150 million to $175 million
    Annually

    Combined range of prior and new tariff impacts.

    Revenue growth
    11%YoY
    Q3 FY25

    Reported revenue growth, 9% on a core basis.

    Orders growth
    7%YoY
    Q3 FY25

    Reported orders growth, 6% on a core basis.

    Software and services revenue mix
    36%
    Q3 FY25

    Accounted for approximately 36% of Keysight revenue.

    Annual recurring revenue (ARR)
    28%
    Q3 FY25

    28% of total revenue.

    Industry KPIs

    7
    MetricValueDetails
    Orders book to billJust below 1
    Segment revenue growthCSG: $940 million; EISG: $412 millionUSD
    Design wins product cycle rampsKey wins at EU prime contractors
    Order visibility backlog policyStrong backlog position
    Recurring software services mix36%%
    End market revenue mix organic growth11%%
    Operating margin incremental leverage25%%

    Orderbook & backlog

    2
    Orders$1.340 billionQ3 FY25

    up 7% YoY

    Up 6% on a core basis. Book-to-bill was just below 1.

    Backlog positionStrongQ3 FY25

    Entering Q4 in a strong backlog position.

    Product announcements

    6
    ProductTypeDetails
    1.6 Terabit Protocol Layer Solutionlaunch
    PCIe Gen 6 Compliance Validationmilestone
    Quantum Computing Platform (1,000-qubit)milestone
    Handheld Millimeter Wave Signal Analysis Solutionlaunch
    Advanced Phased Array Antenna Test Capabilitieslaunch
    Phase Noise Measurement Systemslaunch

    Deals & partnerships

    8
    SpirentAcquisition of Spirent Communications plc

    Final regulatory review is progressing, and the transaction is now anticipated to close in fiscal fourth quarter.

    Synopsys' Optical Solutions GroupAcquisition of Synopsys' Optical Solutions Group

    Advancing towards final regulatory approval. Strategically fits Keysight's simulation portfolio, complementing RF-EDA leadership.

    Ansys' PowerArtistAcquisition of Ansys' PowerArtist

    Advancing towards final regulatory approval. Strategically fits Keysight's simulation portfolio, addressing critical power efficiency needs.

    AMDCollaboration for PCIe Gen 6 compliance validation

    Partnered to achieve early PCIe Gen 6 compliance validation, laying groundwork for AI-ready, high-speed interfaces.

    NTTCollaboration for sub-terahertz component characterization

    Collaborated to demonstrate a breakthrough in sub-terahertz component characterization at ultrahigh data rates for 6G research.

    AIST (Japan)Collaboration to establish 1,000-qubit platform

    Collaborated to establish a 1,000-qubit platform, setting a new benchmark for quantum computing research.

    NIOValidation of smart electric vehicles' wireless connectivity standards compliance

    Enabled NIO to validate the compliance of their smart electric vehicles with global wireless connectivity standards.

    Leading European OEM customerDelivery and installation of a state-of-the-art R&D battery test lab

    Delivered and installed a state-of-the-art R&D battery test lab for a leading European OEM customer.

    Risks & headwinds

    4
    Tariff increasesOngoing, impacting FY25 and FY26

    New August 1 rates add an estimated $75 million annually, bringing total annual exposure to $150 million-$175 million.

    Mitigation: Supply chain optimization, pricing adjustments, efficiency actions, and potential manufacturing shifts. April tariffs expected to be fully mitigated by Q1 FY26; August tariffs by H1 FY26.

    Uncertain macroeconomic backdropOngoing

    Unquantified, but acknowledged as a factor despite resilient demand.

    Mitigation: Strong backlog position, operational flexibility, and ability to invest, adapt, and lead.

    Geopolitical environmentOngoing

    Unquantified, but acknowledged as an 'overhang'.

    Mitigation: Operational flexibility and ability to invest, adapt, and lead.

    Automotive end market headwindsOngoing

    Demand improved sequentially but was stable YoY, still facing headwinds.

    Mitigation: Engaging with customers on design and validation of in-vehicle network compliance and security, and delivering R&D battery test labs.

    What to watch in Q4 FY25

    5

    Tariff Mitigation Progress (August tariffs)

    H1 FY26
    CurrentInitiated additional actions
    TargetFully mitigated on a dollars basis

    Why it matters

    Successful mitigation of the new August tariffs is crucial for protecting financial results and achieving long-term incremental margin targets.

    We initiated additional actions to address the August tariff increase, which we expect to have fully mitigated on a dollars basis within the first half of FY '26.

    Q&A highlights

    7

    Asked for an updated view on end market recovery, noting that management previously characterized it as 'gradual' but did not use that term today, implying a potentially better outlook.

    Satish confirmed a strong quarter with accelerated order growth, exceeding initial expectations. He noted AI, aerospace/defense, and wireless are strong, with EISG returning to growth. However, he cautioned that not all end markets are 'up into the right,' citing ongoing challenges in automotive.

    However, if you look at the end markets and you look at the multiple dimensions of the end markets and you'd say, are all end markets up into the right? Not quite, right? I would say AI has clearly been a continuing theme of momentum, Aerospace, defense, as we expected that things would recover after the administration change and other things manifest itself. And wireless is tracking slightly ahead of expectations. EISG is returning to growth.

    asked by Mark Delaney · answered by Satish Dhanasekaran

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    AI Momentum and Strategic Investments

    Keysight's early recognition of AI as a transformative technology led to strategic investments aligning its portfolio with the multi-year innovation roadmap. The emerging AI ecosystem is fueling massive growth in digital infrastructure, driving demand for rapid innovation across the technology stack. The company is delivering advanced physical layer solutions and silicon photonics capabilities to enhance R&D workflows and address signal integrity and performance requirements for AI applications. This quarter saw broader adoption of Keysight's AI solutions, streamlining integration and accelerating deployment of AI infrastructure.

    02

    Wireline Business Performance and Sustainability

    The wireline business is experiencing strong double-digit growth, driven by underlying AI demand, and is expected to achieve record bookings this fiscal year. The nature of AI workloads, progressing from ChatGPT-type applications to more agentic workflows, is seen as a sustaining driver for the business, potentially extending into 2028 and 2030. The rapid refresh cycles in compute, memory, networking, and interconnect technologies, previously 2-4 years, are being pulled in, creating a steady roadmap for customer engagement and innovation.

    03

    Aerospace, Defense, and Government Demand

    Elevated defense spending globally, particularly in the U.S. and Europe, is driving robust demand in the aerospace, defense, and government segment. Keysight secured key wins with EU prime contractors for radar and electromagnetic spectrum operation applications. The company's differentiated platforms emulate complex 3D radio channel conditions for satellite, vehicle, airborne, and terrain scenarios. While government budgets dictate the pace, this segment is viewed as a steady value creator, with potential for increased contributions from European spend and NDAA priorities.

    04

    Electronic Industrial Solutions Group (EISG) Growth

    The EISG segment saw orders and revenues grow year-over-year and sequentially, with broad-based growth across automotive and energy, semiconductor, and general electronics. High-performance requirements in AI data centers are translating into investments in high-speed PCBs and interconnects within general electronics. Digital health continued to grow, driven by advancements in medical device validation and production. Advanced research and education also contributed to growth, particularly in EU and Asia Pac regions, fueled by leading-edge semiconductor, 6G, and photonics initiatives.

    05

    Tariff Impact and Mitigation Strategy

    New tariff rates announced on August 1 are estimated to increase Keysight's annual tariff exposure by an additional $75 million, bringing the total annual impact to $150 million-$175 million. The company is on track to fully mitigate the April tariffs by Q1 FY26 and expects to mitigate the August tariff increase on a dollar basis within the first half of FY26. Mitigation strategies include supply chain optimization, potentially shifting manufacturing, leveraging existing capacity, and passing residual costs to customers through price increases and surcharges.

    06

    Software and Services Expansion

    Keysight's software and services portfolio continues to drive innovation and value for customers. The simulation and emulation portfolio helps customers achieve faster time to market and superior product performance. Healthy demand was observed for RF-EDA solutions, driven by increased government, aerospace, and defense spending, as well as the need for high-speed digital simulation in the AI data center supply chain. The services business, particularly managed services and KeysightCare, saw strength in aerospace, defense, government, and data centers, where uptime is mission-critical.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.