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    KHC
    Earnings call· Dec 2025(Q4 FY25)

    Kraft Heinz Q4 FY25 earnings call KHC

    Feb 11, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    The Kraft Heinz Company Q4 FY25 — Strategic Investments for Future Growth

    Kraft Heinz faced a challenging Q4 FY25, marked by top and bottom-line declines and market share pressure, leading to a decision to pause the planned separation. The company is now committing to a significant $600 million investment in 2026 across R&D, marketing, and commercial execution to drive volume-led, profitable growth and regain market share, with expected recovery in the second half of the year.

    Highlights

    5
    • Generated strong free cash flow of $3.7 billion in FY25, a nearly 16% increase year-over-year, with 119% conversion.

    • Ended 2025 with over 70% of the Taste Elevation platform gaining share in Q4, reversing H1 losses.

    • Achieved $690 million in gross efficiencies in 2025, marking the third consecutive year of over 4% of COGS.

    • Improved consumption across key categories (Lunchables +11pp, Capri Sun +7pp, Mayo +13pp, Mac & Cheese +2pp) from H1 to Q4 2025.

    • Expanded distribution in emerging markets Away-From-Home business with 9% organic net sales growth in 2025.

    Concerns

    5
    • Reported a meaningful year-over-year decline in both top and bottom line results for FY25, with adjusted EPS down 15% to $2.60.

    • Experienced market share losses, primarily in U.S. retail, contributing to a 5.2% organic net sales decline in North America retail Accelerate platforms.

    • Adjusted gross profit margin declined 120 basis points in FY25 and 130 basis points in Q4 FY25 due to inflation and tariffs.

    • Constant currency adjusted operating income declined 11.4% in FY25 and 15.9% in Q4 FY25, impacted by volume declines, inflation, and increased marketing investment.

    • Paused the work related to the separation of the company due to challenging market conditions and to prioritize a $600 million investment in the operating plan.

    Guidance & targets

    10
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Organic net sales
    down 3.5% to down 1.5%
    high materiality
    High
    Adjusted gross profit margin
    down 75 to down 25 basis points year-over-year
    high materiality
    High
    Constant currency adjusted operating income
    down 18% to down 14%
    high materiality
    High
    Adjusted EPS
    $1.98 to $2.10
    high materiality
    High
    Effective tax rate
    approximately 25.5%
    medium materiality
    High
    Free cash flow conversion
    approximately 100%
    high materiality
    High
    Organic net sales
    approximate 100 basis point benefit from the Easter shift
    medium materiality
    High
    Organic net sales (ex-Easter shift)
    relatively flat to the fourth quarter
    medium materiality
    High
    Adjusted operating income
    high teens decline
    medium materiality
    High
    Indonesia recovery
    meaningful improvement
    medium materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    6
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    North America retail Accelerate platforms
    Driven by share loss and industry-related headwinds, primarily in Lunchables, Spoonables, and Frozen Meals and Snacks.
    declined 5.2%
    Global Away From Home
    Driven by lower traffic trends in the U.S. and market share pressure, partially offset by international growth. North America Away-from-Home sales in noncommercial channels increased over 150 basis points.
    International organic net sales growth: approximately 9%
    down 1.5%
    Emerging Markets
    Driven by double-digit growth in LatAm and East regions, partially offset by a decline in Indonesia due to inventory resets.
    Heinz brand organic net sales growth: nearly 13%
    up 4.6%
    North America
    Organic net sales decline led by U.S. cold cuts and away-from-home, partially offset by growth in Canada. Adjusted operating income declined due to volume, inflation, and increased marketing, partially offset by productivity. Included 150 bps inventory de-load impact.
    declined 5.4%declined 16.8%
    International developed markets
    Organic net sales decline primarily due to industry softness in the U.K. meals categories. Adjusted operating income gains from strong productivity and SG&A savings, partially offset by volume declines and inflation.
    Share gain: 20 basis points
    declined 2.4%increased 6.6%
    Emerging markets
    Organic net sales driven by LatAm and East regions, partially offset by Indonesia. Adjusted operating income decline heavily impacted by Indonesia, but saw growth outside of Indonesia from Heinz brand sales and productivity.
    Indonesia impact on organic net sales: 740 basis points declineIndonesia impact on adjusted operating income: 35 percentage points decline
    up 2.2%declined 28.8%

    Operational metrics

    22
    R&D investment increase
    20%compared to 2025
    2026

    Increased to turn around innovation gap and launch scalable, profitable products.

    Marketing investment as percentage of net sales
    5.5%
    2026

    Targeting investments towards biggest growth opportunities to drive demand.

    Gross efficiencies
    $690 million
    2025

    Third year in a row delivering over 4% of COGS, reflecting disciplined end-to-end improvements.

    Free cash flow conversion
    119%34 percentage point increase compared to 2024
    2025

    Reflects strong ability to drive efficiencies and generate cash.

    Net leverage
    approximately 3x
    year-end 2025

    At target ratio, providing healthy capital allocation optionality.

    Capital returned to stockholders
    $2.3 billion
    2025

    Comprised of dividends and share repurchases.

    Dividend
    $1.9 billion
    2025

    Part of capital returned to stockholders.

    Share repurchase
    $400 million
    2025

    Part of capital returned to stockholders.

    Operating plan investment
    $600 million
    2026

    Meaningful incremental investment to drive volume-led, sustainable and profitable top line growth.

    Inventory de-load impact
    150 basis points
    Q4 FY25

    Expected and previewed in prior earnings call.

    Dis-synergies from separation
    $300 million
    2026

    Will not be incurred in 2026 due to pausing separation work.

    Variable compensation impact on operating income
    3 percentage point
    FY26

    Impact from lapping lower variable compensation in 2025, contributing to OI decline.

    Incremental investments impact on operating income
    13 percentage points
    FY26

    Impact from the $600 million incremental investments, contributing to OI decline.

    SNAP headwinds impact
    100 basis points
    FY26

    Incremental headwind impacting the full year outlook.

    Easter shift benefit
    100 basis points
    Q1 FY26

    Benefit to organic net sales in the first quarter.

    Consumption improvement
    11 percentage points
    H1 2025 to Q4 2025

    Significant progress in critical categories.

    Consumption improvement
    7 percentage points
    H1 2025 to Q4 2025

    Significant progress in critical categories.

    Consumption improvement
    13 percentage points
    H1 2025 to Q4 2025

    Significant progress in critical categories.

    Consumption improvement
    2 percentage points
    H1 2025 to Q4 2025

    Significant progress in critical categories.

    Adjusted operating income decline
    15.9%
    Q4 FY25

    Overall company decline.

    Adjusted operating income margin decrease
    280 basis points
    Q4 FY25

    Overall company margin decrease.

    Percentage of revenue gaining share
    over 70%from losing share in H1 2025
    Q4 FY25

    Fueled by initial traction in Taste Elevation categories.

    Industry KPIs

    6
    MetricValueDetails
    Gross margin120 basis points declinebps
    Brand platform growthnearly 13%%
    Organic net revenue growth4.2% decline%
    Adjusted EPS operating income$2.60USD
    Volume mix vs pricing decomposition4.2% decline%
    Elasticity consumer response commentary

    Product announcements

    4
    ProductTypeDetails
    Kraft Mac & Cheese, PowerMaclaunch
    Capri Sun single-serve bottlesexpansion
    Heinz pasta sauceexpansion
    Heinz modern condimentslaunch

    Risks & headwinds

    13
    Market share lossesFY25

    primarily in the United States retail

    Mitigation: Focused investment across marketing, sales, R&D, product superiority, and pricing strategy.

    Inflation and tariffsFY25

    adjusted gross profit margin decline of 120 basis points (FY25), 130 basis points (Q4 FY25)

    Mitigation: Efficiencies and targeted productivity initiatives, refining pricing strategy to pass on savings.

    Constant currency adjusted operating income declineFY25

    11.4% (FY25), 15.9% (Q4 FY25)

    Mitigation: Incremental investments in operating plan, productivity initiatives.

    Adjusted EPS declineFY25

    $2.60, a 15% decline compared to 2024 (FY25)

    Mitigation: Strategic investments to return to profitable growth, managing effective tax rate.

    Higher effective tax rateFY25

    anticipated higher year-over-year

    Mitigation: Adjusted EPS expectation contemplates an effective tax rate of approximately 25.5% for FY26.

    Challenging market conditionssince summer 2025

    worsened consumer sentiment, softened industry trends, increasing volatility in geopolitical landscape

    Mitigation: Pausing separation work to prioritize investments in the operating plan and restore business momentum.

    Indonesia inventory resetQ4 FY25, recovery not expected until H2 2026

    740 basis point impact on Emerging Markets organic net sales (Q4 FY25), 35 percentage point impact on EM adjusted operating income (Q4 FY25)

    Mitigation: Working to rightsize inventory levels, transition to new distributors, and reduce pricing instability.

    Pausing separationindefinite

    delays portfolio evolution

    Mitigation: Investing in and turning around the business to improve optionality for future portfolio optimization; avoiding $300 million in dis-synergies in 2026.

    Underinvestment in brands and businesshistorically

    persistent share loss over the last decade

    Mitigation: Meaningful investment of approximately $600 million in 2026 across R&D, marketing, sales, product quality, and packaging.

    Inventory de-load impactQ4 FY25

    approximately 150 basis points on North America organic net sales

    Incremental SNAP headwindsFY26

    approximate 100 basis point impact on FY26 organic net sales

    Lapping lower variable compensationFY26

    approximately 3 percentage point impact on FY26 constant currency adjusted operating income

    Impact of incremental investmentsFY26

    approximately 13 percentage points impact on FY26 constant currency adjusted operating income

    Mitigation: These investments are intended to drive long-term growth and recovery.

    What to watch in Q1 FY26

    5

    Indonesia recovery

    H2 2026
    Current740 bps decline in EM organic net sales in Q4 FY25
    Targetmeaningful improvement

    Why it matters

    Indonesia's recovery is crucial for overall Emerging Markets performance and the company's growth trajectory.

    As a result, we don't expect meaningful improvement until the second half of 2026.

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    2025 Performance Overview

    Kraft Heinz faced a challenging 2025, with significant year-over-year declines in both top and bottom-line results. Organic net sales were pressured by market share losses, particularly in U.S. retail, and adjusted gross profit margin declined by 120 basis points due to inflation and tariffs. Despite these headwinds, the company generated strong free cash flow of $3.7 billion, up nearly 16% from the prior year, demonstrating robust cash generation capabilities.

    02

    Strategic Growth Pillars Performance

    In North America retail Accelerate platforms, organic net sales declined 5.2%, mainly from Lunchables, Spoonables, and Frozen Meals/Snacks. Global Away From Home organic net sales were down 1.5%, impacted by lower U.S. traffic, though international markets saw approximately 9% growth. Emerging Markets organic net sales grew 4.6%, driven by double-digit growth in LatAm and East regions, but offset by a significant 740 basis point decline in Indonesia due to inventory resets.

    03

    2026 Operating Plan & Investment Strategy

    The company is committing approximately $600 million in incremental investments in 2026 to drive volume-led, sustainable, and profitable top-line growth. This investment, funded by a strong balance sheet and robust free cash flow, will focus on aligning brands with consumer preferences, improving commercial execution, and providing a balanced value equation. Approximately half will go to price, product quality, and packaging, and the other half to SG&A (sales, R&D, marketing).

    04

    Pausing Separation

    Due to increasingly challenging market conditions, including worsening consumer sentiment, softened industry trends, and increased geopolitical volatility🌐, Kraft Heinz has paused the work related to the separation of the company. Management believes that investing in and turning around the core business will improve optionality for future portfolio optimization, making it the right decision at this time, and will avoid $300 million in dis-synergies in 2026.

    05

    Innovation & Product Development

    R&D investments will increase by approximately 20% in 2026, focusing on value-driven innovation across nutrition, convenience, and new occasions. Examples include the launch of Kraft Mac & Cheese PowerMac, offering 17 grams of protein and 6 grams of fiber, and the expansion of Capri Sun single-serve bottles, which are nearly 60% incremental to the category. The iconic Heinz brand will also see global expansion into new occasions and geographies, including pasta sauces and modern condiments.

    06

    Commercial Execution & Pricing Strategy

    Investments will strengthen the sales organization and marketing efforts, increasing marketing spend to approximately 5.5% of net sales. The pricing strategy for 2026 involves a three-pronged approach: improving promotional ROI by redirecting funds to higher-return programs, focusing on opening price points for affordability, and selectively revisiting base prices to pass on savings to consumers where necessary.

    07

    Progress in Key Categories

    The company saw positive momentum in Taste Elevation categories (cream cheese, salad dressing, ketchup, mustard), moving from share loss in H1 2025 to share gains in Q4 2025, with over 70% of the platform gaining share. Consumption also improved significantly in critical U.S. retail categories like Lunchables (+11pp), Capri Sun (+7pp), Mayo (+13pp), and Mac & Cheese (+2pp) from H1 to Q4 2025, providing conviction for the new investment plan.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.