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Kinder Morgan (KMI) Q1 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Mar 2026 (Q1 FY26)· Energy· Apr 22, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Kinder Morgan Q1 FY26 — Strong Outperformance Driven by Natural Gas Demand and Strategic Backlog Growth

Kinder Morgan delivered a remarkable first quarter, significantly outperforming expectations across all segments, primarily driven by robust natural gas demand and strategic asset utilization. The company is aggressively expanding its project backlog, focusing on high-return opportunities in natural gas and refined products, while maintaining a strong balance sheet and disciplined capital allocation. Management remains confident in its ability to execute on its $10.1 billion project backlog and continue growing shareholder value.

Highlights

5
  • Adjusted EPS increased 41% and EBITDA grew 18% in Q1 FY26 compared to Q1 FY25.

  • Every segment delivered growth and outperformed budget in Q1 FY26.

  • Expansion project backlog increased to $10.1 billion, up $145 million from the previous quarter, with an average in-service date of Q1 2028.

  • Net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio ended Q1 FY26 at 3.6x, the lowest since before the 2014 consolidation.

  • Moody's upgraded KMI to Baa1, aligning with BBB+ ratings from all three agencies.

Concerns

3
  • Refined product volumes were down 2% in Q1 FY26 compared to Q1 FY25.

  • Crude and condensate volumes were down 12% in Q1 FY26 compared to Q1 FY25, primarily due to the removal of the Double H pipeline.

  • Leverage is expected to increase slightly by year-end 2026 to 3.7x due to increased capital spend and partial EBITDA contribution from the Monument acquisition.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA
more than 3% favorable to budget
high materiality
High
Full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA contribution
over $250 million additional
high materiality
High
Net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio
3.7x
medium materiality
High
US Gas Demand
150 Bcf a day
high materiality
High
Natural gas-fired generation capacity additions
153 gigawatts
high materiality
High
New gas pipeline capacity needed in North America
70 Bcf a day
medium materiality
High
Western Gateway Project FID
sometime in the next few months
medium materiality
Medium
KinderHawk processing capacity expansion
incremental 1 Bcf
medium materiality
High
Oil hedging coverage
90%
low materiality
High
Oil hedging coverage
76%
low materiality
High

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
Natural Gas
Growth was primarily due to increased LNG feed gas deliveries on the Tennessee Gas Pipeline and increased gathering volumes across most assets, with the largest impact from the Haynesville system. Winter Storm Fern and extended cold weather in the Northeast also contributed to higher volumes.
Transport volumes: up 8% vs Q1 2025Gathering volumes: up 15% vs Q1 2025
————
Products Pipeline
The decline in crude and condensate volumes was largely explained by the removal of the Double H pipeline for NGL conversion in Q3 2025. Excluding this, crude volumes were up. The segment benefited from improved commodity pricing and recovery of retroactive rate increases.
Refined product volumes: down 2% vs Q1 2025Crude and condensate volumes: down 12% vs Q1 2025Crude and condensate volumes (excluding Double H): up 2% vs Q1 2025
————
Terminals
Market conditions supported strong rates and high utilization. The segment saw increased volumes and rates in its liquids business, benefits from storage contract buyouts, and increased volumes in the bulk business. The Jones Act tanker fleet remains exceptionally well-contracted.
Liquids lease capacity: almost 94%Utilization of tanks available for use in key hubs: approximately 99%Jones Act tanker fleet leased through 2026: 100%Jones Act tanker fleet leased through 2027: 97%Jones Act tanker fleet leased through 2028: 80%Average length of firm contract commitments for Jones Act fleet: 3 years (over 3 years considering options)
————
CO2
Net oil production was led by SACROC. RNG volumes increased significantly due to greater uptime at facilities and improved hydrocarbon recovery.
Net oil production volumes: 2% higher vs Q1 2025SACROC production: 5% increaseNGL volumes: 5% higherCO2 volumes: 1% higherRNG volumes: 63% increase
————

KMI operating KPIs by quarter

KMI operating KPIs stated on its earnings calls, by fiscal quarter
KPI Jun 2025 Q2 FY25 Sep 2025 Q3 FY25 Jun 2026 Q2 FY26Change vs prior quarter
Backlog
$9.3B Our project backlog increased from $8.8 billion to $9.3 billion during the quarter. Source: earnings call transcript
$9.3B Our expansion backlog remained flat at $9.3 billion with the approximately $500 million of new projects offset by projects placed in service. Source: earnings call transcript
$9.6B During the quarter, our backlog decreased from approximately $10.1 billion to $9.6 billion. Source: earnings call transcript
+3.2%

Operating figures the company stated on at least two of the calls shown, checked against each call's transcript. Click a figure to read the sentence. A dash means it was not stated that quarter.

Orderbook & backlog

Expansion project backlog $10.1 billion Q1 FY26

up $145 million from last quarter

Backlog multiple remains below 6x with an average in-service date of Q1 2028. $230 million of projects put in service and $375 million in new projects added, including three data center deals.

Deals & partnerships

Seller of Monument Pipeline System acquisition approximately $500 million weighted average contract life of ~9 years

KMI entered into an agreement to acquire the Monument Pipeline system in Texas. Received early termination of HSR and expects to close by the end of the month.

Phillips 66 JV

KMI and Phillips 66 recently concluded a successful open season on the proposed Western Gateway pipeline system. Next steps involve finalizing definitive transportation service agreements and joint venture agreements. KMI will contribute the East and West lines of SFPP (El Paso to Phoenix) and cash.

Capital programs

Monument Pipeline System Acquisition underway $500 million

Benefit:Access to storage, integration with existing network, long-term contracts

Agreement entered into, HSR early termination received, expected to close by the end of the month. Ongoing expansion activity will require incremental capital after closing.

KinderHawk processing capacity expansion underway

Benefit:incremental 1 Bcf of processing capacity

This expansion is for the KinderHawk system in Haynesville and is on track to be brought online through the balance of the year.

Risks & headwinds

Leverage increase by year-end 2026 Year-end 2026

Net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio expected to increase from 3.6x to 3.7x

Mitigation:Expected EBITDA outperformance will keep the ratio comfortably below the midpoint of the leverage target range, despite increased capital spend and partial EBITDA contribution from the Monument acquisition.

Lack of certainty for Northeast gas expansion

Requires certainty on state permits and commercial support (long-term capacity agreements from utilities)

Mitigation:KMI is unwilling to commit capital to projects without these assurances, having written off capital in the past due to similar issues.

Limited carbon capture opportunities

Mostly gone away at this point

Mitigation:KMI maintains expertise in carbon capture and will evaluate opportunities if they become economically viable again.

Q&A highlights

Can you provide more details on the expected Western Gateway project, including initial capacity, diameter, total project costs, and how capital contributions will be allocated between partners?

KMI is still negotiating the JV terms with Phillips 66, which will determine the exact capital contributions, including asset and cash contributions. Specifics on total cost and capacity will be disclosed once the project reaches FID. The East and West lines of the SFPP system (El Paso to Phoenix) will be contributed to the JV, not the entire SFPP system.

“we've still got to negotiate the JV terms, and that will obviously impact what our capital contributions are going to be.”

asked by Luke on for Julien Dumoulin-Smith · answered by Kimberly Dang

2 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

Natural Gas Demand Outlook

Rich Kinder highlighted the accelerating demand for natural gas, primarily driven by growth in LNG feed gas and increased utilization for electric generation, especially for data centers. KMI's forecast for overall U.S. gas demand now extends through 2031, projecting 150 Bcf/day, a 27% increase from current levels.

This outlook is supported by S&P Global Market Intelligence's report of utilities planning to add 153 gigawatts of gas-fired generation capacity by 2030, double the estimate from a year ago.

Strategic Asset Positioning and Backlog Growth

Kinder Morgan's extensive network of 78,000 miles of pipeline and 136 terminals is strategically positioned to capitalize on growing energy demand. The company's expansion project backlog increased to $10.1 billion this quarter, up $145 million, with $230 million of projects put in service and $375 million in new projects added, including three data center deals.

The backlog maintains an attractive multiple below 6x and an average in-service date of Q1 2028.

Monument Pipeline Acquisition

KMI entered into an agreement to acquire the Monument Pipeline system in Texas for approximately $500 million, with early HSR termination received and closing expected by month-end. This acquisition is a natural fit, integrating well with KMI's existing network and providing access to storage.

The system is underpinned by long-term contracts with a weighted average life of about 9 years, with over 90% of counterparties being utilities and industrials with strong credit ratings.

Western Gateway Project Advancement

KMI and Phillips 66 successfully concluded an open season for the proposed Western Gateway pipeline system. This project aims to provide California and Arizona with access to domestic refined product supply from Texas and the Eastern United States, reducing reliance on international markets.

The next steps involve finalizing definitive transportation service agreements and joint venture agreements, with an expected Final Investment Decision (FID) in the next few months.

Natural Gas Storage as a Differentiator

Kinder Morgan emphasized its significant natural gas storage capabilities, with over 700 Bcf of storage, as a key differentiator in the market. With the scale of increasing demand, particularly from large power generation and LNG facilities, the ability to quickly inject and withdraw gas from storage is becoming critical for operational balancing.

KMI is actively exploring expansions across its footprint, including at Bear Creek, to leverage these opportunities.

Terminal Business and Jones Act Fleet Performance

The Terminals business segment demonstrated strong performance with liquids lease capacity remaining high at almost 94% and utilization of available tanks at approximately 99% in key hubs like Houston Ship Channel and Carteret. The Jones Act tanker fleet is exceptionally well-contracted, being 100% leased through 2026, 97% through 2027, and 80% through 2028, with an average firm contract length of 3 years.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.