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    LLY
    Earnings call· Mar 2026(Q1 FY26)

    ELI LILLY & Q1 FY26 earnings call LLY

    Apr 30, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Eli Lilly Q1 FY26 — Strong Growth Driven by Incretins and Foundayo Launch

    Eli Lilly delivered robust Q1 FY26 results, driven by strong incretin performance and the successful launch of Foundayo for obesity. The company advanced its pipeline with multiple positive Phase III readouts and initiated new programs, while strategically expanding through business development. Management remains confident in its ability to sustain industry-leading growth, focusing on patient access and market expansion for its key therapeutic areas.

    Highlights

    5
    • Revenue grew 56% compared to Q1 2025, driven by strong performance across all therapeutic areas and geographies.

    • Key products, including Mounjaro and Zepbound, contributed over $7 billion in growth compared to the prior year.

    • Immunology, oncology, and neuroscience medicines collectively grew by 160% compared to Q1 2025.

    • Foundayo (orforgopron) received U.S. FDA approval for weight management, marking a significant new oral GLP-1 launch.

    • The company distributed $1.5 billion in dividends and executed $2.4 billion in share repurchases in Q1.

    Concerns

    2
    • U.S. price declined by 7% in Q1, including the impact of direct-to-patient prices for Zepbound, or 10% excluding one-time adjustments.

    • Loss of Medicaid access in certain states negatively impacted Suven's Q1 prescription growth in the high single digits.

    Guidance & targets

    16
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year 2026 Revenue
    $82 billion to $85 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 Revenue Growth
    28%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 Price Headwind
    low to mid-teens
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 Non-GAAP Performance Margin
    47% to 48.5%
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 Non-GAAP EPS
    $35.50 to $37.00
    high materiality
    High
    Foundayo U.S. Type 2 Diabetes Submission
    late Q2 2026
    medium materiality
    High
    Foundayo Regulatory Action (Type 2 Diabetes)
    before the end of this year
    medium materiality
    High
    Adbry Maintenance Regimen FDA Review
    regulatory action later this year
    low materiality
    High
    Adbry Pediatric Atopic Dermatitis Data Submission
    later this year
    low materiality
    High
    BRUIN CLL-322 Results Submission
    later this year
    medium materiality
    High
    Medicare GLP-1 Bridge Program Start
    no later than July 1, 2026
    high materiality
    High
    Medicare GLP-1 Bridge Program End
    December 2027
    high materiality
    High
    Foundayo Commercial Access at PBMs
    effective mid-May
    medium materiality
    High
    Foundayo Full-Scale Consumer Promotion (TV)
    beginning in Q3
    medium materiality
    High
    Retatrutide Obesity Trial (TRIUMPH 4) Results
    later this quarter
    medium materiality
    High
    Lilly Investment Community Update Day
    Monday, December 7
    low materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    9
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    U.S. Revenue
    Primarily driven by volume growth from Zepbound and Mounjaro, as well as contributions from immunology, oncology, and neuroscience portfolios.
    43%
    Europe Revenue
    Driven by sustained strong volume growth of Mounjaro.
    37% (constant currency)
    Japan Revenue
    Driven by Mounjaro for type 2 diabetes.
    42% (constant currency)
    China Revenue
    With the inclusion of Mounjaro on the national reimbursement drug list for type 2 diabetes.
    accelerated growth
    Rest of the World Revenue
    As Mounjaro achieved rapid share gains in Latin America and Asia.
    more than doubled (constant currency)
    Immunology
    Continued to increase presence in atopic dermatitis with Atlas, gaining share in the specialty dermatology market.
    Atlas U.S. new patient starts growth: 90% (Q1 2025 vs Q1 2026)
    160% (collectively with oncology and neuroscience)
    Oncology
    Jaypirca posted strong growth, gaining momentum from expanded post-BTK indication in CLL. Enurio showed encouraging performance in its first full quarter launch.
    Jaypirca worldwide sales growth: 79% (Q1 2025 vs Q1 2026)Enurio U.S. new patient starts share: >35% (Q1 FY26) in metastatic breast cancer
    160% (collectively with immunology and neuroscience)
    Neuroscience
    Kisanla continues to be the U.S. leader in amyloid-targeting therapies, with the market steadily increasing as diagnostic capabilities for Alzheimer's expand. European launches expected to contribute to growth throughout 2026.
    160% (collectively with immunology and oncology)
    Cardiometabolic
    Mounjaro and Zepbound global revenue combined, contributing significant growth compared to Q1 2025.
    $12.8 billion (combined)$6.7 billion (growth contribution)

    Operational metrics

    12
    Non-GAAP EPS impact from acquired R&D charges
    $0.52
    Q1 FY26

    Included in non-GAAP earnings per share for Q1 2026.

    Non-GAAP EPS impact from acquired R&D charges
    $1.72
    Q1 FY25

    Included in non-GAAP earnings per share for Q1 2025.

    Atlas U.S. new patient starts growth
    90%YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Compared to Q1 2025, reflecting increased presence in atopic dermatitis.

    Suven Medicaid access impact
    high single digits
    Q1 FY26

    Negative impact on Q1 prescription growth due to loss of Medicaid access in certain states.

    Suven self-pay channel share of total prescriptions
    45%
    Q1 FY26

    Reflecting continued strong uptake in the self-pay channel.

    Suven self-pay channel share of new prescriptions
    55%
    Q1 FY26

    Reflecting continued strong uptake in the self-pay channel.

    Foundayo prescribers
    >8,000
    early launch

    Number of prescribers for Foundayo, with a significant portion new to oral GLP-1s.

    Foundayo patients treated
    >20,000
    early launch

    Number of patients treated with Foundayo since launch.

    Foundayo new to class prescriptions
    80%
    early launch

    Percentage of Foundayo prescriptions that are new to the GLP-1 class, indicating market expansion.

    Foundayo volume via LillyDirect
    ~45%
    early launch

    Percentage of Foundayo volume coming through the LillyDirect platform.

    Zepbound U.S. net price per prescription
    ~$550
    Q1 FY26

    Estimated net price per prescription for Zepbound in the U.S. after adjustments.

    Adults with overweight or obesity
    70%
    current

    Percentage of adults in the U.S. who are potential candidates for obesity medications.

    Industry KPIs

    12
    MetricValueDetails
    Prescription volume>80% growth%
    EPS revenue guidance$82 billion to $85 billionUSD
    Pricing policy impact7% decline%
    Product franchise net sales$12.8 billionUSD
    Pipeline clinical milestonesPositive Phase III data
    Regulatory approvals filingsApproved
    Therapeutic drug market share>53%%
    Price volume mix decomposition7% decline%
    Glp 1 incretin franchise metricsApproved
    Geographic regional revenue growth43% growth%
    Clinical trial efficacy safety data16% lower risk%
    Business development capacity deal size appetiteActive

    Deals & partnerships

    6
    Orna Therapeuticsacquisition

    Acquisition of a company with an in vivo CAR T pipeline to treat autoimmune diseases, including potential best-in-class programs to reset the immune system and address B-cell-driven autoimmune diseases.

    Syntessa Pharmaceuticalsacquisition

    Acquisition of a company developing a new class of medicines for the treatment of excessive daytime sleepiness and other neurologic conditions, expanding Lilly's neuroscience portfolio into sleep-wake medicines.

    Colonia Therapeuticsacquisition

    Acquisition of a company developing an in vivo platform to treat multiple myeloma and other cancers, with promising early clinical results for its lentiviral in vivo CAR T platform.

    Ajax Therapeuticsacquisition

    Acquisition of a company developing next-generation JAK inhibitors for people with blood cancers, including a lead Phase I JAK2 inhibitor for myelofibrosis and polycythemia vera.

    Ventix Biosciencesacquisition

    Completed acquisition, bringing a pipeline of small molecule therapeutics, including NLRP3 inhibitors designed to treat inflammation across a broad range of diseases.

    CSLlicensing agreement

    Licensing agreement for clazakizumab for certain indications; the molecule will be reflected in Lilly's pipeline chart once Lilly trials have begun.

    Risks & headwinds

    3
    U.S. price declineQ1 FY26

    7% (including direct-to-patient prices for Zepbound), or 10% (excluding one-time adjustments)

    Mitigation: Focus on volume expansion, negotiated outcomes with governments, and continued investment in R&D to drive future growth.

    Medicaid access loss for SuvenQ1 FY26

    high single-digit negative impact on Q1 prescription growth

    Mitigation: Working to expand access through initiatives like the Medicare GLP-1 bridge program and Lilly Employer Connect, and continued education on the value of obesity care.

    Medicare Part D plan participation for obesity medicinesFY27

    Plans did not choose to opt in at a certain rate for calendar '27

    Mitigation: CMS announced extension of the Medicare GLP-1 bridge program through December 2027; Lilly expects government to push for Part D plan participation in '28 and normalization of obesity care.

    Q&A highlights

    8

    How does Lilly view pricing dynamics for incretins, particularly the impact of price reductions on volume and the company's margin sensitivity given manufacturing investments?

    David Ricks explained that the obesity and weight loss category exhibits a unique dynamic where price reductions often lead to a non-linear expansion in volume, unlike other pharmaceutical categories. He noted that unit economics are driven by fixed costs, providing latitude for pricing adjustments. He also highlighted that negotiated outcomes with governments, like the MFN package and China's NRDL, have led to strong volume growth despite price concessions, and Lilly will continue to invest in R&D.

    But pretty much every time we reduce pricing, we see a pretty large expansion. You also see built into this, the primary pricing effect in Q1 are actually negotiated outcomes with governments.

    asked by Jeff Meacham · answered by David Ricks

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Foundayo Launch and Market Strategy

    Eli Lilly's new oral GLP-1, Foundayo (orforgopron), received U.S. FDA approval for weight management and has just begun its launch. The company is focused on broad digital and traditional distribution, high consumer awareness, educating healthcare professionals, and building broad access across commercial, Medicare (via the bridge program), and Medicaid. Foundayo is a new molecule and modality, representing the first incretin medicine launched with obesity as its primary indication. Regulatory reviews are ongoing in over 40 countries, and a U.S. submission for type 2 diabetes is planned for late Q2 2026.

    02

    GLP-1 Portfolio and Market Segmentation

    The incretin analog market continues robust growth, with total U.S. obesity prescriptions up over 80% in Q1. Lilly is strategically segmenting the market with its diverse GLP-1 portfolio, including Mounjaro, Zepbound, the newly launched Foundayo, and pipeline assets like Retatrutide and Eloralintide. Management believes different patients will require tailored medicines, with Retatrutide potentially offering greater weight loss and Eloralintide providing a non-GLP-1 mechanism or an add-on therapy. The company is investing in common manufacturing platforms to support these diverse offerings.

    03

    Pipeline Advancements and Clinical Milestones

    Lilly achieved several key pipeline milestones, including positive Phase III data for Foundayo in cardiovascular safety for type 2 diabetes, positive Phase III data for Adbry in pediatric atopic dermatitis, and positive Phase III data for Taltz plus Zepbound in psoriasis and obesity. Retatrutide showed profound A1c improvements and significant weight loss in its first Phase III trial for type 2 diabetes. The company also initiated new Phase III programs for Eloralintide in OA pain, obstructive sleep apnea, and as an add-on therapy, and for Berenepatide in major depressive disorder.

    04

    Strategic Business Development

    Consistent with its capital allocation strategy, Lilly announced multiple business development transactions to complement its internal portfolio. These include the acquisitions of Orna Therapeutics (in vivo CAR T for autoimmune diseases), Syntessa Pharmaceuticals (sleep-wake medicines), Colonia Therapeutics (in vivo CAR T for multiple myeloma), and Ajax Therapeutics (JAK inhibitors for blood cancers). The acquisition of Ventix Biosciences (NLRP3 inhibitors) was completed, and a licensing agreement with CSL for clazakizumab was announced, demonstrating an active approach to pipeline expansion.

    05

    Medicare Access and Employer Engagement

    CMS announced the extension of the Medicare GLP-1 bridge program, providing access to obesity medicines for Medicare beneficiaries with a $50 per month out-of-pocket cap, starting no later than July 1, 2026, and running through December 2027. Additionally, Lilly launched Employer Connect, a platform for employers to offer obesity management medicines to employees with transparent pricing and flexible design. These initiatives aim to expand access and improve affordability for obesity care, with gradual impact expected through 2027.

    06

    International Market Performance

    Mounjaro continues its strong international performance, with revenue more than doubling in constant currency in the Rest of the World segment, driven by rapid share gains in Latin America and Asia. The total international incretin analog market increased by 77% year-over-year. Despite the entry of generic semaglutide in some markets, Mounjaro has maintained its market share, suggesting that dual agonists are outperforming single agonists and that generics are stimulating overall market growth. Lilly expects continued strong year-on-year growth internationally.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.