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    MA
    Earnings call· Dec 2025(Q4 FY25)

    Mastercard Inc MA

    Jan 29, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Mastercard Q4 FY25 — Strong Performance Driven by Services and Strategic Wins

    Mastercard delivered a very strong Q4 FY25, marked by robust revenue growth and significant expansion in value-added services, driven by strategic execution and innovation in areas like Agentic Commerce and stablecoins. The company continues to secure key partnerships and customer wins globally, reinforcing its differentiated network and services offerings. While navigating geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainties, management maintains an optimistic outlook for healthy consumer spending and disciplined capital planning, with a strategic review leading to targeted investments and a Q1 restructuring charge.

    Highlights

    5
    • Net revenues increased 15% on a non-GAAP currency-neutral basis.

    • Value-added services and solutions net revenue grew 22% on a non-GAAP currency-neutral basis.

    • Adjusted EPS rose 20% to $4.76, including a $0.10 contribution from share repurchases.

    • Cross-border volume increased 14% globally, reflecting continued growth in travel and non-travel spending.

    • Switched transactions grew 10% year-over-year.

    Concerns

    3
    • A one-time restructuring charge of approximately $200 million is expected in Q1 2026, impacting ~4% of global FTEs.

    • U.S. debit growth was impacted by the Capital One debit migration, resulting in 2% growth compared to 6% for credit.

    • FX volatility was well below historical norms towards the end of Q4 and month-to-date January, impacting transaction processing assessments.

    Guidance & targets

    6
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year 2026 Net Revenues Growth
    high end of a low double-digit range
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 Operating Expenses Growth
    low end of a low double-digit range
    medium materiality
    High
    Q1 2026 Net Revenues Growth
    low end of a low double-digit range
    medium materiality
    High
    Q1 2026 Operating Expenses Growth
    high end of high single-digit range
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year Non-GAAP Tax Rate
    20% to 21%
    low materiality
    High
    Q1 Non-GAAP Tax Rate
    approximately 19% to 20%
    low materiality
    High

    Operational metrics

    38
    Net Revenues Growth
    15%YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Reflecting continued growth in payment network and value-added services and solutions.

    Value-Added Services & Solutions Net Revenue Growth
    22%YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Primarily driven by growth in underlying drivers, strong demand across digital and authentication, security solutions, consumer acquisition and engagement, business and market insights, and pricing.

    Value-Added Services & Solutions Net Revenue Growth
    21%YoY
    FY25

    Strong broad-based growth for the full year.

    Operating Expenses Growth
    12%YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Primarily driven by increased spending for strategic initiatives, partially offset by government grants.

    Operating Income Growth
    17%YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Includes a 1 ppt headwind from acquisitions.

    EPS Contribution from Share Repurchases
    $0.10
    Q4 FY25

    Part of the $4.76 EPS.

    Share Repurchases
    $3.6B
    Q4 FY25

    Amount of stock repurchased during the quarter.

    Share Repurchases (Post-Quarter)
    $715M
    Q1 FY26

    Additional stock repurchased after the quarter end.

    Government Grants Benefit to Operating Expenses
    5.5 ppt
    Q4 FY25

    Improvement in operating expenses growth due to new multiyear government grants related to investments in select geographies.

    Government Grants Benefit to Other Income and Expense
    $135M
    Q4 FY25

    Benefit to other income and expense from new multiyear government grants. This benefit will extend multiple years beyond 2026.

    U.S. GDV Growth
    4%YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Overall U.S. Gross Dollar Volume growth.

    U.S. Credit Growth
    6%YoY
    Q4 FY25

    U.S. credit portfolio growth.

    U.S. Debit Growth
    2%YoY
    Q4 FY25

    U.S. debit portfolio growth, impacted by Capital One debit migration.

    Outside U.S. Volume Growth
    9%YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Overall volume growth outside the U.S.

    Outside U.S. Credit Growth
    9%YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Credit portfolio growth outside the U.S.

    Outside U.S. Debit Growth
    9%YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Debit portfolio growth outside the U.S.

    Contactless Penetration
    77%up 5 ppt YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Percentage of all in-person switched purchase transactions that are contactless.

    Payment Network Net Revenue Growth
    9%
    Q4 FY25

    Primarily driven by domestic and cross-border transaction and volume growth, including growth in rebates and incentives.

    Domestic Assessments Growth
    8%
    Q4 FY25

    Compared to worldwide GDV growth of 7%, difference driven by pricing offset by mix.

    Cross-Border Assessments Growth
    17%
    Q4 FY25

    Compared to cross-border volumes growth of 14%, difference driven by pricing in international markets partially offset by mix.

    Transaction Processing Assessments Growth
    14%
    Q4 FY25

    Compared to switched transactions growth of 10%, difference due to favorable mix and pricing, partially offset by decline in revenue from FX volatility.

    Other Network Assessments
    $272M
    Q4 FY25

    Revenue from other network assessments.

    Adjusted Operating Expenses Growth (Ex-Acquisitions)
    7%YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Calculated as total adjusted operating expenses growth (12%) minus impact from acquisitions (5 ppt).

    U.S. Switched Volume Growth
    flatsequentially
    early Q1 FY26

    Capital One debit roll-off mostly offset by easier comps due to prior year weather impacts.

    Worldwide Less U.S. Switched Volume Growth
    slight decelerationsequentially
    Q4 FY25

    Driven primarily by tougher comps, including lapping of portfolio wins in Europe.

    Cross-Border Card-Not-Present Ex Travel Growth
    sequential declinesequentially
    Q4 FY25

    Primarily driven by tougher comps from lapping share wins in Europe and higher growth from crypto purchases a year ago.

    Cross-Border Card-Not-Present Ex Travel Growth
    impacted by higher growth from crypto purchases a year ago
    early Q1 FY26

    Continued impact from prior year's crypto purchase growth.

    Commercial Credit and Debit Volumes as % of Total GDV
    13%
    2025

    Share of total Gross Dollar Volume.

    Commercial Credit and Debit Volumes Growth
    11%YoY
    2025

    Growth in commercial payment volumes.

    Mastercard Move Transaction Growth
    exceeding 35%YoY
    Q4 FY25 and FY25

    Strong transaction growth for disbursements and remittances capability.

    Mastercard Move Endpoints
    more than 17B
    Q4 FY25

    Total available endpoints for money movement.

    Value-Added Services & Solutions Network-Linked Revenue Share
    60%
    2024

    Percentage of VASS net revenues that are linked to the payment network.

    Tokenized Transactions Share
    nearly 40%
    Q4 FY25

    Percentage of all transactions that have been tokenized.

    Digital Commerce Approval Rates Increase
    270 bps
    last 5 years

    Increase in approval rates for digital commerce transactions.

    Switched Transactions Share
    more than 70%up 10% since 2020
    Q4 FY25

    Share of all Mastercard transactions switched globally.

    Restructuring Charge
    $200M
    Q1 FY26

    Expected charge in Q1 2026, excluded from non-GAAP metrics. Actions will impact approximately 4% of full-time employees globally.

    Other Income and Expenses
    $50M expense
    Q1 FY26

    Expected expense in Q1, including benefit from government grants. Excludes gains/losses on equity investments.

    Q1 Contra as % of Payment Network Assessments
    flat to slightly downsequentially compared to Q4
    Q1 FY26

    In line with historical trends.

    Industry KPIs

    7
    MetricValueDetails
    Capital returns$3.6BUSD
    Cross border volume14%%
    Payments volume gdv7%%
    Client incentives rebatesflat to slightly down
    Cards in force credentials3.7Bcards
    Value added services revenue22%%
    Switched processed transactions10%%

    Product announcements

    2
    ProductTypeDetails
    Mastercard Credit Intelligencelaunch
    Mastercard Agent Suitelaunch

    Deals & partnerships

    21
    Capital OneRenewed partnership in credit and network for a large portion of newly acquired credit accounts. Capital One will also continue to use several Mastercard services.

    Extended long-standing partnership in the U.S. and Canada.

    Yapi KrediMigration of nearly 10 million cards (consumer credit, debit, affluent portfolios) to Mastercard. Mastercard consulting and marketing services will support portfolio conversion.

    Deal in Turkey.

    ScotiabankChose Mastercard as their network partner, valuing security, loyalty, and analytics offerings.

    Deal in Mexico, Chile, and Uruguay, building on existing relationship in Peru and Caribbean markets.

    NedbankExclusive deal to increase Mastercard's market share.

    Secured in South Africa, leveraging Mastercard's modernized real-time payment switch. Also secured new affluent programs.

    Standard BankExclusive deal to increase Mastercard's market share.

    Secured in South Africa, leveraging Mastercard's modernized real-time payment switch.

    Apple Card (JPMorgan Chase as issuer)Mastercard will continue to be the exclusive network for the Apple Card.

    Apple Card will transition to JPMorgan Chase as the issuer in approximately 24 months.

    Walmart and Sam's Club (Invex Banco)Won co-brand programs.

    Deal in Mexico.

    BarclaysRenewed partnership supporting U.S. co-branded card programs and Tesco Bank card programs.

    Partnership covers U.S. and U.K. (Tesco Bank).

    Amazon and Emirates IslamicLaunched the Amazon credit card.

    Deal in the UAE.

    Meta MaskSupported co-brand partners as they scale across geographies.

    Related to digital asset space.

    GeminiPartnered to launch the first business-focused stablecoin co-brand.

    Extending offerings to new customer types in the digital asset space.

    RippleWorking with to expand settlement capabilities.

    Related to digital asset space.

    AnthemPartnering on card-based tokenized payment solutions for Agentic payments.

    Deal in Asia.

    Majid Al FuttaimPiloting Agentic payments.

    Leading retail and entertainment group in the UAE.

    WEXRenewed global partnership.

    Related to commercial payments.

    CoupaPartnered to launch the Coupa Mastercard, enabling virtual card payments across their customer base.

    Leading business spend management platform, spans millions of buyers and suppliers globally.

    Intesa SanpaoloExtended partnership to drive greater small business issuance.

    Deal in Italy.

    L'OrealPartnering to issue small business cards across Latin America, with the first market launch being a co-brand card with Clara for salon owners.

    Vertical approach to capture untapped payment flows.

    Banco RipleyPartnered to offer Mastercard cross-border services to their customers.

    Subsidiary of Ripley Corporation in Chile and Peru.

    Capital BankLeveraging Mastercard and Corpay's cross-border payment solutions.

    Leading neobank in Mexico.

    MTNPartnership to address local needs and considerations.

    Mentioned in Q&A regarding engagement in Africa.

    Risks & headwinds

    9
    Geopolitical and Macroeconomic Uncertainty

    persists

    Mitigation: company continues to monitor and work to navigate, remains optimistic and confident in execution and business fundamentals

    Capital One Debit Migration ImpactQ4 FY25

    U.S. debit growth of 2% (vs 6% credit)

    Mitigation: mostly offset by easier comps due to weather impacts in prior year in early Q1 FY26

    FX Volatility Below Historical Normsend of Q4 FY25 and month-to-date January

    well below historical norms

    Mitigation: impacts transaction processing assessments; Mastercard delivers currency conversion services which generate revenue

    Credit Card Competition Act (CCCA)

    little progress made, united opposition

    Mitigation: engaging with regulators to educate on risks (consumer choice, cybersecurity, no guaranteed savings); industry is aligned on opposition

    Potential Credit Rate Cap

    potential to restrict credit access for vulnerable populations

    Mitigation: engaging in constructive dialogue with banks and administration, sharing data, discussing alternatives like 0% introductory rates and low interest products

    Tougher Comparables for Revenue GrowthH1 FY26

    H1 FY26 growth lower than H2 FY26

    Mitigation: primarily due to elevated revenue growth from FX volatility in 2025

    Tougher Comparables for Switched VolumeQ4 FY25

    slight deceleration in worldwide less U.S. switched volume

    Mitigation: due to lapping of portfolio wins in Europe

    Tougher Comparables for Cross-Border Card-Not-Present Ex TravelQ4 FY25 and early Q1 FY26

    sequential decline

    Mitigation: due to lapping of share wins in Europe and higher growth from crypto purchases a year ago

    Weather-Related Impactsfirst 3 weeks of January

    decline in cross-border travel volumes

    Mitigation: due to weather-related impacts in Europe this year

    What to watch in Q1 FY26

    5

    U.S. Switched Volume Growth

    next quarter
    Currentflat sequentially in early Q1 FY26
    Targetsustained growth post Capital One debit migration

    Why it matters

    Verifying the stabilization and recovery of U.S. switched volume after the Capital One debit portfolio migration is crucial for domestic payment network performance.

    Of note, U.S. switch volume was flat sequentially as the Capital One debit roll-off was mostly offset by easier comps due to weather impact🌐s in the prior year.

    Q&A highlights

    7

    Details on the Capital One renegotiation, specifically regarding existing credit cards, expected share of credit volumes, and the duration of the extension, given Capital One's stated intent to move volumes to Discover.

    Mastercard is excited about the renewed credit partnership and Capital One's increased use of Mastercard services. The company emphasizes the value of its network, acceptance, and continued investment to maintain a differentiated proposition. Specifics on volume share or extension duration were not disclosed, but the agreement covers new credit issuance.

    We're excited about these recent news that we announced earlier. So extending our credit portfolio agreement with them is important, but also we should not overlook the aspect of Capital One as the great partner that they are to use more of our services across their whole business.

    asked by William Nance · answered by Michael Miebach

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Strategic Execution and Diversification

    Mastercard's consistently solid performance is attributed to a clear strategy, strong execution, and a diversified business model across geographies, spend categories, and payment adjacencies. The company completed a strategic review, leading to targeted reductions and increased investments in key areas to enhance focus and agility. This approach fosters resilience amidst geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty🌐, positioning Mastercard for continued growth.

    02

    Customer Wins and Partnerships

    The company secured hundreds of new issuing deals and expansions in 2025, highlighting the value of its network and services. Key wins include renewing the credit partnership with Capital One in the U.S., migrating nearly 10 million cards from Yapi Kredi in Turkey, and expanding with Scotiabank in Latin America. Mastercard also secured exclusive deals with Nedbank and Standard Bank in South Africa and renewed co-brand partnerships with Apple Card (with JPMorgan Chase), Walmart/Sam's Club in Mexico, and Barclays in the U.S. and U.K.

    03

    Innovation in Payments: Stablecoins and Agentic Commerce

    Mastercard is actively engaging with emerging payment opportunities like stablecoins and Agentic Commerce. The company has been active in digital assets for over a decade, enabling purchases, facilitating transactions, and supporting stablecoin settlement, partnering with Meta Mask, Gemini, and Ripple. For Agentic Commerce, Mastercard launched Agent Pay to foster trust and is enabling U.S. issuers to participate, with global rollout by Q1 2026. Partnerships with Anthem, Lloyds Banking Group, and Majid Al Futtaim are advancing adoption.

    04

    Commercial and New Payment Flows Growth

    Commercial credit and debit volumes represented 13% of total GDV in 2025, growing 11% year-over-year. Mastercard is expanding virtual card usage through its Commercial Express program, partnering with Emburse, BMO, and Huntington Bank. Significant wins include renewing with WEX and Barclays, and launching the Coupa Mastercard. The company is also targeting the small business segment, extending partnerships with Intesa Sanpaolo and L'Oreal (Clara in Mexico) to capture untapped payment flows. Mastercard Move, its disbursements and remittances capability, saw transaction growth exceeding 35% in Q4 and FY25, reaching over 17 billion endpoints globally.

    05

    Value-Added Services & Solutions (VASS) Performance

    VASS delivered strong performance in 2025, with full-year net revenue growth of 21% (18% excluding acquisitions) on a currency-neutral basis. This growth was broad-based across regions and product groups, driven by underlying payment network growth and increased attach rates. Approximately 60% of VASS revenues are network-linked, benefiting from transaction growth and tokenization, which now accounts for nearly 40% of all transactions. New offerings like Mastercard Credit Intelligence and Mastercard Agent Suite further enhance the portfolio.

    06

    Macroeconomic Outlook and Capital Planning

    Mastercard's base case for 2026 assumes healthy consumer and business spending, supported by balanced job markets globally. While geopolitical and economic uncertainty persists, the company maintains a disciplined capital planning approach and has levers to pull if needed. Management emphasizes its focus on strategic execution, innovation, and diversification to navigate diverse environments and position for long-term growth, as demonstrated by its past performance.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.