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    MAR
    Earnings call· Dec 2025(Q4 FY25)

    MARRIOTT INTERNATIONAL INC /MD/ Q4 FY25 earnings call MAR

    Feb 10, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Marriott Q4 FY25 — Record Pipeline Growth and Strong Shareholder Returns

    Marriott delivered strong Q4 FY25 results, driven by record pipeline growth, robust international RevPAR, and significant shareholder returns. The company is focused on accelerating net rooms growth and leveraging technology, including AI, to enhance customer experience and direct bookings, while navigating challenges in specific markets and segments. Strategic adjustments to its credit card royalty rate are expected to boost fee revenues in 2026.

    Highlights

    5
    • Global portfolio expanded to nearly 1.78 million rooms across over 9,800 properties by year-end.

    • Pipeline grew to a record 610,000 rooms, up 6% year-over-year.

    • Worldwide RevPAR increased 1.9% in Q4, reaching the high end of guidance, with December up 2.8%.

    • Full year adjusted EBITDA rose 8% to $5.38 billion.

    • Returned over $4 billion to shareholders through dividends and buybacks in 2025.

    Concerns

    4
    • Residential branding fees declined 20% in Q4 2025 and are expected to decline 10% to 15% in Q1 2026.

    • Business transient RevPAR in the U.S. and Canada declined 3% in Q4, largely due to a 30% drop in government RevPAR during the U.S. government shutdown.

    • Greater China RevPAR is anticipated to be roughly flat year-over-year in 2026 due to weak macroeconomic conditions and soft consumer sentiment.

    • Owned, leased and other net revenue is expected to be around $15 million in Q1 2026, down from $29 million in Q1 2025, primarily due to renovations at several large hotels.

    Guidance & targets

    24
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Net rooms growth
    4.5% to 5%
    high materiality
    High
    Global RevPAR growth
    1.5% and 2.5%
    high materiality
    Medium
    Greater China RevPAR
    roughly flat year-over-year
    medium materiality
    Medium
    World Cup contribution to global RevPAR growth
    30 to 35 basis points
    medium materiality
    High
    Sensitivity of 1% change in full year RevPAR to RevPAR related fees
    $55 million to $65 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Gross fee revenues
    $5.9 billion to $5.96 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Incentive management fees (IMF)
    flat to up slightly year-over-year
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Co-branded credit card fees
    around 35% increase
    high materiality
    High
    Residential branding fees
    around 40% increase
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Timeshare fees
    $110 million to $115 million
    low materiality
    High
    Owned, leased and other revenue, net of expense
    $230 million to $240 million
    medium materiality
    Medium
    G&A expense
    up just 1% to 3%
    medium materiality
    High
    Adjusted EBITDA
    $5.8 billion to $5.9 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Adjusted effective tax rate
    between 26% and 26.5%
    low materiality
    High
    Underlying core cash tax rate
    low 20% range
    low materiality
    High
    Adjusted diluted EPS growth
    between 13% and 15%
    high materiality
    High
    Investment spending
    $1 billion to $1.1 billion
    medium materiality
    High
    Capital returns to shareholders
    over $4.3 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Global RevPAR growth
    1% to 2%
    high materiality
    Medium
    Gross fee revenues
    7% to 8% increase
    medium materiality
    High
    Residential branding fees
    approximately 10% to 15% decline
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Incentive management fees (IMF)
    around flat
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Owned, leased and other revenue, net of expense
    around $15 million
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Adjusted effective tax rate
    around 24.5%
    low materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    20
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Worldwide
    Q4 RevPAR ended at the high end of guidance range.
    RevPAR: +1.9%
    +1.9%
    Worldwide
    Full year 2025 global RevPAR.
    RevPAR: +2%
    +2%
    Worldwide
    December 2025 global RevPAR, strongest monthly year-over-year growth since February.
    RevPAR: +2.8%
    +2.8%
    U.S. and Canada
    Full year 2025 RevPAR.
    RevPAR: +0.7%
    +0.7%
    U.S. and Canada
    Fourth quarter RevPAR.
    RevPAR: flat
    flat
    International
    Full year 2025 RevPAR.
    RevPAR: +5%
    +5%
    APEC
    Fourth quarter RevPAR, with growth broad-based and double-digit gains in India, Japan, Australia.
    RevPAR: +9%
    +9%
    EMEA
    Fourth quarter RevPAR, with strong growth across most of the region, led by 17% growth in the UAE.
    RevPAR: +7%
    +7%
    CALA
    Fourth quarter RevPAR, resilient leisure demand partially offset by comparisons to citywide events in 2024.
    RevPAR: +2%
    +2%
    Greater China
    Fourth quarter RevPAR, driven by ADR, offsetting continued softness in tertiary markets.
    RevPAR: +3%
    +3%
    Luxury Segment
    Full year 2025 RevPAR, benefiting from resilient higher-end consumers.
    RevPAR: +6%
    +6%
    Select Service
    Full year 2025 RevPAR.
    RevPAR: -0.3%
    -0.3%
    Leisure Transient
    Full year 2025 RevPAR.
    RevPAR: +3%
    +3%
    Leisure Transient (U.S. & Canada)
    Fourth quarter RevPAR.
    RevPAR: +2%
    +2%
    Group
    Full year 2025 RevPAR.
    RevPAR: +2%
    +2%
    Group (U.S. & Canada)
    Fourth quarter RevPAR.
    RevPAR: +1%
    +1%
    Business Transient
    Full year 2025 RevPAR.
    RevPAR: flat
    flat
    Business Transient (U.S. & Canada)
    Fourth quarter RevPAR, largely due to a meaningful decline in government RevPAR.
    RevPAR: -3%
    -3%
    Government (U.S. & Canada)
    During the 43-day U.S. government shutdown.
    RevPAR: -30%
    -30%
    Government (U.S. & Canada)
    Moderated decline after the government shutdown.
    RevPAR: -15%
    -15%

    Operational metrics

    29
    Total gross fee revenues
    $1.4 billion+7% YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Ahead of expectations.

    Credit card fees
    +8%YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Reflected higher spending on co-brand credit cards, particularly strong increases in international markets.

    Residential branding fees
    -20%YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Decline in residential branding fees.

    Incentive management fees (IMF)
    $239 million+16% YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Primarily due to strong results in the U.S. and Canada.

    Incentive management fees (IMF) in U.S. and Canada
    +30%YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Led by New York City and resorts in Florida.

    Total gross fee revenues
    $5.4 billion+5% YoY
    FY25

    Full year 2025.

    Incentive management fees (IMF)
    +3%YoY
    FY25

    Full year 2025.

    Co-branded credit card fees
    $716 million+8% YoY
    FY25

    Full year 2025.

    Residential branding fees
    $72 million-10% YoY
    FY25

    Full year 2025.

    Owned, leased and other revenue, net of expense (new presentation)
    $218 million
    FY25

    Full year 2025, after reclassification of other costs.

    Owned, leased and other revenue, net of expense (prior presentation)
    $378 million
    FY25

    Full year 2025, prior to reclassification, ahead of prior expectations.

    Above-property cost savings
    over $90 million
    FY25

    Related to enterprise-wide initiative to enhance productivity.

    G&A (new presentation)
    $870 million-8% YoY
    FY25

    Full year 2025, after reclassification, capturing only true general and administrative expenses.

    G&A and other (prior presentation)
    $1.03 billion-6% YoY
    FY25

    Full year 2025, before reclassification, a bit above prior expectations primarily due to compensation expenses.

    Adjusted EBITDA
    $5.38 billion+8% YoY
    FY25

    Full year 2025.

    Adjusted EPS
    $10.02+7% YoY
    FY25

    Full year 2025.

    Capital returned to shareholders
    over $4 billion
    FY25

    Through dividends and buybacks.

    Bonvoy membership base
    271 million+43 million new members
    Year-end 2025

    43 million new members joined Bonvoy in 2025.

    Bonvoy penetration
    68%increased from 58%
    Current

    Increased from 58% since the launch of Marriott Bonvoy in early 2019.

    Co-branded credit card program countries
    11+6 countries since 2019
    Current

    Added six countries to the program since 2019.

    Key money per deal signed
    lowervs 2019
    Last year

    Illustrates continued discipline in deployment of capital despite record deal volumes.

    Leisure share of nights
    45%gained several percentage points since COVID
    Current

    Globally, has stuck at this level since COVID.

    Group share of nights
    around 25%
    Current

    Globally.

    Business Transient share of nights
    several percentage points lowervs 2019
    Current

    Still lower than 2019 levels.

    Redemptions as percentage of nights
    around 5%
    Current

    Remains fairly stable with some slight variations.

    Average booking window
    22 days
    Q4 FY25

    Fairly similar to prior periods.

    Cross-border travel for entire system
    +1%YoY
    FY25

    Despite a decline in guests to the U.S.

    Winter Olympics Q1 impact on EMEA RevPAR
    around 100 bps
    Q1 FY26

    Positive impact from travel to Milan and Cortina.

    Credit card program fees
    over $700 million
    Current

    Already the largest program in the industry.

    Industry KPIs

    8
    MetricValueDetails
    REVPAR growth+9%%
    Fee revenue streams$239 millionUSD
    Comparable sales comps+1.9%%
    Franchisee financial healthat a different stage in recovery
    Value affordability positioningexpected to continue
    Loyalty program members tier mix271 million membersmembers
    Group booking pace booking window+6%%
    Net unit growth development pipeline1.78 million roomsrooms

    Orderbook & backlog

    2
    Pipeline rooms610,000 roomsend of December 2025

    +2% QoQ, +6% YoY

    Pipeline rooms under construction265,000 roomsend of December 2025

    +15% YoY

    Includes rooms that are pending conversion.

    Product announcements

    10
    ProductTypeDetails
    St. Regis Arubalaunch
    The Lake Como EDITIONlaunch
    Nekajui, a Ritz-Carlton Reserve in Costa Ricalaunch
    CitizenMexpansion
    Series by Marriottlaunch
    Outdoor Collection by Marriott Bonvoylaunch
    Marriott Bonvoy official hotel supporter of 2026 FIFA World Cupmilestone
    Natural language search on marriott.com and Bonvoy mobile applaunch
    Google AI Mode Travel product collaborationroadmap
    OpenAI AdPilot program collaborationroadmap

    Deals & partnerships

    1
    Sonderdivestiture

    Sonder exited Marriott's system in November 2025.

    Risks & headwinds

    4
    Weak macro conditions and soft consumer sentimentFull year 2026

    Greater China RevPAR expected to be roughly flat year-over-year in 2026.

    Meaningful decline in government RevPARQ4 FY25

    Down over 30% during the 43-day U.S. government shutdown, moderated to down around 15% after.

    Impact of renovations at large hotelsQ1 FY26, Full year 2026

    Owned, leased and other net revenue expected to be around $15 million in Q1 2026, down from $29 million in Q1 2025.

    Disparity in consumer spending across income cohortsOngoing

    Lower-end consumer and guests have had a tougher time; government business ended the year about 15% down, impacting lower-end hotels.

    Mitigation: Expectation that this disparity will continue, though perhaps not as wide as in 2025.

    Q&A highlights

    9

    What are the key drivers for the accelerated net rooms growth target of 4.5% to 5% for 2026, and which brands will contribute most significantly?

    Conversions are a major driver, contributing about one-third of signings and openings, supported by a strong portfolio of conversion-friendly brands and dedicated resources. Luxury and mid-scale segments are also significant contributors, with strong international demand for luxury and rapid acceleration in mid-scale brands like Four Points Flex, StudioRes, City Express, and Series by Marriott.

    it is a remarkable statistics that about 75% of our conversion openings opened within 12 months of signing.

    asked by Shaun Kelley · answered by Anthony Capuano

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Global Portfolio Expansion and Conversions

    Marriott's global portfolio reached nearly 1.78 million rooms across over 9,800 properties in 145 countries by the end of December 2025. Conversions were a significant growth driver, contributing approximately one-third of both signings and openings during the year. A remarkable 75% of conversion rooms joined the system and began contributing to fee growth within 12 months of signing, highlighting the efficiency of this growth strategy. The company's pipeline grew to a record 610,000 rooms, with 265,000 rooms currently under construction.

    02

    Luxury and Mid-Scale Segment Performance

    The luxury segment demonstrated strong performance, with RevPAR increasing over 6% for the full year 2025, and a record 114 luxury deals signed. Marriott is also rapidly expanding its presence in the mid-scale segment, having accumulated over 450 open and pipeline Four Points Flex, StudioRes, and City Express properties across 26 countries, and 100 open and pipeline Series by Marriott properties, all within less than three years of entering the segment. This dual focus positions the company to capture demand across various customer tiers.

    03

    Marriott Bonvoy Loyalty Program and Technology Investment

    Marriott Bonvoy continued its strong growth, adding 43 million new members in 2025, bringing the total membership base to 271 million worldwide. The company is actively investing in technology, data, and AI, with a multi-year transformation of its property management, reservations, and loyalty systems well underway, with rollouts planned for a meaningful number of hotels in 2026. Marriott is collaborating with tech giants like Google and OpenAI to explore AI's potential for personalizing travel search, booking, and strengthening direct booking channels, aiming to redefine customer acquisition.

    04

    Credit Card Program and Royalty Rate Adjustment

    Marriott's co-branded credit card program, already the industry's largest, is undergoing strategic changes. The company amended a long-standing contractual limitation, enabling an increase in the royalty rate for its licensed intellectual property. This adjustment, combined with continued strong spending across the global card portfolio, is expected to drive a meaningful year-over-year increase of around 35% in co-branded credit card fees in 2026. This change is separate from ongoing negotiations with Visa, Chase, and American Express for new deals later in the year.

    05

    Owner and Franchisee Economic Model Support

    Recognizing that the owner and franchise community is at a different stage of recovery from the pandemic, Marriott is intensely focused on improving their economic model. This involves efforts to drive top-line revenue, enhance margins, and scrutinize every aspect of affiliation costs, including a previously implemented reduction in the Bonvoy program's charge-out rate. The company is also evaluating the entire hotel operating model, including services, staffing, scheduling, and purchasing, to optimize property-level profitability and ensure strong owner returns.

    06

    Impact of Special Events on Travel Demand

    Marriott observes a growing trend of 'event travel,' where major sports and music events consistently bolster leisure demand. The 2026 FIFA World Cup is projected to contribute 30-35 basis points to global RevPAR growth for the full year. Additionally, the Winter Olympics in Italy are expected to positively impact EMEA RevPAR by approximately 100 basis points in Q1. This indicates that large-scale events are becoming a more consistent and significant driver of travel volumes, complementing underlying leisure trends.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.