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Medtronic (MDT) Q3 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Jan 2026 (Q3 FY26)· Health Care· Feb 17, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Medtronic Q3 FY26 — Strong Organic Revenue Growth Driven by PFA and New Product Launches

Medtronic delivered strong Q3 FY26 results, achieving its highest organic revenue growth in 10 quarters, driven by robust performance in Cardiac Ablation Solutions and new product launches across its portfolio. The company is actively building new markets for generational growth drivers like PFA, Symplicity Spyral, Altaviva, and Hugo, while also addressing areas needing improvement such as Structural Heart. Management remains committed to durable revenue and high single-digit EPS growth in FY27, leveraging innovation and strategic investments.

Highlights

5
  • Achieved 6% organic revenue growth, the highest in 10 quarters.

  • Cardiac Ablation Solutions (CAS) grew 80% year-over-year, with PFA growing nearly 200% worldwide and gaining 4 points of share in the $13+ billion market.

  • Cardiovascular portfolio delivered 11% year-over-year revenue growth, including 13% growth in the U.S.

  • Diabetes business delivered 15% reported and over 8% organic growth, driven by international strength and U.S. acceleration with new product launches.

  • Hugo surgical robot received FDA clearance for urologic procedures, with first U.S. installations and cases completed.

Concerns

5
  • Structural Heart grew low single digits, softer than expected, due to U.S. competitive pressure and Evolut FX+ annualization.

  • Neuroscience growth was 3%, below expectations, with Specialty Therapies flat due to China VBP and Vantage recall.

  • Adjusted gross margin was negatively impacted by 100 basis points due to mix effects from CAS and Diabetes.

  • Tariffs impacted Q3 gross margin by $93 million or 110 basis points, with an anticipated $185 million for FY26.

  • Adjusted tax rate was 17.3%, 100 basis points higher than forecast, due to jurisdictional mix of profits.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Total CAS revenue (trailing)
$2 billion
medium materiality
High
Sphere-9 Japan launch
Planned
medium materiality
High
Sphere-9 VT expanded indication submission
Planned
medium materiality
High
Sphere-360 Europe commercialization
Begin commercializing
medium materiality
High
Symplicity transradial catheters launch
On track to launch
medium materiality
High
Hugo U.S. indication expansion
Planning to expand into additional indications
medium materiality
Medium
Stealth AXiS future indications
Anticipate pursuing future cranial and ENT indications
medium materiality
Medium
MiniMed separation completion
Complete by the end of calendar year '26
high materiality
High
Fiscal '26 organic revenue growth
Approximately 5.5%
high materiality
High
Q4 FY26 revenue growth
Around 6%
medium materiality
High
Fiscal '26 gross margin (excluding tariffs)
Increase slightly
high materiality
High
Fiscal '26 tariff impact to COGS
Approximately $185 million
high materiality
High
Q4 FY26 tariff impact to COGS
$75 million
medium materiality
High
Fiscal '26 gross margin (including tariffs)
Decrease of roughly 30 basis points
high materiality
High
Fiscal '26 adjusted operating profit growth
Approximately 5%
high materiality
High
Fiscal '26 adjusted operating profit growth (excluding tariffs)
7%
high materiality
High
Fiscal '26 operating margin (excluding tariffs)
Roughly flat
high materiality
High
Fiscal '26 operating margin (including tariffs)
Down about 50 basis points
high materiality
High
Fiscal '26 EPS guidance range
$5.62 to $5.66
high materiality
High
Fiscal '27 EPS growth
High single-digit
high materiality
High
Fiscal '27 tariff headwind
Around $300 million
high materiality
High
Fiscal '27 53rd week benefit
A little bit of help
low materiality
Medium
Diabetes separation EPS dilution (interim)
$0.01 to $0.02 per month
medium materiality
High
M&A activity EPS dilution
$0.04 to $0.05
medium materiality
High
MiniMed Fit patch pump U.S. FDA submission
Intend to submit
medium materiality
High

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
Cardiovascular
Strongest growth in 10 years, excluding COVID comps.
U.S. growth: 13%
—11%——
Cardiac Ablation Solutions (CAS)
Fastest growing in the segment, doubling closest competitor's growth rate.
PFA revenue contribution to CAS: 80%
—80%——
Cardiac Rhythm Management (CRM)
Strong quarter, primarily driven by Micra, CSP lead, and Aurora EV-ICD.
Contribution to total revenue: 15%Micra growth: double-digit3830 CSP lead growth: mid-teensAurora EV-ICD growth: over 70%
—5%——
Peripheral Vascular Health
Driven by broad strength across endoVenous portfolio.
—high single-digit——
Structural Heart
Softer than expected, stronger internationally with share gain in Europe, offset by U.S. competitive pressure and Evolut FX+ annualization.
—low single-digits——
Neuroscience
Growth was a little below expectations, but broad pipeline expected to impact growth in Q4.
—3%——
Cranial & Spinal Technologies (CST)
Powerful engine for Medtronic, with strong pull-through in Core Spine.
Core Spine growth: 8%
—mid-single-digit——
Specialty Therapies
Expected improved performance in coming quarters due to new product developments.
—flat——
Neuromodulation
Driven by continued rollout of differentiated, fully closed-loop technologies (Inceptiv SCS, BrainSense aBDS).
—4%——
MedSurg
Ahead of expectations.
—3%——
Endoscopy
Led by Nexpowder and strong market adoption of Endoflip 300.
Esophageal portfolio growth: mid-teens
—10%——
Acute Care & Monitoring (ACM)
Led by strength in blood oxygen management and airway access.
—7%——
Surgical
Strength in energy, wound management, and hernia, with expected softness in Stapling. Next phase of growth from Hugo rollout.
—1%——
Diabetes (MiniMed)
Performance led by double-digit strength in international markets and U.S. acceleration with Simplera Sync and Instinct launches.
—15% reported, 8%+ organic——
U.S.
Strongest performance since FY2019, excluding COVID comps.
—6%——
Western Europe
Led geographic performance.
—high single-digit——
Japan
Contributed to balanced geographic performance.
—mid-single-digit——
China
Navigating ongoing but manageable volume-based procurement.
Growth excluding VBP: mid-single-digit
—low single-digit——

MDT operating KPIs by quarter

MDT operating KPIs stated on its earnings calls, by fiscal quarter
KPIThis call Jan 2026 Q3 FY26 Apr 2026 Q4 FY26 Jul 2026 Q1 FY27Change vs prior quarter
Installed base Touch Surgery
1,000+ This quarter, Touch Surgery installations increased over 20% sequentially and have now surpassed 1,000 systems globally. Source: earnings call transcript
1,400+ And our Touch Surgery Digital Ecosystem, well, it continues to represent a clear advantage with over 1,400 installations, up 30% plus sequentially. Source: earnings call transcript
1,500+ Today, Touch Surgery is used in more than 1,500 operating rooms globally, supporting AI-powered insights, collaboration and workflows. Source: earnings call transcript
—

Operating figures the company stated on at least two of the calls shown, checked against each call's transcript. Click a figure to read the sentence. A dash means it was not stated that quarter.

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
Hugo surgical robotlaunch
Stealth AXiS Surgical Systemlaunch
Sphere-360 cathetermilestone
Simplera Sync and Instinctlaunch
780G systemexpansion

Deals & partnerships

CathWorks acquisition

Acquisition in CRDN, part of M&A strategy to digitize and build effective ecosystems within core markets.

Anteris investment

Investment in Structural Heart, part of venture and minority investment portfolio. Underscores long-term strategy to digitize and build effective ecosystems within core markets, specifically to expand into the balloon-expandable TAVR market.

Risks & headwinds

China Volume-Based Procurement (VBP) Past quarters, mostly behind

Challenged Neurovascular business, resulting in low single-digit growth for China (mid-single-digit excluding VBP).

Mitigation:Navigating ongoing but manageable volume-based procurement.

Vantage recall Past quarters, mostly behind

Challenged Neurovascular business.

Mitigation:Recall is mostly behind the company.

Structural Heart competitive pressure Q3 FY26

Low single-digit growth for Structural Heart, partially offsetting international strength.

Mitigation:Taking specific actions to fill out the portfolio and improve trajectory.

Tariff impact on gross margin Q3 FY26, Q4 FY26, FY27

$93 million or 110 basis points in Q3 FY26. Expected $185 million for FY26, including $75 million in Q4. Anticipated $300 million headwind for FY27.

Mitigation:Pricing, FX, and COGS efficiency programs expected to offset negative impacts ex-tariffs for FY26. Embedded in FY27 guidance.

Adjusted tax rate increase Q3 FY26, expected to carry into Q4

17.3%, 100 basis points higher than forecast.

Mitigation:Due to jurisdictional mix of profits; tax line is expected to stabilize.

Diabetes separation interim EPS dilution Between IPO and split completion (end of CY26)

$0.01 to $0.02 per month.

Mitigation:Occurs because 20% of Diabetes profit is lost without immediate share count reduction benefit. Fully expected to be accretive upon full separation.

M&A activity EPS dilution Fiscal year '27

$0.04 to $0.05.

Mitigation:Embedded in the FY27 EPS guidance.

Q&A highlights

How will Medtronic achieve accelerating revenue growth and high single-digit EPS in FY27, considering CAS comps and Surgical's current growth, and how does the 53rd week impact this?

Management expects continued CAS growth, with Symplicity, Altaviva, CST (Stealth AXiS), and Neurovascular accelerating from Q4 FY26 into FY27. For EPS, drivers include accelerated growth, gross margin improvements from CAS mix shift and Diabetes separation, and G&A leverage. FY27 will see a $300M tariff headwind (vs $185M in FY26), a benefit from the 53rd week (less than 2 points of growth, on top of organic acceleration), and interim dilution from Diabetes separation ($0.01-$0.02/month) and M&A ($0.04-$0.05). The growth acceleration is expected to be upside, excluding the extra week.

“So we should have better growth than we have in fiscal year '26, in '27 and the extra week should be on top of that.”

asked by Travis Steed · answered by Thierry Pieton (Executives)

3 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

Generational Growth Drivers and Innovation Pipeline

Medtronic is strategically focusing on four generational growth drivers: the PFA platform for AFib, Symplicity Spyral for hypertension, Altaviva for urinary incontinence, and the Hugo surgical robot. Each product is projected to generate over $1 billion in revenue, targeting large, underpenetrated markets.

The company emphasizes a continuous pipeline of new technologies, developed internally or through M&A, across high-need, high-growth categories such as MMA, carotid stenting, thrombectomy, and cardiac rhythm management, reinforcing a steadily improving growth outlook.

Cardiac Ablation Solutions (CAS) and PFA Momentum

The CAS business continues its strong performance, with 80% year-over-year growth, driven by PFA's nearly 200% worldwide growth. Medtronic gained 4 points of share in the $13+ billion market with its Affera platform and Sphere-9 catheter, which is praised for its versatility, safety, and durability across various procedures.

Future plans include Sphere-9's Japan launch and VT indication submission in H1 CY26, alongside the CE Mark and U.S. pivotal trial for the next-gen Sphere-360 catheter, expected to commercialize in Europe this spring.

Market Development for Symplicity Spyral and Altaviva

Medtronic is actively building new markets for Symplicity Spyral for hypertension and Altaviva for urge urinary incontinence. For Symplicity, direct-to-consumer campaigns have led to a 50x increase in website visits, with over 200 new accounts opened and 100 million covered lives in the U.S.

Altaviva, a simple yet transformative device for 16 million U.S. patients, is seeing strong early interest with over 500 physicians trained. The company is investing in market development, referral pathways, health economics, and brand building for these profitable new segments.

Hugo Robot and Surgical Business Evolution

The Hugo surgical robot received FDA clearance for urologic procedures, marking its purposeful U.S. launch with initial installations and cases already completed at sites like Cleveland Clinic. Hugo's differentiation includes its flexibility, portability, open console, and integration with the Touch Surgery digital ecosystem, which has surpassed 1,000 global installations.

Medtronic plans to expand Hugo into additional U.S. indications, such as hernia, leveraging its full continuum of surgical care offerings across open, laparoscopic, and robotic-assisted surgeries.

Neuroscience Portfolio and Stealth AXiS Advancement

Despite Neuroscience growing below expectations this quarter, the segment is poised for future impact with its broad pipeline. A major milestone was the FDA clearance for the Stealth AXiS Surgical System for spinal procedures. This transformative platform unifies AI-powered planning, robotics, and navigation into a seamless system, designed to integrate with the 70% of U.S. spine procedures that are navigated.

Stealth AXiS is expected to drive share gains, lower barriers to robotics adoption, and extend Medtronic's leadership, with future cranial and ENT indications anticipated.

Diabetes Business Innovation and Strategic Separation

The Diabetes business delivered strong reported and organic growth, driven by double-digit international performance and U.S. acceleration from new launches like Simplera Sync and Instinct. The 780G system received expanded FDA indications and is now available through pharmacy agreements covering most commercially insured lives.

Medtronic also submitted MiniMed Flex to the FDA, initiated the Vivera pivotal study, and plans to submit the MiniMed Fit patch pump by fall. The planned two-step IPO and split of MiniMed remains on track for completion by the end of calendar year 2026.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.