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    MPWR
    Earnings call· Jun 2025(Q2 FY25)

    MONOLITHIC POWER SYSTEMS Q2 FY25 earnings call MPWR

    Jul 31, 2025 Source

    Executive summary

    Monolithic Power Systems Q2 FY25 — Record Revenue and AI ASIC Ramp

    Monolithic Power Systems reported record Q2 FY25 revenue, driven by diversified growth across all end markets and the commencement of AI ASIC product shipments. The company maintains a cautiously optimistic outlook for the remainder of the year, with strong sequential growth anticipated in enterprise data and automotive, despite short lead times limiting long-term visibility. MPS continues its transformation into a full-service silicon-based solutions provider, with the module business expected to contribute significantly to future revenue.

    Highlights

    5
    • Achieved record quarterly revenue of $664.6 million, up 4.2% sequentially and 31.0% year-over-year.

    • Saw diversified revenue growth across all end markets, with enterprise data projected to grow 20-30% sequentially in Q3.

    • Began initial shipments of power solutions for new ASIC-based AI products, engaging with multiple large customers.

    • Automotive business is expected to grow 40-50% for the full year, driven by new content ramps.

    • Channel inventories are down and very lean, indicating real customer demand and efficient supply chain.

    Concerns

    3
    • Expressed caution for the storage and compute segment due to atypical seasonality and historical boom/bust cycles, despite Q2 results exceeding expectations.

    • Limited visibility beyond two quarters due to short lead times and atypical ordering patterns.

    • Core networking telecom business has plateaued, with no strong signal of additional investment.

    Guidance & targets

    6
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Total Revenue Sequential Growth
    8% at midpoint
    high materiality
    High
    Enterprise Data Revenue Sequential Growth
    20% to 30%
    high materiality
    High
    Enterprise Data Revenue Sequential Growth
    up sequentially
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Automotive Revenue Growth
    40% to 50%
    high materiality
    High
    Total Revenue Growth
    close to 20%
    high materiality
    Medium
    Q4 Seasonality
    flattish
    medium materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    3
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Enterprise Data
    Expected to grow between 20% and 30% sequentially in Q3 FY25. Q4 FY25 is also expected to be up sequentially. The market remains dynamic with short lead times.
    20-30%
    Automotive
    Expected to flatten in the middle part of the year, then pick up at the end of Q3 and Q4 FY25 due to new content ramps. Full-year FY25 growth is projected to be between 40% and 50%.
    40-50% (FY25)
    Other lines of business
    All other lines of business (excluding storage and compute) are expected to be up high single digits in Q3 FY25.
    high single digits

    Operational metrics

    7
    Revenue
    $664.6M+4.2% QoQ, +31.0% YoY
    Q2 FY25

    Record quarterly revenue.

    Module business revenue contribution
    10% to 15%
    next year

    The module business is growing and is expected to be a significant contributor to total revenue.

    eMotion revenue
    >$100M
    past few years

    eMotion business has generated over $100 million in revenue in the past few years and is expected to grow faster with AI-driven robotics.

    Channel inventory
    down
    Q2 FY25

    Channel inventories are very lean, indicating real customer demand.

    Inventory
    low
    Q2 FY25

    Company inventory levels are low.

    Annual revenue capacity
    $4B
    annual

    Current capacity is built to support $4 billion in revenue, with efforts to diversify manufacturing geographically.

    Customer concentration
    returning to normal profile
    future

    The high customer concentration seen previously was an aberration; the company expects to return to a more diversified customer base.

    Industry KPIs

    10
    MetricValueDetails
    Lead timesShort
    Backlog order book
    Book to bill ratioNot building 1.4, 1.5
    Ai data center revenueInitial shipments
    Fab capacity utilization$4BUSD
    Bookings net order intake
    Design wins socket pipelineMultiple design wins and activities
    Inventory channel inventoryLow (own inventory); Down (channel inventory)
    Node platform ramp schedule18-24 months out
    End market segment revenue mixDiversified growth across all end markets

    Orderbook & backlog

    1
    Book-to-bill rationot building 1.4, 1.5Q2 FY25

    Atypical ordering pattern with much more short-term focus, not building backlog out into Q1 and Q2 of next year.

    Risks & headwinds

    3
    Storage and Compute VolatilityNear-term

    Atypical seasonality with buildup in Q1 and Q2 FY25; historical boom and bust cycles.

    Mitigation: Management is cautious but Q2 results for this group came in better than expected.

    Limited VisibilityBeyond 2 quarters

    Short lead times and atypical ordering patterns.

    Mitigation: Company is meeting real customer demand; channel inventories are lean; continuously qualifying new supply to meet demand.

    Core Networking Telecom PlateauCurrent

    Core networking telecom business has plateaued.

    Mitigation: Growth in optical modules within the data center is offsetting this.

    What to watch in Q3 FY25

    5

    Enterprise Data Growth

    Q4 FY25
    Current20-30% sequential growth in Q3
    Targetup sequentially in Q4

    Why it matters

    Enterprise data is a key driver of overall revenue growth, especially with the AI ASIC ramp, and continued sequential growth indicates sustained momentum.

    I can say that Q4 will be up sequentially.

    Q&A highlights

    7

    Asked for puts and takes on Q3 end markets, specifically regarding the 8% sequential growth midpoint, and color on the ramping ASIC program, including customer breadth and potential SAM increase for enterprise data.

    Bernie detailed Q3 sequential growth: enterprise data 20-30%, consumer seasonal uplift, other lines high single digits, with caution on storage and compute. Michael confirmed engagement with multiple large and emerging customers for AI ASICs and reiterated the $4 billion enterprise data SAM is achievable, noting the market is changing fast.

    You're right. Since the Analyst Day, things are changing fast. And everything is good. And after a couple of years, these enterprise data segments and clearly, you establish a winner or losers, okay? And that MPS has appeared to be a winner.

    asked by Tore Svanberg · answered by Michael R. Hsing

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Record Revenue and Diversified Growth

    Monolithic Power Systems achieved record quarterly revenue of $664.6 million in Q2 FY25, representing a 4.2% sequential increase from Q1 FY25 and a 31.0% year-over-year increase from Q2 FY24. This strong performance was attributed to the company's diversified market strategy, consistent execution, and continued innovation, with broad-based revenue growth observed across all end markets.

    02

    AI ASIC Product Ramp and Enterprise Data Outlook

    The company commenced initial shipments of power solutions for new ASIC-based AI products, engaging with multiple large and emerging customers. Management reiterated confidence in achieving the previously stated $4 billion Serviceable Addressable Market (SAM) for enterprise data. For Q3 FY25, the enterprise data segment is projected to grow between 20% and 30% sequentially, with Q4 also expected to show sequential growth, highlighting the dynamic nature of this fast-moving market.

    03

    Automotive Segment Strength and Long-Term Opportunities

    The automotive segment is a significant growth driver, with full-year FY25 growth anticipated to be between 40% and 50%. This growth is primarily fueled by new content ramps with Western OEMs, particularly picking up towards the end of Q3 and into Q4. Long-term opportunities in automotive include 48-volt systems and zonal architectures, which are expected to be key growth areas beyond the current year.

    04

    Storage and Compute Segment Caution

    Despite two strong preceding quarters, management expressed caution regarding the storage and compute segment. This caution stems from the atypical seasonality experienced, with significant build-ups in Q1 and Q2, and the historical boom-and-bust cycles characteristic of these end markets. However, Q2 results for this segment surpassed expectations, indicating underlying strength.

    05

    Capacity, Inventory, and Supply Chain Strategy

    MPS maintains capacity to support $4 billion in annual revenue, with a strategic goal to have 50% of this capacity located outside of China by year-end to ensure supply chain stability and flexibility. The company noted its inventory levels are low, and channel inventories across major geographies are lean, suggesting that current demand is real and being met efficiently through continuous qualification of new supply.

    06

    Transformation to Solutions Provider: Modules and eMotion

    MPS is actively transforming from a chip-only supplier to a full-service silicon-based solutions provider. The module business, which offers integrated solutions for customers seeking to avoid detailed design work, is growing significantly and is expected to contribute 10% to 15% of total revenues next year (excluding enterprise data power modules). The eMotion business, after slower growth in previous years, is now seeing renewed momentum driven by AI-driven robotics, with expectations for much faster growth in the coming years.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.