Skip to content
    MSCI
    Earnings call· Mar 2026(Q1 FY26)

    MSCI Q1 FY26 earnings call MSCI

    Apr 21, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    MSCI Q1 FY26 — Strong Organic Growth and AI-Driven Momentum

    MSCI delivered a strong Q1 FY26, driven by robust organic growth across its diversified business lines and increasing adoption of AI in product development and operations. The company saw significant momentum in net new recurring subscription sales and asset-based fees, reinforcing its mission-critical role in global investing. Strategic bolt-on acquisitions and a focus on AI-driven innovation are accelerating product launches and enhancing client engagement.

    Highlights

    5
    • Organic revenue growth of over 13%.

    • Adjusted EPS growth of nearly 14%.

    • Adjusted EBITDA growth of almost 19%.

    • Total run rate growth of nearly 13%, fueled by a record asset-based fee run rate of $872 million, growing 25%.

    • Recurring subscription run rate growth of 9%, fueled by net new recurring subscription sales of $39.6 million, growing 52%.

    Concerns

    2
    • Sustainability and climate new recurring sales were offset by higher cancels, with muted growth expected to continue in the near term.

    • Analytics year-over-year revenue growth expected to be roughly 5% for Q2 2026, down from over 10% in Q1 due to non-recurring implementation revenues.

    Guidance & targets

    3
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Analytics revenue growth
    roughly 5%
    medium materiality
    High
    Effective tax rate
    between 18% and 20%
    medium materiality
    High
    Free cash flow outlook
    unchanged
    high materiality
    High

    Operational metrics

    43
    Organic revenue growth
    over 13%YoY
    Q1 FY26
    Adjusted EPS growth
    nearly 14%YoY
    Q1 FY26
    Adjusted EBITDA growth
    almost 19%YoY
    Q1 FY26
    Share repurchases
    $464 million
    Jan 1 - Apr 20, 2026
    Total run rate growth
    nearly 13%YoY
    Q1 FY26
    Asset-based fee run rate
    $872 million25% growth
    Q1 FY26
    Recurring subscription run rate growth
    9%YoY
    Q1 FY26
    Net new recurring subscription sales
    $39.6 million52% growth
    Q1 FY26

    Best first quarter since 2022 for this metric.

    Retention rate
    95.4%
    Q1 FY26

    Across all MSCI product lines.

    Recurring sales in APAC
    $15 million46% growth YoY
    Q1 FY26
    Index subscription run rate growth
    10.7%YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Returned to double digits.

    Index recurring sales
    nearly $33 million
    Q1 FY26
    AUM benchmarked to MSCI indices
    $21 trillion
    Q1 FY26
    Indexed equity AUM benchmarked to MSCI indices
    $7.4 trillion
    Q1 FY26
    Traded volumes and run rate from listed futures and options
    Best quarter since 2023
    Q1 FY26

    Linked to MSCI indices.

    Private Capital Solutions recurring net new sales growth
    nearly 44%YoY
    Q1 FY26
    Analytics recurring net new subscription sales
    $8.2 millionnearly 55% growth
    Q1 FY26

    Reflects large wins and renewals of equity offerings and enterprise risk tools.

    Hedge fund subscription run rate growth
    17%YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Driven mainly by index and analytics.

    Hedge fund recurring net new subscription sales
    roughly $12 million
    Q1 FY26

    Driven mainly by index and analytics.

    Banks and broker-dealers subscription run rate growth
    almost 11%YoY
    Q1 FY26
    Banks and broker-dealers recurring net new sales
    nearly $11 million
    Q1 FY26
    Asset owners subscription run rate growth
    nearly 10%YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Driven by private capital solutions and analytics.

    Asset managers subscription run rate growth
    over 6%YoY
    Q1 FY26
    Asset managers recurring net new sales growth
    nearly 11%YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Notably strong growth in analytics.

    Asset managers retention rate
    close to 96%
    Q1 FY26
    Cash balance
    close to $400 million
    March 31, 2026
    D&A outlook update
    $5 million increase
    FY26

    Due to intangibles from acquisitions.

    Index organic subscription run rate growth
    over 10%YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Reaccelerated to low double-digit levels.

    Index recurring net new sales
    $25 million75% growth YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Benefited from large deals with trader and hedge fund clients.

    Index retention rate
    nearly 97%improved from last year
    Q1 FY26
    Equity ETF inflows linked to MSCI indexes
    $103 billionrecord level
    Q1 FY26

    Prior record was $67 billion in Q4 last year.

    Prior record for quarterly equity ETF inflows linked to MSCI indexes
    $67 billion
    Q4 FY25
    European-listed equity ETF AUM linked to MSCI indexes
    $1.1 trillion
    Q1 FY26
    European-listed equity ETF inflows linked to MSCI indexes
    $46 billion
    Q1 FY26
    Analytics subscription run rate growth
    nearly 8%YoY
    Q1 FY26
    Analytics new recurring sales
    $17 million30% growth YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Saw continued strength in equity analytics and large enterprise risk/performance wins.

    Analytics revenue growth
    over 10%YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Reflected a higher volume of implementations recognized in nonrecurring revenues.

    Private Capital Solutions subscription run rate growth
    nearly 16%YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Strong momentum with transparency data, private capital intel, and total plan offerings.

    Sustainability and Climate new recurring sales growth
    modestly
    Q1 FY26

    Offset by higher cancels.

    Analytics growth with hedge funds
    14%YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Refers to subscription run rate growth.

    Analytics growth with banks
    10%YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Refers to subscription run rate growth.

    Analytics growth with asset owners
    9%YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Refers to subscription run rate growth.

    Index subscription run rate growth with hedge funds
    27%YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Industry KPIs

    2
    MetricValueDetails
    AUM$21 trillionUSD
    Fundraising inflows$103 billionUSD

    Product announcements

    7
    ProductTypeDetails
    Index AI Insights Connectorlaunch
    Daily private valuation indices and benchmarkslaunch
    Private Asset Diligence Platformupdate
    Next-gen models (Analytics)update
    Basket building solutions (Analytics)launch
    Private credit risk models (Analytics)launch
    ESG rating systemroadmap

    Deals & partnerships

    5
    Compass Financial Technologiesacquisition

    Swiss-based provider of index calculation services. Completed during Q1 FY26.

    Vantageacquisition

    Platform built entirely on AI. Completed during Q1 FY26.

    PM Insightsacquisition

    Completed earlier this month (April 2026).

    New York Stock Exchangelicensing

    New licensing agreement for options on MSCI indices listed on the NYSE.

    Moody'spartnership

    Partnership for credit assessments in private credit.

    Risks & headwinds

    1
    Muted growth in Sustainability and Climate segmentNear term

    New recurring sales grew modestly, offset by higher cancels.

    Mitigation: Clients focusing spend on critical sustainability priorities, leading to some down sales but also competitive wins. Differentiating between sustainability and climate. Focusing on physical risk in climate.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    Did market volatility in March affect sales, and what's the outlook for Q2 sales momentum, especially in Index and Analytics?

    Henry Fernandez stated that except for a slowdown in the Gulf region, they have not seen any effect of market volatility or the 'run war' (likely ASR for 'Russia-Ukraine war') on client behavior, with business operating as usual.

    Except for a slowdown in dialogue and presentations and obviously, demos in the Gulf region, the countries in the Gulf -- the Arabian Gulf region, we have not seen any effect of the run war anywhere else in the world.

    asked by Alex Kramm · answered by Henry Fernandez

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    AI Integration and Impact

    MSCI is deeply integrating agentic AI across its operations, from data capture and model building to product launch and marketing. This has led to significant early efficiencies in data development for private assets and sustainability, allowing for increased data gathering without additional headcount. AI is also accelerating software development and the creation of models and methodologies, particularly in custom indices and ESG rating systems. The company noted that the use of AI by its employees has dramatically increased over the past year.

    02

    Strategic Acquisitions

    The company completed three small, strategic bolt-on acquisitions: Compass Financial Technologies (index calculation services for commodities, digital assets, equity derivatives), Vantage (AI platform for private market due diligence), and PM Insights (secondary market pricing, liquidity, and reference data for private markets). These acquisitions extend capabilities and accelerate client solutions in key growth areas, contributing modestly to run rate and ongoing expenses.

    03

    Geographic and Client Segment Strength

    MSCI experienced broad-based momentum across geographic regions, product lines, and client segments. APAC was a standout, posting its strongest ever Q1 for recurring sales at $15 million, up 46% year-over-year. Hedge funds and banks/broker-dealers also showed strong subscription run rate growth and net new sales, with hedge fund subscription run rate growth at 17% and banks/broker-dealers at almost 11%.

    04

    Index Ecosystem Expansion

    The ecosystem around MSCI indices continues to scale, with over $21 trillion in AUM benchmarked to them, including $7.4 trillion in indexed equity AUM. The company saw its best Q1 since 2023 for traded volumes and run rate from listed futures and options, reinforced by a new licensing agreement for options on MSCI indices listed on the NYSE. Equity ETFs linked to MSCI indexes captured a record $103 billion of inflows in Q1.

    05

    Sustainability and Climate Focus

    While sustainability and climate faced some headwinds with higher cancels and client focus on critical priorities, MSCI is differentiating between sustainability and climate. The company secured an important competitive win with the Central Bank of Germany for climate risk tools, indicating potential for reacceleration, especially in physical risk. Management believes the 'run war' (Russia-Ukraine war) will underscore the need for energy transition, benefiting their climate tools.

    06

    Active ETF Opportunity

    MSCI is very bullish on the active ETF market, viewing it as a significant expansion area for active asset managers. The company believes its data sets, indices, and quantitative tools are highly relevant, especially since 70-80% of active ETFs incorporate systematic or index investing elements. This presents opportunities for additional content licensing and potential asset-based fee revenue, with MSCI actively used as a benchmark on active ETFs.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.