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    MSTR
    Earnings call· Sep 2025(Q3 FY25)

    Strategy Inc MSTR

    Oct 30, 2025 Source

    Executive summary

    Strategy Q3 FY25 — Record GAAP Earnings and Bitcoin Treasury Expansion

    Strategy reported strong Q3 FY25 results, driven by fair value accounting for its growing Bitcoin treasury, which now holds over 640,000 BTC. The company continues to innovate in capital markets, leveraging preferred equity instruments to fund Bitcoin acquisitions and aiming to drive amplification while reducing leverage. Management emphasized the unique tax-deferred nature of its ROC dividends and its mission to expand digital credit globally, despite current challenges in traditional credit rating recognition for Bitcoin.

    Highlights

    5
    • Reported $8.43 GAAP EPS for Q3 FY25, marking the second consecutive quarter of significant positive GAAP earnings.

    • Increased Bitcoin holdings to 640,808 BTC, representing over 3% of all Bitcoin, valued at $71 billion.

    • Achieved 26% BTC yield year-to-date, targeting 30% for the full year 2025.

    • Raised $19.8 billion in capital year-to-date 2025, primarily through preferred equity, to acquire more Bitcoin.

    • Received a B- issuer credit rating from S&P, opening access to a high-yield rated market 3x larger than the unrated market.

    Concerns

    3
    • S&P credit rating does not currently give credit for Bitcoin on the balance sheet, deducting it from equity and driving negative risk-adjusted capital.

    • BTC yield year-to-date is 26% against a revised full-year target of 30%, requiring an additional $2 billion capital raise in the remaining two months.

    • MSTR equity underperformed Bitcoin over the last 12 months, despite significant capital base expansion.

    Guidance & targets

    12
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Bitcoin price target
    $156,000
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Bitcoin price target
    $180,000
    medium materiality
    Medium
    BTC yield
    30%
    high materiality
    Medium
    BTC dollar gain
    $20 billion
    high materiality
    Medium
    Operating income
    $34 billion
    high materiality
    Medium
    Net income
    $24 billion
    high materiality
    Medium
    EPS
    $80
    high materiality
    Medium
    Stretch (STRC) dividend rate adjustment policy
    Rate decrease or follow-on offering
    medium materiality
    High
    Stretch (STRC) dividend rate adjustment policy
    25 basis point rate increase
    medium materiality
    High
    Stretch (STRC) dividend rate adjustment policy
    50 basis point rate increase
    medium materiality
    High
    Stretch (STRC) dividend rate
    10.5%
    medium materiality
    High
    Return of Capital (ROC) dividend treatment
    Continues for 10 years or more
    high materiality
    High

    Operational metrics

    78
    Bitcoin holdings
    640,808
    Q3 FY25

    Reinforces scale and dominance of corporate Bitcoin treasury.

    Bitcoin value
    $71 billion
    Q3 FY25

    Value of Bitcoin holdings.

    Bitcoin cost basis
    $47 billion
    Q3 FY25

    Total cost of Bitcoin holdings.

    Bitcoin unencumbered
    100%
    Q3 FY25

    All Bitcoin holdings remain fully unencumbered.

    Bitcoin per share
    $41,370up from $39,716
    October 26

    Measures accretion of Bitcoin on a per share basis, represented in Satoshis.

    Bitcoin per share (historical)
    200,1973.5x increase from 56,598 Satoshis in 2020
    October 2025

    Consistent increase in Bitcoin per share since adopting Bitcoin strategy in 2020.

    BTC yield
    26%
    YTD FY25

    Reflects disciplined capital raises and immediate conversion into Bitcoin.

    BTC gain
    116,555up from 88,000 at end of Q2
    YTD FY25

    Reflects disciplined capital deployment and strengthening of Bitcoin balance sheet.

    BTC dollar gain
    $12.9 billion
    YTD FY25

    Translates from BTC gain performance.

    Fair value accounting impact on digital assets
    $18 billion
    Q1 FY25

    Impact of accounting change at the beginning of the year.

    Fair value accounting impact on total equity
    $12.7 billion
    Q1 FY25

    Impact of accounting change at the beginning of the year.

    Fair value gain on Bitcoin holdings
    $3.9 billion
    Q3 FY25

    Due to change in Bitcoin price between first and last day of the quarter.

    New Bitcoin added to balance sheet
    $5 billion
    Q3 FY25

    Addition of new Bitcoin in Q3.

    Enterprise value
    $98 billion
    October 24

    Company's enterprise value.

    Market cap
    $83 billion
    October 24

    Company's market capitalization.

    Bitcoin Net Asset Value (NAV)
    $71 billion
    October 24

    Bitcoin NAV supporting enterprise value.

    Convertible debt
    $8.2 billion
    October 24

    Total notional debt across converts.

    Preferred equity outstanding
    $6.6 billionup from $6.3 billion as of July 29
    October 24

    Total current notional value of outstanding preferred equity.

    Annual dividend and interest obligations
    $689 million
    Annual

    Total annual obligations.

    Interest expense on converts
    $35 million
    Annual

    Component of annual obligations.

    Dividend obligations (cumulative preferreds)
    $522 million
    Annual

    Component of annual obligations for STRF, STRC, STRK.

    Dividend obligations (noncumulative preferreds)
    $125 million
    Annual

    Component of annual obligations for STRD.

    Annual obligations as percentage of capital raised
    1.7%
    LTM

    Efficiency measure of obligations vs capital raised.

    Annual obligations as percentage of common equity raised
    2.6%
    LTM

    Efficiency measure of obligations vs common equity raised.

    Annual obligations as percentage of YTD GAAP operating income
    6.1%
    YTD FY25

    Measure of strong financial performance.

    Capital raised
    $22.6 billion
    FY24

    Total capital raised in 2024. Transcription note: 'million' in transcript corrected to 'billion' based on context and surrounding figures.

    Capital raised
    $19.8 billion
    YTD FY25

    Total capital raised year-to-date 2025.

    Preferreds raised
    $6.7 billion
    YTD FY25

    Total raised through preferred market year-to-date. Transcription note: '$6.5 billion' in transcript corrected to '$6.7 billion' based on earlier statement.

    Retail access for preferreds
    23%up from 4% for initial offering (Strike)
    Latest offering (Stretch)

    Percentage of capital raised through retail investors for preferred offerings.

    Tax rate for interest income
    37% to 55%
    Current

    Comparison for ROC dividends.

    IBIT average return
    53%
    Past 5 years

    Return on average for IBIT ETF.

    IBIT volatility
    38%
    Current

    Volatility of IBIT ETF.

    Strike (STRK) volatility
    28%
    Current

    Volatility of Strike preferred instrument.

    Strike (STRK) effective yield
    9%
    Current

    Effective yield of Strike preferred instrument.

    Strike (STRK) equity component
    33%
    Current

    Equity component of Strike convertible preferred.

    Strike (STRK) BTC rating
    5.2x
    Current

    Overcollateralization ratio, meaning Bitcoin could fall by 80% and still be overcollateralized.

    Strike (STRK) tax equivalent yield
    21.6%
    Current

    Tax equivalent yield for Strike preferred instrument.

    Stride (STRD) volatility
    16%
    Current

    Volatility of Stride preferred instrument.

    Stride (STRD) effective yield
    12.5%
    Current

    Effective yield of Stride preferred instrument.

    Stride (STRD) BTC rating
    4.8x
    Current

    Overcollateralization ratio, meaning Bitcoin could fall by 75% and still be overcollateralized.

    Stride (STRD) tax equivalent yield
    19.9%
    Current

    Tax equivalent yield for Stride preferred instrument.

    Strife (STRF) volatility
    14%
    Current

    Volatility of Strife preferred instrument.

    Strife (STRF) effective yield
    9.1%
    Current

    Effective yield of Strife preferred instrument.

    Strife (STRF) BTC rating
    7.5x
    Current

    Overcollateralization ratio, meaning $7.50 of Bitcoin for every dollar of Strife outstanding.

    Strife (STRF) tax equivalent yield
    14.4%
    Current

    Tax equivalent yield for Strife preferred instrument.

    Stretch (STRC) volatility
    8%
    Current

    Volatility of Stretch preferred instrument, goal is to reduce further.

    Stretch (STRC) effective yield
    10.4%
    Current

    Effective yield of Stretch preferred instrument.

    Stretch (STRC) tax equivalent yield
    16%
    Current

    Tax equivalent yield for Stretch preferred instrument.

    Bitcoin performance
    53%
    Over 5 years

    Annualized performance.

    Gold performance
    15%
    Per year

    Annualized performance.

    S&P performance
    14%
    Per year

    Annualized performance.

    Real estate performance
    6%
    Per year

    Annualized performance.

    Money market performance
    3%
    Per year

    Annualized performance.

    Mid-long dated bonds performance
    -3%
    Per year

    Annualized performance.

    Strategy equity performance
    +83%
    Over 5 years

    Annualized performance.

    Leverage
    11%
    Current

    Company's leverage, with a goal to drive it to zero.

    Amplification
    21%
    Current

    Leverage from debt plus improved performance from equity, with a goal to drive it up.

    BTC factor at 30% amplification
    2.8x
    Over 10 years

    Expected outperformance compared to an ETF at target amplification.

    Bitcoin per share (Satoshis) at 30% amplification
    560,000from 200,000 Satoshis
    Over 10 years

    Projected Bitcoin per share at target amplification.

    Reinvestment value (taxable dividend)
    $187
    After 10 years

    Hypothetical value of a $100 instrument with reinvested taxable dividends.

    Reinvestment value (qualified dividend)
    $22118% more than taxable
    After 10 years

    Hypothetical value of a $100 instrument with reinvested qualified dividends.

    Reinvestment value (ROC dividend)
    $26944% more than taxable
    After 10 years

    Hypothetical value of a $100 instrument with reinvested ROC dividends.

    Stretch (STRC) tax equivalent yield
    16.5%
    Current

    Tax equivalent yield for Stretch compared to other credit instruments.

    Private credit yield
    7.6%
    Current

    Yield for private credit in the US market.

    Investment-grade bonds yield
    4.7%
    Current

    Yield for investment-grade bonds in the US market.

    Money markets yield
    4.1%
    Current

    Yield for money markets in the US market.

    Commercial paper yield
    3.9%
    Current

    Yield for commercial paper in the US market.

    Bank account yield
    0.4%
    Current

    Yield for bank accounts in the US market.

    Australia 1-month rate
    3.5%
    1-month

    Current 1-month rate.

    Canada 1-month rate
    2.7%
    1-month

    Current 1-month rate.

    Korea 1-month rate
    2.5%
    1-month

    Current 1-month rate.

    Europe 1-month rate
    1.9%
    1-month

    Current 1-month rate, falling.

    Singapore 1-month rate
    1.4%
    1-month

    Current 1-month rate.

    Japan 1-month rate
    0.5%
    1-month

    Current 1-month rate.

    Switzerland 1-month rate
    negative
    1-month

    Current 1-month rate.

    MSTR volatility
    62%
    Current

    Volatility of Strategy's equity.

    Bitcoin volatility
    42%
    Current

    Volatility of Bitcoin.

    Total capital base
    $75 billion
    Current

    Current capital base of the company.

    Risks & headwinds

    4
    Bitcoin not viewed as capital by traditional credit rating agencies and regulatorsOngoing

    Bitcoin is deducted from equity for rating purposes, driving negative risk-adjusted capital.

    Mitigation: Educate banks, insurance companies, and credit rating agencies on Bitcoin's collateral value and push for changes in Basel rules and capital frameworks.

    Limited banking acceptance for custody and credit against native BitcoinNear-term (H1 2026 for some banks)

    Major banks are only beginning to explore buying, selling, custodying, and issuing credit against Bitcoin.

    Mitigation: Lobby and educate banks and financial institutions to accelerate adoption and integration of Bitcoin into traditional finance.

    Failure to meet FY25 BTC yield target due to insufficient capital raiseQ4 FY25

    Need to raise approximately $2 billion in non-dilutive capital in the remaining two months to achieve the 30% BTC yield target.

    Mitigation: Actively working on new capital market initiatives and leveraging the 'credit factory' model to raise necessary capital quickly.

    MSTR equity underperformance relative to BitcoinPast 12 months

    MSTR underperformed Bitcoin over the last 12 months.

    Mitigation: Maintain a long-term (4+ year) time horizon for equity investors, focus on disciplined growth, and develop the digital credit market to drive amplification and shareholder value.

    What to watch in Q4 FY25

    5

    BTC Yield Target Achievement

    Next quarter (FY25 results)
    Current26% YTD
    Target30% for FY25

    Why it matters

    Verifies the company's ability to execute on its capital raising strategy and achieve its Bitcoin accumulation goals.

    We need to raise roughly $2 billion in a non-dilutive fashion to -- of capital. And you've seen us do that at quick pace in a short period of time. We have two months left to go. And so we'll be racing and we'll see💬 what we can accomplish, right?

    Q&A highlights

    9

    How will Strategy fund dividends, especially if its multiple to net asset value (mNAV) falls below 1x, and what alternative strategies are in place?

    Annual obligations of $689 million are currently funded by ATM issuances (2.6% of LTM equity raised). If mNAV drops below 1x, the company would explore selling equity derivatives, Bitcoin derivatives, or high-basis Bitcoin (at a loss) to cover dividend needs while preserving the tax-deferred ROC dividend treatment by avoiding activities that generate positive taxable E&P.

    We are able to sell high basis Bitcoin potentially at a loss and cause negative E&P and offset that with other Bitcoin that would cause positive E&P. We wouldn't sell the software business. I know there are questions about that because that would cause income and positive E&P. And so we want to preserve the ROC dividends, the preferable tax deferred treatment of our preferreds.

    asked by Andrew Harte · answered by Phong Le

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Bitcoin Treasury Dominance and Growth

    Strategy reinforced its position as a leading corporate Bitcoin treasury, holding 640,808 BTC, representing over 3% of all Bitcoin, valued at $71 billion. The company aims to be the #2 corporate treasury (excluding financial services) within the next year and #1 in 5-10 years. Digital assets grew from $7 billion in Q3 2024 to $73.2 billion in Q3 2025, with fair value accounting adding approximately $18 billion to digital assets and $12.7 billion to total equity at adoption.

    02

    Capital Markets Innovation and Preferred Equity Strategy

    The company has significantly shifted its capital raising strategy, reducing reliance on convertible debt and increasing preferred equity issuances. Year-to-date 2025, $19.8 billion has been raised, with $6.7 billion from preferreds through four IPOs, including STRC (Stretch) as the largest U.S. IPO of the year. The strategy involves seasoning the preferred market through enhanced distribution, field marketing, and digital advertising, with retail participation in Stretch reaching 23%.

    03

    S&P Credit Rating and Expanded Market Access

    Strategy received a B- issuer credit rating from S&P, a milestone that validates the company and Bitcoin as an asset class. While Bitcoin holdings are currently deducted from equity for rating purposes, management believes this rating opens access to a high-yield rated market 3x larger than the unrated market, with aspirations for investment-grade status if Bitcoin is treated as capital. The company also meets all criteria for S&P 500 inclusion, being #131 by market cap among U.S. publicly traded companies, and hopes for eventual inclusion to access $13 trillion of tracking capital.

    04

    Digital Credit and Tax-Deferred ROC Dividends

    Michael Saylor detailed the concept of 'digital credit' based on Bitcoin as 'digital capital.' He highlighted the perpetual preferred equity instruments (Strike, Stride, Strife, Stretch) as financial engineering tools designed to strip volatility and extract yield. A key feature is the 'return of capital' (ROC) dividends, which are tax-deferred for investors due to the company's negative taxable earnings and profits, a unique advantage expected to continue for 10 years or more. This structure offers significantly higher tax-equivalent yields compared to traditional credit instruments.

    05

    Global Expansion and Market Education

    The company plans international expansion of its preferred offerings, designing native instruments denominated in local currencies (e.g., CAD, EUR) for specific geographies to mitigate currency risk for investors. Management is actively engaged in marketing and education efforts to explain the benefits of its digital credit products, particularly the tax-deferred 10.5% yield of Stretch, to a broader investor base, including traditional retirees and corporate treasurers, aiming to change perceptions of money and credit.

    06

    Digital Credit Factory and Value Creation

    Strategy views itself as a 'digital credit factory,' manufacturing USD yield for credit investors via ROC dividends, which in turn funds Bitcoin acquisitions. This creates a flywheel where credit investors receive tax-deferred dividends, the company acquires Bitcoin, and equity investors receive amplified BTC exposure and tax-deferred growth. The model is designed to drive amplification (currently 21%, targeting 30%) while reducing leverage (currently 11%, targeting 0%), aiming for a 2.8x BTC factor over 10 years.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.