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    MSTR
    Earnings call· Dec 2024(Q4 FY24)

    Strategy Q4 FY24 earnings call MSTR

    Feb 5, 2025 Source

    Executive summary

    Strategy Q4 FY24 — Rebranding, Accelerated Bitcoin Acquisition, and Capital Structure Innovation

    Strategy, formerly MicroStrategy, announced its rebranding to better reflect its focus on digital capital and business intelligence, highlighted by its position as the world's largest Bitcoin treasury company. The quarter saw significant acceleration in Bitcoin acquisitions, fueled by substantial capital raises through equity and innovative fixed-income instruments like the new Strike preferred stock. The company is also progressing its software cloud transition, though this temporarily impacts total software revenue.

    Highlights

    5
    • Subscription services revenues increased 48% year-over-year to $121 million, driven by cloud migrations and new customer wins.

    • Acquired an additional 218,887 bitcoins in Q4 and Q1-to-date for approximately $20.5 billion, bringing total holdings to 471,107 bitcoins.

    • Successfully raised $16.7 billion in common equity and $3 billion in convertible debt in Q4, accelerating capital raising efforts.

    • Included in the NASDAQ-100 Index in December 2024, providing exposure to over $550 billion in AUM.

    • Adopted FASB fair value accounting for Bitcoin holdings, resulting in a $12.7 billion positive cumulative adjustment to retained earnings in Q1 2025.

    Concerns

    3
    • Total software revenues decreased 3% year-over-year to $121 million in Q4, reflecting the ongoing transition from on-premise to cloud.

    • Digital asset impairment charges were approximately $1 billion in Q4 and $1.8 billion for the full year 2024, though this will cease with new accounting standards.

    • Cost of revenues increased 21% year-over-year to $34 million in Q4, primarily due to higher cloud hosting costs.

    Guidance & targets

    5
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Capital raising plan
    $42 billion
    high materiality
    High
    BTC yield
    minimum of 15%
    high materiality
    High
    BTC dollar gain
    $10 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Long-term leverage target
    20% to 30%
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Cloud subscription services revenue trend
    offset decrease in product license and support revenues
    low materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    4
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Software
    Total software revenues for Q4 FY24, reflecting the ongoing transition from on-premise to cloud.
    $121 million-3%
    Software
    Total software revenues for full year 2024.
    $464 million-7%
    Subscription Services
    Subscription services revenues in Q4 FY24, now making up approximately 20% of total revenues.
    48%20% of total revenues
    Subscription Services
    Subscription services revenues for full year 2024.
    $106.7 million32%

    Operational metrics

    48
    Subscription billings growth
    50%YoY
    Q4 FY24

    Year-over-year increase in current subscription billings.

    Cumulative adjustment to retained earnings
    $12.75 billion
    Q1 FY25

    Positive cumulative adjustment to the opening balance of retained earnings due to the adoption of FASB fair value accounting for Bitcoin holdings.

    Bitcoin holdings
    471,107
    as of Feb 2, 2025

    Total Bitcoin holdings with market value as of February 2, 2025.

    Bitcoin acquired
    258,320
    FY24

    Additional Bitcoin acquired in full year 2024.

    Equity raised (ATM program)
    $18.8 billion
    FY24 and Q1 FY25 YTD

    Net proceeds raised through at-the-market (ATM) equity offering program.

    Convertible notes issued
    $6.2 billion
    FY24 and Q1 FY25 YTD

    Capital raised through the issuance of convertible notes.

    Preferred perpetual stock issued
    $584 million
    Q1 FY25

    Gross proceeds raised by issuing Strike preferred perpetual stock.

    Senior secured notes redeemed
    $500 million
    Q4 FY24

    Redemption of senior secured notes, releasing Bitcoin collateral.

    Convertible notes called for redemption
    $650 million
    Q1 FY25

    Convertible notes called for redemption, expected to convert to equity.

    Convertible notes called for redemption
    $1.05 billion
    Q1 FY25

    Convertible notes called for redemption, expected to convert to equity.

    Total debt issued
    $8.6 billion
    Since August 2020

    Total debt issued since adopting Bitcoin strategy.

    Class A common stock issued
    $21.7 billion
    Since August 2020

    Value of Class A common stock issued.

    Total capital raised
    $31 billion
    Since August 2020

    Total capital raised through various levers to increase Bitcoin holdings.

    Equity target raised
    80%
    Q4 FY24 and Q1 FY25 YTD

    Percentage of the $21 billion equity target from the 21-21 plan already raised.

    Fixed income target raised
    17%
    Q4 FY24 and Q1 FY25 YTD

    Percentage of the $21 billion fixed income target from the 21-21 plan already raised.

    Cost of revenues
    $34 millionup 21% YoY
    Q4 FY24

    Cost of revenues for the software business.

    Cost of revenues
    $130 millionup 18% YoY
    FY24

    Cost of revenues for the full year.

    Operating expenses (software business)
    $94 milliondown 6% YoY
    Q4 FY24

    Operating expenses for the software business.

    Operating expenses (software business)
    $396 millionup 2% YoY
    FY24

    Operating expenses for the software business for the full year.

    Bitcoin acquired (Q4 and Q1 YTD)
    218,887
    Q4 FY24 to Q1 FY25 YTD

    Bitcoin acquired from the beginning of Q4 FY24 until January 24, 2025.

    Aggregate cost of Bitcoin holdings
    $30.4 billion
    as of Jan 24, 2025

    Aggregate cost basis for total Bitcoin holdings.

    Common equity sold (ATM program)
    $16.7 billion
    Since Oct 30, 2024

    Value of common equity sold under the ATM program.

    ATM activity as % of trading volume
    2.9%
    Since Oct 30, 2024

    ATM activity as a percentage of total average daily trading volume for MSTR.

    Convertible note issued
    $3 billion
    November Q4 FY24

    New convertible note issued in Q4 FY24.

    Remaining ATM capacity
    $4.3 billion
    as of Feb 2, 2025

    Capacity remaining under the $21 billion equity ATM program.

    Outstanding unsecured convertible debt
    $6.2 billion
    Q4 FY24

    Total outstanding unsecured convertible debt with staggered maturities from December 2028 to June 2032.

    Strike preferred stock shares issued
    7.3 million
    Q1 FY25

    Shares of new perpetual convertible preferred stock issued.

    Debt coverage ratio (Bitcoin holdings vs. out-of-the-money debt)
    15x
    Q4 FY24

    Coverage of Bitcoin holdings against out-of-the-money convertible debt.

    Annual cash need for Strike dividends
    $58 million
    Annual

    Calculated annual cash need for the 8% fixed dividend on Strike shares.

    Outstanding debt and preferred stock as % of market cap
    8%
    Q4 FY24

    Combined outstanding debt and preferred stock relative to company's market cap.

    Outstanding debt and preferred stock as % of Bitcoin asset value
    15%
    Q4 FY24

    Combined outstanding debt and preferred stock relative to Bitcoin asset value.

    Annualized performance (since Bitcoin adoption)
    110%
    Annual

    Annualized performance of Strategy since adopting Bitcoin as primary treasury reserve asset.

    Volatility (MSTR)
    80-90 vol
    Current

    Targeted volatility for MSTR stock, higher than native Bitcoin volatility.

    Volatility (Bitcoin)
    50-60 vol
    Current

    Native volatility of Bitcoin asset.

    Open options interest (MSTR)
    Largest
    Q4 FY24

    MSTR has the largest open options interest of any company in the S&P 500 universe as a measure of market cap.

    Liquidity (MSTR)
    #2
    Q4 FY24

    MSTR is #2 in liquidity as a measure of market cap in the S&P 500 universe.

    Options trading factor (MSTR vs IBIT)
    5x
    Q4 FY24

    MSTR options are trading by a factor of more than 5 versus IBIT.

    Convertible bonds blended performance
    75%vs Bitcoin's 64%
    Q4 FY24

    Blended performance of Strategy's convertible bonds compared to Bitcoin's performance during the same timeframe.

    Annualized return (MSTR)
    110%vs 59% for Bitcoin
    Annual

    Annualized return of Strategy compared to Bitcoin's return.

    Options market size (MSTR vs next largest Bitcoin options market)
    5.6x
    Q4 FY24

    MSTR's options market is 5.6 times larger than the next largest Bitcoin options market.

    Strike dividend yield
    8%
    Annual

    Fixed dividend yield for Strike preferred stock.

    Equity market cap
    $100 billion
    as of Feb 4, 2025

    Equity market cap of Strategy.

    Equity market cushion over fixed income liabilities
    $94 billion
    as of Feb 4, 2025

    Equity market cushion over fixed income liabilities.

    Bitcoin cushion over fixed income liabilities
    $39 billion
    as of Feb 4, 2025

    Bitcoin cushion over fixed income liabilities.

    BTC gain
    140,538
    FY24

    BTC gain for the full year 2024.

    BTC dollar gain
    $13.1 billion
    FY24

    BTC dollar gain for the full year 2024.

    BTC yield
    74.3%vs initial target of 6% to 10%
    FY24

    BTC yield achieved in 2024, surpassing initial targets.

    Equity issuance premium (illustrative)
    250%
    Illustrative

    Illustrative example of a higher premium for equity issuance, leading to a larger BTC yield.

    Industry KPIs

    2
    MetricValueDetails
    Revenue growth$121 millionUSD
    Bookings billings$65 millionUSD

    Product announcements

    5
    ProductTypeDetails
    Strategy (rebranding)launch
    Strategy merchandise storelaunch
    strategy.com (new website)launch
    strategysoftware.com (relaunch)launch
    Strategy World 2025launch

    Risks & headwinds

    3
    Digital asset impairment chargesQ4 FY24 and FY24

    $1 billion in Q4 FY24; $1.8 billion for FY24

    Mitigation: Ceasing due to adoption of FASB fair value accounting in Q1 FY25.

    Higher cloud hosting costsFuture periods

    Cost of revenues up 21% YoY in Q4 FY24

    Mitigation: Expected to continue as a direct result of growing cloud business.

    Potential unrealized capital gains tax on crypto assetsFuture

    Not quantified, but described as a 'second order impact'

    Mitigation: Dialogue with IRS, cabinet members, and Capitol Hill; management believes there is no broad-based support for such a tax. If implemented, it would slightly slow growth but not fundamentally change the business strategy.

    What to watch in Q1 FY25

    5

    Subscription services revenue growth

    Next quarter
    Current48% YoY in Q4 FY24
    TargetContinued strong growth

    Why it matters

    Indicates the success of the software business's cloud transition and its ability to offset declines in legacy revenue streams.

    Q4 subscription services revenues increased 48% year-over-year and now make up approximately 20% of total revenues.

    Q&A highlights

    2

    How will the Strike preferred stock dividends be funded, and what is the flexibility for cash vs. common stock payments?

    Andrew Kang stated that dividends would be funded using all capital sources, primarily the ATM program, not solely cash from operations. He emphasized the small dividend obligation relative to the company's capital raising capacity, ensuring long-term payment ability.

    we will use all of our capital sources to pay these dividends, including primarily the ATM. I guess it's worth noting, too, look, we raised over $20 billion in capital, $20 billion in capital since the beginning of Q4. You really need to compare that to the $14-ish million in the quarterly dividend payments for Strike.

    asked by Unknown Analyst · answered by Andrew Kang

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Rebranding to Strategy and Digital Identity

    MicroStrategy announced its rebranding to 'Strategy', reflecting simplicity, continuity, and ambition beyond microcomputers. The new brand includes a stylized 'B' for Bitcoin, an orange primary color, and new websites (strategy.com with a live tracker, strategysoftware.com). The company also launched an official merchandise store and announced 'Strategy World 2025' in Orlando, Florida, to celebrate the new brand and innovations.

    02

    Bitcoin Treasury Strategy and Market Outlook

    Strategy reaffirmed its position as the world's first and largest Bitcoin treasury company, holding 471,107 bitcoins with a market value of $46 billion as of February 2. Michael Saylor provided a bullish outlook on Bitcoin, citing institutional adoption through Spot Bitcoin ETFs ($140 billion capital inflow), a pro-crypto political environment (repeal of SAB 121, Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act), and accelerating global adoption. He noted that Bitcoin has outperformed 99% of the S&P 500 since its adoption as a treasury asset.

    03

    FASB Fair Value Accounting Adoption

    The company adopted FASB's fair value accounting standard for its Bitcoin holdings, effective Q1 2025. This change will result in a positive cumulative adjustment of approximately $12.7 billion to the opening balance of retained earnings in Q1, reflecting the difference between Bitcoin's market value and its prior carrying value. This eliminates future digital asset impairment charges.

    04

    Capital Markets Innovation and Leverage Strategy

    Strategy emphasized its innovative capital raising approach, having issued $8.6 billion in total debt and $21.7 billion in common stock. The company introduced 'Strike' (STRK), a perpetual convertible preferred stock with an 8% fixed coupon and a perpetual uncapped call option, designed to attract investors seeking lower volatility Bitcoin exposure. Management highlighted the company's unique ability to leverage Bitcoin's volatility in capital markets, noting that its convertible bonds outperformed Bitcoin's performance (75% vs 64%) over the same period. The company also noted that the S&P Index is outperforming 62% of the S&P 500, while the Magnificent 7 is outperforming 94%.

    05

    Software Business Cloud Transition

    The software business continues its transition from on-premise to cloud, resulting in a 3% year-over-year decrease in total software revenues to $121 million in Q4. However, subscription services revenues grew 48% year-over-year, now comprising 20% of total revenues, and subscription billings grew 57% to $65 million. The company expects this trend to continue in 2025, with cloud subscription revenues eventually offsetting declines in product license and support revenues.

    06

    New KPIs: BTC Yield and BTC Dollar Gain

    Strategy introduced two new KPIs: BTC gain and BTC dollar gain, to better quantify shareholder value creation from its treasury operations. BTC gain measures the non-dilutive accretion of Bitcoin in BTC terms, while BTC dollar gain translates this into USD. For 2024, BTC gain was 140,538 bitcoins (74.3% BTC yield), leading to a BTC dollar gain of $13.1 billion. The company aims for a minimum 15% BTC yield and $10 billion BTC dollar gain in 2025. Michael Saylor clarified that if the company were to sell $100 million of equity backed by $200 million of Bitcoin, it would generate a $100 million BTC loss, illustrating the importance of accretive capital raises.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.