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    NEM
    Earnings call· Dec 2025(Q4 FY25)

    NEWMONT Corp /DE/ Q4 FY25 earnings call NEM

    Feb 19, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Newmont Q4 FY25 — Strong Finish, Enhanced Capital Allocation, and Production Growth Outlook

    Newmont concluded FY25 with strong operational and financial performance, achieving full-year guidance and generating record free cash flow. The company introduced an enhanced capital allocation framework focused on predictable shareholder returns, including a 4% dividend increase and ongoing share repurchases. While 2026 production is expected to trough due to mine sequencing, Newmont maintains a longer-term outlook for renewed growth, supported by project execution and exploration success.

    Highlights

    5
    • Achieved full year guidance for production and cost in 2025.

    • Generated record free cash flow of $2.8 billion in Q4 and $7.3 billion for FY25.

    • Increased quarterly common dividend by 4% to $0.26 per share.

    • Achieved commercial production at Ahafo North, adding 300,000 ounces/year to the portfolio.

    • Added 2 million ounces to resource at Ahafo South in 2025, with 4-5 million ounces of new reserves anticipated in 2026.

    Concerns

    4
    • Experienced a tragic fatal incident at the Tanami operation in early February 2026.

    • 2026 production is expected to be lower than anticipated from Nevada Gold Mines and Pueblo Viejo.

    • 2026 represents a trough in the production cycle due to planned mine sequencing across several operations.

    • First quarter 2026 free cash flow is expected to be lower due to over $1 billion in tax payments and working capital seasonality.

    Guidance & targets

    20
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Attributable Gold Production
    5.3 million ounces
    high materiality
    High
    All-in Sustaining Costs (AISC)
    $1,680 per ounce
    high materiality
    High
    AISC Sensitivity to Gold Price
    $6 increase per $100 gold price increase
    medium materiality
    High
    Sustaining Capital
    $1.95 billion
    medium materiality
    High
    Development Capital
    $1.4 billion
    medium materiality
    High
    Exploration and Advanced Project Spend
    $525 million
    low materiality
    High
    Reclamation Spend
    $850 million
    low materiality
    High
    Reclamation Spend (Long-term)
    $300 million - $400 million
    low materiality
    Medium
    Sustainable Cash Dividend
    $1.1 billion per year
    high materiality
    High
    Net Cash Target
    $1 billion plus or minus $2 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Long-term Production Outlook (Gold)
    Approximately 6 million ounces annually
    high materiality
    Medium
    Long-term Production Outlook (Copper)
    Approximately 150,000 tonnes annually
    high materiality
    Medium
    Boddington Stripping Campaign Completion
    Completion in 2026
    medium materiality
    High
    Tanami Expansion 2 Completion
    Second half of 2027
    medium materiality
    High
    Cadia Panel Cave 2-3 Completion
    Fourth quarter of this year
    medium materiality
    High
    Cadia Panel Cave 1-2 Development
    Following closely after PC2-3
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Lihir Nearshore Barrier Mine Life Extension
    Extending mine life well into the 2040s
    medium materiality
    High
    Red Chris Block Cave Expansion Full Funds Approval
    Targeted in the second half of 2026
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Yanacocha Water Treatment Plants Completion
    Expected to be completed in 2027
    low materiality
    High
    Yanacocha Mining Operations
    Continue through 2026 and into early 2027
    medium materiality
    High

    Operational metrics

    9
    Proceeds from Noncore Divestiture Program
    $4.5 billion
    To date

    From successful completion of the program.

    Capital Returned to Shareholders
    $3.4 billion
    FY25

    Through dividends and share repurchases.

    G&A Guidance Improvement
    $100 million21% improvement
    FY26

    Compared to prior guidance for 2026.

    Dividend Declared
    $0.264% increase
    Q4 FY25

    Quarterly common dividend, reflecting per share growth potential.

    Remaining Share Buyback Authorization
    $2.4 billion
    Current

    Part of the $6 billion approved program.

    Yanacocha Sulfides Project Book Value
    $78 million
    Current

    Predominantly in equipment, following decision to indefinitely defer the project.

    Conga Project Book Value
    $900 million
    Current

    Book value of the project.

    Cost Reduction from Debt Retirement and Share Repurchases
    $230 million
    FY25

    Combined impact from these two elements.

    First Quarter 2026 Tax Payments
    Over $1 billion
    Q1 FY26

    Primarily due to accruals made in 2025, expected to lower Q1 free cash flow.

    Industry KPIs

    7
    MetricValueDetails
    Safety1 fatality
    Unit cash costConstantUSD
    All in sustaining cost$1,680USD per ounce
    Reserve life new supply118 million ouncesgold
    Growth project CAPEX first production~$950 millionUSD
    Ore grade recovery drilling by depositUnchanged
    Production sales volume by metal and by mine5.7 million ouncesgold

    Deals & partnerships

    2
    MultipleDivestiture program$4.5 billion

    Successful completion of noncore divestiture program, generating $4.5 billion in proceeds to date.

    Barrick Gold (Nevada Gold Mines JV partner)Joint Venture Dispute

    Newmont issued a notice of default to its Nevada Gold Mines joint venture partner related to operational performance and management. Discussions are ongoing to improve performance.

    Capital programs

    6
    Ahafo Northcompleted~$950 million

    Benefit: 300,000 ounces per year

    Achieved commercial production, bringing new ounces into the portfolio. Total capital spend came in at the lower end of the estimated range.

    Tanami Expansion 2underway$1.7 billion - $1.8 billion
    Period spend: $330 million - $350 million
    Spent to date: $1.3 billion

    1.5 kilometer concrete shaft lining complete. Construction for headframe and mechanical work expected to be completed in late 2026. Full project completion on track for H2 2027.

    Cadia Panel Cave 2-3 (PC2-3)underway

    Development continues, progressing towards cave completion as planned.

    Cadia Panel Cave 1-2 (PC1-2)underway

    First drawbell fired in December 2025, initiating the next critical phase of cave development.

    Lihir Nearshore Barrier Mine Life Extensionapproved

    Benefit: Over 5 million low-cost ounces from Kapit ore body

    Received full funds approval. Involves construction of an in-ground concrete water seepage barrier, extending Lihir's mine life.

    Yanacocha Water Treatment Plantsunderway

    Construction is ongoing, primarily related to reclamation spend.

    Risks & headwinds

    6
    Fatal incident at Tanami operationEarly February 2026

    One team member, Matthew Middlebrook, tragically lost his life.

    Mitigation: Investigation into circumstances underway; commitment to understanding root cause and strengthening systems/controls.

    Lower-than-expected production from non-managed operationsFY26

    Lower ounces from Nevada Gold Mines and Pueblo Viejo.

    Mitigation: Working with managing partner to improve performance of these assets.

    Production trough due to planned mine sequencingFY26

    2026 represents a trough in the production cycle.

    Mitigation: Positioning the portfolio to return to production growth in 2027 and beyond, maintaining a longer-term outlook of 6 million ounces of gold and 150,000 tonnes of copper annually.

    Impact of Boddington bushfiresQ4 FY25 / early FY26

    Production impact from bushfires in December 2025.

    Mitigation: Recovery going well, critical water supply infrastructure repaired, processing operations restarted at full levels.

    Lower free cash flow in Q1 2026Q1 FY26

    Over $1 billion of tax payments, in addition to normal working capital seasonality.

    Volatile macroeconomic environmentOngoing

    Operating in a rapidly evolving geopolitical and macroeconomic environment.

    Mitigation: Focus on improving and managing costs within control, structural improvements to cost base.

    Q&A highlights

    8

    Will CapEx increase due to Red Chris and Merian projects, and when will updates be provided?

    Natascha Viljoen confirmed Red Chris update in H2 2026 and Merian later in the year. She stated current capital guidance ($1.8B sustaining, $1.3B development) is an average, and decisions on value-accretive projects will be disciplined within the capital allocation framework.

    Our capital guidance, as we have stated it, is on average, the $1.8 billion on sustaining capital, $1.3 billion on development capital. And we did say that, that would be average over a period of time.

    asked by Lawson Winder · answered by Natascha Viljoen

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Safety and Operational Discipline

    Natascha Viljoen emphasized safety as the highest priority, acknowledging the tragic loss of a team member at Tanami. Newmont achieved its full-year production and cost guidance for 2025, producing 5.7 million ounces of gold, 28 million ounces of silver, and 135,000 tonnes of copper. This performance was supported by cost savings and productivity initiatives, which helped mitigate pressures from a higher gold price environment and contributed to margin expansion.

    02

    Financial Strength and Capital Returns

    The company generated record free cash flow of $2.8 billion in Q4 and $7.3 billion for the full year 2025. Newmont also realized $4.5 billion in proceeds from its noncore divestiture program and returned $3.4 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. An enhanced capital allocation framework was introduced, prioritizing a sustainable, growing dividend and ongoing share repurchases to reduce the share count and enhance per-share metrics.

    03

    Reserve Base and Exploration Success

    Newmont's gold reserve base stands at 118 million ounces, complemented by 149 million ounces of gold resource, providing approximately 40 years of production life. The reserve price assumption was increased from $1,700/oz to $2,000/oz. Exploration efforts yielded significant results, including a new high-grade discovery in the Dozer zone at Brucejack and the addition of 2 million ounces to resource at Ahafo South in 2025, with an anticipated 4-5 million ounces of new gold reserves in 2026.

    04

    Project Execution and Development

    2025 was a milestone year for projects, highlighted by the successful commissioning of Ahafo North, which will deliver an average of 300,000 ounces per year at a capital spend of approximately $950 million. Tanami Expansion 2 is on track for completion in H2 2027, with the 1.5 km concrete shaft lining complete. At Cadia, development for both panel caves continues, with PC2-3 completion expected in Q4 2026 and PC1-2 initiating its critical phase of development. The Lihir nearshore barrier mine life extension received full funds approval, unlocking over 5 million low-cost ounces and extending mine life beyond 2040.

    05

    2026 Production and Cost Outlook

    Newmont's 2026 attributable production guidance is 5.3 million ounces, reflecting planned mine sequencing at Ahafo South, Peñasquito, and Cadia, as well as impacts from Boddington bushfires and lower ounces from Nevada Gold Mines and Pueblo Viejo. This year is expected to be a production trough, with growth resuming in 2027 and beyond towards a 6 million ounce annual target. All-in sustaining costs are guided at $1,680/oz (byproduct basis), benefiting from $100/oz in cost savings initiatives.

    06

    Nevada Gold Mines Joint Venture

    Newmont issued a notice of default to its Nevada Gold Mines joint venture partner, Barrick, concerning operational performance and management. The company's primary focus remains on collaborating to improve the performance of these assets and generate long-term value for Newmont shareholders. Due to confidentiality provisions in the joint venture agreement, further specific comments on the notice of default were not provided.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.