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    NSC
    Earnings call· Mar 2026(Q1 FY26)

    NORFOLK SOUTHERN Q1 FY26 earnings call NSC

    Apr 24, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Norfolk Southern Corporation Q1 FY26 — Strong Safety and Cost Control Amidst Volume Headwinds

    Norfolk Southern navigated a challenging Q1 FY26 with strong safety performance and disciplined cost control, offsetting significant inflationary and fuel price headwinds. While overall volume saw a slight decline due to intermodal softness and merger impacts, the company achieved a fuel efficiency record and saw growth in merchandise. Management remains focused on operational resilience and is cautiously optimistic about emerging green shoots in the market, while progressing with its merger application.

    Highlights

    5
    • FRA accident ratio improved 37% year-over-year.

    • FRA mainline accident ratio of 0.26, leading Class I railroads for the second consecutive year.

    • Total adjusted expenses were up just 1% year-over-year despite inflationary pressures and higher fuel prices.

    • Achieved a fuel efficiency record, strengthening competitive position and protecting margins.

    • Merchandise volume and revenue increased 1% year-over-year, driven by continued share gains in chemicals and automotive markets.

    Concerns

    5
    • Adjusted operating ratio increased 80 basis points year-over-year to 68.7%.

    • Fuel price alone was $31 million higher year-over-year, and $40 million higher than expectations in March.

    • Overall volume finished down 1% year-over-year, primarily due to challenging intermodal market conditions and merger-related losses.

    • Intermodal revenue declined 1% and revenue less fuel decreased 2% year-over-year.

    • Coal revenue declined 2% year-over-year due to mix headwinds and export pricing, despite a 9% volume increase.

    Guidance & targets

    5
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year 2026 adjusted operating cost envelope
    $8.2 billion to $8.4 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Q1 to Q2 sequential operating ratio improvement
    About 200 basis points
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Full-year 2026 efficiencies
    $150-plus million
    medium materiality
    High
    Merger application refiling
    By the end of April 2026
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year industrial development projects
    A few dozen more
    low materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    3
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Merchandise
    Driven by continued share gains in chemicals and automotive markets. Strong core pricing was offset by mix interactions from lower-rated commodities like frac sand and NGLs.
    Volume: increased 1%RPU less fuel: flat YoY (offset by mix interactions due to sustained growth of lower-rated commodities)
    increased 1%1%
    Intermodal
    Reflects difficult comparisons related to tariff front-running in 2025, impacts from winter storms, and ongoing merger-related losses. Improved pricing and positive mix within the segment drove RPU higher.
    Volume: decreased 4%RPU: higher by 3%RPU less fuel: higher by 2%
    declined 1%-1%
    Coal
    Volume increased substantially due to higher electricity demand, stockpile replenishment, and a supportive regulatory environment for utility coal. This strength was partially offset by reduced volume in domestic met coal and mix headwinds from utility growth, and continued overhang of export pricing.
    Volume: increased 9%RPU: down by 9%
    declined 2%-2%

    Operational metrics

    13
    Adjusted operating ratio
    68.7%increased 80 bps YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Reported on an adjusted basis, after accounting for merger-related and Eastern Ohio incident expenses.

    Merger-related expenses
    $52 million
    Q1 FY26

    Incurred during the quarter, adjusted out for non-GAAP results.

    Eastern Ohio incident costs
    $10 million
    Q1 FY26

    Total costs related to the incident, adjusted out for non-GAAP results.

    Fuel price headwind (YoY)
    $31 millionhigher than last year
    Q1 FY26

    Impact of higher fuel prices compared to the prior year.

    Fuel price headwind (vs expectations)
    $40 millionhigher than expectations
    March 2026

    The price surge in March alone resulted in expenses $40 million higher than anticipated.

    Storm costs
    $13 million to $15 million
    Q1 FY26

    Costs incurred due to extreme and network-wide winter weather events.

    Productivity and labor savings
    Over $30 million
    Q1 FY26

    Achieved through fuel efficiency and labor productivity initiatives.

    Productivity generated (last 2 years)
    Over $500 million
    Last 2 years

    Cumulative productivity generated, serving as a baseline for current year targets.

    Land sale revenue (Q2 FY25)
    $35 million
    Q2 FY25

    A one-time revenue item in the prior year that will not recur in Q2 FY26, creating a headwind.

    Gross ton-miles (GTMs)
    1.1%more YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Reflecting stronger train productivity and better asset utilization across the network.

    Recrews
    8.6%fewer YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Improved crew scheduling and greater crew availability supporting stronger crew productivity.

    T&E crew base
    6%down YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Reflects a better aligned, qualified T&E crew base, with strategic recruitment in growth markets.

    Industrial development projects online
    12 projects
    Q1 FY26

    Projects that came online in the quarter, contributing to future volume.

    Industry KPIs

    10
    MetricValueDetails
    Volume1.1%%
    Fuel efficiencyrecord
    Operating ratio68.7%%
    Service metrics1.10
    Network fluidityimproved
    Pricing vs rail inflationflat
    Fuel surcharge diesel price
    Labor productivity headcount6%%
    Industrial development pipeline12 projectsunits
    Tariff trade policy revenue impact

    Deals & partnerships

    1
    Jaguar Transport Holdingspartnership

    An innovative short line and transload partnership in Doraville, Georgia, focusing on growth in a high-density switching corridor in the Metro Atlanta market. This model is intended to be replicated elsewhere, marking a new approach to growth-focused partnerships.

    Risks & headwinds

    5
    Fuel price volatilityRemainder of the year, continuing into Q2

    $31 million higher YoY, $40 million higher than expectations in March

    Mitigation: Fuel surcharge revenue as an immediate offset; aggressive pursuit of volume and revenue opportunities in energy-related markets; achieved a fuel efficiency record.

    Challenging intermodal market conditionsQ1 FY26, ongoing

    Volume decreased 4% YoY, revenue declined 1% YoY

    Mitigation: Improved pricing and positive mix within the segment; focus on delivering a good service product to compete with trucking; optimism for domestic intermodal due to higher fuel prices for trucks.

    Merger-related lossesQ1 FY26, ongoing

    Contributed to 1% overall volume decline

    Mitigation: Fighting to retain share and competing in other areas to gain volume to offset losses.

    Macroeconomic uncertaintyNear-term

    Subdued outlook for vehicle production, retailers maintaining lean inventories, impact of housing, interest rates, and inflation

    Mitigation: Vigilance on these factors; exploring opportunities in natural gas liquids, export plastics, and potentially crude oil; observing green shoots in manufacturing.

    International intermodal softnessOngoing

    Due to continued tariff volatility and trade pressures

    Mitigation: No specific mitigation stated, but focus is on domestic intermodal strength and overall network resilience.

    Q&A highlights

    7

    Clarification on typical Q1 to Q2 OR seasonality and the extent/impact of competitive activity in intermodal following the merger announcement.

    Jason Zampi stated that despite headwinds, they expect typical sequential OR improvement of about 200 basis points from Q1 to Q2, driven by productivity and anticipated revenue uptick. Ed Elkins confirmed that competitive activity is primarily an intermodal story, playing out as anticipated, and they are working to earn business from both road and other modes.

    We think about that at about 200 basis points, and that's really due to all the productivity initiatives that we've got going on.

    asked by Christian Wetherbee · answered by Jason Zampi

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Safety Performance and Culture

    Norfolk Southern continues to prioritize safety, with the FRA personal injury ratio at 1.10, consistent with FY25. The FRA accident ratio improved 37% year-over-year to 1.43, and the FRA mainline accident ratio was 0.26, leading Class I railroads for the second consecutive year. These improvements are attributed to investments in technology, training, standard processes, and a culture that embeds safety as a core value, not just a metric. The company emphasizes a holistic approach to risk reduction and continuous improvement.

    02

    Operational Resilience and PSR 2.0 Evolution

    The network demonstrated resilience during Q1's severe winter weather, recovering quickly and capturing available volume in March. The team drove post-pandemic daily Gross Ton-Mile (GTM) volume records, moving 1.1% more GTMs year-over-year despite lower shipments. This was supported by stronger train productivity, better asset utilization, and improved terminal dwell. The company's PSR 2.0 strategy, including war rooms for mechanical and 'need for speed,' is building a more resilient railroad, leading to a fuel efficiency record and improved crew productivity with 8.6% fewer recrews.

    03

    Commercial Strategy and Market Outlook

    Merchandise volume and revenue increased 1% year-over-year, driven by share gains in chemicals and automotive, though RPU ex-fuel was flat due to mix. Intermodal volumes decreased 4% due to tariff front-running comparisons, winter storms, and merger-related losses, with revenue declining 1%. Coal volume increased 9% due to utility demand and stockpile replenishment, but revenue declined 2% due to mix. The company sees optimism in domestic intermodal due to truck market dynamics and is exploring opportunities in energy-related markets like NGLs and export plastics, with manufacturing showing green shoots.

    04

    Cost Management and Productivity Initiatives

    Norfolk Southern maintained tight cost control, with total adjusted expenses up only 1% year-over-year, effectively offsetting an estimated 5% headwind from inflationary pressures. Fuel price alone was $31 million higher than last year and $40 million higher than expectations in March. Productivity initiatives, including fuel efficiency and labor productivity, delivered over $30 million in savings during the quarter, contributing to the target of $150+ million in efficiencies for the year, building on over $500 million generated in the last two years.

    05

    Merger Application Update and Strategic Vision

    The company is on track to refile its merger application by the end of April 2026, with management expressing increased confidence in its approval. The revised application is expected to present an even stronger case for the benefits of creating the nation's first single-line transcontinental railroad. This strategic move aims to simplify service, reduce interchange complexity, and enable more efficient, safe, and reliable freight movement, ultimately offering a compelling proposition for customers to choose rail over highway.

    06

    Innovative Partnership Model for Growth

    Norfolk Southern introduced an innovative short line and transload partnership with Jaguar Transport Holdings, subject to regulatory approval. Unlike traditional short-line transactions focused on efficiency, this partnership targets growth in a high-density switching corridor in Doraville, Georgia, serving the growing Metro Atlanta market. This initiative is presented as a model for future growth strategies, demonstrating the company's focus on innovative deal structures to deliver new capabilities and value to customers.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.