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    PCYO
    Earnings call· May 2026(Q3 FY26)

    PURE CYCLE Q3 FY26 earnings call PCYO

    Jul 9, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Pure Cycle Q3 FY26 – Strong Water Sales and Accelerated Lot Deliveries Drive Profitability

    Pure Cycle reported solid Q3 FY26 results, driven by strong industrial water sales and accelerated land development, leading to robust revenue and gross profit. The company is strategically pacing lot deliveries to align with housing absorption, while also adjusting its single-family rental expansion due to market and regulatory considerations. Management remains focused on monetizing its valuable water and land assets, anticipating increased share repurchases as liquidity builds.

    Highlights

    5
    • Reported $8.2 million in revenue and $4.3 million in gross profits, achieving a 52% gross margin.

    • Industrial water sales were stronger than expected compared to last year, with expectations to finish the year strong.

    • Tap fees were stronger year-to-date and are expected to finish strong due to several phases coming online in 2026.

    • Delivered approximately 430 lots in the last 18 months, with Q3 lot deliveries almost 70% better than last year.

    • The single-family rental segment is experiencing tremendous demand, with almost all completed homes leased and some leased before delivery.

    Concerns

    3
    • The housing market is not as strong as 2024, with consumer confidence issues impacting lot absorption.

    • Single-family rental expansion was scaled back from a target of 100 units to the high 60s/low 70s due to regulatory climate uncertainty and the need to define return on investment.

    • The company's stock has been flat for the last five years despite management's perception of significant underlying asset value.

    Guidance & targets

    5
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year fiscal guidance
    Gross revenues between $20 million and $32 million, earnings per share in the $0.50 range, plus or minus
    high materiality
    High
    I-70 Interchange Permit Issuance
    Early next year
    medium materiality
    Medium
    I-70 Interchange Construction Start
    Late 2027
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Commercial Revenue Contribution
    Similar amount of revenues from commercial that almost has that doubling effect of our revenues
    high materiality
    High
    Tap Fee Increase
    Step increase
    medium materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    3
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Water Segment
    Total water revenues were strengthened by better-than-expected industrial water sales. Tap fees are also showing continued strength due to several phases coming online in 2026.
    Industrial water sales: strengthened compared to last yearTap fees: stronger year-to-date and expected to finish strong
    Land Development Segment
    The company delivered approximately 430 lots in the last 18 months. Q3 lot deliveries were almost 70% better than last year, moderated by a mild winter. Phase II E, a smaller phase, is expected to deliver 159-160 lots.
    Lots delivered (last 18 months): 430Phase II E lots: 159-160
    almost 70% better
    Single-Family Rental Segment
    Approximately 40 homes are completed, with another 30 under contract for delivery through calendar year 2026, bringing the total to around 70 units. The segment is experiencing tremendous demand, with most homes leased, some even before delivery.
    Homes completed: ~40Homes under contract: ~30Total units expected (calendar year 2026): ~70

    Operational metrics

    22
    Gross Profit Margin
    52%
    Q3 FY26

    Margin on revenue to gross profit for the quarter.

    Profitable Quarters Streak
    almost 7
    ongoing

    Company has maintained profitable quarter-over-quarter results for almost seven consecutive years.

    Water Connections Capacity
    60,000
    ongoing

    The company's water portfolio can serve 60,000 connections, which is considered a conservative estimate.

    Potential Water Revenue (Gross)
    $2.5 billion
    long-term

    Based on 60,000 connections at $40,000 per tap.

    Revenue per Water Connection (Annual)
    $1,500-$1,700
    per year

    Annual revenue generated per connection.

    Potential Annual Water Revenue
    $100 million
    per year

    Based on 60,000 connections at $1,500-$1,700 per connection per year.

    Sky Ranch Connections
    5,000
    full build-out

    Total connections at Sky Ranch at full build-out, including residential and commercial equivalents.

    Sky Ranch Tap Fee Revenue
    $200 million
    full build-out

    Based on 5,000 connections at $40,000 per tap.

    Profit per Lot (Sky Ranch)
    $100,000
    per lot

    Average profit made per lot at Sky Ranch.

    Sky Ranch Lot Sales Revenue
    $500 million
    full build-out

    Based on 5,000 lots at $100,000 profit per lot.

    Undeveloped Water Reserves
    30,000
    ongoing

    Amount of undeveloped water reserves remaining after Sky Ranch is fully developed.

    Monthly Water/Wastewater Fee Increase
    2.5-3%YoY
    per year

    Modest annual increase in recurring monthly fees.

    Receivable Balance
    $59 million
    Q3 FY26

    Receivable balance related to advanced funds for development, expected to be repaid over the next 3 years through bond market activities.

    2022 Bond Proceeds
    $25 million
    2022

    Proceeds generated from bonds issued in 2022 for Phase 2 development (850 units zoned).

    Expected Receivable Repayment (2027)
    $8-10 million
    2027

    Expected repayment of the receivable balance from the refinancing of 2022 bonds.

    Expected Bond Proceeds (2028)
    $25-28 million
    2028

    Expected proceeds from bonds issued in 2028 for Phase 3, which will also repay a portion of the receivable balance.

    Phase 2 Zoning (2022)
    850
    2022

    Initial zoning for Phase 2 when bonds were issued in 2022.

    Phase 2 Increased Density
    1,100
    ongoing

    Increased density achieved for Phase 2, up from initial zoning of 850 units.

    Residential Lot Revenue Stack
    $25 million
    per year

    Current annual revenue stack from delivering residential lots.

    Lowry Exclusive Service Area
    24,000
    ongoing

    Pure Cycle's exclusive service rights area within the Lowry property.

    Lowry Total Footprint
    27,000
    ongoing

    Total size of the Lowry property.

    Lowry Non-Exclusive Area
    3,000
    ongoing

    Portion of Lowry property not covered by Pure Cycle's exclusive service agreement, but still potentially serviceable.

    Industry KPIs

    4
    MetricValueDetails
    Retail sales growth
    Adjusted operating EPS$0.50USD
    Equity hybrid financing atm issuance
    CAPEX multi year capital investment plan

    Orderbook & backlog

    2
    Single-Family Rental Homes Under Contract30Q3 FY26

    These homes are under contract and expected to deliver through calendar year 2026, contributing to a total of approximately 70 completed units.

    Phase 2 Lot DeliveriesUpcomingQ3 FY26

    Phase 2, the next development phase, is currently undergoing grading activity and is expected to deliver lots for summer 2027.

    Capital programs

    1
    I-70 Interchange Projectpermitting process$40 million
    Funding: bonding capacity of the mill levies as well as some impact fees that the County is looking to adopt

    Benefit: open up the commercial and really stack into the revenue side, potentially doubling revenues

    Estimated cost in the $40 million range. Preliminary indication that bonding capacity would match this, expecting not to have to advance company funds. Permit expected early next year.

    Risks & headwinds

    3
    Housing Market HeadwindsCurrent

    Housing market not as strong as 2024; consumer confidence issue within most of the homebuyers

    Mitigation: Pacing finished lot work to match housing absorption.

    Regulatory Uncertainty for Single-Family RentalsOngoing

    Scaled back expansion from 100 units to high 60s/low 70s

    Mitigation: Reduced expansion to understand regulatory climate and define return on investment; noted that regulatory concerns have 'settled down a little bit'.

    Stock UnderperformancePast 5 years

    Stock has been flat for the last 5 years

    Mitigation: Company plans to be more aggressive with share repurchases as liquidity builds to return value to shareholders.

    Q&A highlights

    5

    Elliot Knight inquired about the previously guided $650-$675 million asset value and confirmed if the company still holds approximately 30,000 acre-feet of undeveloped water after Sky Ranch's full development.

    Mark Harding explained the math behind the Sky Ranch valuation, projecting $500 million from lot sales and $200 million from tap fees, highlighting the earning power of legacy assets. He confirmed the company has a strong 30,000 acre-feet of undeveloped water and 60,000 connections capacity, which has been diversified through recent acquisitions.

    That shows about $2.5 billion worth of water revenue. And then we get that $1,500, $1,700 per connection per year, and that's about $100 million year-over-year revenue.

    asked by Elliot Knight · answered by Mark Harding

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Water Rights and Industrial Sales Strength

    Pure Cycle capitalizes on its unique ownership of water rights in Colorado, providing potable water to retail customers and raw water for industrial uses, primarily in oil and gas. The company's industrial water sales strengthened significantly compared to last year, driven by increased drilling activity from operators who had accumulated permits. This segment is expected to remain strong for several years due to the size of the oil and gas field and the efficiency of the company's supply framework, which offers high-margin business.

    02

    Strategic Land Development and Lot Deliveries

    The company's land development segment focuses on increasing land value through water availability in the Denver area. Pure Cycle delivered approximately 430 lots in the last 18 months, with Q3 lot deliveries up almost 70% year-over-year. The strategy involves pacing finished lot work to match housing absorption, utilizing a 'flow fund' contract model where homebuilders make payments at different development stages. Phase II E, comprising 159-160 lots, is currently in progress, with Phase 2 expected to deliver by summer 2027.

    03

    Single-Family Rental Segment Adjustment

    Pure Cycle has adjusted its single-family rental expansion plan, scaling back the target from 100 units to the high 60s/low 70s. This pivot was influenced by regulatory climate uncertainty regarding institutional home ownership and the need to clearly define the return on investment for the segment. Despite the scaled-back target, the segment is experiencing tremendous demand, with nearly 40 homes completed and another 30 under contract, many leased before delivery, providing a stable recurring revenue stream with tax advantages.

    04

    Monetizing Legacy Assets and Shareholder Value

    The company emphasizes the significant earning power of its legacy water and land assets, which are carried at a very low cost basis on the balance sheet. For example, Sky Ranch, valued at $5 million on the balance sheet, is projected to generate $500 million from lot sales and $200 million from tap fees. Management believes the company is undervalued and plans to be more aggressive with share repurchases as liquidity continues to build, aiming to return value to shareholders.

    05

    I-70 Interchange Project Progress

    Pure Cycle is actively working with governmental partners on the I-70 interchange project, which has an estimated cost of $40 million. The company expects the permit to be issued early next year, with construction starting in late 2027. This project is anticipated to open significant commercial development opportunities, potentially doubling the company's revenues by layering in commercial revenue similar to its current residential lot sales.

    06

    Lowry Property and Service Area

    The company's exclusive service rights cover 24,000 acres of the Lowry property, which has a total footprint of 27,000 acres. This area is strategically located on the path of development in the Denver Metro area, where growth is primarily to the east. The Lowry property represents a significant future opportunity for the company to expand its water service and development activities, leveraging its existing infrastructure and water rights.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.