Inve US ▾
PEPEP

PepsiCo (PEP) Q1 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Mar 2026 (Q1 FY26)· Consumer Staples· Apr 16, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

PepsiCo Q1 FY26 — Strong PFNA Turnaround & International Acceleration

PepsiCo delivered a strong quarter, driven by the successful execution of its growth-focused strategy in North America Foods, which saw significant volume and occasion growth. The international business continued its robust acceleration, showing resilience despite geopolitical tensions. The company is actively managing expected inflation through productivity gains and strategic pricing, while PBNA focuses on volume recovery through new platforms and innovation.

Highlights

5
  • Frito-Lay North America (PFNA) volume grew 2%, with 4% unit growth and 300 million new occasions in Q1 FY26.

  • PepsiCo Beverages North America (PBNA) total business grew 9%, comprising 2% organic growth and 7 points from additional platforms.

  • The International business continued to accelerate, showing no impact on demand from recent geopolitical conflicts.

  • PFNA's costs decreased in Q1 FY26, reflecting successful productivity initiatives.

  • PFNA is gaining share in value terms in recent weeks and volume share for 3-4 periods, according to IRI data.

Concerns

3
  • Inflation is expected, with the magnitude still to be determined, potentially requiring adjustments to price pack architecture.

  • PBNA volumes were pressured by the case pack water transition, though volumes were almost flat excluding this factor.

  • SNAP revisions and cuts in 8 states are impacting beverages and candy, with the full impact still too early to conclude.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Organic sales growth
2% to 4%, upper end in H2 FY26
high materiality
Medium
Total company margin
Manage to hit overall guidance
medium materiality
Medium
PBNA case pack water volume growth
Positive growth
medium materiality
High
PFNA volume growth
Continue to grow
medium materiality
High
PFNA organic and reported revenue growth
Continue to accelerate
medium materiality
High
PFNA profit growth
Growing again
medium materiality
High

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
Frito-Lay North America (PFNA)
PFNA's performance is driven by a holistic commercial strategy focused on growth, including value optimization, brand restaging, and innovation. The team is ahead of schedule on its turnaround.
Unit growth: 4%New occasions: 300 million in Q1Away from home business growth: 3x the company averagePermissible portfolio growth: double digitHousehold penetration: gains across all core brandsValue share: gaining in last few weeks (IRI data)Volume share: gaining for 3-4 periods (IRI data)
—2% volume growth—cost went down in Q1
PepsiCo Beverages North America (PBNA)
PBNA's strong top-line growth is fueled by organic performance and the successful integration of new platforms and acquisitions. Volume is expected to turn positive in coming quarters as the case pack water transition is lapped.
Organic growth: 2%Growth from additional platforms: 7 pointsVolume (ex-case pack water transition): almost flatCELSIUS distribution: gaining shareFunctional hydration category: accelerating, growing ahead of LRBGatorade and Propel: gaining share in functional hydrationModern soda: acceleratingpoppi business: starting to accelerateNo sugar Pepsi: growing ahead of competitors
—9% total business——
International Business
The international business remains a key pillar of PepsiCo's long-term growth strategy, showing strong and accelerating momentum with no adverse impact from recent geopolitical events.
Demand impact from conflict: none observedMomentum: continues to accelerate
—accelerating——

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
Dirty Mountain Dewlaunch
Baja and Cabo Mountain Dewlaunch
Starbucks portfolio innovationupdate
Quaker brand restageupdate

Deals & partnerships

poppi acquisition

Acquisition contributing to PBNA's 7 points of growth from additional platforms.

CELSIUS partnership

Investment and distribution partnership contributing to PBNA's energy portfolio growth.

Risks & headwinds

Geopolitical conflict (Iran conflict) FY26 and 2027 scenarios

inflation will come

Mitigation:Grow through it, push productivity, price pack architecture, systemic hedging programs (6-12 months).

SNAP revisions/cuts Q1 FY26 onwards

8 states that began restriction in the first quarter

Mitigation:Monitor closely, too early to conclude impact; LRB category remains robust.

Competitive intensity Summer high season

more competitiveness in the category

Mitigation:Plans beyond just price, including innovation and execution; leveraging productivity strategy to compete effectively.

Q&A highlights

What are the impacts of the Iran conflict on guidance, cost assumptions, hedging, and international demand? Are there any major pressure points or changes in cost visibility?

Management stated no major supply chain issues and 6-12 month hedging programs provide near-term visibility. They expect inflation but plan to mitigate it through growth, productivity, and price pack architecture. International demand continues to accelerate with no observed impact from the conflict.

“We do have some systemic hedging programs in place. That does give us some near-term visibility here. We typically have about 6- to 12-month hedges in place.”

asked by Dara Mohsenian · answered by Stephen Schmitt

2 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

Supply Chain Resilience & Hedging

PepsiCo's scale and post-COVID supply chain redundancy, including multiple supply points for key materials, are providing a significant advantage in managing current geopolitical risks. The company has systemic hedging programs in place, offering 6-12 months of near-term visibility on costs. While inflation is anticipated, management expects to mitigate its impact through a combination of growth, productivity initiatives, and strategic price pack architecture adjustments.

PFNA Strategic Turnaround Progress

The North America Foods business (PFNA) is executing a holistic commercial strategy focused on growth. This includes offering additional value to consumers, securing more shelf space, restaging key brands like Lays and Tostitos, and introducing innovation in permissible and functional categories. Funds have also been repurposed to accelerate growth in away-from-home channels, leading to sequential improvement in performance and positive share gains.

PBNA Growth Drivers

PepsiCo Beverages North America (PBNA) achieved 9% total business growth, driven by 2% organic growth and an additional 7 points from new platforms integrated into its distribution system. This includes acquired businesses like poppi and an expanded portfolio of energy brands. The functional hydration category is accelerating and growing ahead of the broader liquid refreshment beverage (LRB) market, with Gatorade and Propel gaining share.

Productivity & Cost Transformation Initiatives

PepsiCo is engaged in a multi-year productivity strategy, benefiting from prior year actions such as reduced headcount, plant closures, and SKU count reduction, which have improved key metrics like cases per hour. Ongoing initiatives include deploying global shared services, leveraging technology and AI for supply chain optimization, transportation, route optimization, and digital ordering systems.

The company is also optimizing advertising and marketing spend for better ROI.

World Cup Activation Strategy

PepsiCo is utilizing the World Cup as a major global activation event, particularly for its Lays brand, with campaigns like 'no Lays no game' and personalized communication. The strategy involves innovation with global flavors, space gains, and partnerships with retailers and quick delivery services to capture consumption occasions.

Quaker is also participating in the event, aiming to drive brand awareness and consumer engagement, especially in markets with low per capita consumption.

Consumer Occasion Growth

Strategic efforts to optimize value in multi-serve and multipacks for brands like Lays, Doritos, Ruffles, and Gatorade are successfully bringing lapsed consumers back into the brand portfolio. Additionally, innovation in healthier options, such as Naked and low-sugar Gatorade variants, is attracting new consumers to the categories. This dual approach of strengthening the core and driving incremental innovation is expanding consumption occasions.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.